Chance of winning the SB.

[coltsfanej]

Colts have 3% chance of winning it all according to nfl.com. 

http://www.nfl.com/videos/game-theory/0ap3000001004560/Game-Theory-Week-17-Super-Bowl-probabilities

 

 

[jvan1973]

I bet after 1-5 it was much lower.   We get in, anything can happen

[Stephen]

Don't  tell us the odds lol

[Creekside]

Right now it's possible that the Colts could host the AFC championship game against the Chiefs, Chargers, Steelers, or Ravens . That would be fun.

[LockeDown]

All we needed was 1%.  So now we have a 2% cushion. 

[coltsfanej]

29 minutes ago, jvan1973 said:

I bet after 1-5 it was much lower.   We get in, anything can happen

yea our odds have increased exponentially since then. Maybe more than anyones. And with a win tomorrow I'd say we'd be more at a 6-10% chance. 

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

All you need is a chance. I know it’s not likely but stranger things have happened. Win tomorrow night and we have that chance.

[Superman]

I was gonna say 4% because I'm a shameless homer. 

[LJpalmbeacher2]

There isn't any team this year resembling a 'Super Team/Powerhouse' type of team that looks nearly unbeatable.

 

So any team making the playoff tournament has a legitimate chance of winning the SB.

 

[horseshoecrabs]

 I would say,  we have almost as much chance as  Notre Dame beating Clemson, or Oklahoma 

beating Alabama.  But really, let's at least beat the Titans, to have at least a shot. 

[coming on strong]

nobody scares me in the afc at all. tom brady looks like manning did his last year he is horrible this year . the pats defense is not that good at all and they have no wrs .  the chiefs defense is so bad they give up 30 points a game they are like the old colts with peyton not built for the playoffs and its mahomes first year starting .  the texans are injured and do not have a strong passing game . phillip rivers is a choker and the ravens are gimmicky look at lamars numbers throwing they are winning because of scheme teams are gonna catch up .

 

now the nfc is tough and that worries me .

[NorthernBlue]

1 minute ago, coming on strong said:

nobody scares me in the afc at all. tom brady looks like manning did his last year he is horrible this year . the pats defense is not that good at all and they have no wrs .  the chiefs defense is so bad they give up 30 points a game they are like the old colts with peyton not built for the playoffs and its mahomes first year starting .  the texans are injured and do not have a strong passing game . phillip rivers is a choker and the ravens are gimmicky look at lamars numbers throwing they are winning because of scheme teams are gonna catch up .

  

now the nfc is tough and that worries me .

Manning's numbers his last year: 9 games played, 9 TDs, 17 ints, 2249 yards completion

Brady's numbers this year: 15 games played, 25 TDs, 11 ints, 4105 yards, 65% completion

 

There are 4 AFC QBs I'd say that are playing better than him right now (Mahomes, Luck, Ben, Rivers). Brady doesn't look as good as he usually does (i.e. a top 5 QB), but he's still playing well, and is still the Pats best player by far. He's far from horrible

[Colts1324]

Yeah, playoff Brady is somebody I don’t prefer to play. This year is our best chance to break that streak he has against Luck tho. 

[ManningGM]

2 hours ago, coming on strong said:

nobody scares me in the afc at all. tom brady looks like manning did his last year he is horrible this year . the pats defense is not that good at all and they have no wrs .  the chiefs defense is so bad they give up 30 points a game they are like the old colts with peyton not built for the playoffs and its mahomes first year starting .  the texans are injured and do not have a strong passing game . phillip rivers is a choker and the ravens are gimmicky look at lamars numbers throwing they are winning because of scheme teams are gonna catch up .

 

now the nfc is tough and that worries me .

I have a strange feeling we're gonna upset the Chiefs similar to how the 2005 Steelers upset us in the divisional. 

[MikeCurtis]

6 hours ago, LJpalmbeacher2 said:

There isn't any team this year resembling a 'Super Team/Powerhouse' type of team that looks nearly unbeatable.

 

So any team making the playoff tournament has a legitimate chance of winning the SB.

 

I think that this is the post of the day

 

IF we make it in.........Look at the AFC teams

 

NE........ has been winning, but is beatable, lost 2 of last 3 games

KC........ has been winning, but is beatable, lost 2 of last 3 games

LA Chargers....... has been winning, but is beatable, lost 1 of last 3 games.

in the last 4 games, the 3 that they won.... the total point differential is only NINE points

They won....... but it was VERY close

Balt Ravens, has been winning, but is beatable, lost 1 of last 3 games.

 

If we get in we COULD beat any one of them....... 

 

We are playing good defense, and our QB is peaking........  

 

 

Lets get in.... then see what happens 

 

 

[rockywoj]

Back in the spring, in Vegas I put down a $40 SB bet at 100:1.  So I am just thrilled that my $40 for $4,000 ticket is still alive.  Go Colts!

[smittywerb]

I'm going to sit this one out.  I had us at best going 8-8 and realistically going 6-10.  So obviously my prediction was off. lol

[2006Coltsbestever]

Have to see what happens tonight first. If we lose the season is over. If we win tonight 3% seems a little small but I guess it's better than 0% . 

[2006Coltsbestever]

35 minutes ago, rockywoj said:

Back in the spring, in Vegas I put down a $40 SB bet at 100:1.  So I am just thrilled that my $40 for $4,000 ticket is still alive.  Go Colts!

That is a good bet because if you lose you do not lose much, if you win you win big. I had us 9-7 before the season started, wish I would've bet the over for wins as Vegas had us at 7.5.

[Luck is Good]

If the Colts make the postseason, they’re a dangerous team. We’ve seen this story before with other teams

[SteelCityColt]

I’ll revisit this if we win later, I refuse to jinx it.

[Hammer]

2 hours ago, rockywoj said:

Back in the spring, in Vegas I put down a $40 SB bet at 100:1.  So I am just thrilled that my $40 for $4,000 ticket is still alive.  Go Colts!

When we were 1-5, I put $20.00 on the Colts to win the SB at 350-1. They're offering a little money to cash out. Not happening because if we win tonight, that offer will go way up, I'm sure.

 

[our_dbs_rock]

[Hammer]

2 hours ago, 2006Coltsbestever said:

That is a good bet because if you lose you do not lose much, if you win you win big. I had us 9-7 before the season started, wish I would've bet the over for wins as Vegas had us at 7.5.

 

 I did bet the over at 6.5 

 

[Chrisaaron1023]

I bet them chances go up. If the Texans lose first.. then we win lol

[csmopar]

Let’s just beat the titans today. That’s all I care about. Most anxious I’ve been for a Colts game in 4 years!