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Brissett Extended (Merge)


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16 minutes ago, stitches said:

 

 

 it shows less confidence in what Brissett is

 

In my opinion you are reading too much into it.

 

This was first and foremost about paying Brissett for services this year. .... The Colts could not promote the man to general and pay him like a private.

 

Secondly, it secures Brissett's services beyond 5 months from now so they don't have to spend this year figuring out what they are going to do.

 

Like you yourself said, why sign him now to a long term expensive contract when they don't have to? ...........

 

Now they have a comfortable cushion and if Brissett meets or exceeds their expectations, they can lock him up long term next year without engaging in a bidding war with the rest of the league. 

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16 minutes ago, shastamasta said:

 

Still a bit under I believe.

 

$125,278,007 ($167M salary cap)

$144,842,359 ($177.8M salary cap)

$172,421,390 ($188.2M salary cap)

 

$442,541,756 + $20M for Brissett + $9M for Hoyer = $471,541,756

 

$471,541,756 / $533,000,000 = 88.4% 

 

They still have about $8M in cash spend to be at 90%...plus 90% of next year's cap of course.

 

 

 

 

Yeah, I knew we were close.  Is that counting Luck's cap hit? That's the other reason the Colts didn't go to arbitration and let Luck keep it, it would have come off the books most likely.

5 minutes ago, Jared Cisneros said:

With Luck's retirement, Ballard fixed the QB situation the best he could. I think we'll get 7-8 wins this year. As many have said, Brissett has a nice team around him.

Agreed, on both parts.  We hit 8/8 with what has happened, i'll be happy. I think with a top 15 pick and the draft capital we have, a trade up into the top 5 isn't out of the question

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35 minutes ago, stitches said:

With the risk of putting my foot in my mouth once again(since my prediction in the other thread seem rendered obsolete now), I guess Ballard doesn't exclude Jacoby being a bridge QB for us. It's practically a prove it/lets wait and see/bridge to new QB deal. It is short, basically a 1 year franchise tag year) tagged onto his current cheap 1 year he has left from his rookie contract. 

 

I don't mind it, but IMO it shows less confidence in what Brissett is, than I personally assumed they have having in mind the way they hype him in the media. It's good business IMO and relatively proportionate level of confidence in Jacoby for what he's shown in the league. 

 

I think Brissett is definitely the bridge QB for this year and next. I can't even think of a scenario where they part ways after this year. If they get someone they like in the draft...Hoyer would be the one to go.

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When the deal initially broke as a 2 year extension, I loved it. But since it only adds one year of service but adds $28 mil I'm not as crazy about it. Still it makes sense to give him a bump in pay and have him locked in. We have a ton of cap space so it's not like it hurts us to give him a bunch of money this year anyway, but I really loved the idea of having him 2 additional years at that price. 

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12 hours ago, aaron11 said:

 

JB really hasnt done much either.   a few months ago everyone was saying hes not good enough to get much in a trade.

 

now hes the savior though...

Truth is, (and I'm on the Jacoby train), nobody knows for sure how he'll do,  thus making the anticipation for some of us that more exciting.  I guess we'll just have to wait and see!!

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3 minutes ago, csmopar said:

Yeah, I knew we were close.  Is that counting Luck's cap hit? That's the other reason the Colts didn't go to arbitration and let Luck keep it, it would have come off the books most likely.

Agreed, on both parts.  We hit 8/8 with what has happened, i'll be happy. I think with a top 15 pick and the draft capital we have, a trade up into the top 5 isn't out of the question

 

Pretty sure Luck's signing bonus was counted as cash back when he signed the deal.

 

Roster bonuses...on the other hand...I think do count each as cash spend in that year. So to your point...they stood nothing to gain by taking back $12M in cash from Luck...since they aren't likely to spend it anyways and the optics would look bad.

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This is probably a smart deal.  If JB plays well and the Colts want to hang onto him long term, without an extension he has zero reason to not to either force the Colts to use the franchise tag or test the open market.  

 

Colts arn't tied to him long term either way and knowing Ballard almost all the guaranteed money is probably up front so if they decide to move on from him, he can be cut without much cost.  

 

It also psychologically helps his confidence because the team just put a big vote of confidence in him.  

 

Even if he isn't our guy long term, if we drafted a QB to start we would have JB on contract for that QB's rookie year to give him time to learn. 

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6 minutes ago, coltsfanej said:

When the deal initially broke as a 2 year extension, I loved it. But since it only adds one year of service but adds $28 mil I'm not as crazy about it. Still it makes sense to give him a bump in pay and have him locked in. We have a ton of cap space so it's not like it hurts us to give him a bunch of money this year anyway, but I really loved the idea of having him 2 additional years at that price. 

 

That's pretty much where I have been...not much gained by doing this now...at least from a contract value standpoint. Makes a ton of sense for Brissett though...pretty crazy that he was a back up two weeks ago and now has a contract extension for $28M more. I hope he sends Luck a Christmas card every year.

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11 minutes ago, csmopar said:

Who's Swag?

 

Chad Kelly a nickname he sort of gave himself.  

 

The biggest knock on him was immaturity.  

 

I read a rumor that during draft interviews when asked why he would be a successful NFL QB he responded because he has swag.  

 

 

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10 minutes ago, coltsfanej said:

When the deal initially broke as a 2 year extension, I loved it. But since it only adds one year of service but adds $28 mil I'm not as crazy about it. Still it makes sense to give him a bump in pay and have him locked in. We have a ton of cap space so it's not like it hurts us to give him a bunch of money this year anyway, but I really loved the idea of having him 2 additional years at that price. 

I agree.   I think it also builds on the good will the team and Brissett share.   If Brissett ends up being a top 10 QB for this team, signing him after 2020 shouldn't be as difficult.  

Using the cap space this season is a smart move.

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Sounds a bit steep for a back up forced to start. I'm not sold on Brissett at all but for the sake of our team wish him the best. 

2 minutes ago, Valpo2004 said:

 

Chad Kelly a nickname he sort of gave himself.  

 

The biggest knock on him was immaturity.  

 

I read a rumor that during draft interviews when asked why he would be a successful NFL QB he responded because he has swag.  

 

 

That's a real * bag move. Hope he grows out of that crap. 

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8 minutes ago, NewEra said:

Sounds a bit steep for a back up forced to start. I'm not sold on Brissett at all but for the sake of our team wish him the best. 

That's a real * move. Hope he grows out of that crap. 

It sounds like he has.  Plus, his work ethic speaks for itself. First one in the door, first one on the practice field and last to leave, every day. You don't do that if you're immature.

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30 million to Jacoby just because Luck retired.  he would have been lucky to get that if he left as a free agent

 

the money doesnt even matter much with this cap space we have, what im not crazy about is its a big commitment to JB and we dont even know if hes any good.

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1 minute ago, aaron11 said:

30 million to Jacoby just because Luck retired.  he would have been lucky to get that if he left as a free agent

 

the money doesnt even matter much with this cap space we have, what im not crazy about is its a big commitment to JB and we dont even know if hes any good.

that was my initial thought but really, its not.  The cap hit is barely any to cut him next year if he flops. and nearly nothing for year 3.

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1 minute ago, aaron11 said:

 

 

the money doesnt even matter much with this cap space we have, what im not crazy about is its a big commitment to JB and we dont even know if hes any good.

But it is NOT a big commitment.   With the cap space we had this year, like you said, it is a non factor.   So we are not in bad shape even if we cut him after the season.   

In my opinion, the worst case scenario:

Brisset doesn't play great.   Colts go a different direction for next season and Brissett is relegated to the back up role again.  Thus giving us a good backup for 2020.  

 

2 minutes ago, csmopar said:

that was my initial thought but really, its not.  The cap hit is barely any to cut him next year if he flops. and nearly nothing for year 3.

I thought it was only a 2 year deal.   I don't think we have him past 2020.

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1 minute ago, csmopar said:

that was my initial thought but really, its not.  The cap hit is barely any to cut him next year if he flops. and nearly nothing for year 3.

i suppose thats true, if he really stinks it up they will cut ties.  it will get interesting if hes mediocre though.  i dont think hes going to suck either but that theres a good chance hes meh 

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2 minutes ago, Myles said:

But it is NOT a big commitment.   With the cap space we had this year, like you said, it is a non factor.   So we are not in bad shape even if we cut him after the season.   

In my opinion, the worst case scenario:

Brisset doesn't play great.   Colts go a different direction for next season and Brissett is relegated to the back up role again.  Thus giving us a good backup for 2020.  

 

I thought it was only a 2 year deal.   I don't think we have him past 2020.

I thought the extension was 2 years ontop of this year? Either way, its still essentially a 1 year prove it deal

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Just now, csmopar said:

I thought the extension was 2 years ontop of this year? 

That's what I thought at first, then I seen this:

 

Brissett was in the final year of his four-year, $3.41 million rookie deal that included a 2019 base salary of $2 million. The new two-year deal replaces his rookie contract and runs through the 2020 season.

https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/27523507/source-colts-qb-brissett-agree-30m-deal

 

I wish they would not call it an extension because I always think of that as additional on the current deal.   

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16 hours ago, NorthernBlue said:

Can you explain why you think this way? What part of Jacoby's game does it seem like he is an average Quarterback?

 

You might be right, but me personally, I see the perfect frame, a strong arm, good mobility and incredible toughness in him. The questions for me are with his touch on short throws and accuracy on intermidiate ones. If he can answer those two questions, I think we'll be fine at QB.

 

Also, the Browns of 4 years ago would have LOVED an average QB haha 

I don't know if this was answered.  But, for me, the reason I don't think Jacoby is a long term answer is because he cannot handle pressure... and not just the pressure of a pass rush, but situational pressure.  I agree the Colts team now is better than the Colts team in 2017 but even in 2017, with a bad team Brissett had the lead 8 times heading into the 4th quarter and 7 times the Colts lost the game and that was in large part because Jacoby did not complete a 3rd down pass to keep a drive alive, or he threw an INT (he only threw 7 INTs but 5 of them where in the 4th quarter or OT and 5 were when the game was ties or the Colts were trailing).  So, he doesn't play his best when the game is on the line.

 

Now, I will fully admit, it's possible he has gotten better in that category, that is what this season will show us.  I think the current Colts team is good enough for an 8-8 or maybe even a 9-7 record.  I think if the Colts had an elite QB then 11-13 wins would have been not only possible but a disappointment if not achieved.

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With Brissett as our starting QB, at best, this is a 6 win team. I have no idea where all of this false optimism is coming from. Last time we saw Jacoby play, only two years ago, he sucked. I'm not buying this narrative of how Jacoby is all of a sudden an above average NFL QB. 

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4 minutes ago, Coffeedrinker said:

I don't know if this was answered.  But, for me, the reason I don't think Jacoby is a long term answer is because he cannot handle pressure... and not just the pressure of a pass rush, but situational pressure.  I agree the Colts team now is better than the Colts team in 2017 but even in 2017, with a bad team Brissett had the lead 8 times heading into the 4th quarter and 7 times the Colts lost the game and that was in large part because Jacoby did not complete a 3rd down pass to keep a drive alive, or he threw an INT (he only threw 7 INTs but 5 of them where in the 4th quarter or OT and 5 were when the game was ties or the Colts were trailing).  So, he doesn't play his best when the game is on the line.

 

Now, I will fully admit, it's possible he has gotten better in that category, that is what this season will show us.  I think the current Colts team is good enough for an 8-8 or maybe even a 9-7 record.  I think if the Colts had an elite QB then 11-13 wins would have been not only possible but a disappointment if not achieved.

He lost a lot of those leads because of bad coaching. Chuck was so predictable. If there was three receivers on the field we threw it. If there was two receivers we ran it. Chuck was a very bad coach.

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7 hours ago, shastamasta said:

 

Na...$28M for one year is absolutely a good amount of money for an unproven player who was a back up two weeks ago. That's more than the franchise tag for QBs this past year. 

 

The intangible stuff...is subjective...and quite frankly overblown at times. Besides, they have done nothing but give JB a vote of confidence all season by commiting to him as the starter this year...that message was already there. If $28M in the bank makes him take his game to an not-yet-seen level...then awesome...but we know that's not really how it works.

 

Ultimately it's not my money...so I don't really care...I am just arguing over the merits of the deal. I hope JB proves me wrong...especially about whether he can be a legit NFL QB and win games. 

 

  Jacoby already showed us in 2017 he can be a legit NFL QB.
 Anyone that believes he hasn't improved his knowledge and abilities since is just Out There.
Ballard said he thought he was a top 20 QB now. Maybe that is his ceiling, maybe not. It is ok to be wrong. And ok to say Show me.

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12 minutes ago, Coffeedrinker said:

I don't know if this was answered.  But, for me, the reason I don't think Jacoby is a long term answer is because he cannot handle pressure... and not just the pressure of a pass rush, but situational pressure.  I agree the Colts team now is better than the Colts team in 2017 but even in 2017, with a bad team Brissett had the lead 8 times heading into the 4th quarter and 7 times the Colts lost the game and that was in large part because Jacoby did not complete a 3rd down pass to keep a drive alive, or he threw an INT (he only threw 7 INTs but 5 of them where in the 4th quarter or OT and 5 were when the game was ties or the Colts were trailing).  So, he doesn't play his best when the game is on the line.

 

Now, I will fully admit, it's possible he has gotten better in that category, that is what this season will show us.  I think the current Colts team is good enough for an 8-8 or maybe even a 9-7 record.  I think if the Colts had an elite QB then 11-13 wins would have been not only possible but a disappointment if not achieved.

 

I think you have to give him a chance to see. 

 

That 2017 team was essentially the same one that Andrew Luck with 3 and a half years of starting experience went 8-8 with the year before.  And Luck played well but it was just a flat out bad team.  That was after the leftovers from the Polian era had retired but Grigson's draft picks and free agents where not doing diddly.  

 

Jacoby took over that team without the chance to learn the playbook or practice with the 1's and had like 1 game of starting experience with the Pats and was in his 2nd year in the NFL.  There arn't many more things he could have had stacked against him.

 

He's now got a much better team around him, better coaching, he's practiced with the 1's and learned the playbook and has a full years starting experience.  

 

I'm not saying he's going to be the answer or anything but the situations are so night and day different that I don't think it's fair to just write him off just yet.   

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4 minutes ago, Pacergeek said:

With Brissett as our starting QB, at best, this is a 6 win team. I have no idea where all of this false optimism is coming from. Last time we saw Jacoby play, only two years ago, he sucked. I'm not buying this narrative of how Jacoby is all of a sudden an above average NFL QB. 

We aren’t just one player. We have a ton of play makers. We are fast and have a ton of weapons. We should have a very good oline again. Darius Leonard didn’t forget how to strip the ball or tackle. Houston hasn’t forgot how to sak the QB. Ty Is still fast and can catch. Doyle made the pro bowl with JB. Let’s see we add Cain and Campbell. Two pro bowl TE. We have a lot of exciting players.

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3 minutes ago, Pacergeek said:

With Brissett as our starting QB, at best, this is a 6 win team. I have no idea where all of this false optimism is coming from. Last time we saw Jacoby play, only two years ago, he sucked. I'm not buying this narrative of how Jacoby is all of a sudden an above average NFL QB. 

No he didn't.   He actually played well under the circumstances.   A crappy team with no O-line and Brissett coming to the team right before the start of the season.  

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6 minutes ago, Pacergeek said:

With Brissett as our starting QB, at best, this is a 6 win team. I have no idea where all of this false optimism is coming from. Last time we saw Jacoby play, only two years ago, he sucked. I'm not buying this narrative of how Jacoby is all of a sudden an above average NFL QB. 

Again when do we ever listen to you?

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8 minutes ago, Chloe6124 said:

He lost a lot of those leads because of bad coaching. Chuck was so predictable. If there was three receivers on the field we threw it. If there was two receivers we ran it. Chuck was a very bad coach.

Pagano was predictable and not a good coach, but that is not the only reason the Colts lost those games. 

 

In the first half of games, Brisset completed over 61% of his passes for 1521 yards with 8 TDs/2Ints 79 First downs and 27 sacks for a QB rating of 90.8.  All very respectable numbers.

 

In the 2nd half/OT Brissett completed 57% of his passes for 1577 yards with 5 TDs/5Ints 67 first downs and 24 sacks for a QB rating of 77.4.  Well below mediocre numbers.

 

It's not like the Colts switched coaches at half time.  Jacoby was not as good with the game on the line.  Until he proves otherwise expectation for him this year.

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18 minutes ago, Myles said:

That's what I thought at first, then I seen this:

 

Brissett was in the final year of his four-year, $3.41 million rookie deal that included a 2019 base salary of $2 million. The new two-year deal replaces his rookie contract and runs through the 2020 season.

https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/27523507/source-colts-qb-brissett-agree-30m-deal

 

I wish they would not call it an extension because I always think of that as additional on the current deal.   

thanks, 

7 minutes ago, Pacergeek said:

With Brissett as our starting QB, at best, this is a 6 win team. I have no idea where all of this false optimism is coming from. Last time we saw Jacoby play, only two years ago, he sucked. I'm not buying this narrative of how Jacoby is all of a sudden an above average NFL QB. 

Nice to see you again, I love how the naysaying trolls always seem to come out in times like these. Anyone wanna take bets on how many wins it'll take before the trolls disappear again? 9? 10?

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8 minutes ago, Valpo2004 said:

 

I think you have to give him a chance to see.

I fully intend to although let's be honest, he is the starter whether I give him a chance or not :)

 

8 minutes ago, Valpo2004 said:

 

 

That 2017 team was essentially the same one that Andrew Luck with 3 and a half years of starting experience went 8-8 with the year before.  And Luck played well but it was just a flat out bad team.  That was after the leftovers from the Polian era had retired but Grigson's draft picks and free agents where not doing diddly.  

I think I acknowledge that the current Colts team is better, that is why I think they are an 8-8 or 9-7 team.  But like I said, I think with an elite QB the Colts are an 11-13 win team.

8 minutes ago, Valpo2004 said:

 

Jacoby took over that team without the chance to learn the playbook or practice with the 1's and had like 1 game of starting experience with the Pats and was in his 2nd year in the NFL.  There arn't many more things he could have had stacked against him.

All true.  Even with that though, he had the lead heading into the 4th quarter 8 times and lost it 7 times.

8 minutes ago, Valpo2004 said:

 

He's now got a much better team around him, better coaching, he's practiced with the 1's and learned the playbook and has a full years starting experience.  

All true, it's why I think the Colts are now an 8 or 9 win team.

8 minutes ago, Valpo2004 said:

 

I'm not saying he's going to be the answer or anything but the situations are so night and day different that I don't think it's fair to just write him off just yet.   

You quoted me, so I assume this is directed at me, I'm not writing him off, I just don't think he's an elite QB.

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15 minutes ago, throwing BBZ said:

 

  Jacoby already showed us in 2017 he can be a legit NFL QB.
 Anyone that believes he hasn't improved his knowledge and abilities since is just Out There.
Ballard said he thought he was a top 20 QB now. Maybe that is his ceiling, maybe not. It is ok to be wrong. And ok to say Show me.

 

I wouldn't say he can be a legit NFL QB either.  His play in 2017 was not what you want out of your starter.  I wasn't terrible but you want better. 

 

But as I pointed out the situations are so different that it's also unfair to write Jacoby off because of how much he had stacked against him.

 

Lets also not forget that the Jets last year probably had a better team than the 2017 Colts and their QB had a full training camp of practicing with the 1's and learning the playbook.  The Jets went 4-12 that year and they are considering Darnold their franchise QB.  

 

In fact Darnold's stats last year where much worse than 2017 Jacoby Brissett's with much much more stacked against him.

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45 minutes ago, shastamasta said:

 

Pretty sure Luck's signing bonus was counted as cash back when he signed the deal.

 

Roster bonuses...on the other hand...I think do count each as cash spend in that year. So to your point...they stood nothing to gain by taking back $12M in cash from Luck...since they aren't likely to spend it anyways and the optics would look bad.

 

 The optics would have looked Great. He quit, he didn't deserve it.
 The ONLY reason to let him walk away with it was so he couldn't sign with whoever he wanted. He could have sat on his Hawaii beach for this season, got rested up and healthy, the signed a new deal for Another $100M guaranteed at $35+ M a year. Don't think his agent didn't have this in mind.
 I mean some would say we had him locked up for 3 years at a Huge discount.
Wait and see him come back Only if the $$$ is renegotiated!
 Having another $12M in cash laying around for team building actually is Real $$$.

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7 minutes ago, Coffeedrinker said:

I fully intend to although let's be honest, he is the starter whether I give him a chance or not :)

 

I think I acknowledge that the current Colts team is better, that is why I think they are an 8-8 or 9-7 team.  But like I said, I think with an elite QB the Colts are an 11-13 win team.

All true.  Even with that though, he had the lead heading into the 4th quarter 8 times and lost it 7 times.

All true, it's why I think the Colts are now an 8 or 9 win team.

You quoted me, so I assume this is directed at me, I'm not writing him off, I just don't think he's an elite QB.

 

No you are probably right about that, he's not a top 5 QB.  

 

You don't need a top 5 QB to win the SB.  

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1 minute ago, Valpo2004 said:

 

No you are probably right about that, he's not a top 5 QB.  

 

You don't need a top 5 QB to win the SB.  

Agree and disagree.  A team doesn't need a top 5 QB to win a SB but a QB needs to play like a top Qb for at least one year to do it.  If you look at even when tampa and Baltimore won their SBs, Dilfer and Johnson had career years that year.

 

Additionally, I don't think the Colts are quite good enough as a team to carry a QB outside of even the top 10 to a SB.

 

Like I stated many times on this forum... I very well could be wrong, this is just my opinion based on the information I have right now.  But unlike so many, I am going to enjoy the season no matter what.  I enjoy things more when the Colts win, but either way, I will enjoy the entire season.

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17 minutes ago, Coffeedrinker said:

Pagano was predictable and not a good coach, but that is not the only reason the Colts lost those games. 

 

In the first half of games, Brisset completed over 61% of his passes for 1521 yards with 8 TDs/2Ints 79 First downs and 27 sacks for a QB rating of 90.8.  All very respectable numbers.

 

In the 2nd half/OT Brissett completed 57% of his passes for 1577 yards with 5 TDs/5Ints 67 first downs and 24 sacks for a QB rating of 77.4.  Well below mediocre numbers.

 

It's not like the Colts switched coaches at half time.  Jacoby was not as good with the game on the line.  Until he proves otherwise expectation for him this year.

The bad coaching of Pagano still factored into it.   While other teams made haftime adjustments, the Colts came out with the same game plan and it showed.  

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    • The Colts have a long list of upcoming 2025 Free Agents:   Colts 2025 Free Agents: OC Ryan Kelly SS Julian Blackmon TE Mo Alie-Cox DT Taven Bryan RG Will Fries 8m SLB Ronnie Harrison 2.4m Edge Dayo Odeyingbo 6m WLB EJ Speed TE Kylen Granson 5m QB Joe Flacco TE Eric Tomlinson WR Ashton Dulin OC Danny Pinter Edge Genard Avery CB Dallis Flowers – RFA Round 1 tender 6.945m / Round 2 tender 4.978m CB Darrell Baker Jr. RFA LG Wesley French RFA QB Sam Ehlinger RB Trey Sermon RG Jack Anderson WR Juwann Winfree WR Tyrie Cleveland WR DJ Montgomery RFA MLB Segun Olubi ERFA 960k / worth 1.4m CB Chris Lammons LG Arlington Hambright RFA – cut RT Lewis Kidd ERFA 960k LB Grant Stuard – cut RB Tyler Goodson ERFA 960k LG Josh Sills RFA – cut LB/Edge Isaiah Land ERFA – 960k resign SLB Cameron McGrone ERFA – cut DB Trevor Denbow ERFA – 960k resign WR Ethan Fernea ERFA -960k? CB Marcel Dabo ERFA – 840k? WLB Austin Ajake ERFA – 840k? FS Kendell Brooks ERFA – 840k? SLB Liam Anderson ERFA – 840k? WR Zavier Scott ERFA – 840k? TE Jordan Murray ERFA – 840k? WR Michael Tutsie ERFA – 840k?   Of the above really like to see the Colts resign Ronnie Harrison, Dayo Odeyingbo, Kylen Granson, Dallis Flowers, and Segun Olubi.  In order to free up cap space it wouldn't shock me to see Braden Smith traded.  Not ideal but only way at this point in time to see freeing up available cap space.  Would love to add OC Connor Williams who is still a free agent but suffered an ACL injury late in 2023.  Before his injury Williams ranked as the 3rd best OL in 2023 in zone-heavy scheme.  Recoding a league best 92.4 run-blocking grade on zone concepts and equally impressive in pass protection allowing just six pressures on 280 pass sets.    No doubt the Colts love speed on their offense.  Jonathan Taylor was recently listed as one of the fastest players in the NFL last season.  Then the Colts drafted Anthony Gould who in 2023 Week 3 hit a top speed of 21.6 mph.  As UDFAs the Colts then brought in NC State Trent Pennix who in Week 6 clocked the fastest time by a TE at 20.6 MPH but also is a capable RB.  Colts also added QB Jason Bean (Kansas) who in Week 9 clocked an impressive 22.4 mph T5 fastest player in 2023.   Mock Draft   Round 1 WLB Harold Perkins Jr. (LSU) - As a true freshman led all LBs in Power 5 with a 91.0 pass-rush grade and second among all LBs in the country with 18 QB knockdowns (sacks/hits) and tied for second in the country with 4 *.  In 2023 as a true off-ball LB he struggled as a run defender but flashed in coverage, 81.1 coverage grade.  At the end of 2023 now recorded 27 TFLs and 13 sacks with 7 forced fumbles.  Made 2022 college football all-America Freshman Team.  In 2022 his 87.6 pass-rush grade by true freshman is 3rd best since the 2014 era, behind (Rueben Bain Jr-2023 and Myles Garrett-2014).  2022 PFF TOW 11 honors.  Like JOK, Perkins has a chance to win the Butkus Award.  Both JOK and Perkins have similar builds and ran a 4.42s-forty.  Do expect Perkins’ stats to dip if he does move to MLB and probably drop him to Round 2 grades much like Edgerrin Cooper in 2024 Draft Class.  Quick to drop into zone and covers enough ground to be Tampa-2 MIKE but some feel better suited as a WLB maximize range/speed.  Expecting Shaquille ‘Darius’ Leonard 2018-2021 vibes along with JOKs 2021-2023 production traits.  Both were drafted in Round 2 but should been first rounders.  Perkins replaces EJ Speed.   Round 2 Edge/RDE Elijah Alston (Miami) –Alston was an All-Sun Belt selection in 2023.  In 2023 he had a 91.0 overall grade and 90.5 pass-rushing grade based on 235 pass rush snaped while at Marshal Alston also racked up 36 QB pressures, 5 sacks plus 24 defensive stops during this period.  By mid-November Alston was ranked 4th best (Marshawn Kneeland was #3) Edge behind #1 Latu whom the Colts selected in Round 1.   2023 College Football All-Sun Belt Team.  Looking forward to the Cal game and how he does against RB Jaydn Ott, RT Victor Stoffel, and LG Rush Reimer.  Duke’s new RT Micah Sahakian matchup is another one would like to see.  RB Quinton Cooley (Wake Forest) who transferred from Liberty and earned 2023 College Football All-CUSA Team is another key matchup.  Finally, TE/WR Oronde Gadsden II of Syracuse could test his coverage skills.  The Colts done well and am looking forward to seeing Paye/Latu tandem then creating another one with Odeyingbo and Alston.  Ebukam will be a FA after 2025 but could be cut/traded save cap space.  Close build to Ebukam and Leo with 2” taller than Avery with Avery an upcoming FA and no guarantee we can resign Odeyingbo with the minimal cap space currently projected.   Round 3 LT J.C. Davis (Illinois) - The New Mexico Lobos ran a zone-scheme concept 318 times in 2023 and Davis was on the field for 316 of those snaps where he helped the team earn a 91.5 rushing grade with 58 explosive runs.  Davis is well-rounded earning a 78.6 inside-zone run grade and a 78.4 outside-zone run grade.  See how well Davis does after transferring the Big 10 this season.  Overall, 82.4 run-blocking grade in 2023.  Comparison Illinois Isaiah Adams was drafted #71 by Arizona and was ranked 8th best zone OL in 2023 and Davis was 5th best.  In 2022 Davis earned a 66.8 overall PFF grade and in 2023 had an 87.1 pass-blocking grade.  If the Colts do trade/cap release Braden Smith than Davis is a high target to hopefully take early to replace him.   Round 4 TE Jalin Conyers (Texas Tech) - In 2022 Conyers forced 21 missed tackles which led all TEs in the country.  Plus, ranked 4th in receiving yards after contact (170).  As a redshirt freshman in 2021 had a 73.5 pass-blocking grade while playing at Arizona State.  Conyers can be elusive with the ball in his hands.  In his first season was used heavily as a run-blocker (2021) and excelled as a blocker ranking him 4th in the Pac-12.  Back in August 2023 Rick Spielman said he may be the best run-blocking TE in the class behind Cade Stover.  Considered a true Y TE efficient at run-blocking and can catch with run-after ability.  Spielman said last year would have had a Late Day 2 grade, while Ryan Wilson says Rounds 3-4.  Potential to be a red zone monster in the NFL if he continues to grow his game.  Last year Round 4 was where tight ends were drafted and expect the same again in 2025.  Replaces Mo Alie-Cox.   Round 5 Edge/RDE Anton Juncaj (Arkansas) – 2023 College Football FCS All-America Team while at Albany.  2022 PFF grade of 75.1.  2023 final defense grade of 91.3, run defense 87.4, pass rush 90.6 and 68.5 coverage grade and racked up 55 tackles (34 solo), 21.5 TFL, 15 sacks, 3 PD and forced 5 fumbles.  Key matchups against RB Ollie Gordon II (Oklahoma St) the Reigning Doak Walker Award Winner from 2023 and projected first rounder LT Kelvin Banks Jr (Texas).   Round 6 Rover/SLB-SAF Justin Barron (Syracuse) - 2023 College Football All-ACC Team.  Defensive Captain. 6’4” 231 pounds had 0.5 sacks, 3 *, 1 FR, 1 INT, and 8 PDs in 2023 (81.4 PFF grade).  In 2022 had 64 tackles and 5 TFLs.  Reminds me of Jaylon Carlies whom the Colts just drafted in Round 5P151.  Key matchup versus Cal and RB Jayden Ott.  WR Eric Singleton Jr (Georgia Tech), WR Kevin Concepcion (NC State), WR-X Ricky White (UNLV), RB Desmond Reid, TE Justin Joly (UConn).  Solid in zone coverage.   Round 7 SS Mishael Powell Miami (FL) – Powell transferred from Washington.  In Week 8 he clocked 21.0 mph.  In 876 snaps in 2023 Powell played 477 in the slot, 165 in the box, and 122 at FS finishing with a strong 73.9 coverage and 69 defensive grades.   Potential UDFAs ·         QB KJ Jefferson (Arkansas) - 2023 PFF TOW 2 honors ·         R3-UDFA RT Jalen Travis (Iowa State) 6’7” 310 pounds - While at Princeton finished with an overall 80.7 PFF Grade and 9th best OT in D1 (89% pass blocking and 75% run blocking grades). – Much like OT Tyler McLellan (Campbell) signed with Chargers, project to UDFA in 2025.  See how he does at Iowa State against better competition as he graded slightly behind Kiran Amegadjie (Yale) who was drafted in Round 3 P11 by the Bears in 2024 NFL draft.  Listed as backup behind Tyler Miller. ·         LT Adam Karas (Air Force) - After 9 weeks Karas has an 83.9 run-blocking grade and an overall PFF grade of 87.4.  Overall, 86.3 PFF grade with just one penalty and 1 QB hurry on 296 total snaps.  Decent height 6’4” ·         RT Josh Fryar (OSU) - 2023 earned college football midseason all-America Honorable Mention.  Fryar finished 2023 with a 70.8 overall PFF grade.  Great height 6’6”.  Finished with a 70.8 PFF grade.  Gave up a team high 5 sacks but did earn a 77.2 run blocking grade and a 71.2 pass blocking grade. ·         LG Rush Reimer (Cal) – In 2023 Reimer earned first-team All-Big Sky Conference at LG with an overall 75.8 PFF Grade (D1-T8) at Montana State.  See how he does against better CFB competition.  Project goes UDFA much like Jake Kubas (7) (NY Giants), Ross Palmer (3), and (2) Donny Ventrelli (Bears).  Could be the next Mason McCormick (6) drafted by the Steelers P119 in the 2024 NFL draft.  Montana State used a lot of Inside Zone runs.  Cal has Reimer listed as backup LT for 2024. ·         RT/OG Grey Zabel (North Dakota State) 6’6” 296 pounds.  Zabel finished 2023 with an overall 79.3 PFF Grade as an OG.  Finished 10th among other listed tackles last season.  As a guard would have been 4th best D1.  Zabel started all 15 games in 2023 with 3 at guard and 12 at RT. ·         RB Harrison Waylee (Wyoming) – In 2023 clocked 21.8 mph in Week 4 T18 fastest player. ·         RB/KR Lan Larison (UC Davis) finished 2023 tied 7th overall FCS RB with an overall 89.2 PFF Grade (R5) in D1.  On 178 carries rushed for 1101 yards scoring 13 TDS while adding two more through the air on 21 REC for 198 yards.  Larison was the 2023 Big Sky Offensive Player of the Year.  In 2021 averaged 29.91 yards as a kick returner and 21.9 yards in 2022. ·         SWR/RB/KR/PR Chris Tyree (ND) 4.29s-forty speed excellent 3.95s shuttle (HS) and 38” vertical (HS).  In 2023 Week 9 clocked 21.0 mph. ·         WRX/Z Bo Belquist (North Dakota) 2023 overall 88.6 PFF Grade.  For D1 graded out as one of the top 10 WRs behind Hayden Hatten 86.1 whom the Seahawks added as an UDFA. ·         SWR Jacob De Jesus (UNLV) – best PR/KR #3 in PR and #13 in KR.  De Jesus was a top nomination to win the Jet Award in 2023 who was given to Zachariah Branch (USC). ·         WR-X Dymere Miller (Rutgers) – 2023 College Football FCS All-America Team with Monmouth.  Miller finished as the best receiver (D1) in 2023 with a 92.3 PFF grade (only behind Nabers).  Monmouth ran an inside zone with three different concepts in its base A gap zone.  Also pinched in as a kickoff returner with success (13.67 and 12.5 avgs). ·         WR Isaac TeSlaa (Arkansas) – Great Midwest American Conference Offensive Player of the Year in 2022 and received Honorable Mention All-American.  Strengths are ball tracking, hands, athleticism, 50/50 extraordinaire. ·         LEdge Aaron Lewis (Rutgers) - 2022 PFF Weeks 6 and 12 honors.  A disappointing 2023 season compared to 2022 grading 10 points lower.  (75.9 in 2023 compared to 85.5 in 2022).  Poor run-defense grade of 59.8 but was still an elite pass rusher.  His 91.5 pass-rushing grade since 2022 ranks 10th among all FBS edge defenders and his 18.7% pass-rush win rate places 11th in Power Five.  Needs to improve his run game. ·         Jack OLB/RDE Steve Linton (Baylor) – Linton transferred to Baylor from Texas Tech.  Injury prone, in 2023 suffered a broken thumb in August, sprained ankle in Big 12 opener vs West Virginia, aggravated it the following week then missed the last four games of regular season with back problems.  72% tackling, 88% pass rush, 61% run defense, 72% coverage.  Decent 4.62s-forty speed and 6’5” 235 pounds. ·         NCB Yam Banks (Ole’ Miss) - Made 2022 PFF College All-America Second Team while playing at South Alabama.  For 2024 listed as backup.  In 2022 Banks was a first-team All-Sun Belt pick and third team in 2023.  In 45 games, Banks racked up 147 TOT, 7 INT (6 in 2022 T3 in nation). ·         LCB Tommi Hill (Nebraska) – 4.55s forty speed.  In 2023 had an outstanding QB rating when targeted of 38.6.  With another solid year Hill could move up.  ·         FS Saiku White (Lafayette) - In 2023 White moved from SS to FS and had a career year with a final 2023 defense grade 91.4 best for 2nd, pass rush grade 74.4, a 90.7 coverage grade 4th best, and an 80.7 run defense grade 98th.   Team Captain. Achieved a 3.75 GPA in 2023. ·         LS Byron Floyd (PITT) – Floyds 81.7 grade this season leads all FBS LS.  Of his 41 LS on both punts/kicks only one has been charted as off-target.  Does have ties to Colts new DL coach.  Luke Rhodes, age 32, signed a 4-year contract extension on 09/23.  ·         LS Nick Barcelos (Nevada) - 2023 college football midseason all-America Second Team as a long snapper – Luke Rhodes signed a 4-year extension with the Colts September 8th, 2023.
    • FWIW:   Richardson, who was drafted weighing 244, admitted today on the Pat McAfee show that he played last year at 250 and now weighs 255 which is what he expects to weigh this season. 
    • Larry Allen, Hall of Fame OG/OT, passed today. He is arguably the greatest Offensive Linemen of all-time. He could play right or left Guard or Tackle. He won a SB with the Cowboys in 1995. He is also known for having the NFL bench press record, when he benched 700 pounds down to chest and up once. I am shocked this hasn't been bigger news around the league.    RIP big fella.
    • He didn't  have all his weapons  versus ravens. He has more than enough  weapons  now
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