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I went with 6/10. There are things to be excited about for sure. But they are fighting a battle on two fronts...depending on player development and banking on regression not happening. Every team has to do this to an extent, but I feel like the Colts are doing it to an extreme standpoint on both ends, given the secondary and age of the core of the defense. Not to mention a defense that was 28th in ppg the last two years. The offense is less of a concern with Steichen calling plays and a better skill position group than they have had in a while. But it also has the biggest wildcard of all...and that's AR. I think 9 or more wins is a successful season. And if that happens...then my confidence would be up close to an 8 or 9 because that means good things happened.
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Well I have this team pegged at 12 wins so pretty damn high
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By 2006Coltsbestever · Posted
Clark and the Fever take out the Linx to improve to 11-14. Fever are now a game ahead of the Sky for the 7th spot in the playoffs. Only 8 teams get in. The Linx are coached by Cheryl Reeve who is going to coach of the USA Olympic Team. Before the game she was blowing questions off and being rude about Clark not being on the team. Clark got wind of it and Clark took it personal. At the end of the game, Clark was seen clapping in front of Reeve's face, staring her down in front of a sellout crowd at Minnesota in which 75% of the people were Fever fans . Poke the Polar Bear, that is what you get . -
The SOS is a bit skewed in the aggregate by playing a handful of teams with really low win projections. Colts play 6 games against teams with ≤6.5 projected wins (averaging 6 wins/team). Three of them have rookie QBs (DEN, MIN and NE), so it's hard to know what to expect. TEN is also two of those games. And they were competitive against IND last year with Levis...and have made offseason upgrades. They aren't likely to go 6-0 against those teams so I am hoping for 5-1 or 4-2. So what really matters is what happens against the other 11. And those 11 games are against teams with ≥8.5 (averaging 9.5 wins/team). Assuming they get 4-5 wins from the bad teams, they would still need to be 5-7 or better to improve on last year's win totals (and likely make the playoffs). I just think it's a tall order. But as we saw last year, projected wins can be off (from a low and high point), so maybe some of those good teams won't be as good. For me, the relative difference between last year and this year's schedule is the biggest wild card.
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Like I said in a different thread, Paye is the "Erik Walden" of the defense. Nothing flashy, but he does what's asked of him and he does it at a high level
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