My read on the Colts offseason player moves

[Superman]

This has been one of the most eventful offseasons I can remember. Irsay spent a lot of money; Grigson added a lot of players. Most of us expected a lot of activity, but I think the amount of change we've made is surprising. And there's no telling if we're done or not. I thought DHB was the last notable addition, and here we just added Bradshaw.
 
So I've been looking at the moves we made, the contracts given out, the changes to the depth chart, and starting to set expectations in my mind about what we should see out of the team from these moves. I'm also thinking about some concerns that some of us have, and how those might come to fruition. Here are some of my thoughts. 
 
Free agent addition that should make the most immediate impact: LaRon Landry
The Colts have been downright pitiful at strong safety since 2010. Landry can be an intimidating presence, he'll contribute in the box against the run, and he's at least sufficient in the pass game. He'll take pressure off of Bethea, who has been used out of position for the last three years, and I think Landry's presence will make the secondary immediately better. (Honorable mention: Ricky Jean Francois. Has the versatility and experience to really improve our defensive front.)
 
Free agent addition that I'm most concerned about: Gosder Cherilus
The ratings all speak very highly of Cherilus. I wanted to call him my immediate impact guy instead of Landry; he's going to make the offensive line better on Day One, no question. My concern exists purely because of his injury history. Not only did he have microfracture surgery back in 2010, but there were also reports he went to Germany earlier this year for Regenokine therapy (he denied those reports, by the way, but the speculation raises eyebrows). Will he stay healthy for us as he approaches 30? We also gave him the most guaranteed money of any of our acquisitions – $15.5m – so if he doesn't perform at a high level, that's sunk money. (Honorable mention: Greg Toler. Same injury concerns, but not nearly as much money or commitment.)
 
Free agent retention I'm most pleased with: Darius Butler
Butler was one of the highest rated cornerbacks in the league last season. I still wonder why he didn't get more playing time, especially over questionable talent like Cassius Vaughn. We kept Butler, presumably to play the nickelback spot, and on a very modest contract. Our top three cornerbacks are much better on paper this season, and hopefully that will show up on the field. (Honorable mention: Pat McAfee. One of the best punters and kickoff specialists in the league, and I hope we get a long term deal done before the deadline.)
 
Free agent departure that puzzles me: None
It will be hard to see Dwight Freeney in another uniform, but the divorce made plenty of sense for the Colts. I actually think we should have let him go last season, rather than paying him $14m. Alas. I thought we might keep Jerraud Powers, but he hasn't been healthy for us, and adding Greg Toler and keeping Butler made Powers an afterthought. Donnie Avery is the only noteworthy guy we let go, and he's competing for WR4 with the Chiefs (not to mention Darrius Heyward Bey is probably a better option for us).
 
Player I wish we would have signed: Shaun Phillips
Yes, he's 32, and no, he wouldn't have transformed our defense. But I think we still need another proven pass rusher, and he's a good option as a rotational Rush/Sam backer. He went to the Broncos for a measly $1.4m; we tendered Cassius Vaughn for $1.3m. I'd rather have Phillips every day of the week, and twice on Sunday (I made a pun!) (Honorable mention: Aqib Talib. Was on most of our free agent wish lists, and he stayed with the Pats on a one year deal. I'd have done Toler's deal for Talib.)
 
Most exciting draft pick: Montori Hughes
The transformation of our defensive line is well underway. Add the guy we traded up in the draft for, and we ought to have a ridiculous defensive front this season. Hughes has the versatility and athleticism of much heralded guys like Haloti Ngata, and while that's one heck of a comparison, the scouting reports agree. If not for some missteps in college, he likely would have been a much higher draft pick than he was, but hopefully his impact will be felt for the Colts right away. (Honorable mention: Bjoern Werner. First rounders always come with high expectations, and I think Werner is in a great spot to make an impression right away.)
 
Riskiest draft pick: Montori Hughes
I mentioned his college mistakes above. Also risky is the fact that we traded next year's 4^th round pick for the rights to draft him. So if he doesn't pan out, we're out two picks for this kid. I'm not too worried about his character, but Grigson stuck his neck out a little here. (Honorable mention: John Boyett. Probably won't be ready to play at the start of the season, if at all. Only a 6^th rounder, so not a big deal, but we could have added a different player who has a better chance to compete right now. And I don't think Boyett has the potential to significantly upgrade any position like Josh Chapman did last year.)
 
Player I most wish we had drafted: Xavier Rhodes
Surprise! I openly coveted Rhodes for weeks before the draft, and when we were on the clock and he was still there, I thought it was a done deal. Call me a cornerbackite all you want, but his position isn't why I like Rhodes so much. It's simple: I think he's going to be a really good pro for a long time, and he would have made an immediate impact on our team. Sure, there were positions of greater need, and I'm at peace with the Werner pick, but Rhodes was my guy going in. (Honorable mention: Robert Woods. This would have been a trade back, obviously, but I liked Woods as well. I think he's going to be a Day One contributor. Signing DHB made this an unreasonable option for us.)
 
Moves that I think sum up Grigson's approach: Several
Signing Matt Hasselbeck is something that I didn't really expect, but makes a lot of sense. No one expects or wants Hasselbeck to ever step on the field, but having him as an option eases worries about quarterback depth, as he's one of the best backups in the league. And his contributions in the film room and during practice will be significant. Adding Ahmad Bradshaw immediately upgrades our running back stable, and takes pressure off of Vick Ballard to be a bellcow (something I'm not so sure he's ready for yet). Trading for Stanley Havili, and only giving up a player that was unlikely to last past first cuts, is a strong move that promotes the new offensive scheme even more.
 
Projection: The Colts will be a much more complete and balanced team on offense and defense.
The offensive line should be much better, right away. We are better at running back and receiver, and the tight ends should have the benefit of experience. The offensive scheme should lend itself to better efficiency and production. Every unit on defense is better, without question. Another year in the hybrid, and switching Mathis to Rush backer, will pay off tremendously.
 
It's all downhill from here. I can't wait.

[TKnight24]

Ahhh my eyes hurt from reading so much!!! I thought the Mods were supposed to make our forum experience good, not cause us pain???!!! only joking superman, great write up

This off-season has definitely been one to remember even more than last year's. Glad we have a lot of primetime games so the world can see this monster unleashed!!!!

[aliveon2legs]

Good observations.  I agree with almost all of that.  The "Player I most wish we had drafted" is Cordarrelle Patterson, and he was still available, too.  Watch the Youtube highlights of that kid.  He's flat RIDICULOUS.  Take note, fantasy owners.

 

I would add another category; Trade that most puzzles me.  That being the trade of A.Q. Shipley instead of releasing Satele's giant contract.  To me, they played about equal last year, maybe with a slight edge to Shipley.  

 

Satele's cap hits over the next 2 years:

 

3,866,667

5,366,667

 

Shipley's cap hit over the next 2 years:

 

480,000

570,000

 

I also think Gosder was paid way too much.  He literally was received the highest contract any right tackle (at the time of the signing) has ever signed.  The Cowboy's right tackle makes a little more, but at the time he signed that deal he was a left tackle, and they always make more than RT's.  What makes the Gosder contract more puzzling is that Sabastien Vollmer was available.  He is arguably the best RT in the NFL, and signing him would have the added bonus of hurting an AFC rival.

 

Vollmer's cap hit over the next 4 years:

 

3,000,000

3,750,000

5,000,000

5,000,000

 

Gosder's cap hit over the next 5 years:

 

7,500,000

3,000,000

6,000,000

9,000,000

9,000,000

[Carlos Danger]

Great post, man. I really enjoyed reading it... Its a long shot, but I think that Hugh Thornton is going to play his way onto the starting roster and make a huge impact... O-Lineman usually take time to develop, but I have a really good feeling about that kid...

[schwamm]

Quit it Sup. I'm getting too amped, and the season seems like a lifetime away.

[coltsfanatic24]

Great post, i thought for sure we were gonna get Shariff Floyd. After Vikings took him Werner and Rhodes were next on my list. Were fortunate the Vikings did take Floyd because we ended up with Werner and Hughes both positions of need, but both had great value.

[aliveon2legs]

Great post, man. I really enjoyed reading it... Its a long shot, but I think that Hugh Thornton is going to play his way onto the starting roster and make a huge impact... O-Lineman usually take time to develop, but I have a really good feeling about that kid...

 

I don't think it's that much of a long shot.  I would expect to see him starting over McGlynn by mid-season, if not sooner, honestly.

[southwest1]

Nice breakdown Superman. I'm completely with you on Xavier Rhodes. I wanted him. He was available. Take him ASAP. Pull the trigger on this draft pick like yesterday man. Everyone on here knows my take on Bradshaw. Tremendous talent, but multiple foot surgeries still gives me pause. I hope he gives our ground game another dimension.  

 

Shaun Phillips went to Denver for only $1.4 million. That's it? Sigh...Yes, you are right. We do need another pass rusher & he would have fit the bill in INDY nicely. Grigs loves pass rushers too & he astutely believes you can never have enough quality QB killers as Warren Sapp would say. 

 

"It will be hard to see Dwight Freeney in another uniform, but the divorce made plenty of sense for the Colts. I actually think we should have let him go last season, rather than paying him $14m." Yup. I was surprised that their wasn't a bigger fan backlash from cutting ties with #93, after all he is the human tornado on a football field, but I was pleasantly surprised to see fans realize that it was time to go in a different direction there. Letting go of a beloved pass rusher that played in 2 SBs & won one is never easy to do. Good analysis Superman! 

[BOTT]

I don't see a problem with Cherilus getting Regenokine therapy. I see a veteran offensive lineman being proactive in dealing with his knee. If that procedure was allowed in the U.S, NFL players would line up for it.

[southwest1]

Superman, what's your assessment on our Special Teams this year? This unit is crucial in field position game battles pinning our opponents deep & field goals aren't sexy, but a clutch kicker wins a lot of tight games in November & December. Adam's not getting any younger.  Not to mention punt return too. 

[Gavin]

Good write up, I agree with much of what you say except with Hughes being our most exciting draft pick, What little I saw of him he looked strong but not explosive, I also did not see the athleticism many talk about, perhaps I saw the wrong footage? I also have Toler as my most concerning.FA pick up...perhaps questionable is a better word FA acquisition, The reason? He played in 14 games in 2010 starting 13 of those, He only had 9 pass defensed and 2 picks but he did have 2 forced fumbles, Now I dont know how many times he was targeted specifically but I watched both picks 1 he happened to be in the right place at the right time off a pass that should have been caught by Williams which Toler took back for 86 yards for a td, The other 1 however was very good coverage in my opinion(RJF is a very close 2nd in terms of questionable pickups in my opinion given his deal especially of 4 years and 22 million for a guy thats only started 5 games over 5 years  ) I to thought Rhodes name could very well be called when it became evident he was available for our taking but Im happy with the Werner selection, Ill say the FA name we chose to keep that surprised me is Vaughn for obvious reasons . To me and I know most wont agree Boyett was our most risky draft pick because while he is very skilled, Its debatable whether or not he was the best Safety available in my opinion, I was pulling for Brandan Bishop late..... a bigger and in my opinion just as good but not as fast version of Boyett plus Bishop was healthy

[John Dee]

No way in ....   I am reading all that. 

 

Bottom line...  Indy had money and Irsay spent it.     

 

 

Wisely. 

[John Dee]

But more importantly..    Indy is DRAFTING wisely.. 

[NewColtsFan]

 I also have Toler as my most concerning.FA pick up...perhaps questionable is a better word FA acquisition,

 

To me and I know most wont agree Boyett was our most risky draft pick because while he is very skilled, Its debatable whether or not he was the best Safety available in my opinion, I was pulling for Brandan Bishop late..... a bigger and in my opinion just as good but not as fast version of Boyett plus Bishop was healthy

 

I thought Walden was your least favorite with Toler running a close 2nd?    Am I misremembering?

 

As for Boyett,  well,  it's stunning to me that you're not on the Colts scouting staff.   Can't believe Grigson is not paying for your observations....     who'da thunk it?!?

 

P.S. -- Best I can tell...  Bishop was not drafted....   at all....    by any team.

 

And if he signed with an NFL team,  I haven't found him yet.   At some point you might have to accept that the evaluations of 32 NFL teams is different from yours.

[John Dee]

A lot of draft "guru's" on this site...    

 

hehe....

[John Dee]

Quality depth equals quality ST's...     

 

Colts, lately..   have had HORRIBLE depth...     and thus ...     MISERABLE ST's.  

 

 

ST units are generally your backup LB's, RB's DB's TE's, and WR's.... 

 

This team is getting better by the day.

 

Superman, what's your assessment on our Special Teams this year? This unit is crucial in field position game battles pinning our opponents deep & field goals aren't sexy, but a clutch kicker wins a lot of tight games in November & December. Adam's not getting any younger.  Not to mention punt return too. 

[Warhorse]

Very nice, Man of Steel. My changes would be that Hugh would be my favorite drafted player. I also would have preferred that they take Jordan Poyer over Boyett. I think he is going to be in the league longer.

[John Dee]

I agree with this   BUT, the men in the big house get paid big $$$ to make such calls....

 

Faith... 

 

Dude has a MAJOR RED flag somewhere....       

Very nice, Man of Steel. My changes would be that Hugh would be my favorite drafted player. I also would have preferred that they take Jordan Poyer over Boyett. I think he is going to be in the league longer.

[Gavin]

I thought Walden was your least favorite with Toler running a close 2nd?    Am I misremembering?

 

As for Boyett,  well,  it's stunning to me that you're not on the Colts scouting staff.   Can't believe Grigson is not paying for your observations....     who'da thunk it?!?

 

P.S. -- Best I can tell...  Bishop was not drafted....   at all....    by any team.

 

And if he signed with an NFL team,  I haven't found him yet.   At some point you might have to accept that the evaluations of 32 NFL teams is different from yours.

1.Waldens contract is set up to this point if he stinks up the joint after this year we can cut him with very minimal cap damage and he will be in a rotation so I dont expect great numbers.........Werner was drafted for a reason

 

2.I dont have to be on the Colts scouting staff to have an opinion last I checked NOR do I have to be a scout to be right OR wrong about a player, In this case Boyett......Nor do you have to be drafted to be a good player, Dont believe me? Ask Arian Foster....Warren Moon or John Randle

 

3.Unlike some I dont regurgitate some other analysts/ scouts opinion blindly without taking a look for myself........Ryan Tannehill went 8th to the Dolphins in the draft ahead of Russel Wilson/Luke Keuchly /Bobby Wagner/Peter Konz/Chandler Jones am I supposed to seriously believe all GM's are geniuses and know exactly what they are doing? Seriously how did that workout for Miami? If you dont like my opinion thats fine but before you start condemning mine then its wise to form your own opinion and not just say what everyone else says because next you know you look like a dummy because you followed someone else opinion as blind as a bat because so and so has the title GM or Scout or draft guru........Heard mentality.......I dont follow it

[NewColtsFan]

1.Waldens contract is set up to this point if he stinks up the joint after this year we can cut him with very minimal cap damage and he will be in a rotation so I dont expect great numbers.........Werner was drafted for a reason

 

2.I dont have to be on the Colts scouting staff to have an opinion last I checked NOR do I have to be a scout to be right OR wrong about a player, In this case Boyett......Nor do you have to be drafted to be a good player, Dont believe me? Ask Arian Foster....Warren Moon or John Randle

 

3.Unlike some I dont regurgitate some other analysts/ scouts opinion blindly without taking a look for myself........Ryan Tannehill went 8th to the Dolphins in the draft ahead of Russel Wilson/Luke Keuchly /Bobby Wagner/Peter Konz/Chandler Jones am I supposed to seriously believe all GM's are geniuses and know exactly what they are doing? Seriously how did that workout for Miami? If you dont like my opinion thats fine but before you start condemning mine then its wise to form your own opinion and not just say what everyone else says because next you know you look like a dummy because you followed someone else opinion as blind as a bat because so and so has the title GM or Scout or draft guru........Heard mentality.......I dont follow it

 

Hate to break this to you,  but if you're attempting to say Ryan Tannehill is already a bust,  I'd say you're wrong.  And I think most would say you're wrong.   Perhaps not most Colts fans, but most NFL types.    You cannot be the personnel business without making mistakes.   But it's way too soon to write-off Tannehill.    I think most people think he had a pretty decent rookie season.

 

My point is.....   I have opinions....   and I wish Grigson might've taken player A over player B....   but at some point, I'm going to drop it and move on.   I've turned the page.   I don't assume that I'm right and he's wrong when there's been no proof that Grigson is wrong. 

 

As for not following the heard mentality....   good for you.   But at some point you might want to take some stock in your educated opinions....    Do we have to go through the list?   Jones,  Okafur,  Jenkins,  feels like I'm forgetting someone...  and now Bishop.  

 

You write as if you're still surprised and disappointed they didn't follow your advice.   Sorry,  but that type of commentary invites shots (cheap, or otherwise)  like the one I gave you.    When you come across as someone who think they're smarter than professionals you can't be surprised when you get responses like mine.

 

I'm sorry.    I'm not trying to make this personal.   I like you.    We both love scouting and the draft and free agency and such.   Hey, the more the merrier!    But when you keep offering your opinions as better than the professionals you make yourself an easy target.

 

Just some food (even if it's not that tasty) for thought.....

[BOTT]

1.Waldens contract is set up to this point if he stinks up the joint after this year we can cut him with very minimal cap damage and he will be in a rotation so I dont expect great numbers.........Werner was drafted for a reason

 

2.I dont have to be on the Colts scouting staff to have an opinion last I checked NOR do I have to be a scout to be right OR wrong about a player, In this case Boyett......Nor do you have to be drafted to be a good player, Dont believe me? Ask Arian Foster....Warren Moon or John Randle

 

3.Unlike some I dont regurgitate some other analysts/ scouts opinion blindly without taking a look for myself........Ryan Tannehill went 8th to the Dolphins in the draft ahead of Russel Wilson/Luke Keuchly /Bobby Wagner/Peter Konz/Chandler Jones am I supposed to seriously believe all GM's are geniuses and know exactly what they are doing? Seriously how did that workout for Miami? If you dont like my opinion thats fine but before you start condemning mine then its wise to form your own opinion and not just say what everyone else says because next you know you look like a dummy because you followed someone else opinion as blind as a bat because so and so has the title GM or Scout or draft guru........Heard mentality.......I dont follow it

Actually, they were smart to take Tannehill over all those you mentioned minus Wilson. You actually think they would be better off with Peter Konz?

[Gavin]

"As for not following the heard mentality.... good for you. But at some point you might want to take some stock in your educated opinions.... Do we have to go through the list? Jones, Okafur, Jenkins, feels like I'm forgetting someone... and now Bishop". 

 

What do those guys have to do with anything? they haven't played a down yet? I was talking about Tannehill....The starting QB for the Dolphons who had 12 TD's and 13 picks all season long...For even a rookie those numbers aren't good whos started 16 games. Did I say he was a bust? No but you better believe I expected a little more from a QB that was drafted with the 8th overall pick into a west coast offense....Perhaps I should have worked out for Miami through year 1, I didn't say anything of Okafor/Jenkins or Jones either in that post either (The Jones I was referring to was Chandler Jones). Do I consider any of this personal? No but you write as if heaven forbid someone has a different opinion then a scout/coach/GM/analysts then that person must be wrong because that proffessional said so when there are seriously countless examples proving just how wrong they can be as well, None of this is an exact science but I dont just give an opinion on what I think of a players ability without thought or just to regurgitate what someone else said

[Gavin]

Actually, they were smart to take Tannehill over all those you mentioned minus Wilson. You actually think they would be better off with Peter Konz?

I would not have thought twice about taking Konz and his 4.5 sacks allowed according to Pro Football Weekly over Tannehills 12 td passes and 13 picks , The Dolphins needed a Right Guard not a 3rd or 4th round QB. the other players were far better then Tannehill

[smittywerb]

A very thoughtful and unbiased write up.

Pretty much exactly how I saw this offseason. Good write up!

[AntonMcG]

This has been one of the most eventful offseasons I can remember. Irsay spent a lot of money; Grigson added a lot of players. Most of us expected a lot of activity, but I think the amount of change we've made is surprising. And there's no telling if we're done or not. I thought DHB was the last notable addition, and here we just added Bradshaw.

 

So I've been looking at the moves we made, the contracts given out, the changes to the depth chart, and starting to set expectations in my mind about what we should see out of the team from these moves. I'm also thinking about some concerns that some of us have, and how those might come to fruition. Here are some of my thoughts. 

 

Free agent addition that should make the most immediate impact: LaRon Landry

The Colts have been downright pitiful at strong safety since 2010. Landry can be an intimidating presence, he'll contribute in the box against the run, and he's at least sufficient in the pass game. He'll take pressure off of Bethea, who has been used out of position for the last three years, and I think Landry's presence will make the secondary immediately better. (Honorable mention: Ricky Jean Francois. Has the versatility and experience to really improve our defensive front.)

 

Free agent addition that I'm most concerned about: Gosder Cherilus

The ratings all speak very highly of Cherilus. I wanted to call him my immediate impact guy instead of Landry; he's going to make the offensive line better on Day One, no question. My concern exists purely because of his injury history. Not only did he have microfracture surgery back in 2010, but there were also reports he went to Germany earlier this year for Regenokine therapy (he denied those reports, by the way, but the speculation raises eyebrows). Will he stay healthy for us as he approaches 30? We also gave him the most guaranteed money of any of our acquisitions – $15.5m – so if he doesn't perform at a high level, that's sunk money. (Honorable mention: Greg Toler. Same injury concerns, but not nearly as much money or commitment.)

 

Free agent retention I'm most pleased with: Darius Butler

Butler was one of the highest rated cornerbacks in the league last season. I still wonder why he didn't get more playing time, especially over questionable talent like Cassius Vaughn. We kept Butler, presumably to play the nickelback spot, and on a very modest contract. Our top three cornerbacks are much better on paper this season, and hopefully that will show up on the field. (Honorable mention: Pat McAfee. One of the best punters and kickoff specialists in the league, and I hope we get a long term deal done before the deadline.)

 

Free agent departure that puzzles me: None

It will be hard to see Dwight Freeney in another uniform, but the divorce made plenty of sense for the Colts. I actually think we should have let him go last season, rather than paying him $14m. Alas. I thought we might keep Jerraud Powers, but he hasn't been healthy for us, and adding Greg Toler and keeping Butler made Powers an afterthought. Donnie Avery is the only noteworthy guy we let go, and he's competing for WR4 with the Chiefs (not to mention Darrius Heyward Bey is probably a better option for us).

 

Player I wish we would have signed: Shaun Phillips

Yes, he's 32, and no, he wouldn't have transformed our defense. But I think we still need another proven pass rusher, and he's a good option as a rotational Rush/Sam backer. He went to the Broncos for a measly $1.4m; we tendered Cassius Vaughn for $1.3m. I'd rather have Phillips every day of the week, and twice on Sunday (I made a pun!) (Honorable mention: Aqib Talib. Was on most of our free agent wish lists, and he stayed with the Pats on a one year deal. I'd have done Toler's deal for Talib.)

 

Most exciting draft pick: Montori Hughes

The transformation of our defensive line is well underway. Add the guy we traded up in the draft for, and we ought to have a ridiculous defensive front this season. Hughes has the versatility and athleticism of much heralded guys like Haloti Ngata, and while that's one heck of a comparison, the scouting reports agree. If not for some missteps in college, he likely would have been a much higher draft pick than he was, but hopefully his impact will be felt for the Colts right away. (Honorable mention: Bjoern Werner. First rounders always come with high expectations, and I think Werner is in a great spot to make an impression right away.)

 

Riskiest draft pick: Montori Hughes

I mentioned his college mistakes above. Also risky is the fact that we traded next year's 4^th round pick for the rights to draft him. So if he doesn't pan out, we're out two picks for this kid. I'm not too worried about his character, but Grigson stuck his neck out a little here. (Honorable mention: John Boyett. Probably won't be ready to play at the start of the season, if at all. Only a 6^th rounder, so not a big deal, but we could have added a different player who has a better chance to compete right now. And I don't think Boyett has the potential to significantly upgrade any position like Josh Chapman did last year.)

 

Player I most wish we had drafted: Xavier Rhodes

Surprise! I openly coveted Rhodes for weeks before the draft, and when we were on the clock and he was still there, I thought it was a done deal. Call me a cornerbackite all you want, but his position isn't why I like Rhodes so much. It's simple: I think he's going to be a really good pro for a long time, and he would have made an immediate impact on our team. Sure, there were positions of greater need, and I'm at peace with the Werner pick, but Rhodes was my guy going in. (Honorable mention: Robert Woods. This would have been a trade back, obviously, but I liked Woods as well. I think he's going to be a Day One contributor. Signing DHB made this an unreasonable option for us.)

 

Moves that I think sum up Grigson's approach: Several

Signing Matt Hasselbeck is something that I didn't really expect, but makes a lot of sense. No one expects or wants Hasselbeck to ever step on the field, but having him as an option eases worries about quarterback depth, as he's one of the best backups in the league. And his contributions in the film room and during practice will be significant. Adding Ahmad Bradshaw immediately upgrades our running back stable, and takes pressure off of Vick Ballard to be a bellcow (something I'm not so sure he's ready for yet). Trading for Stanley Havili, and only giving up a player that was unlikely to last past first cuts, is a strong move that promotes the new offensive scheme even more.

 

Projection: The Colts will be a much more complete and balanced team on offense and defense.

The offensive line should be much better, right away. We are better at running back and receiver, and the tight ends should have the benefit of experience. The offensive scheme should lend itself to better efficiency and production. Every unit on defense is better, without question. Another year in the hybrid, and switching Mathis to Rush backer, will pay off tremendously.

 

It's all downhill from here. I can't wait.

 

Super write-up... however I would like substantiation on one point that could be construed as a contradiction.

 

You say you would like another pass-rusher, but you would have preferred us to pick up Rhodes over Werner. Now I know the BPA approach has been driven home at this point, but I would say a pass-rusher offers more value (which is a component of BPA) at #24 than a cornerback. If Werner has been identified as a potential scheme-fit we may have a 10-year double digit sacker on our hands. There was not many pass rushers of Werner's pedigree after the first round, in hindsight, I think it was an obvious choice.

[21isSuperman]

Love the analysis, Superman.  Very well written.

[TKnight24]

Love the analysis, Superman. Very well written.

So since 21 is some random player in this new era..... you ever given any thought of changing your username to "30issuperman" ?

I think Laron will live up to that for you

[ColtStorm_12]

I agree.  Landry upgrades the secondary and makes it more aggressive. The Bradshaw addition should be huge.  Veteran presence, knows where to be and how to block blitzing DB's and LB's and he can catch out of the backfield. I am excited about Werner and Hughes.

[Flash7]

1. We've made substantial (potentially) improvements to the O-line. This is the key to a successful offense, especially in the red zone.

2. We've made substantial (potentially) improvements to the D-line. This helps in both run support and pass defense if we're able to create more pressure on opposing QBs.

3. Our defensive backfield is much more improved with the addition of Landry and Toler playing alongside Davis, Bethea, and Butler.

4. Our run game has improved with the stronger O-line, the addition of a fullback, and adding Ahmad Bradshaw to carry the load along with Ballard and Brown.

5. We've improved our receiving corps with the addition of DHB.

6. We've changed our offensive scheme to focus on a more balanced attack, benefiting both the offense and defense with ball control, and longer & more sustained drives.

7. Our special teams will be improved by having a more competitive and deeper roster.

 

Overall, we've made improvements to every facet of our team. I can't wait for the season to start!

[Buck Showalter]

So since 21 is some random player in this new era..... you ever given any thought of changing your username to "30issuperman" ?

I think Laron will live up to that for you

30istheREDHULK!!!

[BigMac]

This has been one of the most eventful offseasons I can remember. Irsay spent a lot of money; Grigson added a lot of players. Most of us expected a lot of activity, but I think the amount of change we've made is surprising. And there's no telling if we're done or not. I thought DHB was the last notable addition, and here we just added Bradshaw.

 

So I've been looking at the moves we made, the contracts given out, the changes to the depth chart, and starting to set expectations in my mind about what we should see out of the team from these moves. I'm also thinking about some concerns that some of us have, and how those might come to fruition. Here are some of my thoughts. 

 

Free agent addition that should make the most immediate impact: LaRon Landry

The Colts have been downright pitiful at strong safety since 2010. Landry can be an intimidating presence, he'll contribute in the box against the run, and he's at least sufficient in the pass game. He'll take pressure off of Bethea, who has been used out of position for the last three years, and I think Landry's presence will make the secondary immediately better. (Honorable mention: Ricky Jean Francois. Has the versatility and experience to really improve our defensive front.)

 

Free agent addition that I'm most concerned about: Gosder Cherilus

The ratings all speak very highly of Cherilus. I wanted to call him my immediate impact guy instead of Landry; he's going to make the offensive line better on Day One, no question. My concern exists purely because of his injury history. Not only did he have microfracture surgery back in 2010, but there were also reports he went to Germany earlier this year for Regenokine therapy (he denied those reports, by the way, but the speculation raises eyebrows). Will he stay healthy for us as he approaches 30? We also gave him the most guaranteed money of any of our acquisitions – $15.5m – so if he doesn't perform at a high level, that's sunk money. (Honorable mention: Greg Toler. Same injury concerns, but not nearly as much money or commitment.)

 

Free agent retention I'm most pleased with: Darius Butler

Butler was one of the highest rated cornerbacks in the league last season. I still wonder why he didn't get more playing time, especially over questionable talent like Cassius Vaughn. We kept Butler, presumably to play the nickelback spot, and on a very modest contract. Our top three cornerbacks are much better on paper this season, and hopefully that will show up on the field. (Honorable mention: Pat McAfee. One of the best punters and kickoff specialists in the league, and I hope we get a long term deal done before the deadline.)

 

Free agent departure that puzzles me: None

It will be hard to see Dwight Freeney in another uniform, but the divorce made plenty of sense for the Colts. I actually think we should have let him go last season, rather than paying him $14m. Alas. I thought we might keep Jerraud Powers, but he hasn't been healthy for us, and adding Greg Toler and keeping Butler made Powers an afterthought. Donnie Avery is the only noteworthy guy we let go, and he's competing for WR4 with the Chiefs (not to mention Darrius Heyward Bey is probably a better option for us).

 

Player I wish we would have signed: Shaun Phillips

Yes, he's 32, and no, he wouldn't have transformed our defense. But I think we still need another proven pass rusher, and he's a good option as a rotational Rush/Sam backer. He went to the Broncos for a measly $1.4m; we tendered Cassius Vaughn for $1.3m. I'd rather have Phillips every day of the week, and twice on Sunday (I made a pun!) (Honorable mention: Aqib Talib. Was on most of our free agent wish lists, and he stayed with the Pats on a one year deal. I'd have done Toler's deal for Talib.)

 

Most exciting draft pick: Montori Hughes

The transformation of our defensive line is well underway. Add the guy we traded up in the draft for, and we ought to have a ridiculous defensive front this season. Hughes has the versatility and athleticism of much heralded guys like Haloti Ngata, and while that's one heck of a comparison, the scouting reports agree. If not for some missteps in college, he likely would have been a much higher draft pick than he was, but hopefully his impact will be felt for the Colts right away. (Honorable mention: Bjoern Werner. First rounders always come with high expectations, and I think Werner is in a great spot to make an impression right away.)

 

Riskiest draft pick: Montori Hughes

I mentioned his college mistakes above. Also risky is the fact that we traded next year's 4^th round pick for the rights to draft him. So if he doesn't pan out, we're out two picks for this kid. I'm not too worried about his character, but Grigson stuck his neck out a little here. (Honorable mention: John Boyett. Probably won't be ready to play at the start of the season, if at all. Only a 6^th rounder, so not a big deal, but we could have added a different player who has a better chance to compete right now. And I don't think Boyett has the potential to significantly upgrade any position like Josh Chapman did last year.)

 

Player I most wish we had drafted: Xavier Rhodes

Surprise! I openly coveted Rhodes for weeks before the draft, and when we were on the clock and he was still there, I thought it was a done deal. Call me a cornerbackite all you want, but his position isn't why I like Rhodes so much. It's simple: I think he's going to be a really good pro for a long time, and he would have made an immediate impact on our team. Sure, there were positions of greater need, and I'm at peace with the Werner pick, but Rhodes was my guy going in. (Honorable mention: Robert Woods. This would have been a trade back, obviously, but I liked Woods as well. I think he's going to be a Day One contributor. Signing DHB made this an unreasonable option for us.)

 

Moves that I think sum up Grigson's approach: Several

Signing Matt Hasselbeck is something that I didn't really expect, but makes a lot of sense. No one expects or wants Hasselbeck to ever step on the field, but having him as an option eases worries about quarterback depth, as he's one of the best backups in the league. And his contributions in the film room and during practice will be significant. Adding Ahmad Bradshaw immediately upgrades our running back stable, and takes pressure off of Vick Ballard to be a bellcow (something I'm not so sure he's ready for yet). Trading for Stanley Havili, and only giving up a player that was unlikely to last past first cuts, is a strong move that promotes the new offensive scheme even more.

 

Projection: The Colts will be a much more complete and balanced team on offense and defense.

The offensive line should be much better, right away. We are better at running back and receiver, and the tight ends should have the benefit of experience. The offensive scheme should lend itself to better efficiency and production. Every unit on defense is better, without question. Another year in the hybrid, and switching Mathis to Rush backer, will pay off tremendously.

 

It's all downhill from here. I can't wait.

 

Great post and right on the money. Is it possible that we have nine new starters this year?

[Superman]

Good observations.  I agree with almost all of that.  The "Player I most wish we had drafted" is Cordarrelle Patterson, and he was still available, too.  Watch the Youtube highlights of that kid.  He's flat RIDICULOUS.  Take note, fantasy owners.

 

I would add another category; Trade that most puzzles me.  That being the trade of A.Q. Shipley instead of releasing Satele's giant contract.  To me, they played about equal last year, maybe with a slight edge to Shipley.  

 

Satele's cap hits over the next 2 years:

 

3,866,667

5,366,667

 

Shipley's cap hit over the next 2 years:

 

480,000

570,000

 

I also think Gosder was paid way too much.  He literally was received the highest contract any right tackle (at the time of the signing) has ever signed.  The Cowboy's right tackle makes a little more, but at the time he signed that deal he was a left tackle, and they always make more than RT's.  What makes the Gosder contract more puzzling is that Sabastien Vollmer was available.  He is arguably the best RT in the NFL, and signing him would have the added bonus of hurting an AFC rival.

 

Vollmer's cap hit over the next 4 years:

 

3,000,000

3,750,000

5,000,000

5,000,000

 

Gosder's cap hit over the next 5 years:

 

7,500,000

3,000,000

6,000,000

9,000,000

9,000,000

 

Yeah I think we went kind of high on Cherilus, too. Not so much that it's going to be a problem, and the later base salaries aren't guaranteed. For instance, if we release him before Year 4, we  have a $4m cap penalty, but we save $18m cash. It's one of the few significantly backloaded deals we did this year.

 

I'm not nearly as concerned with Shipley as others are. Grigson and the coaches have reiterated how strongly they feel about Satele, and that they think his injury slowed him down last season. And while Shipley was more cost effective, I don't think he was any better. Drafting Holmes is a nod to the direction we want to go eventually.

[HarassedOffTheSite]

I agree with Superman and really appreciate his original post. Therefore I have chosen to mimic it in format. IMO this has been the most exciting and eventful offseason in the history of the Indianapolis Colts with maybe the exception of the 84-85 offseason (in terms of excitement). We did expect a lot of activity, but I agree with Superman, that was a grip of change. However, given our $$$ right now, I think we’re done.

 
Here are some of my thoughts. 

 
Free agent addition that should make the most immediate impact: Ricky Jean Francois
As a firm believer that everything on defense hinges on the play of your front, I am of the opinion that Ricky Jean Francois should end up as the Free Agent with the biggest impact. Not only on his position but on the LBs & DBs as well. As Superman wrote, he has both versatility and experience. And both are needed on this line (honorable mention: Aubrayo Franklin).

 
Free agent addition that I'm most concerned about: Gosder Cherilus
As a firm believer that everything on offense hinges on the play of your front, I am most concerned about this guy’s ability to stay upright. We all watched Andrew scramble for his life last season. And more painfully, we watched our offense the year before that. A rock solid Oline is a must if we’re going to get everything out of our offensive skill players. If this guy goes down…they all take a small step back.

 

 

Free agent retention I'm most pleased with: Pat McAfee

We didn’t keep many but this guy is Vinatieri’s eventual replacement. No better way to replace “Money in the bank” than with more money.  I’m with Superman in being pleased with Butler coming back. He has talent. Unfortunately the Dline he was playing behind last year was less than impressive. And as a result, he ended up being in some bad positions against opposing WRs. He will be much improved this season.

 

 
Free agent departure that puzzles me: None
I was hoping Antonio Johnson could move over to DE. But that’s more a reflection of my desire to have big guys at every Dline position than it is a reflection of Johnson’s ability to make the move.

 

 

I wish we would have signed: Vontae Leach
I think he is better than Havili (sp?). But we signed him before we knew Leach would be available. So, it is what it is. I too would’ve liked Talib….but more so out of spite and wanting the Patriots* to lose a player. But Man, Aqib Talib, Vontae Davis, Leron Landry and Antoine Bethea would’ve been sweet.  

 

 
Most exciting draft pick: Bjoern Werner
Gotta be. "I can't promise you I'll be the next Dwight Freeney. I promise you I'll work hard every day and just try to be the best I can be." He’ll be hunting the best in nickel and dime situations. And that quick burst will shine through….helping us forget about DFree.

 

 

Riskiest draft pick: I don’t think we have one.

I trust Grigson. Until he really screws up big on something, I’m going to roll with his decisions.

 

 
Player I most wish we had drafted: Margus Hunt
We really did not have the chance to get him considering where he was rated and the selections we had. However, I was chomping at the bit to get this guy. I am of the opinion that if you can have a NT who commands double teams, a guy like Margus Hunt turns into a monster. As it is Werner will play that role.

 
Moves that I think sum up Grigson's approach: His draft picks
I think he knows it all begins up front for us. We’ve already got skill guys. But we had to shore up our lines. We did that. And I really could not be happier.

 
Projection: AFC South Title returns to Indy. We knock off the Broncos or Patriots and return to the Super Bowl.

 

[Superman]

I don't see a problem with Cherilus getting Regenokine therapy. I see a veteran offensive lineman being proactive in dealing with his knee. If that procedure was allowed in the U.S, NFL players would line up for it.

 

I don't have a problem with him doing it, if he even did. But the knee is a red flag already, and any additional treatment just raises eyebrows. 

 

Like I said, his ratings are off the charts. The film I've watched on him is impressive. But he got the biggest contract with the most guaranteed money. I just hope he stays on the field.

[Superman]

Great post, i thought for sure we were gonna get Shariff Floyd. After Vikings took him Werner and Rhodes were next on my list. Were fortunate the Vikings did take Floyd because we ended up with Werner and Hughes both positions of need, but both had great value.

 

I prefer Werner over Floyd. Just wasn't all that impressed with Floyd's potential to be a difference maker in our defensive front. At least not right away. Seems more like a three tech than anything else, to me.

[Superman]

Ahhh my eyes hurt from reading so much!!! I thought the Mods were supposed to make our forum experience good, not cause us pain???!!! only joking superman, great write up

This off-season has definitely been one to remember even more than last year's. Glad we have a lot of primetime games so the world can see this monster unleashed!!!!

 

I figured if people read the nonsense that Pete Prisco writes every year, they might enjoy the perspective of someone who actually follows the team. Read it or don't, I had fun putting it together. Thanks for the feedback.

[Superman]

Good write up, I agree with much of what you say except with Hughes being our most exciting draft pick, What little I saw of him he looked strong but not explosive, I also did not see the athleticism many talk about, perhaps I saw the wrong footage? 

 

Who would you choose instead of Hughes? What I've seen of him I wouldn't call "explosive," more of a combination of swift and powerful. He gets wherever he wants along the line, and he can close well for a guy his size. 

 

I get your concern on Toler. I'm not worried about his ability when he's on the field, but he's had some injury issues as well. The fact that his contract is "pay as you go" makes me more comfortable.

 

RJF got a nice deal, also. In our multiple front, I think he'll fit in just fine, whether he's rotated often or is a mainstay on the field. He and Redding should make a nice tandem, I think. His contract isn't that concerning to me, as it's also "pay as you go." 

 

Another poster wrote an excellent summary of the way Grigson structured most of our free agent contracts this offseason. Most of them are very balanced and leave the team with a lot of flexibility moving forward. The only one that's not is Cherilus.

[TKnight24]

I figured if people read the nonsense that Pete Prisco writes every year, they might enjoy the perspective of someone who actually follows the team. Read it or don't, I had fun putting it together. Thanks for the feedback.

Yeah... no idea who Pete is

But it was a well thought out write up by you. Must've taken you a few hours to write all that

[lollygagger8]

Awesome write up. Agree 100%. 

 

I was SO certain that we were going to call Xavier Rhodes name for our first round pick, I had the text already written up and ready to send to my buddy, and the Werner pick came out. Only time will tell which one was the smarter choice. 

[Superman]

Yeah... no idea who Pete is

But it was a well thought out write up by you. Must've taken you a few hours to write all that

 

A few hours? Not at all.

 

Pete Prisco is the guy from CBS Sports who predicted that we'd be 1-15 last season.