What are the chances the Colts play against San Diego?

[ReMeDy]

First round in the playoffs, that is. What needs to happen for that to happen? Or if we don't know the circumstances yet, what are the odds do you think?

[krunk]

If we do then so be it!  I'm ready to get the monkey off our backs dealing with those dudes. 

The main thing is not to end up in a dog fight with Phillip Rivers.   That's just the way they like

to play.  When you've got your foot on their throats you have to crush them.

[chad72]

Bengals need to lose 1 more game for Colts to have the #3 tie-breaker over Bengals.

 

Next, Ravens have to lose 1 more game for San Diego to make the playoffs, easiest way for them. If Case keenum beats the Ravens tomorrow, Chargers are a sure entry to the playoffs as a #6 seed assuming they beat the Chiefs at Arrowhead.

 

The Bengals losing one game ensures Colts are at #3 and Ravens losing one game ensures Chargers are in and the best the Chargers can do is a #6 seed.

 

The way I see it:

 

The options for Colts as a #3 seed - Steelers or Chargers at #6

 

The options for Colts as a #4 seed - Ravens most likely

[1959Colts]

It is possible we could play SD.

Really hard to say right now, but the picture should be much clearer after the Monday night game.

It seems like two teams from AFC North should get in.

Then that only leaves one remaining slot. Perhaps the Chargers could manage the six seed?

[1959Colts]

This is a cool playoff site:

http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/afcstandings.html

[jvan1973]

Bengals need to lose 1 more game for Colts to have the #3 tie-breaker over Bengals.

Next, Ravens have to lose 1 more game for San Diego to make the playoffs, easiest way for them. If Case keenum beats the Ravens tomorrow, Chargers are a sure entry to the playoffs as a #6 seed assuming they beat the Chiefs at Arrowhead.

The Bengals losing one game ensures Colts are at #3 and Ravens losing one game ensures Chargers are in and the best the Chargers can do is a #6 seed.

The way I see it:

The options for Colts as a #3 seed - Steelers or Chargers at #6

The options for Colts as a #4 seed - Ravens most likely

the Bengals don't need to lose for the colts to have the three seed. If we win out the three is ours

[chad72]

the Bengals don't need to lose for the colts to have the three seed. If we win out the three is ours

 

True. I was making an assumption the Colts might lose to the Cowboys given their road woes, it does make me nervous. Cowboys are 3-4 at home and 7-0 on the road. Odds of a team having a losing record at home is low.

 

If that happens, yes, the Bengals have to lose at least one game.

[HtownColt]

Slim

[GoColts8818]

Not very likely most likely one of the AFC North teams are coming here. There are other ways it could happen but the easiest way would be for the Colts to win out, Ravens win out, Bengals lose out, and Chargers beat KC next week.

[braveheartcolt]

Bengals need to lose 1 more game for Colts to have the #3 tie-breaker over Bengals.

 

Next, Ravens have to lose 1 more game for San Diego to make the playoffs, easiest way for them. If Case keenum beats the Ravens tomorrow, Chargers are a sure entry to the playoffs as a #6 seed assuming they beat the Chiefs at Arrowhead.

 

The Bengals losing one game ensures Colts are at #3 and Ravens losing one game ensures Chargers are in and the best the Chargers can do is a #6 seed.

 

The way I see it:

 

The options for Colts as a #3 seed - Steelers or Chargers at #6

 

The options for Colts as a #4 seed - Ravens most likely

We lose one, and the Steelers win out, we drop to 4th seed.....

[jskinnz]

Bengals need to lose 1 more game for Colts to have the #3 tie-breaker over Bengals.

 

Next, Ravens have to lose 1 more game for San Diego to make the playoffs, easiest way for them. If Case keenum beats the Ravens tomorrow, Chargers are a sure entry to the playoffs as a #6 seed assuming they beat the Chiefs at Arrowhead.

 

The Bengals losing one game ensures Colts are at #3 and Ravens losing one game ensures Chargers are in and the best the Chargers can do is a #6 seed.

 

The way I see it:

 

The options for Colts as a #3 seed - Steelers or Chargers at #6

 

The options for Colts as a #4 seed - Ravens most likely

 

I don't think your Bengals math add up.  Colts are 10-4 and Bengals are 9-4-1.  Bengals can lose 1 game and still potentially be ahead of the ahead of Indy if the Colts lose their final 2.  Besides that, the Colts have the tie-braker already and the Bengals tie against Carolina surely means the tie-braker will not be in play.

[buck_hunter21]

Its possible but they would need to beat KC in KC next week. If I had to make a guess I think 3 AFC North teams make it and if we drop one of the next two games, we are a four seed.

[Ryan Pelley]

Looking at the Playoff Machine on ESPN.com:

 

Houston beating Baltimore today will put San Diego into the 6th seed as of this week.

 

Now, if the Ravens win today: Week 17, if the Chargers win and either the Steelers or Ravens lose, they'll get the 6th seed.

 

-----------------------------

 

Interestingly enough, I think there's a likely scenario where Cincinatti loses both games, Pittsburgh wins both games, Baltimore wins today and loses to Cleveland next week, Baltimore would take the 6th seed, while San Diego has the 5th seed.

[GoColts8818]

Long story short while it's not likly right now we will have a better idea after today's games.

[chad72]

I don't think your Bengals math add up.  Colts are 10-4 and Bengals are 9-4-1.  Bengals can lose 1 game and still potentially be ahead of the ahead of Indy if the Colts lose their final 2.  Besides that, the Colts have the tie-braker already and the Bengals tie against Carolina surely means the tie-braker will not be in play.

 

Yep, that is correct. I did make the assumption the Colts lose a close one to the Cowboys today due to which the Bengals losing one more game is necessary for us to retain the #3 seed.

[runthepost]

Yep, that is correct. I did make the assumption the Colts lose a close one to the Cowboys today due to which the Bengals losing one more game is necessary for us to retain the #3 seed.

But if the Steelers win out we are the 4th seed

[jskinnz]

But if the Steelers win out we are the 4th seed

Not if the colts win out

[runthepost]

Not if the colts win out

But we might drop one today

[jskinnz]

But we might drop one today

 

But they might win too.

 

There seems to be this belief that the Colts can't win today and it is just simply wrong.  The Colts have more than a puncher's chance to beat Dallas this afternoon.

[jskinnz]

Yep, that is correct. I did make the assumption the Colts lose a close one to the Cowboys today due to which the Bengals losing one more game is necessary for us to retain the #3 seed.

 

So these elaborate scenarios you detailed are predicated on one large but omitted assumption?  Seems like that would have been mentioned somewhere.  

[mattceinicram]

I think it's very likely honestly.

[snkdy]

With the way the Ravens are playing right now, it's becoming more likely.

[GoColts8818]

If the Ravens and steelers scores hold up it becomes very likely the Colts play the chargers if they beat KC next week.

[snkdy]

Texans killing the Ravens. Arian Foster just threw a TD pass

 

The Ravens don't want the playoffs.

[Superman]

It's hard to even try to think about playoff matchups this week, at least for me. There's too many variables, too many tie-breakers, and too much crowding from 4-6 to try to predict who finishes where. And we can still drop to the 4 seed if we don't win out. 

 

Besides, IMO, it doesn't matter who we play. It's a home playoff game. We need to win, period. 

[GwinnettColt]

First round in the playoffs, that is. What needs to happen for that to happen? Or if we don't know the circumstances yet, what are the odds do you think?

 

If we have to, we have to.  I hate it before game time, though.   For some reason, Indy doesn't play well against San Diego, Dallas, or PIttsburgh-no matter what type of seasons either team has.