Playoff Predictor/Simulator (538): Colts #11 in AFC, and 38% of chance of playoffs

[chad72]

11 hours ago, craigerb said:

What about their other 2 games?

 

1 week at a time  

[EastStreet]

Now at 89%

98% with a win vs AZ

80% with a loss to AZ

95% with a loss to AZ and win vs LVR

38% with a loss to AZ and a loss to LVR

46% with a L+L and then win over Jags.

[Colts1324]

How is Baltimore not ahead of us in the playoff race when we are both tied at 8-6?? What happens if we have the tiebreaker over Buffalo, but the Ravens have the tiebreaker over us & Buffalo by the end of the season if we are all tied at 10-7? 

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

4 minutes ago, Colts1324 said:

How is Baltimore not ahead of us in the playoff race when we are both tied at 8-6?? What happens if we have the tiebreaker over Buffalo, but the Ravens have the tiebreaker over us & Buffalo by the end of the season if we are all tied at 10-7? 

When more then two teams has the same record it goes to conference record. Or one of them would have to have a win over all the teams with the same record. Colts have best conference record of all of the 8-6.teams.

[Fluke_33]

21 hours ago, chad72 said:

 

If that does not say MVP with our all star receiving cast (#sarcasm), I don't know what will.

 

252 yards in 3 games and he breaks the all time NFL single season rushing record of Erick Dickerson of 2105 rushing yards in a season. We need to get him that.

wow!  16 v. 17 games but still, that's impressive

 

Edit:  later posts (post posts?) clarified he is not near the record.  Still cool though

[coming on strong]

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

There are so many big AFC matchups this weekend if Colts can beat Cardinals there is a big possibility they can clinch a playoff birth against the raiders. It’s going to be a fun week starting Thursday night.

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[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Just the Steelers luck.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Is anyone else excised to see Bosa destroy Tannehill Thursday night? I can’t wait.

[JediXMan]

2 hours ago, Wentzszn said:

Just the Steelers luck.

They’re going  to move the game if it gets more out of hand. They already did it for 3 other games.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

1 minute ago, JediXMan said:

They’re going  to move the game if it gets more out of hand. They already did it for 3 other games.

It would have to get really bad. That isn’t enough.

[JediXMan]

4 minutes ago, Wentzszn said:

It would have to get really bad. That isn’t enough.

It’s trending that way might as well move ahead of it and move the game. 
 

 

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

7 minutes ago, JediXMan said:

It’s trending that way might as well move ahead of it and move the game. 
 

 

We will see. It would be Pittsburgh’s luck if they get KC short handed. Praying this doesn’t hit the colts.

[Stephen]

22 minutes ago, Wentzszn said:

We will see. It would be Pittsburgh’s luck if they get KC short handed. Praying this doesn’t hit the colts.

Smh my fantasy team is ruined lol

[#12.]

1 hour ago, Wentzszn said:

We will see. It would be Pittsburgh’s luck if they get KC short handed. Praying this doesn’t hit the colts.

 

Of course if the Titans lose, we win, the Pats lose and the Chiefs lose, we're only a game out of the #1 seed.  lol

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

13 minutes ago, #12. said:

 

Of course if the Titans lose, we win, the Pats lose and the Chiefs lose, we're only a game out of the #1 seed.  lol

As crazy as the NFL has been anything is possible this year.

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AJ Brown is expected to play for Titans tonight.

[richard pallo]

7 minutes ago, Wentzszn said:

AJ Brown is expected to play for Titans tonight.

The bad news for them is their OL will be missing at least two very good starters.

[JediXMan]

49ers DL should feast tonight.

[Mr.Debonair]

SIAP, but if Ten loses and we win Sat, we are still in second because they own the head to head correct?

[JediXMan]

3 minutes ago, Mr.Debonair said:

SIAP, but if Ten loses and we win Sat, we are still in second because they own the head to head correct?

 
Yep we need to win out while they go 1-2. 

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

4 minutes ago, Mr.Debonair said:

SIAP, but if Ten loses and we win Sat, we are still in second because they own the head to head correct?

Yes. But with two games to go anything can happen. Titans have the red hot dolphins next week so anything is possible.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Jones and AJ are both playing for Titans tonight. Some know how much that will help with all the oline injuries.

[coming on strong]

2 hours ago, Wentzszn said:

Jones and AJ are both playing for Titans tonight. Some know how much that will help with all the oline injuries.

jones is the same as ty hilton both kinda washed up at their age .  jones has 0 touchdowns and has done nothing when healthy

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

4 minutes ago, coming on strong said:

jones is the same as ty hilton both kinda washed up at their age .  jones has 0 touchdowns and has done nothing when healthy

If Tannehill has no time to throw and they can’t run it will get ugly. They have run ok the last few weeks. Let’s go San Francisco.

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[runthepost]

Well Titsns found a way

[#12.]

If we win out, we will probably play the Ravens or Bengals.

 

If we win 2 of 3, it looks like the Titans.

 

If we win 1 of 3 and still make it, it will likely be the Pats.

[NewColtsFan]

27 minutes ago, #12. said:

If we win out, we will probably play the Ravens or Bengals.

 

If we win 2 of 3, it looks like the Titans.

 

If we win 1 of 3 and still make it, it will likely be the Pats.

Assuming you’re right….

 

I’m hoping for option #2.

 

The pent-up emotion and energy we brought to the Patriots game would be there in full force in a 3rd rematch with the Titans.   Beating the same team THREE times in the same season is a thing only when one team is dramatically better than the other.   But when the two teams are roughly equal, as the Colts and Titans are,  the odds of one team winning all three games is very, very small.  
 

I’m hoping for a Titans game 3.0!      

 

 

[Stephen]

10 minutes ago, NewColtsFan said:

Assuming you’re right….

 

I’m hoping for option #2.

 

The pent-up emotion and energy we brought to the Patriots game would be there in full force in a 3rd rematch with the Titans.   Beating the same team THREE times in the same season is a thing only when one team is dramatically better than the other.   But when the two teams are roughly equal, as the Colts and Titans are,  the odds of one team winning all three games is very, very small.  
 

I’m hoping for a Titans game 3.0!      

 

 

Actually I rather the the ravens or Bengals first . Hopefully bills beat pats and make them a wild card then they can go face the chiefs in the second round and one of them will eliminate the other

[Colts1324]

58 minutes ago, #12. said:

If we win out, we will probably play the Ravens or Bengals.

 

If we win 2 of 3, it looks like the Titans.

 

If we win 1 of 3 and still make it, it will likely be the Pats.

I think the Pats lose to the Bills. I do not think they are nearly as good as people are making them seem. We should of beat them by 15-20. The Bills lost largely because of terribly bad weather. 

 

I think Buffalo wins Sunday & takes control of the AFC East due to division record. 
 

I'm confident we win Saturday BUT...

If NE loses, the Chargers & Steelers

win, & the Colts lose, we will be temporarily out of the playoffs. 
 

 

[Colts1324]

20 minutes ago, Stephen said:

Actually I rather the the ravens or Bengals first . Hopefully bills beat pats and make them a wild card then they can go face the chiefs in the second round and one of them will eliminate the other

Ideally;

 

1.) Chiefs

2.) Tennessee

3.) Buffalo

4.) Bengals

5.) Colts

6.) NE

7.) Chargers

 

Divisional Round:

 

Chargers @ Chiefs

NE @ Colts

 

Chargers @ Colts 

 

This scenario is very realistic - it primarily just hinges on the Colts winning out & the Bills beating NE this weekend. 
 

It's entirely possible we get one or two HOME playoff games (granted we make it that far)

 

 

[Stephen]

4 minutes ago, Colts1324 said:

Ideally;

 

1.) Chiefs

2.) Tennessee

3.) Buffalo

4.) Bengals

5.) Colts

6.) NE

7.) Chargers

 

Divisional Round:

 

Chargers @ Chiefs

NE @ Colts

 

Chargers @ Colts 

 

This scenario is very realistic - it primarily just hinges on the Colts winning out & the Bills beating NE this weekend. 
 

It's entirely possible we get one or two HOME playoff games (granted we make it that far)

 

 

That's not right in that scenario colts would face Bengals and titans the chargers Patriots buffalo. Assuming the colts Patriots and titans win. Patriots would go to chiefs colts would face titans. Then if colts beat titans they would face winner of Patriots Chiefs game. This is our best scenario

[Stephen]

13 minutes ago, Colts1324 said:

Ideally;

 

1.) Chiefs

2.) Tennessee

3.) Buffalo

4.) Bengals

5.) Colts

6.) NE

7.) Chargers

 

Divisional Round:

 

Chargers @ Chiefs

NE @ Colts

 

Chargers @ Colts 

 

This scenario is very realistic - it primarily just hinges on the Colts winning out & the Bills beating NE this weekend. 
 

It's entirely possible we get one or two HOME playoff games (granted we make it that far)

 

 

If Patriots are a wildcard team the earliest we could face them is afc championship

[Colts1324]

9 minutes ago, Stephen said:

If Patriots are a wildcard team the earliest we could face them is afc championship

I don't believe that is correct. 
 

In that scenario, the Chiefs play the lowest seed which would be the Chargers. 
 

The Colts & NE would be the remaining two teams. So, they would play in the divisional round.

[GoColts8818]

12 minutes ago, Stephen said:

If Patriots are a wildcard team the earliest we could face them is afc championship

 Not if the Pats are the six seed and the seven seed upsets the two.  Assuming the Colts aren’t the seven they would host the six seed in the divisional round if all the wild card teams win and the Colts are the five.  I would agree that’s probably not going to happen though.

[tvturner]

31 minutes ago, Colts1324 said:

Ideally;

 

1.) Chiefs

2.) Tennessee

3.) Buffalo

4.) Bengals

5.) Colts

6.) NE

7.) Chargers

 

Divisional Round:

 

Chargers @ Chiefs

NE @ Colts

 

Chargers @ Colts 

 

This scenario is very realistic - it primarily just hinges on the Colts winning out & the Bills beating NE this weekend. 
 

It's entirely possible we get one or two HOME playoff games (granted we make it that far)

 

 

The Chargers and Chiefs are the only team I feel worried about playing in the playoffs

[GoColts8818]

1 minute ago, tvturner said:

The Chargers and Chiefs are the only team I feel worried about playing in the playoffs

I would worry about going to foxborough.  Yes I know the Colts just beat the pats but the pats don’t lose twice to teams in a season very often and they don’t lose at home in the playoffs very often.  Also, until that long run by Taylor New England had pretty much shut down the Colts offense in the second half and the Colts had no answer and the Pats had figured out the Colts D.