Playoff Predictor/Simulator (538): Colts #11 in AFC, and 38% of chance of playoffs

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Woah it’s even worse for Browns.

 

 

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Browns play raiders so that may just keep raiders in playoff race. 

[Fluke_33]

Here is a fun simulator

 

 

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/upshot/indianapolis-colts-nfl-playoff-picture.html#&

 

 

 

[shasta519]

This could become a war of attrition. Seems like if you are a team that has a playoff spot locked up...it's almost better to have this happen in the last few weeks than in the playoffs. 

[IinD]

This thread is going to be a rollercoaster of opinions and thoughts for the next few weeks...

 

We're 7 no 6 oh no we're out, now we're 5... Lol

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

5 minutes ago, IinD said:

This thread is going to be a rollercoaster of opinions and thoughts for the next few weeks...

 

We're 7 no 6 oh no we're out, now we're 5... Lol

Such a big opportunity to move up one more spot Saturday if Chargers lose Thursday. If we could just win the next two I think we are safely in. 

[Myles]

48 minutes ago, Fluke_33 said:

Here is a fun simulator

 

 

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/upshot/indianapolis-colts-nfl-playoff-picture.html#&

 

 

 

Have to subscribe to read it.   No thanks.

[JediXMan]

Didn't finish the game.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Just now, JediXMan said:

Didn't finish the game.

Wow.

[Fluke_33]

54 minutes ago, Myles said:

Have to subscribe to read it.   No thanks.

I didn't subscribe.  did you click it?

[Colt Overseas]

Hopkins has always played really well versus us. If he is injured next week, we won't miss him that's for sure.

[EastStreet]

4 hours ago, 2006Coltsbestever said:

Damn I have been close on all these without looking anything up. I was telling a friend a loss to the Pats that we will still have a 50% chance of making it, with a win I said 85%  . Not bad I guess.

A Pats loss doesn't kill us, just means we're more reliant on others to fail. And puts more pressure on us to win vs AZ. A loss to both, and we're 34%. 

[Stephen]

24 minutes ago, EastStreet said:

A Pats loss doesn't kill us, just means we're more reliant on others to fail. And puts more pressure on us to win vs AZ. A loss to both, and we're 34%. 

I like our chances against Cardinals better as Bellichick is by far the more dangerous coach

[EastStreet]

36 minutes ago, Stephen said:

I like our chances against Cardinals better as Bellichick is by far the more dangerous coach

Both games will be tough. AZ has a better O than NE. Both have great pass Ds. We should be able to run on AZ a bit easier. BB is a big factor though. I like our chances slowing NE's O, more than slowing AZs O. 

[holeymoley99]

Saw % that if we lose to NE and Arizona but beat Raiders and Jags we have 52% of making the playoffs.....if beat either NE or Arizona and win other two 95%

[Fluke_33]

17 hours ago, Myles said:

Have to subscribe to read it.   No thanks.

That’s weird.  I went to it twice without hitting a paywall but just checked again and there it was asking for a subscription.  Sorry about that!

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Browns aren’t going to have a full team Saturday. Raiders are going to win this game. This is good for the colts since we still play them.

 

 

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Browns don’t have their coach either. This is the second time he has had covid. He missed a game last season too.

 

 

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Cleveland expecting more positives today. Are they going to have to forfeit this game or delay it a few extra days?

 

 

[2006Coltsbestever]

9 minutes ago, Wentzszn said:

Cleveland expecting more positives today. Are they going to have to forfeit this game or delay it a few extra days?

 

 

If Baker doesn't play and their coach is out that helps us, Raiders will actually win that IMO. I just pray we can stay healthy the rest of the season. If I am Wentz I wear this outside of practice 

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Nfl needs to stop testing vaccinated players who are not showing any signs of sickness. It’s crazy.

[chad72]

4 minutes ago, Wentzszn said:

Nfl needs to stop testing vaccinated players who are not showing any signs of sickness. It’s crazy.

 

You would have a valid case if asymptomatic transmission didn't happen and if vaccinated folks don't transmit, neither of which unfortunately is the case. Playing the odds (that vaccinated folks have a smaller viral load) is not a chance the NFL wants to take, and I can understand that.

[chad72]

50 minutes ago, 2006Coltsbestever said:

If Baker doesn't play and their coach is out that helps us, Raiders will actually win that IMO. I just pray we can stay healthy the rest of the season.

 

Colts head-to-head vs the Raiders will still decide our wild card aspirations, IMO.

[2006Coltsbestever]

Just now, chad72 said:

 

Colts head-to-head vs the Raiders will still decide our wild card aspirations, IMO.

True but a Browns loss would help. We need to beat the Raiders regarding that.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Never mind 

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

 

[chad72]

26 minutes ago, Wentzszn said:

 

 

They might save Hopkins for the Colts game since they should be able to take care of the Lions without him, IMO.

 

James Conner is having an MRI too on his ankle. I am keeping an eye on him since I have his backup Chase Edmonds in fantasy should he miss the Lions game.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Oh wow

 

 

[adubb84]

3 hours ago, chad72 said:

 

They might save Hopkins for the Colts game since they should be able to take care of the Lions without him, IMO.

 

James Conner is having an MRI too on his ankle. I am keeping an eye on him since I have his backup Chase Edmonds in fantasy should he miss the Lions game.

Big break for us. Just need to take care of the Pats first

[MikeCurtis]

So much conflicting info

 

 

 

I hope we can all stay safe ..... (Including the Colts)

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Do we have to root for Titans Sunday?

[Colts1324]

25 minutes ago, Wentzszn said:

Do we have to root for Titans Sunday?

It's one of those things where either way it helps us in some fashion. We likely aren't winning the division, but if we win Saturday & Pittsburg wins - ya never know. 
 

SF is looking much better. The Dolphins have been playing good ball. The Texans did just beat them a few weeks ago lol

[EastStreet]

The conservative "cheer for" strategy this week is...

 

Chiefs (over Chargers)

Raiders (over Browns)

Panthers (over Bills)

Jets (over Dolphins)

Titans (over Steelers)

Broncos (over Bengals)

Packers (over Ravens)

 

Now if you still are holding onto the dream of winning the AFCS, then that changes some things. 

 

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

14 minutes ago, Colts1324 said:

It's one of those things where either way it helps us in some fashion. We likely aren't winning the division, but if we win Saturday & Pittsburg wins - ya never know. 
 

SF is looking much better. The Dolphins have been playing good ball. The Texans did just beat them a few weeks ago lol

I say root for Titans. We aren’t winning the division so can’t let Steelers hang around. It’s in pittsburgh so Steelers probably win.

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[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

With NE still having to play the Bills this game Saturday is even bigger. Because it gives us  tiebreaker over both teams. If we happen to win the last 4 then we could have tie breaker over both teams so it won’t matter who wins the division.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Wow. The league is really screwing the browns by not delaying this game.

 

 

[JediXMan]

 

Baker is * this game should be rescheduled. 

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

15 minutes ago, JediXMan said:

 

Baker is * this game should be rescheduled. 

Especially when these guys are vaccinated.