Colts' chance of making playoffs: about 3,300-to-1

[Blue Horseshoe]

 

12 hours ago, dw49 said:

 

 

If every game there were a toss up , the odds would be 1,023 to 1.

 

If I remember the Chargers needed about 4 games to go right. Those odds would be 15-1, if all games were picks .

 

Just seeing ESPN has it at 3,300 . Why it's different than mine is because NE  is a huge favorite , Jets are favored , Houston is favored etc... I looked up SD and they only need about 3 things to happen i the final week. But they also had some breaks in week 15 and 16 to get into position. But there is no comparison or even remote similarities of the Chargers' odds compared to what the Colts are looking at. 

 

 

[DalTXColtsFan]

6 minutes ago, Blue Horseshoe said:

 

 

 

 

Now do one with that text at the top and NEVER TELL ME THE ODDS at the bottom!

 

And photoshop Pagano's face on top of Solo's!

[dw49]

12 hours ago, Girlzarefanstoo said:

Those are interesting numbers.  I concede your point.  

 

Long shots are very exciting however.  How about the year we were 4-8 and Denver started 6-0.  We had to win all four of our last games and they had to lose all four.  We did.  They did.  The Colts hated us for it.  Crazy year.

 

Miracles do happen - of course what's a miracle for one team means disaster for another ;-)

 

 

No doubt the Chargers were involved in at least two of the crazy insane playoff scenarios we're talking about. Maybe even the 2 most unlikely ones I can remember. But that laundry list for this one makes it next to impossible. 6 of those games involve teams with nothing to play springing major upsets. It's so unlikely that the Colts should even start Luck if he's cleared.Why I say that is there's a way bigger chance the doctors are wrong than the Colts have to make the playoffs. Plus it's just been such a smelly year , it's worth it just to protect him against an unrelated injury even if the kidney is 100% healed.

[CR91]

3 hours ago, Dustin said:

 

No. It that scenario we go all the way to the 5th tie breaker which is strength of victory.

 

oh ok. so we basically won a meaningless game then and worsen our draft position

[DalTXColtsFan]

with all of that said, dw49, you *also* sit Luck against Tenn because the Colts can still beat Tenn even with Charlie Whitehurst as their QB.

[Dustin]

7 minutes ago, CR91 said:

 

oh ok. so we basically won a meaningless game then and worsen our draft position

 

yUP

[Narcosys]

Miami beating NE, Baltimore beating Cinci, and Oakland beating KC are unlikely.

[OffensivelyPC]

[krunk]

52 minutes ago, Narcosys said:

Miami beating NE, Baltimore beating Cinci, and Oakland beating KC are unlikely.

 

Baltimore just beat Pittsburgh.  Cincy is playing with their backup quarterback as well.  It's likely, the only one I feel that has a high chance of not happening is a Miami loss to New England.

[JoshPhilpot]

I honestly think all of these games fall our way except Miami beating New England and Oakland beating Kansas City sadly:(

[braveheartcolt]

All this whining about your team winning a game is laughable. Had the Jet lost, and the Jags won, it would have been a different story. You complain when we lose, you complain when we win. I just hope we don't tie the game on Sunday. We'll need Bruce Willis to save the Forum if that happens.....

[Bubba]

5 hours ago, GoDeep said:

Odds are very similar to the odds of successfully navigating an asteroid field.

Very well put.......yippie now we get to pick right in the middle of the draft next year (makes me sick).  Should have just tanked the season after the first 5 games.  I'm not an expert obviously but even I knew the season was over by then.

[King Colt]

Ten, count them ten games must go in the Colts in the last week and one game is Miami beating New England.

[scooter4910]

Step #1 complete....Den beat Cincy....now it's only 3299-to-1.

[bap1331]

I'm worried about the Miami game. Patriots need to seal home field advantage with a win so we're officially out.

[Jared Jammer]

[Horse Shoe Heaven]

Not happening season DONE!

[SteelCityColt]

With McCarron possibly being out this is not looking quite as silly as you might think. The big one of course if Phins to beat the Pats. The others I can all see. 

 

So what we need:

 

2. Street QB to beat Zach "Selfie" Mettenberger

3. Bortles to show he's the real deal

4. Timmy Mallet to show he's the real deal 

5. The annual "Win one for the Gipper... I mean Rex" game

6. Monster by Jones on a poor Saints D

7. Brock winning the audition for the playoffs

8. Phins... just because it's the Pats? Suh to show he's worth $900 Million a year?

9. It's the Browns....

10. Raiders win.. Cooper.. it's like Cooper Manning... it's DESTINY!