AFC South and AFC Playoff picture/ Remaining Schedules (MERGE) Updated OP + on page 61 - post week 17. AFC Clinching Scenarios page 61

[w87r]

Will keep this updated as season progresses:

 

• (overall record, division record, conference record, SOS, SOV)(remaining schedule)

 

Tie Breaker Order:

https://operations.nfl.com/the-rules/nfl-tie-breaking-procedures/

Division:

Quote

The following procedures will be used to break standings ties for postseason playoffs and to determine regular-season schedules.

 

NOTE: Tie games count as one-half win and one-half loss for both clubs.

 

TO BREAK A TIE WITHIN A DIVISION

If, at the end of the regular season, two or more clubs in the same division finish with identical won-lost-tied percentages, the following steps will be taken until a champion is determined.

 

Two Clubs 

 

1. Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs)

2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division

3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games

4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference

5. Strength of victory

6. Strength of schedule

7. Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed

8. Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed

9. Best net points in common games

10. Best net points in all games

11. Best net touchdowns in all games

12.Coin toss

 

Three or More Clubs

 

(Note: If two clubs remain tied after a third club or other clubs are eliminated during any step, the tiebreaker reverts to step 1 of the two-club format.)

 

1. Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games among the clubs)

2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division

3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games

4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference

5. Strength of victory

6. Strength of schedule

7. Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed

8. Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed

9. Best net points in common games

10. Best net points in all games

11. Best net touchdowns in all games

12. Coin toss

Conference:

Quote

If the tied clubs are from the same division, apply the division tiebreaker.

If the tied clubs are from different divisions, apply the following steps:

 

Two Clubs

 

1. Head-to-head, if applicable

2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference

3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four

4. Strength of victory

5. Strength of schedule

6. Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed

7. Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed

8. Best net points in conference games

9. Best net points in all games

10.Best net touchdowns in all games

11. Coin toss

 

Three or More Clubs

 

(Note: If two clubs remain tied after a third club or other clubs are eliminated, the tiebreaker reverts to step 1 of the applicable two-club format.)

 

Apply the division tiebreaker to eliminate all but the highest-ranked club in each division prior to proceeding to step 2. The original seeding within a division upon application of the division tiebreaker remains the same for all subsequent applications of the procedure that are necessary to identify the two wild card participants.

 

1. Head-to-head sweep (applicable only if one club has defeated each of the others or if one club has lost to each of the others)

2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference

3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four

4. Strength of victory

5. Strength of schedule

6. Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed

7. Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed

8. Best net points in conference games

9. Best net points in all games

10. Best net touchdowns in all games

11. Coin toss

 

When the first wild card team has been identified, the procedure is repeated to name the second wild card (i.e., eliminate all but the highest-ranked club in each division prior to proceeding to step 2). In situations where three or more teams from the same division are involved in the procedure, the original seeding of the teams remains the same for subsequent applications of the tiebreaker if the top-ranked team in that division qualifies for a wild card berth.

 

Updated Week 17 Standings:

 

* - Still to play

x - clinched playoffs 

 

AFC South Standings:

Jags 9-7, 4-1, 6-5(@Titans)

Colts 9-7 , 3-2, 7-4(Texans)

Texans 9-7, 3-2, 6-5(@Colts)

Titans 5-11, 0-5, 3-8(Jaguars)

 

 

 

AFC Playoff Picture:

x-1. Ravens 13-3, 3-2, 8-3, .543, .529 (Steelers)

x-2. Dolphins 11-5, 4-1, 7-4, .435, .352 (Bills)

x-3. Chiefs 10-6, 3-2, 8-3, .496, .450 (@Chargers)

4. Jaguars 9-7, 4-1, 6-5, .543, .472 (@Titans)

x-5. Browns 11-5, 3-2, 7-3, .539, .517 (@Bengals)

6. Bills 10-6, 3-2, 6-5, .457, .444 (@Dolphins)

7. Colts 9-7, 3-2, 7-4, .480, .431 (Texans)

 

 

 

 

Still in the Hunt:

8. Texans 9-7, 3-2, 6-5, .473, .444 (@Colts)

9. Steelers 9-7, 4-1, 6-5, .527, .535 (@Ravens)

 

 

 

Eliminated:

Bengals 

Broncos 

Raiders 

Chargers 

Jets

Titans 

Patriots 

 

Updated post Week 17 + SoS/SoV Updated 

[2006Coltsbestever]

It looks like if the Steelers and Bills lose next week and we win, then we move up to 7th place. We would have a better Conference record than the Steelers and Bills.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

As much as I want jags to win the division if Texans win that game next week and colts beat Bucs or gets really interesting.

[w87r]

15 hours ago, 2006Coltsbestever said:

It looks like if the Steelers and Bills lose next week and we win, then we move up to 7th place. We would have a better Conference record than the Steelers and Bills.

Yeah, if we lose anymore Bucs and Falcons would be the ideal scenario. Outside of not losing anymore, of course.

[w87r]

1 minute ago, Restinpeacesweetchloe said:

As much as I want jags to win the division if Texans win that game next week and colts beat Bucs or gets really interesting.

As can be seen by remaining schedules all these teams will be beating up on each other.

 

 

10 wins in probably the magic number I think.

[2006Coltsbestever]

3 minutes ago, 2006Coltsbestever said:

It looks like if the Steelers and Bills lose next week and we win, then we move up to 7th place. We would have a better Conference record than the Steelers and Bills.

To add to this, we have a better Conference record over the Broncos too.

[w87r]

12 minutes ago, 2006Coltsbestever said:

To add to this, we have a better Conference record over the Broncos too.

Yeah that's an advantage we have on every team below us.

 

Tied with Steelers and little % points behind the Texans.

[chad72]

4 minutes ago, w87r said:

Yeah that's an advantage we have on every team below us.

 

Tied with Steelers and little % points behind the Texans.

It’s a matter of time the Broncos close that gap, IMO. 
 

 

[OLD FAN MAN]

colts need to win out even then it will be hard to make the playoffs 

[w87r]

Just now, OLD FAN MAN said:

colts need to win out even then it will be hard to make the playoffs 

Yeah right.

 

Colts win out, 100% in the playoffs.

 

Colts win out, they will have a good chance at the Division Title.

[chad72]

28 minutes ago, w87r said:

 

10 wins in probably the magic number I think.

5-2 is doable with Burrow banged up and Steelers stinking it up

[w87r]

10 minutes ago, chad72 said:

It’s a matter of time the Broncos close that gap, IMO. 
 

 

They got a pretty tough road.

 

And being 1.5 games behind in the conference is a decent cushion.

 

4 minutes ago, chad72 said:

5-2 is doable with Burrow banged up and Steelers stinking it up

No doubt.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

I just realized there is a football  game next Friday. Is that new? It’s Dolphins vs jets.

[csmopar]

Well this season sure has surprised me. I’ll leave it at that. The AFC behind the Chiefs is still wide open 

[IinD]

[w87r]

7 minutes ago, Restinpeacesweetchloe said:

I just realized there is a football  game next Friday. Is that new? It’s Dolphins vs jets.

Yep, 3 on Thursday, 1 on Friday 

[w87r]

4 minutes ago, csmopar said:

Well this season sure has surprised me. I’ll leave it at that. The AFC behind the Chiefs is still wide open 

If Chiefs lose to the Eagles tomorrow night Baltimore will be the #1 seed.

[2006Coltsbestever]

Depending on tiebreakers, 9-8 could get us in. 10 to be safe but possibly 9 may do it? I think we can go 4-3 looking at our schedule. We definitely would have to beat the Steelers and Bengals in that scenario. 

7 minutes ago, csmopar said:

Well this season sure has surprised me. I’ll leave it at that. The AFC behind the Chiefs is still wide open 

I think it is fun if anything else. Compared to last year I love this  

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

21 minutes ago, w87r said:

Yep, 3 on Thursday, 1 on Friday 

Surprised it’s  not in prime time.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

6 minutes ago, Restinpeacesweetchloe said:

Surprised it’s  not in prime time.

If chiefs beat ravens and Texans beat jags it gets even more crowded.

Ignore this post lol 

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

I meant to say ravens lose and jags lose the afc gets even more crowded. KC loses even more.

[AwesomeAustin]

The Colts have to win the next three games if they want to make the playoffs. I know there are plenty of scenarios where they can still make it. However, they need to be sitting at 8-5 going into the last 4 games bc they will probably all be tough. All four of those teams may be fighting for a playoff spot. Would make some great football to end the year no matter what!!

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Bengals, Colts, Broncos all 5-5. Broncos have won 4 in a row and getting better.

[w87r]

3 hours ago, w87r said:

9. Colts 5-5, 2-2, 4-3, .490, .392 (Bucs, @Titans, @Bengals, Steelers, @Falcons, Raiders, Texans)

10. Bengals 5-5, 0-3, 1-5, .540, .458 (Steelers, @Jaguars, Colts, Vikings, @Steelers, @Chiefs, Browns)

11. Raiders 5-6, 1-1, 3-4, .455, .347 (Chiefs, Bye, Vikings, Chargers, @Chiefs, @Colts, Broncos)

12. Broncos 4-5, 1-2, 2-4, .511, .475 (Vikings, Browns, @Texans, @Chargers, @Lions, Patriots, Chargers, @Raiders)

Change in standings:

 

9. Colts 5-5, 2-2, 4-3, .490, .392 (Bucs, @Titans, @Bengals, Steelers, @Falcons, Raiders, Texans)

10. Broncos 5-5, 1-2, 2-4, .515, .500  (Browns, @Texans, @Chargers, @Lions, Patriots, Chargers, @Raiders)

11. Bengals 5-5, 0-3, 1-5, .540, .458 (Steelers, @Jaguars, Colts, Vikings, @Steelers, @Chiefs, Browns)

12. Raiders 5-6, 1-1, 3-4, .455, .347 (Chiefs, Bye, Vikings, Chargers, @Chiefs, @Colts, Broncos)

 

 

Edit: will update OP to reflect 

[NewColtsFan]

2 hours ago, w87r said:

If Chiefs lose to the Eagles tomorrow night Baltimore will be the #1 seed.

Chiefs and Eagles in a Super Bowl rematch in MNF!!    Ya think that might get great ratings?!?    I typically don’t care too much about non-Colts games, but this one?    I’ll be parked in front of my big screen.   
 

Should I count the number of Taylor Swift references?     

[NewColtsFan]

4 hours ago, w87r said:

Coming off the bye week, it's time to lock in.

 

Will keep this updated as season progresses:

 

• (overall record, division record, conference record, SOS, SOV)(remaining schedule)

 

Tie Breaker Order:

https://operations.nfl.com/the-rules/nfl-tie-breaking-procedures/

Division:

Conference:

 

AFC South Standings:

Jags 7-3, 3-1, 5-2(@Texans, Bengals, @Browns, Ravens, @Bucs, Panthers, @Titans)

Texans 6-4, 1-1, 3-2(Jaguars, Broncos, @Jets, @Titans, Browns, Titans, @Colts)

Colts 5-5 , 2-2, 4-3(Bucs, @Titans, @Bengals, Steelers, @Falcons, Raiders, Texans)

Titans 3-7, 0-2, 2-5(Panthers, Colts, @Dolphins, Texans, Seahawks, @Texans, Jaguars)

 

 

 

AFC Playoff Picture:

1. Chiefs 7-2, 2-1, 5-1, .534, .507 (Eagles, @Raiders, @Packers, Bills, Raiders, Bengals, @Chargers)

2. Ravens 8-3, 3-2, 5-3, .545, .525 (@Chargers, Rams, @Jaguars @49ers, Dolphins, Steelers)

3. Jaguars 7-3, 3-1, 5-2, .531, .471 (@Texans, Bengals, @Browns, Ravens, @Bucs, Panthers, @Titans)

4. Dolphins 7-3, 2-1, 5-2, .414, .296 (@Jets, @Commanders, Titans, Jets, Cowboys, @Ravens, Bills)

5. Browns 7-3, 3-2, 5-2, .545, .493 (@Broncos, @Rams, Jaguars, Bears, @Texans, Jets, @Bengals)

6. Texans 6-4, 1-1, 3-2, .465, .483 (Jaguars, Broncos, @Jets, @Titans, Browns, Titans, @Colts)

7. Steelers 6-4, 2-1, 4-3, .560, .492 (@Bengals, Cardinals, Patriots, @Colts, Bengals, @Seahawks, @Ravens)

 

Still in Hunt:

8. Bills 6-5, 2-2, 3-5, .438, .429 (@Eagles, Bye, @Chiefs, Cowboys, @Chargers, Patriots, @Dolphins)

9. Colts 5-5, 2-2, 4-3, .490, .392 (Bucs, @Titans, @Bengals, Steelers, @Falcons, Raiders, Texans)

10. Broncos 5-5, 1-2, 2-4, .515, .500 (Browns, @Texans, @Chargers, @Lions, Patriots, Chargers, @Raiders)

11. Bengals 5-5, 0-3, 1-5, .540, .458 (Steelers, @Jaguars, Colts, Vikings, @Steelers, @Chiefs, Browns)

12. Raiders 5-6, 1-1, 3-4, .455, .347 (Chiefs, Bye, Vikings, Chargers, @Chiefs, @Colts, Broncos)

13. Chargers 4-6, 1-1, 2-3, .540, .439 (Ravens, @Patriots, Broncos, @Raiders, Bills, @Broncos, Chiefs)

14. Jets 4-6, 1-2, 2-5, .515, .525 (Dolphins, Falcons, Texans, @Dolphins, Commanders, @Browns, @Patriots)

 

 

Not Officially Out:

15. Titans 3-7, 0-2, 2-5, .550, .433 (Panthers, Colts, @Dolphins, Texans, Seahawks, @Texans, Jaguars)

16. Patriots 2-8, 2-2, 2-4, .570, .474 (@Giants, Chargers, @Steelers, Chiefs, @Broncos, @Bills, Jets) 

 

 

 

Will update it after MNF this week, and then will keep it updated throughout the rest of the season.

Also….    Thanks for doing this.   Your post may get the most traffic here for the rest of the season!     

[craigerb]

15 hours ago, w87r said:

Outdoor not losing anymore, of course.

If so, we should open up LOS.

[w87r]

1 minute ago, craigerb said:

If so, we should open up LOS.

That was suppose to say, "outside of not losing anymore, of course".

 

[2006Coltsbestever]

12 hours ago, Restinpeacesweetchloe said:

Bengals, Colts, Broncos all 5-5. Broncos have won 4 in a row and getting better.

Each week is going to be a grinder. Are you prepared? If we beat the Bucs and get to 6-5, things really get real 

[indyagent17]

its encouraging to discuss playoff hopes but the reality is that our offense was terrible against the two of the worst teams in the league

[w87r]

4 hours ago, 2006Coltsbestever said:

Each week is going to be a grinder. Are you prepared? If we beat the Bucs and get to 6-5, things really get real 

[jblastick]

Worked on this last week before burrow injury but here's our path to winning the South.  Tried to keep it realistic.  Pretty much needs to happen exactly as noted below so you know who to root for each week.  

[RollerColt]

It'll be tough, but I guess I'll root against the Steelers every week for the rest of my life...

 

er... season... yeah... season. 

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

AFC is crazy.

 

 

[w87r]

On 11/19/2023 at 8:07 PM, w87r said:

1. Chiefs 7-2, 2-1, 5-1, .534, .507 (Eagles, @Raiders, @Packers, Bills, Raiders, Bengals, @Chargers)

2. Ravens 8-3, 3-2, 5-3, .545, .525 (@Chargers, Rams, @Jaguars @49ers, Dolphins, Steelers)

Change in Standings:

 

1. Ravens 8-3, 3-2, 5-3, .541, .519 (@Chargers, Rams, @Jaguars @49ers, Dolphins, Steelers)

2. Chiefs 7-3, 2-1, 5-1, .569, .500 (@Raiders, @Packers, Bills, Raiders, Bengals, @Chargers)

 

 

OP will be updated as well.

[w87r]

On 11/19/2023 at 8:07 PM, w87r said:

AFC Playoff Picture:

1. Ravens 8-3, 3-2, 5-3, .541, .519 (@Chargers, Rams, @Jaguars @49ers, Dolphins, Steelers)

2. Chiefs 7-3, 2-1, 5-1, .569, .500 (@Raiders, @Packers, Bills, Raiders, Bengals, @Chargers)

3. Jaguars 7-3, 3-1, 5-2, .535, .479 (@Texans, Bengals, @Browns, Ravens, @Bucs, Panthers, @Titans)

4. Dolphins 7-3, 2-1, 5-2, .427, .306 (@Jets, @Commanders, Titans, Jets, Cowboys, @Ravens, Bills)

5. Browns 7-3, 3-2, 5-2, .544, .500 (@Broncos, @Rams, Jaguars, Bears, @Texans, Jets, @Bengals)

6. Texans 6-4, 1-1, 3-2, .461, .475 (Jaguars, Broncos, @Jets, @Titans, Browns, Titans, @Colts)

7. Steelers 6-4, 2-1, 4-3, .569, .500 (@Bengals, Cardinals, Patriots, @Colts, Bengals, @Seahawks, @Ravens)

 

Still in Hunt:

8. Bills 6-5, 2-2, 3-5, .442, .429 (@Eagles, Bye, @Chiefs, Cowboys, @Chargers, Patriots, @Dolphins)

9. Colts 5-5, 2-2, 4-3, .495, .392 (Bucs, @Titans, @Bengals, Steelers, @Falcons, Raiders, Texans)

10. Broncos 5-5, 1-2, 2-4, .505, .491 (Browns, @Texans, @Chargers, @Lions, Patriots, Chargers, @Raiders)

11. Bengals 5-5, 0-3, 1-5, .548, .481 (Steelers, @Jaguars, Colts, Vikings, @Steelers, @Chiefs, Browns)

12. Raiders 5-6, 1-1, 3-4, .469, .353 (Chiefs, Bye, Vikings, Chargers, @Chiefs, @Colts, Broncos)

13. Chargers 4-6, 1-1, 2-3, .524, .419 (Ravens, @Patriots, Broncos, @Raiders, Bills, @Broncos, Chiefs)

14. Jets 4-6, 1-2, 2-5, .519, .548 (Dolphins, Falcons, Texans, @Dolphins, Commanders, @Browns, @Patriots)

 

 

Not Officially Out:

15. Titans 3-7, 0-2, 2-5, .545, .433 (Panthers, Colts, @Dolphins, Texans, Seahawks, @Texans, Jaguars)

16. Patriots 2-8, 2-2, 2-4, .573, .476 (@Giants, Chargers, @Steelers, Chiefs, @Broncos, @Bills, Jets) 

Updated OP.

 

Updated SOS, SOV as well.

[w87r]

12 minutes ago, Restinpeacesweetchloe said:

AFC is crazy.

 

 

Gonna be a shootout down the stretch.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

5 minutes ago, w87r said:

Gonna be a shootout down the stretch.

Makes it even more interesting with browns and bengals starting QB out with injuries. Steelers have no offense. 

[EasyE]

Just now, Restinpeacesweetchloe said:

Makes it even more interesting with browns and bengals starting QB out with injuries. Steelers have no offense. 

Yep, but Browns have proved they can win several times without Watson

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

23 minutes ago, EasyE said:

Yep, but Browns have proved they can win several times without Watson

Browns defense is elite so yes as long as the QB doesn’t make mistakes they should be fine. We will what happens.