Over Under Win Totals

[Blue Horseshoe]

http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/eye-on-football/24640471/more-2014-nfl-over-under-win-totals-released

 

Which of these do you agree with and which look completely ridiculous?

Atlanta Falcons -- 8.5
Baltimore Ravens -- 8.5
Buffalo Bills -- 6.5
Carolina Panthers -- 8.5
Chicago Bears -- 8.5
Cincinnati Bengals -- 9
Cleveland Browns -- 6.5
Dallas Cowboys -- 7.5
Denver Broncos -- 11.5
Detroit Lions -- 8.5
Green Bay Packers -- 10.5
Houston Texans - 7.5
Indianapolis Colts -- 9.5
Jacksonville Jaguars -- 5
Kansas City Chiefs -- 8
Miami Dolphins -- 7.5
Minnesota Vikings -- 6
New England Patriots -- 11
New Orleans Saints -- 10
New York Giants -- 8
New York Jets -- 7
Oakland Raiders -- 5
Philadelphia Eagles -- 9
Pittsburgh Steelers -- 8.5
San Diego Chargers -- 8
San Francisco 49ers -- 10.5
Seattle Seahawks -- 11
St. Louis Rams -- 7.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -- 7
Tennessee Titans -- 7
Washington Redskins -- 7.5

[21isSuperman]

http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/eye-on-football/24640471/more-2014-nfl-over-under-win-totals-released

 

Which of these do you agree with and which look completely ridiculous?

Atlanta Falcons -- 8.5

Baltimore Ravens -- 8.5

Buffalo Bills -- 6.5

Carolina Panthers -- 8.5

Chicago Bears -- 8.5

Cincinnati Bengals -- 9

Cleveland Browns -- 6.5

Dallas Cowboys -- 7.5

Denver Broncos -- 11.5

Detroit Lions -- 8.5

Green Bay Packers -- 10.5

Houston Texans - 7.5

Indianapolis Colts -- 9.5

Jacksonville Jaguars -- 5

Kansas City Chiefs -- 8

Miami Dolphins -- 7.5

Minnesota Vikings -- 6

New England Patriots -- 11

New Orleans Saints -- 10

New York Giants -- 8

New York Jets -- 7

Oakland Raiders -- 5

Philadelphia Eagles -- 9

Pittsburgh Steelers -- 8.5

San Diego Chargers -- 8

San Francisco 49ers -- 10.5

Seattle Seahawks -- 11

St. Louis Rams -- 7.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -- 7

Tennessee Titans -- 7

Washington Redskins -- 7.5

Saints, Patriots, Broncos, and Seahawks are all almost certain to be over.  I'm very confident that we will be over 9.5.  I would take the under on the Titans winning 7

[Shane Bond]

Texans and Giants are under estimated a bit. Red skins will be under.

[Loneranger]

http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/eye-on-football/24640471/more-2014-nfl-over-under-win-totals-released

 

Which of these do you agree with and which look completely ridiculous?

Atlanta Falcons -- 8.5

Baltimore Ravens -- 8.5

Buffalo Bills -- 6.5

Carolina Panthers -- 8.5

Chicago Bears -- 8.5

Cincinnati Bengals -- 9

Cleveland Browns -- 6.5

Dallas Cowboys -- 7.5

Denver Broncos -- 11.5

Detroit Lions -- 8.5

Green Bay Packers -- 10.5

Houston Texans - 7.5

Indianapolis Colts -- 9.5

Jacksonville Jaguars -- 5

Kansas City Chiefs -- 8

Miami Dolphins -- 7.5

Minnesota Vikings -- 6

New England Patriots -- 11

New Orleans Saints -- 10

New York Giants -- 8

New York Jets -- 7

Oakland Raiders -- 5

Philadelphia Eagles -- 9

Pittsburgh Steelers -- 8.5

San Diego Chargers -- 8

San Francisco 49ers -- 10.5

Seattle Seahawks -- 11

St. Louis Rams -- 7.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -- 7

Tennessee Titans -- 7

Washington Redskins -- 7.5

I don't see a lot wrong with the list. I expect the Texans to be over just a little bit. I expect Miami to be under but not much. San Diego should be over as will be the Seahawks. I agree Titans might be under just a little. I wouldn't want to bet much on these numbers being very far off.

[Superman]

The lowest are the Jags and Raiders at 5, the Vikings at 6, and the Bills and Browns at 6.5. 

 

I think the best bet would be to roll on all 32 teams. You can pick out 12-16 teams to take the under on (there will certainly be some 3-4 win teams, and some of the 9-10 win prospects will fall short). Start with the Giants, Vikings, Rams and Bucs. Then you can take the over on a couple teams; I think 8 is low for either the Chiefs or the Chargers, pick one, and 8.5 is probably low for the Ravens. If forced, I'd take the over on the Broncos, Colts, Pats, Eagles and Bears. I think the Falcons, Texans, Rams, Packers, Seahawks, Dolphins, Bengals are virtual pushes.

[GoPats]

How are the Broncos 11.5 while the Seahawks are 11? Schedule difficulty? I thought Denver had a tough slate in 2014? Honest question. That's the only thing that jumped out at me. 

[chad72]

Browns, Buccaneers and Panthers will win lesser than projected.

[HtownColt]

Ima go to Vegas and go the over on the Raiders

What are the odds on the Raiders over 5? Has to be some good odds like 12/1

[supremecoltsfan300]

Saints, Patriots, Broncos, and Seahawks are all almost certain to be over.  I'm very confident that we will be over 9.5.  I would take the under on the Titans winning 7

 

Agree with this. I'd say take the over on the eagles too.  They're easily going to win 10 games this year.

[jvan1973]

Ima go to Vegas and go the over on the Raiders

What are the odds on the Raiders over 5? Has to be some good odds like 12/1

they are all even money bets. You can pick over or under

[supremecoltsfan300]

How are the Broncos 11.5 while the Seahawks are 11? Schedule difficulty? I thought Denver had a tough slate in 2014? Honest question. That's the only thing that jumped out at me. 

 

Superbowl Hangover maybe? I think Denver will do better than the seahawks this year in the win department, but I agree that I would have expected vegas to have flipped seattle's and Denver's odds.  It could be heavy betting by the public on Denver pushed the line up a bit.

[supremecoltsfan300]

Browns, Buccaneers and Panthers will win lesser than projected.

I think Tampa will win exactly 7. Great Offensive weaons and I think McCown will do well there.  Solid defense. That should translate to seven wins. I agree that Cleveland and Panthers will be pretty bad.

[HtownColt]

they are all even money bets. You can pick over or under

Oh my bad, thought they would differ based on the consensus predictions of how good each team is. Probably should've clicked the link

[chad72]

How are the Broncos 11.5 while the Seahawks are 11? Schedule difficulty? I thought Denver had a tough slate in 2014? Honest question. That's the only thing that jumped out at me. 

 

Seahawks do play their division rivals twice and 2 out of their 3 losses last year came against division rivals with the 3rd against the AFC (Colts).

 

Plus, look at their road games outside their division - Chiefs, Chargers, Saints, Eagles, Redskins - just 1 non-playoff team. So, their schedule is no less tougher than the Broncos, IMO.

[BOTT]

Would take the over on the Patriots, Saints, Colts, Steelers

Take the under on the Bucs

[jvan1973]

under on browns at 6.5 is easy money

[Loneranger]

under on browns at 6.5 is easy money

Then make a bet and collect. I believe you are probably right but I don't believe it enough to bet on that number at all.

[jvan1973]

Then make a bet and collect. I believe you are probably right but I don't believe it enough to bet on that number at all.

they haven't won more than 5 games since 2007. Their qb situation is a joke. If i was going to be in Vegas before the season started i would put money on it

[21isSuperman]

Agree with this. I'd say take the over on the eagles too.  They're easily going to win 10 games this year.

I'm still unsure on the Eagles.  I can't determine if Nick Foles was just a 1 year wonder or if he is really that good

[BPM_Colt]

http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/eye-on-football/24640471/more-2014-nfl-over-under-win-totals-released

 

Which of these do you agree with and which look completely ridiculous?

Atlanta Falcons -- 8.5

Baltimore Ravens -- 8.5

Buffalo Bills -- 6.5

Carolina Panthers -- 8.5

Chicago Bears -- 8.5

Cincinnati Bengals -- 9

Cleveland Browns -- 6.5

Dallas Cowboys -- 7.5

Denver Broncos -- 11.5

Detroit Lions -- 8.5

Green Bay Packers -- 10.5

Houston Texans - 7.5

Indianapolis Colts -- 9.5

Jacksonville Jaguars -- 5

Kansas City Chiefs -- 8

Miami Dolphins -- 7.5

Minnesota Vikings -- 6

New England Patriots -- 11

New Orleans Saints -- 10

New York Giants -- 8

New York Jets -- 7

Oakland Raiders -- 5

Philadelphia Eagles -- 9

Pittsburgh Steelers -- 8.5

San Diego Chargers -- 8

San Francisco 49ers -- 10.5

Seattle Seahawks -- 11

St. Louis Rams -- 7.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -- 7

Tennessee Titans -- 7

Washington Redskins -- 7.5

Don't see anything too far off.. Although, there will be a team or 2 with 3-4 wins

 

Also see Saints, Pats, Broncos, Colts, and Hawks for sure over

[supremecoltsfan300]

I'm still unsure on the Eagles. I can't determine if Nick Foles was just a 1 year wonder or if he is really that good

I don't think it matters honestly. it's the system. I don't know how much of the eagles you've seen this preseason, but all the back up qbs have looked great as well as the rbs. I saw the local broadcast last night and they pointed out how Sanchez was going up against the Steelers 1st team defense in the third quarter. On his two drives, Sanchez roasted them with a backup oline and backup WRs. It's up to foles not to sink the ship, but I think if he just plays within the system, he'll allow the team to score a lot. That eagles o-line will give him all day to throw.

[Qwiz]

I don't think it matters honestly. it's the system. I don't know how much of the eagles you've seen this preseason, but all the back up qbs have looked great as well as the rbs. I saw the local broadcast last night and they pointed out how Sanchez was going up against the Steelers 1st team defense in the third quarter. On his two drives, Sanchez roasted them with a backup oline and backup WRs. It's up to foles not to sink the ship, but I think if he just plays within the system, he'll allow the team to score a lot. That eagles o-line will give him all day to throw.

Yep. Eagles are gonna make a lot of noise this year.

[dw49]

Under Houston , Washington , Philly and Oakland.

[Synthetic]

How are the Broncos 11.5 while the Seahawks are 11? Schedule difficulty? I thought Denver had a tough slate in 2014? Honest question. That's the only thing that jumped out at me. 

 

I have them going 10-6, their schedule is way too tough for a repeat. Last year they really had an easy schedule. Outside of Indy, NE, they had it made outside of 2 overrated divisional opponents.

[akcolt]

I'm still unsure on the Eagles.  I can't determine if Nick Foles was just a 1 year wonder or if he is really that good

I am pretty interested in that myself and the league has a full year of film on him and Chips offense. I have become an Oregon fan since my move west.

 

Chip's offense is all set up off the run.  Shady needs help not sure how many 314 carry seasons he has in him. He traded for Barner. We will see if he run the ball in the  NFL or that was just a special teams move. Sproles not sure what he has left in the take. Henry Josey looks like a perfect fit for what he likes to do. I would not be surprised to see Polk cut.

 

It is kind of ironic how much value Chip put's in special teams but not being able to find a K is what cost him at Oregon and it is becoming a problem in the NFL as well.

[mycou1992]

I agree with Broncos, Don't agree Texans

[oldunclemark]

How are the Broncos 11.5 while the Seahawks are 11? Schedule difficulty? I thought Denver had a tough slate in 2014? Honest question. That's the only thing that jumped out at me.

But they dont play the SAME schedule.

Seattle plays poor boy Oakland once..Denver gets to play them twice..Seattle plays overrated KC once...Denver plays them twice..

Denver only has to play SF and Pheonix once...Seattle plays them twice.

Denver's schedule is tough but Seattle probably has a tougher schedule in a tougher conference..

[oldunclemark]

SF (10.5) under

Cleveland (6.5) under

Bears (8.5) under

Pittsburgh (8.5) under

St. Louis (7.5) under

Kansas City (8) under

Green Bay (10.5) under

Baltimore (8.5) under

Detroit (8,5) over

Houston (7.5) over

Tampa (7) over

Cincinnatti (9) over

Seattle (11) over

Denver (11.5) over

New England (11) over

Eagles (9) over

[chad72]

I think Tampa will win exactly 7. Great Offensive weaons and I think McCown will do well there.  Solid defense. That should translate to seven wins. I agree that Cleveland and Panthers will be pretty bad.

 

Did you see McCown play? He is looking terrible. Go the under on Tampa too, no doubt. Lovie Smith should have continued with Mike Glennon, now he is setting his young QB's progress back. Maybe McCown looked better due to Jeffery and Marshall?

[supremecoltsfan300]

Did you see McCown play? He is looking terrible. Go the under on Tampa too, no doubt. Lovie Smith should have continued with Mike Glennon, now he is setting his young QB's progress back. Maybe McCown looked better due to Jeffery and Marshall?

I'll watch today's preseason game later and see how he looked. but just going by his stats, he seems to have done pretty good. Only 3 incompletions and one sack.

[chad72]

I'll watch today's preseason game later and see how he looked. but just going by his stats, he seems to have done pretty good. Only 3 incompletions and one sack.

 

It is more a function of his O-line, I started realizing. I don't think the Bucs OL is as good as I thought it was. Doug Martin and the other RBs kept getting stuffed for losses several times and I feel after a while the Bucs may just have to air it out more leading to offensive inefficiency because their run game is not going anywhere. At least that is how I felt.

[akcolt]

Did you see McCown play? He is looking terrible. Go the under on Tampa too, no doubt. Lovie Smith should have continued with Mike Glennon, now he is setting his young QB's progress back. Maybe McCown looked better due to Jeffery and Marshall?

McCown was a product of the system and having maybe the best WR duo in the league.

[supremecoltsfan300]

It is more a function of his O-line, I started realizing. I don't think the Bucs OL is as good as I thought it was. Doug Martin and the other RBs kept getting stuffed for losses several times and I feel after a while the Bucs may just have to air it out more leading to offensive inefficiency because their run game is not going anywhere. At least that is how I felt.

I thought last year the problem had to be somewhat the oline too. Doug Martin had a horrible ypa last year, can't believe he just suddenly sucked since he's still very young. I think having two huge targets will help McCown as the season progresses. Once he develops chemistry with them, I think it will be just like Marshall and Jeffrey.