2022 PFF: Colts Offense (W1)

[EastStreet]

New Year!!

 

FYI 

• Separated O and D grades (2 threads) this year. Too much (info/lines) last year. 
• Snaps and PFF grades rounded (no XX.XX)
• Snaps - per game (%, not # snaps)
• PFF grade - not per game, current year's total grade
• Color/bold text (good vs bad, and range) changed - see bottom

 

General Group Comments

• QB - interested to see ADV stats. Pressure, PA vs RPO, etc.. Might post later in another thread. 
• RB - Expected more from Hines, and 2 RB sets. 
• TE - Granson (45 grade) slightly more snaps over Mo (71)... Stop. lol
• WR - Good week except for Pierce (40). More snaps for Strachan (88) and Dulin (71).
• OL - good to great from C/LG/LT. RG and RT meh. Worst Smith I've ever seen. 

 

Article from SI/PFF

https://www.si.com/nfl/colts/news/colts-pff-grades-week-1-texans

 

 

QB

• Ryan (75 - 2021 PFF)
  • Snaps% - 100/
  • PFF - 59-1 INT/
  • PR (90) - 83/
  • QBR (46) - 48/
  • Note: Brought us back! fix fumbles...
• Foles (60) - NA/
• Ehlinger - NA/

RB

• Taylor (87)
  • Snaps% - 76/
  • PFF - 69/
  • Note - Brought us back....good yards, but mistakes. Lower shoulder=1st Down
• Hines (73)
  • Snaps% - 28/
  • PFF - 66/
• Jackson
  • Snaps% - NA/
  • PFF - NA/

TE1

• Alie-Cox (66)
  • Snaps% - 54/
  • PFF - 71/
  • Note: More snaps... and more YAC 

TE2

• Granson (59)
  • Snaps% - 55/
  • PFF - 45/
  • Note - why high snaps, even slightly Mo... stop lol
• Woods (rook)
  • Snaps% - 9/
  • PFF - NA/

WR1

• Pittman (78)
  • Snaps% - 98/
  • PFF - 78/
• Dulin (60)
  • Snaps% - 35/
  • PFF - 71/
  • Note: Should have caught ball, but great DB punch.

WR2

• Campbell (63)
  • Snaps% - 77/
  • PFF - 60/
  • Note - more slant routes please

WR3

• Pierce (rook)
  • Snaps% - 51/
  • PFF - 40/
  • Note - rook.. horrible, he'll get better, just needs time. Need snaps from others now. 
• Strachan (62)
  • Snaps% - 12/
  • PFF - 88/
  • Note - more snaps/targets please
• Patmon (65)
  • Snaps% - NA/
  • PFF - NA/

LT

• Pryor (77-0 Sacks)
  • Snaps% - 87/
  • PFF - 65/
  • Note: Great given vs Greenard (2021 PFF 83-8 Sacks). Nice!
• Raimann (rook)
  • Snaps% - 17/
  • PFF - 73/
  • Note - 12 snaps LT, 4 snaps extra LT / eligible. Nice 73!

LG

• Nelson (69-1)
  • Snaps% - 100/
  • PFF - 82/
  • Note - he's backkkkkkkkk. 

C

• R Kelly (57-3)
  • Snaps% - 100/
  • PFF - 69/
  • Note - Great improvement over 2021. Fix those fumbles with Matt.
• French - NA/

RG

• Pinter (75-0)
  • Snaps% - 100/
  • PFF - 57/
  • Note - better please!
• Fries - NA/

RT

• Smith (81-4)
  • Snaps% - 100/
  • PFF - 58-1/
  • Note - simple bad... IMO, 2 sacks maybe, not 1. OL designed?
• D Kelly - NA/
• Tenuta - NA/

 

 

Good: 70+ (bold blue)
Average: 55-69 (normal)
Bad: Less 55 (bold red)

 

 

 

[EastStreet]

FYI... tried to clean up stuff (format, data, etc.) a bit vs last season. 

 

Will allow specific side (O or D) conversation/discussion. 

 

No PFF top 5 tweets this year. But a good/similar article via SI (link above). 

[BeanDiasucci]

Thanks for doing this. I find it interesting and enlightening. 

[Solid84]

Fits what I saw during the game.

 

Don't get the Granson infatuation - would much rather see more Mo and even Woods. Pierce had a rough first game, he'll improve. Right side of the OL was really weak - Smith was by far the worst Olineman in my book.

 

Really wish Frank would involve more of our players. Feel like some got too many looks like Pitts (13) and Granson (7) and some got too few like Mo (2) and Strachan (2).

[EastStreet]

10 minutes ago, Solid84 said:

Fits what I saw during the game.

 

Don't get the Granson infatuation - would much rather see more Mo and even Woods. Pierce had a rough first game, he'll improve. Right side of the OL was really weak - Smith was by far the worst Olineman in my book.

 

Really wish Frank would involve more of our players. Feel like some got too many looks like Pitts (13) and Granson (7) and some got too few like Mo (2) and Strachan (2).

 

Reich loves Burton types.... don't understand lol... Trying to change 100% of his college game/skill/experience. Not working.

 

Mo was good. Don't understand lol. 

 

Pierce will fine. Reich needs patience, and stop forcing.. More Strachan and Dulin. Guess Reggie will push. 

 

Loved C, LG, LT... 

Improvement on Ryan. Nelson back! Pryor impressed vs Greenard. Rainman good too. 

 

RG+RT... meh... IMO, we'll see better play G2. Confident in both Pinter and Smith. 

 

WR snaps/targets... IMO

Assume we normally 2.5 WRs per play, so 250% snaps...

So...

Pitt 90%

Campbell 70%

Strachan 30%

Dulin 30%

Pierce 30%

Total 250ish% snaps / 2.5 avg WRs per play

 

98% was too much for Pitt. Needs a little rest lol.. 

[GoColts8818]

Nice to see that what I thought about Kelly was confirmed.  I thought he played pretty well and him and Nelson were back out there being monsters in the run block game.

 

Right side of the line yikes.  Hopefully it’s just an adjustment period but they seem to be really missing Glow.

[DougDew]

Thanks for putting together.  A few thoughts:

 

Not many really. 

 

• Overall good performance by the O....even performances by each group.
• The receivers showed up.  Ryan decision making?
• The LTs held up.
• Surprised JT wasn't in the 70s.
• Granson. Sigh.
• For a 37 year old pocket passer, I'm concerned about PR more than QBR.  Fumbles need cleaned up.
• Off day for Braden...IIRC he had struggles early last season too.  Slow starter?

[JediXMan]

Glad to see this is back. I agree more Mo, and Strachan especially in the red zone. I hope the fumbling gets solved soon.

[aReggie7]

I certainly want to see less Granson and more Taylor/Hines together and 3 wide receiver sets. You count on your most dependable people. Granson was tied with Taylor for the second most targets Sunday...he is not it right now. 

 

Need to get Campbell more involved. 

 

I thought Pryor played as well as we could hope for. The Colts are not sold on him at LT though as they giving Raimann some snaps there. Either way I just hope whoever they put at LT doesn't leave us discussing how good AC was. 

 

Smith...yikes. 

[EastStreet]

2 minutes ago, aReggie7 said:

I certainly want to see less Granson and more Taylor/Hines together and 3 wide receiver sets. You count on your most dependable people. Granson was tied with Taylor for the second most targets Sunday...he is not it right now. 

 

The scheme / game-plan / early script / personnel use IMO was just totally wonky with so much Granson focus... OUCH... UGLY

Reich has way too love for Granson. 

 

2 minutes ago, aReggie7 said:

 

Need to get Campbell more involved. 

Yup... and was disappointed on routes. Not how he ran routes, disappointed chosen routes. More need slants and verts. 

2 minutes ago, aReggie7 said:

 

I thought Pryor played as well as we could hope for. The Colts are not sold on him at LT though as they giving Raimann some snaps there. Either way I just hope whoever they put at LT doesn't leave us discussing how good AC was. 

 

Smith...yikes. 

 

Predicted they would push Raiman. IMO it's not a confidence issue (Pryor), just internal push on Raimann development. Would be great for $$ and long term planning. Likely more a confidence issue with Pinter at G. He's better at C, but can't do that now. 

 

Just hope they don't force things with Raimann. I'm good with snaps. Just can't allow $$ to create pressures. 

 

[throwing BBZ]

Sorry, i went back and watched every Pinter play.

 He gave up almost nothing as a pass blocker and controlled and maintained his blocks in the run game. PFF gives you nothing for this if the play isn't through you. He did a very good job keeping his man out of the play all game long. I Grade his PFF grade... garbage.

 BTW, Smith had a very good game crashing down to the inside making plenty of important holes. His run blocking grade should have been in the 80's.

[Moosejawcolt]

1 hour ago, EastStreet said:

 

Reich loves Burton types.... don't understand lol... Trying to change 100% of his college game/skill/experience. Not working.

 

Mo was good. Don't understand lol. 

 

Pierce will fine. Reich needs patience, and stop forcing.. More Strachan and Dulin. Guess Reggie will push. 

 

Loved C, LG, LT... 

Improvement on Ryan. Nelson back! Pryor impressed vs Greenard. Rainman good too. 

 

RG+RT... meh... IMO, we'll see better play G2. Confident in both Pinter and Smith. 

 

WR snaps/targets... IMO

Assume we normally 2.5 WRs per play, so 250% snaps...

So...

Pitt 90%

Campbell 70%

Strachan 30%

Dulin 30%

Pierce 30%

Total 250ish% snaps / 2.5 avg WRs per play

 

98% was too much for Pitt. Needs a little rest lol.. 

I know u said Nelson is back but shouldn't he be scoring in the 90s for PFF? Isn't that elite scoring? 

[EastStreet]

50 minutes ago, throwing BBZ said:

Sorry, i went back and watched every Pinter play.

 He gave up almost nothing as a pass blocker and controlled and maintained his blocks in the run game. PFF gives you nothing for this if the play isn't through you. He did a very good job keeping his man out of the play all game long. I Grade his PFF grade... garbage.

 BTW, Smith had a very good game crashing down to the inside making plenty of important holes. His run blocking grade should have been in the 80's.

 

Thought Pinter was not horrible, but was very meh.

 

And Smith was horrible. Maybe Fisher gave Braden his skates?

 

Honestly... their grades match my eyes..... and most eyes (many other posters) pre-PFF post.... 

 

Re-watched a little, but no plan to rewatch again. Maybe later this week if bored. 

 

I will check on sharp #s later when dropped later this week. Very clear facts on running per hole. 

[Nickster]

Looked like what I saw.  The line was average at best.  My guess is most of those scores were from excellent run blocking and well below average pass blocking exactly like last year.

 

LT and C were OK.  LG was excellent run blocking, pretty average pass blocking would be my guess in PFf numbers.  Right side sucked.  Pretty much what I posted today.  I’m hoping we can be an average pass blocking team  that is the aspiration.  We haven’t played that well in a long time.

 

QB wasn’t good.  He was OK.  Rewatching the all 22, he missed some stuff early made some good plays late.

 

JT took what was blocked and was steady. I like his patience but he wasn’t special Sunday. But he was good even though he didn’t break free.  Had great holes many plays and did his job. His specialness is his open field speed which he didn’t really get to use Sunday.

 

Pittman had a nice game.  Steady Eddy  Not a game breaker.  He’d be a great 2nd fiddle on a contender.  Our team has no explosiveness if JT  doesn’t break a long one.  Pretty much none other than that.
 

Cox is an excellent blocker leading some to believe he’s a good receiver which doesn’t really make sense but hey whatever.

 

we didn’t look good.  The numbers must have been disastrous before we scored a couple late TDs.

 

Glad we came back to tie.  But yikes the Texans.

 

Hot Rod had to go.

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Nickster]

59 minutes ago, throwing BBZ said:

Sorry, i went back and watched every Pinter play.

 He gave up almost nothing as a pass blocker and controlled and maintained his blocks in the run game. PFF gives you nothing for this if the play isn't through you. He did a very good job keeping his man out of the play all game long. I Grade his PFF grade... garbage.

 BTW, Smith had a very good game crashing down to the inside making plenty of important holes. His run blocking grade should have been in the 80's.

I watched all 22 and I disagree with your assessment.  And I truly believe that you don’t really understand what you are looking at but bluster on as if you do.

 

Pinter wasn’t terrible he was passable.  That’s good enough for a RG. He wasn’t good but he wasn’t bad.  Fair grade IMO.

 

Dude when you are grading and you are seeing a guy just sealing opposite play side or part of a double that doesn’t really drive the defender back or something then you get a 0 grade.  Neither positive or negative.  There’s no reason for you to get a positive grade for that type of play.  The only thing that can be graded on these type of plays are getting blown up or getting whipped on a double.  Most of these plays are zero grades with occasional negative grades.  There is no real chance for a positive grade.

[EastStreet]

3 minutes ago, Nickster said:

Looked like what I saw.  The line was average at best.  My guess is most of those scores were from excellent run blocking and well below average pass blocking exactly like last year.

 

LT and C were OK.  LG was excellent run blocking, pretty average pass blocking would be my guess in PFf numbers.  Right side sucked.  Pretty much what I posted today.  I’m hoping we can be an average pass blocking team  that is the aspiration.  We haven’t played that well in a long time.

 

QB wasn’t good.  He was OK.  Rewatching the all 22, he missed some stuff early made some good plays late.

 

JT took what was blocked and was steady. I like his patience but he wasn’t special Sunday. But he was good even though he didn’t break free.  Had great holes many plays and did his job. His specialness is his open field speed which he didn’t really get to use Sunday.

 

Pittman had a nice game.  Steady Eddy  Not a game breaker.  He’d be a great 2nd fiddle on a contender.  Our team has no explosiveness if JT  doesn’t break a long one.  Pretty much none other than that.
 

Cox is an excellent blocker leading some to believe he’s a good receiver which doesn’t really make sense but hey whatever.

 

we didn’t look good.  The numbers must have been disastrous before we scored a couple late TDs.

 

Glad we came back to tie.  But yikes the Texans.

 

Hot Rod had to go.

Agree - R side OL... meh.. 

 

Disagree - 

Cox has good hands. And gets YAC. Given his low snaps and low route participation, it's a crime.

Granson is focus in O.? Reich smoking?

 

Pitt is an X. You should adjust expectation/opinion vs reality. How would you rank against other true Xs? Easily top #5. 

See X, not just a WR.

 

And I'll say again... great Greenard DE/Edge vs first ever LT Pryor... expectation?

Greenard 2021 PFF - 82.9 grade, 8 sacks...... 

Greenard 2022 G1 -  57.7 grade, 0 sacks...... (only 1 pressure W1)... 

 

I'll take it (LT)... and take a 

 

 

[Boondoggle]

If Ryan just plays smart we win that game and a lot more ahead.  Be careful with the ball.  Be the veteran presence.  Keep the guys even keeled through the down points in the game.

[GoColts8818]

14 minutes ago, Boondoggle said:

If Ryan just plays smart we win that game and a lot more ahead.  Be careful with the ball.  Be the veteran presence.  Keep the guys even keeled through the down points in the game.

Ryan did those things Sunday.

[EastStreet]

1 hour ago, Moosejawcolt said:

I know u said Nelson is back but shouldn't he be scoring in the 90s for PFF? Isn't that elite scoring? 

 

roll eyes.... 

 

context... 

 

This week (G grades)...... 

1. Teller 84.9 (right guard)
2. Davis 83.9 (right guard)
3. Parham 82.3 (right guard, rook, low snaps due to injury)
4. Nelson 81.8 (left guard)

 

Understand now?

#1 Left Guard.... 

[GoColts8818]

Just now, EastStreet said:

 

roll eyes.... 

 

context... 

 

This week (G grades)...... 

1. Teller 84.9 (right guard)
2. Davis 83.9 (right guard)
3. Parham 82.3 (right guard, rook, low snaps due to injury)
4. Nelson 81.8 (left guard)

 

Understand now?

#1 Left Guard.... 

but but but must trash Nelson so I can say I was right about the Colts being dumb for keeping him…

[EastStreet]

23 minutes ago, Boondoggle said:

If Ryan just plays smart we win that game and a lot more ahead.  Be careful with the ball.  Be the veteran presence.  Keep the guys even keeled through the down points in the game.

Maybe... agree MR can be better.... 

 

And maybe some other things too... 

 

Perhaps

bad scripts on O

granson focus in O.... 

forcing a rook WR in G1

bad balance early, letting Ds condense

and our passing D make another no-name QB looks great... 

 

Perhaps some of those things help MR.. 

 

[EastStreet]

3 minutes ago, GoColts8818 said:

but but but must trash Nelson so I can say I was right about the Colts being dumb for keeping him…

lol... yup. 

 

and trashed Leonard (no snaps), and compare vs different position lol. 

[Moosejawcolt]

1 hour ago, EastStreet said:

 

roll eyes.... 

 

context... 

 

This week (G grades)...... 

1. Teller 84.9 (right guard)
2. Davis 83.9 (right guard)
3. Parham 82.3 (right guard, rook, low snaps due to injury)
4. Nelson 81.8 (left guard)

 

Understand now?

#1 Left Guard.... 

Gotcha.

[Moosejawcolt]

1 hour ago, EastStreet said:

 

roll eyes.... 

 

context... 

 

This week (G grades)...... 

1. Teller 84.9 (right guard)
2. Davis 83.9 (right guard)
3. Parham 82.3 (right guard, rook, low snaps due to injury)
4. Nelson 81.8 (left guard)

 

Understand now?

#1 Left Guard.... 

Just saying. The next guard closest to Neslon is making 16.5 and Nelson is making 20 million. Shouldn't he be grading as the highest if he is a transcendent talent? I mean a transcendent/generational talent is to me above his peers. I think of Donald when compared to his fellow DTs.

[EastStreet]

5 minutes ago, Moosejawcolt said:

Just saying. The next guard closest to Neslon is making 16.5 and Nelson is making 20 million. Shouldn't he be grading as the highest if he is a transcendent talent? I mean a transcendent/generational talent is to me above his peers. I think of Donald when compared to his fellow DTs.

 

And that guy, Scherff, we'll see this weekend (Jax)...

He was a 1st draft, #5.... 

4-5 Pro-Bowls..

He was tagged twice.

He made 18M last year. 16.5 is AVG...

And he's a RG... 

 

Help?

[Matabix]

12 hours ago, EastStreet said:

FYI... tried to clean up stuff (format, data, etc.) a bit vs last season. 

 

Will allow specific side (O or D) conversation/discussion. 

 

No PFF top 5 tweets this year. But a good/similar article via SI (link above). 

Hmm, by PFF grade the 5 best OL was Kelly, Q, Pryor, Smith, Raimann.  Wonder what spots they should take if they put in best 5?

[Solid84]

17 minutes ago, Matabix said:

Hmm, by PFF grade the 5 best OL was Kelly, Q, Pryor, Smith, Raimann.  Wonder what spots they should take if they put in best 5?

LT- Raimann

LG- Q

C- Kelly

RG- Smith

RT- Pryor

[Matabix]

1 hour ago, Solid84 said:

LT- Raimann

LG- Q

C- Kelly

RG- Smith

RT- Pryor

With those 3 in the middle a 4th and 20 dive play is possible. 

[Moosejawcolt]

9 hours ago, EastStreet said:

 

And that guy, Scherff, we'll see this weekend (Jax)...

He was a 1st draft, #5.... 

4-5 Pro-Bowls..

He was tagged twice.

He made 18M last year. 16.5 is AVG...

And he's a RG... 

 

Help?

Sure. U know more about football than me. Is LG a harder postion to play?

[lollygagger8]

1) I just want Matty Ice and the O to focus on play action and perfect it. That would make them deadly. 

2) I agree that Granson taking Mo Cox reps is criminal. Granson doesn't appear to be good at blocking or catching, so why? 

3) Hines really needs to be lined up in the slot and used as a WR more - and not used on punt returns anymore.

4) Pierce will figure it out. I really hope Campbell starts to contribute. 

5) I'd like to see more Strachan.

 

 

[EastStreet]

1 hour ago, Moosejawcolt said:

Sure. U know more about football than me. Is LG a harder postion to play?

LG vs RG is debatable. It's not a "harder" question. 

 

Some coaches or schemes rank positions differently. RTDB coaches might even say Gs are more important on Ts. 

Most say LT is #1...

After that, ton of ranks per position. 

 

If you avg $ of top 3 LGs, and top 3 RGs, little more $$ at LG. Not a huge difference. 

 

 

[EastStreet]

4 hours ago, Matabix said:

Hmm, by PFF grade the 5 best OL was Kelly, Q, Pryor, Smith, Raimann.  Wonder what spots they should take if they put in best 5?

I don't understand?

[EastStreet]

2 hours ago, lollygagger8 said:

1) I just want Matty Ice and the O to focus on play action and perfect it. That would make them deadly. 

2) I agree that Granson taking Mo Cox reps is criminal. Granson doesn't appear to be good at blocking or catching, so why? 

3) Hines really needs to be lined up in the slot and used as a WR more - and not used on punt returns anymore.

4) Pierce will figure it out. I really hope Campbell starts to contribute. 

5) I'd like to see more Strachan.

Yup, some criminal stuff lol...

 

More snaps/targets for MAC and Strachan.

Less to Granson.

Slower with Pierce (no need to rush).

 

Campbell needs more slants and verts. Way too shallow.... ADOT was 5 yards....  Not a fan of chosen slot routes for Campbell at all.

When Pitt got slot routes, he got better and deeper slot routes. And IMO, more outside routes for Parris too. Wasting the speed. 

[EastStreet]

 

If you didn't read the SI link.... (recommend)

4 players top #10 at position

 

Quenton Nelson – G No. 4         (1-3 were RGs)
81.8 overall, 81.3 pass blocking, 83.6 run blocking

 

Ryan Kelly – C No. 6
68.8 overall, 86.1 pass blocking, 62.0 run blocking

 

E.J. Speed – LB No. 6
79.6 overall, 71.2 run defense, 78.0 pass rush, 68.5 coverage

 

Michael Pittman Jr. – WR No. 10
77.5 overall, 75.8 receiving, 70.8 run blocking
 

[shasta519]

14 hours ago, Nickster said:

Looked like what I saw.  The line was average at best.  My guess is most of those scores were from excellent run blocking and well below average pass blocking exactly like last year.

 

LT and C were OK.  LG was excellent run blocking, pretty average pass blocking would be my guess in PFf numbers.  Right side sucked.  Pretty much what I posted today.  I’m hoping we can be an average pass blocking team  that is the aspiration.  We haven’t played that well in a long time.

 

QB wasn’t good.  He was OK.  Rewatching the all 22, he missed some stuff early made some good plays late.

 

JT took what was blocked and was steady. I like his patience but he wasn’t special Sunday. But he was good even though he didn’t break free.  Had great holes many plays and did his job. His specialness is his open field speed which he didn’t really get to use Sunday.

 

Pittman had a nice game.  Steady Eddy  Not a game breaker.  He’d be a great 2nd fiddle on a contender.  Our team has no explosiveness if JT  doesn’t break a long one.  Pretty much none other than that.
 

Cox is an excellent blocker leading some to believe he’s a good receiver which doesn’t really make sense but hey whatever.

 

we didn’t look good.  The numbers must have been disastrous before we scored a couple late TDs.

 

Glad we came back to tie.  But yikes the Texans.

 

Hot Rod had to go.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

It was pretty much a disaster until the 4Q.

 

Q1-3 (45 min):

• Pts/drive: .43
  • #31 if it was the whole game
• Offense EPA/play: -.245
  • #31 in NFL
• Total Yards: 245 (161 pass)
• Success Rate: 40%
  • #25 in NFL
• Yards/drive: 35 yds/drive
  • #14 in NFL
• Yards/play: 5 yds/play
  • #22 in NFL
• QB EPA/play: -.318
  • #27 QB

4Q-OT (25 min)

• Pts/drive: 2.83
  • #5 if it was for the whole game
• Offense EPA/play: .296
  • #6 in NFL
• 277 yards (191 pass)
• Success Rate: 59.5%
  • #2 in NFL!
• Yards/drive: 46 
  • #4 in NFL!
• Yards/play: 6.3
  • #7 in NFL
• QB EPA/play: .304
  • #7 QB

Overall, they ended up #24 in pts/drive. So they will have some room to make up to get back to the #11 ranking from last year.

 

Part of the shift is that they stopped botching snaps and didn't drop any more TDs, but going down by 17 and JAC playing soft certainly really helped.

 

So it's not a coincidence that their efficiency numbers skyrocketed up from 4Q-OT. We have seen many games like this, even from the other side (NYJ comes to mind).

 

HOU is a young team and they were clearly getting gassed because Speed took Mills completely out of the game on that sack fumble and the offense went belly up. And the Colts, with a savvy vet QB, were able to take advantage.

 

This week against JAC will be a great test to see if the offense can improve in neutral game situations and get a good lead.

[EastStreet]

4 minutes ago, shasta519 said:

 

It was pretty much a disaster until the 4Q.

 

Q1-3 (45 min):

• Pts/drive: .43
  • #31 if it was the whole game
• Offense EPA/play: -.245
  • #31 in NFL
• Total Yards: 245 (161 pass)
• Success Rate: 40%
  • #25 in NFL
• Yards/drive: 35 yds/drive
  • #14 in NFL
• Yards/play: 5 yds/play
  • #22 in NFL
• QB EPA/play: -.318
  • #27 QB

4Q-OT (25 min)

• Pts/drive: 2.83
  • #5 if it was for the whole game
• Offense EPA/play: .296
  • #6 in NFL
• 277 yards (191 pass)
• Success Rate: 59.5%
  • #2 in NFL!
• Yards/drive: 46 
  • #4 in NFL!
• Yards/play: 6.3
  • #7 in NFL
• QB EPA/play: .304
  • #7 QB

Overall, they ended up #24 in pts/drive. So they will have some room to make up to get back to the #11 ranking from last year.

 

Part of the shift is that they stopped botching snaps and didn't drop any more TDs, but going down by 17 and JAC playing soft certainly really helped.

 

So it's not a coincidence that their efficiency numbers skyrocketed up from 4Q-OT. We have seen many games like this, even from the other side (NYJ comes to mind).

 

HOU is a young team and they were clearly getting gassed because Speed took Mills completely out of the game on that sack fumble and the offense went belly up. And the Colts, with a savvy vet QB, were able to take advantage.

 

This week against JAC will be a great test to see if the offense can improve in neutral game situations and get a good lead.

 

Great data!!!!!

 

IMO, partly, because we let Ryan "play" (Q4), and ditched the scripts and conservative stuff. 

Texans D went safer after 20-3, but when Ryan went aggressive, they had to respect 100% field. 

[Nickster]

39 minutes ago, EastStreet said:

LG vs RG is debatable. It's not a "harder" question. 

 

Some coaches or schemes rank positions differently. RTDB coaches might even say Gs are more important on Ts. 

Most say LT is #1...

After that, ton of ranks per position. 

 

If you avg $ of top 3 LGs, and top 3 RGs, little more $$ at LG. Not a huge difference. 

 

 

 

LGs will typically pull more than RGs so are often a little more athletic.

[Nickster]

17 minutes ago, shasta519 said:

 

It was pretty much a disaster until the 4Q.

 

Q1-3 (45 min):

• Pts/drive: .43
  • #31 if it was the whole game
• Offense EPA/play: -.245
  • #31 in NFL
• Total Yards: 245 (161 pass)
• Success Rate: 40%
  • #25 in NFL
• Yards/drive: 35 yds/drive
  • #14 in NFL
• Yards/play: 5 yds/play
  • #22 in NFL
• QB EPA/play: -.318
  • #27 QB

4Q-OT (25 min)

• Pts/drive: 2.83
  • #5 if it was for the whole game
• Offense EPA/play: .296
  • #6 in NFL
• 277 yards (191 pass)
• Success Rate: 59.5%
  • #2 in NFL!
• Yards/drive: 46 
  • #4 in NFL!
• Yards/play: 6.3
  • #7 in NFL
• QB EPA/play: .304
  • #7 QB

Overall, they ended up #24 in pts/drive. So they will have some room to make up to get back to the #11 ranking from last year.

 

Part of the shift is that they stopped botching snaps and didn't drop any more TDs, but going down by 17 and JAC playing soft certainly really helped.

 

So it's not a coincidence that their efficiency numbers skyrocketed up from 4Q-OT. We have seen many games like this, even from the other side (NYJ comes to mind).

 

HOU is a young team and they were clearly getting gassed because Speed took Mills completely out of the game on that sack fumble and the offense went belly up. And the Colts, with a savvy vet QB, were able to take advantage.

 

This week against JAC will be a great test to see if the offense can improve in neutral game situations and get a good lead.

 

I will be very interested to see how we match up with JAX in the trenches.  They bullied us for the entire game at the end of the season and most of the game at home. 

 

I know Paye got the two sacks late in OT, and the spin move on the 3 man rush was great, but our pass rush v. HOU was not good enough for what we've invested.  Hopefully, they will kick it up a notch this week, because after that, they are going to really need an excellent pass rush or this season will be exceedingly disappointing. 

 

We know the Oline isn't going to produce as well as they are paid from a pass pro standpoint, that's not even an aspiration and we somewhat have adapted to deal with it, but they do a great job in the run game.

 

But the Dline is going to have to be dominant in the pass rush if this D is going to work. 

[Boondoggle]

15 hours ago, GoColts8818 said:

Ryan did those things Sunday.

Sure he did.  For half the game.

[EastStreet]

1 hour ago, Nickster said:

 

LGs will typically pull more than RGs so are often a little more athletic.

Sometimes... All over the place IMO. Some teams like to run over more R, then L.