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Indianapolis Colts


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  1. The over on 8.5 is easy money. This should be a 9 to 11 win team. Injuries btw are a given in terms of needing them to go your way. Part of the game tbh.
  2. You can go a long way in this league with a strong run game, a solid QB using play action behind it, and a stout defense. For the Colts it looks like they have everything you want on offense to do that, so their season is going to come down to the defense I think. In 2019 they finished 18th in points against which isn't good enough. But for 2020 I'd say the defense should improve and the offense should also improve. So just on paper and all that but right now they look like a contender to me.
  3. The defense certainly doesn't look like a top five group to me. But yeah it's ridiculous to think they'll get worse when they invested heavily this offseason. It's also ridiculous in how hard it can be to find good writing about the NFL. More and more these sites that pop up via different social media outlets are driven to produce quick hitting nonsense for the clicks. Lotta noise out there IMO.
  4. The big change with Taylor will be explosive plays. People are going to be shocked at the difference it makes in the offense. Last season Mack finished 18th in DVoA (which is a measure of explosive plays), and 10th in SR (success rate which is getting what is deemed "successful" amount of yards or a first down per down/distance). He's a good back and can keep the chains moving but he lacks that gear. And also that SR demonstrates the quality of the line. Taylor is going to flip the field. My concern with him is the mileage, but outside that the guy is going to be a dramatic change for the Colts offense. I would guess he'll easily be top 10 in DVoA behind this line.
  5. My response was that you have to look past coachspeak and that Reich specifically is not alone in doing that. He's basically just like everyone else in that regard. To your point... I think there's room to be more genuine about it than coaches are in this current and touchy-feely era. Probably the most glaring this offseason was Gurley and the Rams played it that way to avoid negative press. But they've been covering for him and denying the reality for a while now, that they made a grievous error paying him early. Teams have taken notice too and RB contracts will inevitably follow. But in the way it was done I think it would have been ok to say what the problem was (they never really did that and are one of the more tight-lipped teams in that way). It would have been ok to say he wasn't happy with carries and/or whatever his physical ailment was (I followed this situation closely btw and he cost me a fantasy championship). It's just the easy route, the lazy route IMO, to resort to talking guys up while on the other hand the business move tells a whole different story. But the NFL is a copycat league so at some point a head coach may come along who will do that while sustaining wins and next thing you know there would be a new group of guys calling it honestly.
  6. Any list that has Brissett is a bad list. Also why even go past the total number of teams and rank backups who you rarely see against starters? And on top of that it's bad enough that it's Simms writing this stuff. Of all the media outlets I feel like NBC has the worst analysts and general football knowledge. And Simms is a big part of that. For the Colts there are two things in play this year... First, how well can Rivers perform with all the pieces around him. He's got an above average group across the board. I would think pretty well is the answer but age is undefeated and he's got other competing interests now. Even if he performs well and we see a deep playoff run what then? He is obviously a short term answer. Second, does Eason have the right stuff to be considered as the QB of the future. Honestly the team doesn't know the answer to this right now. They took a shot on a guy they liked, now will get a full year look at him to see how hard he works, how he leads, and whether he can process quickly enough. Those two things need to be answered this year and the good thing here is with Reich and his offensive coaches I would think they will evaluate them well.
  7. I think you're correct re: Kelly. Nowadays you have to look past the coachspeak there are just very few head coaches who will tell it straight even when their moves tell a different story. Kelly has throttled back on the partying but he's probably not a starting talent in this league. Question with him is can he be the backup and in that respect I think Reich will give him every opportunity. But Brissett is more talented, so chances are he'll be the backup. You see this coachspeak stuff around the league it's nuts honestly. Take any big offseason move and then listen to the press conference and the two just don't align. Saints' Payton talking up Bridgewater like he's a quality starting QB but doesn't try to keep him or trade him and lets him leave in FA. Rams' McVay talking up Gurley like he was such a great guy but hey we're gonna pay him truckloads of money to play somewhere else. Belichick talking up Tom Brady even though clearly the divorce was set and folks knew it was coming for months. On and on it's all the same nonsense really. I just disregard what coaches say nowadays. Let your eyes and common sense/knowledge of the game be your guide IMO.
  8. I doubt it's possible to put together a schedule that is fair or that would stand up to people picking it apart by whatever metric. But hey we live in an age where some folks think little league shouldn't keep score so I suppose these types of articles are inevitable. My guess is most coaches are ready to play the sched and not cry about it. Well, except for Sean Payton.
  9. Well hell. You'd think at my age I would know not to make assumptions. Whoops.
  10. Petersen's a heck of a coach. But Eason's dad played QB in the NFL for the Pats too. Makes sense to me that he's well grounded in what he needs to know to succeed at the NFL level. Just don't rush the kid. Redshirt him and let him sit and learn behind the vet. Whether he succeeds at that point comes down to whether he's going to do the work and whether he can process at NFL speed, because the physical side is there. We'll see.
  11. Being varied and flexible in order to shape your defensive scheme to the opponent is the future of defensive football in the NFL. Guys leading that are Belichick and Fangio right now. But all that aside the Colts are trending in the wrong direction. 2018 Scoring Defense: 21.2 (8th) 2019 Scoring Defense: 23.3 (18th) Historically you want to be around 19ppg allowed or lower. Lower the better. If you have a top scoring offense that gives you some wiggle room too, it's all related of course (KC was 20.2 last year and won it all). But the Colts right now really need big improvement on both sides of the ball to be where they need to be as a true contender.
  12. Good value in round 6? Sure. But he's a lazy route runner which limits his ability to gain space quickly. And in spite of his size he's not remotely threatening on high pointed passes or contested balls, in fact he gets pushed around more than he should. This is why he went as late as he did. Also IMO you gotta be careful stacking a WR corps based on high point types. It's great to have length and size out wide and all, but the difficulty of an accurate high point throw is greater than hitting a receiver who gets good separation thus making it lower percentage. I'd go easy on the expectations for this kid as a result. Maybe down the road he'll shore up his route running and become a nice all-around threat but he's got a long way to go.
  13. I'm seeing a lot of fear. QB alone means a likely increase in wins by 3 or so. Line is good, skill positions are good, should be a really solid offense. Colts will win the South.
  14. Thing with Buckner is he's not an elite pass rusher (he's a top 3rd of the league type). The guy gets mentioned with Aaron Donald but he's not in his class in pressures and there's a 4 year track record to demonstrate that. Also the other concern is simply paying a DT big money and the question of whether it's wise. So it's not like the trade was a slam dunk especially when the 9ers ended up with Kinlaw as compensation. But in the huddle it's about more than stats. His leadership is off the charts and the guy is very tough mentally. And I'm a big fan of players who can play the run. Donald for example for as amazing as he is tends to open holes at times for offenses in the run game. Buckner won't do that. He'll manhandle his assignment and won't win as often but snap to snap you get great consistency. Colts basically elected to pay a DT to ensure they know what they're getting, vice rolling the dice on a guy who will be cheaper on a rookie deal and maybe better. Hard to fault that move even if I do have reservations on paying DTs.
  15. Clowney's not the sharpest knife in the kitchen. If he had half a brain he'd sign with a team who has a strong 3T that can draw doubles, but who has an open blindside position, and ride that to a big statistical season and contract. Longer you wait as a FA though, the less cap space is available. So he's painted himself into a corner and at this point he's gotta go with fit or greed. Do you want the most money you can get now? Or are you smart enough to roll the dice by going with a low end deal but the right situation. Maybe there's a team out there who can offer him both, but I can't think of any off the top of my head.
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