Playoff Predictor/Simulator (538): Colts #11 in AFC, and 38% of chance of playoffs

[JediXMan]

6 minutes ago, #12. said:

 

Yeah, that's exactly how it hurts us.  They the tiebreaker over us.  We would rather see them win the division.

 

That get's canceled out with there 3 or more teams. Then it goes to conference records

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

6 minutes ago, #12. said:

 

Yeah, that's exactly how it hurts us.  They have the tiebreaker over us.  We would rather see them win the division.

It really leaves colts with less room for a loss. 

[holeymoley99]

9 minutes ago, JediXMan said:

 

That get's canceled out with there 3 or more teams. Then it goes to conference records

Unless one team has sweep the other, we dont want it to be us,Chargers and Ravens for a single spot as Ravens sweep BUT if Colts,Bills,Ravens then we are safe

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Ravens may lose their final four games. But it leaves no room for the colts to lose more then one. Which hopefully we can do.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Hopefully colts don’t come off their bye week like the Packers lmAO.

 

If Colts can beat pats a couple losses by teams Sunday will really put them in a very good spot.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Colts win against pats would give them another game up on Bengals or Broncos because they play each other Sunday. 
 

May be 5th seed before we play Sunday.

 

Chiefs at Chargers Thursday night.

 

Ravens play the Packers

Browns are playing Raiders 

 

 

[VaAllDay757]

46 minutes ago, Wentzszn said:

Gosh I forgot about the Chargers chiefs game. We will move up another spot before we even play Saturday with a Chiefs win.

No we have to win Saturday also to move up chargers have 8 wins we only 7 at the moment

[holeymoley99]

Buffalo is currently the 7 seed BUT the do NOT control their own destiny oddly enough. Cinn has better AFC record then Buff so they not Buff control that final spot. What technically has Cinn at 9 is a division tiebreaker vs Clev which is used first and Clev has worse afc record then Buff. Cinn beats Clev it evens up that division record and they advance to next tiebreaker and jump Buff.....

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

6 minutes ago, VaAllDay757 said:

No we have to win Saturday also to move up chargers have 8 wins we only 7 at the moment

That’s true I didn’t think of it that way. I don’t know how they figure it.

[fatboy]

A Chargers loss Thursday would made then 8-6; at 7-6 we’d not leapfrog them before Pats game.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

1 minute ago, fatboy said:

A Chargers loss Thursday would made then 8-6; at 7-6 we’d not leapfrog them before Pats game.

Got it.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

 

[fatboy]

It’s still a remarkable thing - we were in 9th place after last weeks games - Steeler fall just short moving us to 8; then we benefited from Bucs and 49ers OT wins to move from 8 to 6.  Of course we are outside looking in unless we beat Pats this coming week, but seemingly out of nowhere, we are in a good place.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

 

[EastStreet]

3 minutes ago, fatboy said:

It’s still a remarkable thing - we were in 9th place after last weeks games - Steeler fall just short moving us to 8; then we benefited from Bucs and 49ers OT wins to move from 8 to 6.  Of course we are outside looking in unless we beat Pats this coming week, but seemingly out of nowhere, we are in a good place.

Lot's of parity. 

End of Oct, many thought KC was a mess, and done. 

All kinds of ups and downs this year. 

 

[Dingus McGirt]

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

This is so crazy. AFC just keeps beating up on each other.

 

 

[holeymoley99]

33 minutes ago, fatboy said:

It’s still a remarkable thing - we were in 9th place after last weeks games - Steeler fall just short moving us to 8; then we benefited from Bucs and 49ers OT wins to move from 8 to 6.  Of course we are outside looking in unless we beat Pats this coming week, but seemingly out of nowhere, we are in a good place.

Not exactly out of nowhere, we were in the shadows the whole time since climbing out of an 0-3 hole. and finally got back  to where we need to be. 

[2006Coltsbestever]

11 minutes ago, Wentzszn said:

This is so crazy. AFC just keeps beating up on each other.

 

 

-after we kick the Pats rear we are in for sure  

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

At least Broncos and Bengals is guaranteed to help colts next week. Beat pats and we can shove another one down the list. Chiefs beating Chargers would send another down the list. Just beat pats and we will be in a good spot.

[2006Coltsbestever]

19 minutes ago, Wentzszn said:

This is so crazy. AFC just keeps beating up on each other.

 

 

We are climbing the ladder. Patience. 

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

3 minutes ago, 2006Coltsbestever said:

We are climbing the ladder. Patience. 

Broncos or Bengals will have another loss next week since they play each other.  Ravens playing packers is going to give ravens another loss. That could move browns or Bengals into division lead.

 

Browns will beat raiders.

[2006Coltsbestever]

Just now, Wentzszn said:

Broncos or Bengals will have another loss next week since they play each other. 

Yep, that is why I was never worried because I studied others schedules 

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

1 minute ago, 2006Coltsbestever said:

Yep, that is why I was never worried because I studied others schedules 

I sm more concerned with Ravens since we don’t have a tiebreaker with them. Packers are going to beat them. But they  really do have a brutal schedule.  And it’s really looking like a few teams are going to end up with the same record so that head to head might not come into play.

[2006Coltsbestever]

7 minutes ago, Wentzszn said:

I sm more concerned with Ravens since we don’t have a tiebreaker with them. Packers are going to beat them. But they  really do have a brutal schedule.  And it’s really looking like a few teams are going to end up with the same record so that head to head might not come into play.

Yeah that North is rough, lets take this week by week, I can't call it either.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Three weeks ago I was like if we make playoffs great. If not we are getting better and am super excited about next yesr. Bur now we are finally in the WC it will be very disappointing if we don’t make it.

[fatboy]

41 minutes ago, holeymoley99 said:

Not exactly out of nowhere, we were in the shadows the whole time since climbing out of an 0-3 hole. and finally got back  to where we need to be. 

Given we moved from

9th to  6th in our bye week…

[2006Coltsbestever]

So after starting 1-4 we are a 6th seed is what you are telling me @Wentzszn, I had to tap my body guard on his shoulder - he couldn't even believe it. Long season and patience. You know we are just that good  

[GoColts8818]

4 hours ago, Wentzszn said:

 

Colts Chargers Bills and Browns/Ravens for three spots with the Bengals and Broncos Alive and hoping for chaos to get them back in it.

[WoolMagnet]

4 hours ago, Wentzszn said:

 

Thanks for that

[coming on strong]

6 hours ago, Wentzszn said:

Broncos or Bengals will have another loss next week since they play each other.  Ravens playing packers is going to give ravens another loss. That could move browns or Bengals into division lead.

 

Browns will beat raiders.

wont that hurt the colts?   if the browns take the division baltimore would have the same record as the colts taking our wildcard spot due to the tie breaker

[Stephen]

9 hours ago, Wentzszn said:

Hopefully colts don’t come off their bye week like the Packers lmAO.

 

If Colts can beat pats a couple losses by teams Sunday will really put them in a very good spot.

Maybe we should they actually won lol

[Stephen]

30 minutes ago, coming on strong said:

wont that hurt the colts?   if the browns take the division baltimore would have the same record as the colts taking our wildcard spot due to the tie breaker

Not if a third team is tied then we would win due to better conference record

[JediXMan]

 

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

28 minutes ago, JediXMan said:

 

Covid about to wreck some playoff hopes of some teams. I am praying hard for the Colts.

[EastStreet]

On 12/12/2021 at 8:11 PM, EastStreet said:

Bout time he did something to help the Colts lol...

 

Colts now 66% and #6. 

Those conference wins over bad teams helping big time now lol...

 

86% with a win over NE. 

46% with a loss to NE.

 

Huge game for us. Glad it's at home. 

For whatever reason (likely the AZ loss), the computer gods now have us at 67% (up 1pt). 

87% (1pt up) with a win over NE

48% (2pts up) with a loss to NE

[JediXMan]

20 hours ago, JediXMan said:

 

 

Well that looks like a wash.

[2006Coltsbestever]

12 hours ago, EastStreet said:

For whatever reason (likely the AZ loss), the computer gods now have us at 67% (up 1pt). 

87% (1pt up) with a win over NE

48% (2pts up) with a loss to NE

Damn I have been close on all these without looking anything up. I was telling a friend a loss to the Pats that we will still have a 50% chance of making it, with a win I said 85%  . Not bad I guess.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

21 minutes ago, JediXMan said:

 

Well that looks like a wash.

Wow. That’s crazy.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Dang it keeps coming.