Playoff Predictor/Simulator (538): Colts #11 in AFC, and 38% of chance of playoffs

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Oh. Apparently Jake Fromm might start for giants Sunday too.

 

 

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[2006Coltsbestever]

28 minutes ago, Wentzszn said:

I am like how did the dolphins get back to just one game behind us. They got TUA back and have won five in a row.

Yeah I noticed the same thing when I was looking at all teams, I was like WTH Dolphins are 6-7  How did that happen??  . I didn't even realize it, glad we beat them.

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That situation with Keenan Allen being put on the covid list will be something to watch because they play chiefs on the 16th which is Thursday night . That is ten days away. 

[Superman]

25 minutes ago, AustinnKaine said:

 

 

You mean there's evidence that players can get better in their second season? 

[coming on strong]

1 minute ago, Wentzszn said:

That situation with Keenan Allen being put on the covid list will be something to watch because they play chiefs on the 16th which is Thursday night . That is ten days away. 

he will be back either way unless he has really bad symptoms .  ten day wait period if he doesnt have the shot   .  i think its only 5 days with the shot and two negative tests

18 minutes ago, Wentzszn said:

Oh. Apparently Jake Fromm might start for giants Sunday too.

 

 

i have zero faith in the giant they are so bad this year .   chargers could start their backup QB and still win .

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Just now, coming on strong said:

he will be back either way unless he has really bad symptoms .  ten day wait period if he doesnt have the shot   .  i think its only 5 days with the shot and two negative tests

Which we don’t know if he does. Just something to watch.

[coming on strong]

1 minute ago, Wentzszn said:

Which we don’t know if he does. Just something to watch.

best bet is the bengals falling apart . burrows hand looks so bad in the pictures his finger looks swollen .   its gonna be tough if they have no running back and burrow at half strength going  against that elite 49ers defense .

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Just now, coming on strong said:

best bet is the bengals falling apart . burrows hand looks so bad in the pictures his finger looks swollen .   its gonna be tough if they have no running back and burrow at half strength going  against that elite 49ers defense .

Just saw a tweet from Chargers  head coach. Sounds like it is a close contact because he said he hopes to have good news in a few days on him.

[adubb84]

Who are we rooting for tonight?

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3 minutes ago, adubb84 said:

Who are we rooting for tonight?

Doesn’t really matter but since we already beat the Bills probably the Pats. Plus we still play pats.

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Colts have some good pass rushers coming up. Fisher is going to have to play better.

[EastStreet]

25 minutes ago, adubb84 said:

Who are we rooting for tonight?

Definitely the Pats. The conf record implications of a NE sweep of the Bills would help us. 

[adubb84]

43 minutes ago, EastStreet said:

Definitely the Pats. The conf record implications of a NE sweep of the Bills would help us. 

That’s a TALL ask considering who they are as a Colts fan lol. But makes sense…..

 

Go hoodie. 

[EastStreet]

1 minute ago, adubb84 said:

That’s a TALL ask considering who they are as a Colts fan lol. But makes sense…..

 

Go hoodie. 

 

Overall, we need to pick a team in each division, and hope they dominate from here on out. 

Basically, NE, KC, and Balt running away with their divisions is the best thing for our WC hopes.

Now if you think we can win out, and TN will lose 3 or more of their last 5, then things change.... 

But the easy and safe strategy is NE, KC, and Balt... 

[ADnum1]

Go Pats !!

[Four2itus]

2 hours ago, Superman said:

 

You mean there's evidence that players can get better in their second season? 

Shhhhhhh.......don't let on that Turay had 2 sacks in the last game. (or third/fourth season)

[Four2itus]

15 minutes ago, adubb84 said:

Go hoodie. 

 

4 minutes ago, PRnum1 said:

Go Pats !!

You shall both receive summary execution for blasphemy! 

 

j/k

[adubb84]

12 minutes ago, EastStreet said:

 

Overall, we need to pick a team in each division, and hope they dominate from here on out. 

Basically, NE, KC, and Balt running away with their divisions is the best thing for our WC hopes.

Now if you think we can win out, and TN will lose 3 or more of their last 5, then things change.... 

But the easy and safe strategy is NE, KC, and Balt... 

Cant lie. The AFC north worries me and IMO is the anomaly for the most fluctuations for division leaders . Steelers still concern me a bit. They’re streaky. Ravens are injured and so is Burrow. 

[coming on strong]

1 hour ago, EastStreet said:

Definitely the Pats. The conf record implications of a NE sweep of the Bills would help us. 

the patriots dont scare me i think they are the most overrated team in the nfl .   they have the easiest schedule by far only beat the titans with 20 guys on IR  no starting wrs and no henry plus the defense is gutted .    their  only good win is against the inconsistent chargers who they barely beat .     mack has 16 touch downs to 8 picks that is average at best .  their defense is inflated going against horrible offenses all year

[EastStreet]

6 minutes ago, adubb84 said:

Cant lie. The AFC north worries me and IMO is the anomaly for the most fluctuations for division leaders . Steelers still concern me a bit. They’re streaky. Ravens are injured and so is Burrow. 

Honestly, I track it, but don't really worry about it lol.

What happens, happens. I like the what ifs though.

 

What I do know, is we have three tough and key games coming up. NE, at AZ, and LVR. We're blessed to have NE and LVR at home. We can probably drop the AZ game and still squeak in. Losing any of the AFC games would be huge damage to our hopes. And honestly, if we lose at Jax, we don't deserve the post season anyway lol. 

 

Here's how ESPN's predictor goes for out next 4 games (our chances of winning)...

NE - 47.6%

at AZ - 31.4%

LVR - 69.4%

at Jax  - 73.9%

 

[EastStreet]

8 minutes ago, coming on strong said:

the patriots dont scare me i think they are the most overrated team in the nfl .   they have the easiest schedule by far only beat the titans with 20 guys on IR  no starting wrs and no henry plus the defense is gutted .    their  only good win is against the inconsistent chargers who they barely beat .     mack has 16 touch downs to 8 picks that is average at best .  their defense is inflated going against horrible offenses all year

I'm not "afraid" of them, but they are getting better and better, and have played well. Close losses to the Bucs and Cowboys.

And our schedule is not much harder than theirs. 27th vs 31st... 

All of our wins but one have been vs teams with losing records. NE has 3 wins vs teams 500 or better.

[coming on strong]

12 minutes ago, EastStreet said:

I'm not "afraid" of them, but they are getting better and better, and have played well. Close losses to the Bucs and Cowboys.

And our schedule is not much harder than theirs. 27th vs 31st... 

All of our wins but one have been vs teams with losing records. NE has 3 wins vs teams 500 or better.

i really would not count the titans they had no starting wrs or henry they were a team of practice squad players .  the browns are in a tail spin with baker playing hurt .  they are in the same spot as us i agree i feel like strength of schedule doesnt show the whole picture they are playing the nfc east the worst divison in football and the nfc south  while we are going through the nfc west  and afc east .    i  think we have a much better run game better and passing game .  we can beat them up

[EastStreet]

6 minutes ago, coming on strong said:

i really would not count the titans they had no starting wrs or henry they were a team of practice squad players .  the browns are in a tail spin with baker playing hurt .  they are in the same spot as us i agree i feel like strength of schedule doesnt show the whole picture they are playing the nfc east the worst divison in football and the nfc south  while we are going through the nfc west  and afc east .    i  think we have a much better run game better and passing game .  we can beat them up

We have the 4 games vs 2 of the worst teams in the league (Jax/Texans), they have 4 games vs Jets and Miami lol... 

We both have had close losses to good teams. 

We both have new QBs that are gelling with their new teams. 

We have the best RB in the league now that DH is out. 

They have a top 5 D (better vs the pass than run), we have a mediocre D (which is bad vs the pass)

And they have Belichick... 

 

Should be close, and should be fun.

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Bills play tampa

Steelers play Vikings 

Bengals play SF

 

I like SF in that game.Can Bills take advantage of Tampa’s secondary? Steelers and Vikings I have no feel for. They won’t have Thielan. 
 

Colts could move up to 6th WC spot.

[EastStreet]

Now 62% after all W13 games

[#12.]

3-1 should do it.

 

 

[#12.]

In fact, if the Steelers and Bengals both lose this week, there's a good chance 2-2 will do it.

[holeymoley99]

5 hours ago, #12. said:

In fact, if the Steelers and Bengals both lose this week, there's a good chance 2-2 will do it.

That's what Ive felt all along, a 9-8 team makes it in and we have a very strong AFC record to be the one. 10-7 is all but a lock at this point looking at each team's schedule.

[csmopar]

Hmmm gonna be a nail

biter

[2006Coltsbestever]

3 minutes ago, csmopar said:

Hmmm gonna be a nail

biter

I think we will get in but then again I think we will go 10-7. 9-8 won't cut it. 

[philba101]

Overall the Colts had a pretty good week in the standings.  With their win, they gained a full game on the Bengals, Bills, Broncos, Raiders and Ravens. They gained a half game on the idle Browns and Titans. As has been stated, a Steelers loss would have helped more than a Ravens loss.

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SF will still be without Samual on Sunday against the Bengals. They seemed lost without him this past week.

[2006Coltsbestever]

4 minutes ago, philba101 said:

Overall the Colts had a pretty good week in the standings.  With their win, they gained a full game on the Bengals, Bills, Broncos, Raiders and Ravens. They gained a half game on the idle Browns and Titans. As has been stated, a Steelers loss would have helped more than a Ravens loss.

Steelers are going to lose at Chiefs and at Ravens so they can go ahead celebrate that useless win they just had  . Stephen A Smith even said that Pitt win is fools gold and he is a diehard Steelers fan.

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5 minutes ago, philba101 said:

Overall the Colts had a pretty good week in the standings.  With their win, they gained a full game on the Bengals, Bills, Broncos, Raiders and Ravens. They gained a half game on the idle Browns and Titans. As has been stated, a Steelers loss would have helped more than a Ravens loss.

Ravens not winning that division would really hurt if they still made the WC.

[2006Coltsbestever]

1 minute ago, Wentzszn said:

Ravens not winning that division would really hurt if they still made the WC.

Maybe but I can see the Bengals making the playoffs anyway. The only thing that hurt us Sunday was the Chargers winning but they still play KC again  and they aren't sweeping KC. 

[philba101]

10 minutes ago, Wentzszn said:

Ravens not winning that division would really hurt if they still made the WC.

I agree. It would be better if Cleveland and Pittsburgh fade.

[2006Coltsbestever]

Judon hates Mac N Cheese, now I know we need to take them to the woodshed. Much needed foods for the holidays are a well cooked tender Turkey, Stuffing, Mash Potatoes with plenty of butter, Gravy, and Mac N Cheese with plenty of cheese  .

[2006Coltsbestever]

So Stephen A Smith says the Pats are the team to beat in the AFC so when we beat them, ESPN better spend an hour talking about us instead of talking about NE, Brady, the Steelers, or Cowboys. 

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Games of importance this week. We kind of need Ravens to win that game. Would not be good if Browns won that game.

 

Steelers at Vikings

Ravens at Browns

Bills at Tampa 

SF at Bengals 

Giants at Chargers