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By 2006Coltsbestever · Posted
We lost last night except @EasyE. Sam Darnold is starting to show his true colors again. -
An interesting tidbit for this game. I started tracking pff scores for the Colts’ starters last year and comparing them to those of our weekly opponents out of curiosity. I suspected that I was vastly overestimating Colt players’ abilities, since I’m one of those annoyingly optimistic fans. And I know that pff isn’t perfect, but at least it’s objective (of which I recognize I’m incapable). At any rate, since I started tracking, our starters almost always have a higher average Pff score than our opponents, usually both on offense and defense. Last year, it was pretty easy to see what was going on offensively: we always had a greatly superior OL and inferior skill positions. On D, our entire DL was rated very high, LBs were meh, and the DBs were pretty average since we usually had a couple that were bringing up the avg (Moore, JuJu for a while, Blackmon for a while). This week we have some pretty big Pff advantages. Our average offensive pff is 69.9 vs. an average Texan D pff of 64.2. Our avg D is 71.3 vs, their O of 64.6. But the most interesting thing is the receivers. Looking at the receiving corps of both teams, including TEs, and here is how their season long grades go: Colts: Downs 79.9, MAC 78.2, Ogletree 73.7, Pierce 72.1, Pittman 70.1. Texans: Diggs 77.2, Dell 61.8, Hutchinson 58.2, Schultz 54.1, Metchie 51.5. I have a few takeaways: 1) A big limitation of pff score averaging like this is that it’s unweighted. The fact that their QB is a 79.4 and ours is a 48.1 doesn’t affect the analysis as much as it should. 2) Specific to this game, the Texan passing game doesn’t appear to warrant the extra attention we gave it in week 1. Of Course Nico Collins being out is a huge part of that. Give some extra attention to Diggs in coverage, but I’d say we can concentrate a lot more in stopping Mixon (79.2). 3) Maybe our coaches and their game-planning aren’t so good. They’re taking a talent advantage and not Turing it into a really good record.
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Prepare for the worst. Then you’ll be elated if Ballard actually makes a trade.
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yeah that doesnt make sense. why draft him when he would barely play. We should be drafting players who will impact now and later, not just looking in the future impacts. We need to win now while we have the players and rookie contract qb now.
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