Colts Texans predictions

[dw49]

3 hours ago, 2006Coltsbestever said:

Taylor was full practice. He is playing 

 

I think that is an error in the injury report. Taylor again was limited to individual drills. Not sure about Buck ....

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

16 minutes ago, dw49 said:

 

I think that is an error in the injury report. Taylor again was limited to individual drills. Not sure about Buck ....

Nope he was full along with Buck today. They were limited yesterday.

[ChuggaBeer]

Colts had 4 sacks in the first game.  Buck had 1.5.    Glad he's back and Latu is coming on a bit 

[dw49]

2 hours ago, Restinpeacesweetchloe said:

Nope he was full along with Buck today. They were limited yesterday.

 

 

I'm not totally convinced this is the case. Read below.....

 

Actually , I believe you guys are correct . All other reports are saying full..


 

Nate Atkins

@NateAtkins_

Josh Downs and Michael Pittman Jr. are back at practice today. Braden Smith and Ryan Kelly are also back at practice. Jonathan Taylor is practicing for a second straight day. He only did individuals today but is hopeful to progress to team drills.

10:05 AM · Oct 24, 2024

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11.9K

[Defjamz26]

Is Nico Collins playing?

[Superman]

48 minutes ago, Defjamz26 said:

Is Nico Collins playing?

 

No, he's not eligible to return until Week 10.

[Archer]

12 hours ago, dw49 said:

 

 

I'm not totally convinced this is the case. Read below.....

 

Actually , I believe you guys are correct . All other reports are saying full..


 

Nate Atkins

@NateAtkins_

Josh Downs and Michael Pittman Jr. are back at practice today. Braden Smith and Ryan Kelly are also back at practice. Jonathan Taylor is practicing for a second straight day. He only did individuals today but is hopeful to progress to team drills.

10:05 AM · Oct 24, 2024

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11.9K

I didn’t think we practiced that early in the day.  Usually we have to wait until 5pm for any news on the practice.  Maybe that 10am tweet was still referencing the previous day’s practice…

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

12 hours ago, dw49 said:

 

 

I'm not totally convinced this is the case. Read below.....

 

Actually , I believe you guys are correct . All other reports are saying full..


 

Nate Atkins

@NateAtkins_

Josh Downs and Michael Pittman Jr. are back at practice today. Braden Smith and Ryan Kelly are also back at practice. Jonathan Taylor is practicing for a second straight day. He only did individuals today but is hopeful to progress to team drills.

10:05 AM · Oct 24, 2024

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11.9K

I posted the injury report from the colts yesterday above. It was full 

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

12 hours ago, dw49 said:

 

 

I'm not totally convinced this is the case. Read below.....

 

Actually , I believe you guys are correct . All other reports are saying full..


 

Nate Atkins

@NateAtkins_

Josh Downs and Michael Pittman Jr. are back at practice today. Braden Smith and Ryan Kelly are also back at practice. Jonathan Taylor is practicing for a second straight day. He only did individuals today but is hopeful to progress to team drills.

10:05 AM · Oct 24, 2024

·

11.9K

The media does not get to watch practice after warm ups and individual drills. Nate’s tweet was worded weird and he was commenting on what Taylor said in the locker room before practice.

 

[dw49]

5 minutes ago, Archer said:

I didn’t think we practiced that early in the day.  Usually we have to wait until 5pm for any news on the practice.  Maybe that 10am tweet was still referencing the previous day’s practice…

 

Aktins mentions that Taylor practiced for a "second straight day " but you have a point with the time of that tweet. 

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

1 minute ago, dw49 said:

 

Aktins mentions that Taylor practiced for a "second straight day " but you have a point with the time of that tweet. 

They don’t practice at 10 in the morning. It was a very badly worded tweet by Atkins 

[Archer]

An interesting tidbit for this game.  I started tracking pff scores for the Colts’ starters last year and comparing them to those of our weekly opponents out of curiosity.  I suspected that I was vastly overestimating Colt players’ abilities, since I’m one of those annoyingly optimistic fans.  And I know that pff isn’t perfect, but at least it’s objective (of which I recognize I’m incapable).

 

At any rate, since I started tracking, our starters almost always have a higher average Pff score than our opponents, usually both on offense and defense.  Last year, it was pretty easy to see what was going on offensively: we always had a greatly superior OL and inferior skill positions.  On D, our entire DL was rated very high, LBs were meh, and the DBs were pretty average since we usually had a couple that were bringing up the avg (Moore, JuJu for a while, Blackmon for a while).

 

This week we have some pretty big Pff advantages.  Our average offensive pff is 69.9 vs. an average Texan D pff of 64.2.  Our avg D is 71.3 vs, their O of 64.6.  But the most interesting thing is the receivers.  Looking at the receiving corps of both teams, including TEs, and here is how their season long grades go:

 

Colts: Downs 79.9, MAC 78.2, Ogletree 73.7, Pierce 72.1, Pittman 70.1.

 

Texans: Diggs 77.2, Dell 61.8, Hutchinson 58.2, Schultz 54.1, Metchie 51.5.

 

I have a few takeaways:

1) A big limitation of pff score averaging like this is that it’s unweighted.  The fact that their QB is a 79.4 and ours is a 48.1 doesn’t affect the analysis as much as it should.

 

2) Specific to this game, the Texan passing game doesn’t appear to warrant the extra attention we gave it in week 1.  Of Course Nico Collins being out is a huge part of that.  Give some extra attention to Diggs in coverage, but I’d say we can concentrate a lot more in stopping Mixon (79.2).

 

3) Maybe our coaches and their game-planning aren’t so good.  They’re taking a talent advantage and not turning it into a really good record.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Buckner after full yesterday is not practicing. Hopefully he didn’t have a day back. We can’t win without him. JT is practicing.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

 

[Chrisaaron1023]

I think this is the healthiest we've been all season. I'm real excited for this game!

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Looks like we are back 

 

[2006Coltsbestever]

14 minutes ago, Restinpeacesweetchloe said:

Looks like we are back 

 

We are about to find out what kind of team we really have. We have everyone back now. I think we win this game and shock people. 

[Archer]

1 hour ago, 2006Coltsbestever said:

We are about to find out what kind of team we really have. We have everyone back now. I think we win this game and shock people. 

I really hope so.  I initially think that we should use Olubi and Stuard to keep an extra LB in the box for much of the game.  Slow down Mixon.  But, we’ve had a tendency to make bad QBs look bettter - I’d hate to see CJ have a big breakout game against us.  We know he’s capable.  Maybe just a balanced D and hope Buckner makes a big difference…

[JediXMan]

13 minutes ago, Archer said:

I really hope so.  I initially think that we should use Olubi and Stuard to keep an extra LB in the box for much of the game.  Slow down Mixon.  But, we’ve had a tendency to make bad QBs look bettter - I’d hate to see CJ have a big breakout game against us.  We know he’s capable.  Maybe just a balanced D and hope Buckner makes a big difference…

With Nico out I’m worried about their TE going off against us. That’s what has killed the Colts these past few weeks. Got to do a better job with these TEs.

[indyagent17]

No Collins so Dell may have a breakout day and we are getting healthy but in the end in the 4th quarter you go with the better QB and that is Stroud. Richardson may never be accurate and that is the fate of most QB's that do not last long in the NFL if he does than I accept it will take time but if he never does he will not last long in the league sadly  Texans 28 Colts 13

[2006Coltsbestever]

I can see it now, if we win, the negative Nelly's will say it was because Nico was out  . There are some people that are never happy and don't want to give us credit for anything. Most in here are still picking the Texans and they are favored 5 points. I have seen many in here still picking the Texans by double digits, so if we win, I don't want to hear it was because Nico was out. If I do, I am booing everyone of those posts.

[SSColts]

We should mimic what the Packers did to them last week. Make them earn it and come from all angles. We'd be foolish to go into this game and do the exact thing we did last time. Knowing our beloved DC, this wouldn't surprise me.

[2006Coltsbestever]

3 minutes ago, SSColts said:

We should mimic what the Packers did to them last week. Make them earn it and come from all angles. We'd be foolish to go into this game and do the exact thing we did last time. Knowing our beloved DC, this wouldn't surprise me.

We need to blitz Stroud a lot, he panics under pressure.

[richard pallo]

Nico out is a big deal.  It changes the game plan for the Colts.  I like our new corners going up against Dell and Diggs.  I like them better than Brent’s and Flowers the first game.  The first time we concentrated on stopping their passing game.  This time I don’t think that’s necessary.  I’m expecting us to contain Mixon this time and not worry so much about their passing game this go around.  I think we are going to win this matchup and move into 1st in our division.

[Archer]

I like what this guy from SI said in predicting the Colts to upset the Texans:

 

Gilberto Manzano Week 8 Upset Pick

 

Colts (+180) vs. Texans

 

These two teams had an entertaining Week 1 battle, with the Texans outlasting the Colts, 29–27. And believe it or not, Anthony Richardson was on the field for the high-scoring affair. Many have written off Richardson because of his struggles as a passer this season. But there are games when Richardson delivers special performances. He’s familiar with the Texans and knocked off rust in last week’s win against the Dolphins. Also, the Texans haven’t played well enough this season to be considered heavy favorites against a team as talented as the Colts. -- Gilberto Manzano

[2006Coltsbestever]

13 minutes ago, richard pallo said:

Nico out is a big deal.  It changes the game plan for the Colts.  I like our new corners going up against Dell and Diggs.  I like them better than Brent’s and Flowers the first game.  The first time we concentrated on stopping their passing game.  This time I don’t think that’s necessary.  I’m expecting us to contain Mixon this time and not worry so much about their passing game this go around.  I think we are going to win this matchup and move into 1st in our division.

If Nico being out is a big deal then why is most the forum picking the Texans to win. I get it, it makes a difference but if it was a huge deal the whole forum would be picking Indy. One person predicted 42-13 Texans, another 28-13, another 30-20, apparently, they don't think losing Nico matters.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

I want AR to outplay stroud and get us the win so bad.

[2006Coltsbestever]

Just now, Restinpeacesweetchloe said:

I want AR to outplay stroud and get us the win do bad.

I do too, just to shut the critics up.

[Archer]

2 minutes ago, 2006Coltsbestever said:

If Nico being out is a big deal then why is most the forum picking the Texans to win. I get it, it makes a difference but if it was a huge deal the whole forum would be picking Indy. One person predicted 42-13 Texans, another 28-13, another 30-20, apparently, they don't think losing Nico matters.

Yeah, Colt fans right now are as negative as I’ve seen them in a long time.  It’s just frustration speaking.  Believe me - AR could have a very good game and we could beat Houston by 2TDs, and those same people will still trash AR because he isn’t Josh Allen yet…

[richard pallo]

3 minutes ago, 2006Coltsbestever said:

If Nico being out is a big deal then why is most the forum picking the Texans to win. I get it, it makes a difference but if it was a huge deal the whole forum would be picking Indy. One person predicted 42-13 Texans, another 28-13, another 30-20, apparently, they don't think losing Nico matters.

Obviously they don’t realize how important he is to their offense and don’t think much of the Colts team especially the defense.  The Colts don’t have three receivers we have to worry about only two.  I like our chances a lot.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

James must of been really confused. So he was right the first time about Buckner not practicing. Buckner is the key to this game. Hopefully he can go. No designation for Pittman  either.

 

 

[teganslaw]

There are people who only think negatively about the Colts no matter who they play. That's why some predict the Texans will win. 

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

15 minutes ago, Archer said:

Yeah, Colt fans right now are as negative as I’ve seen them in a long time.  It’s just frustration speaking.  Believe me - AR could have a very good game and we could beat Houston by 2TDs, and those same people will still trash AR because he isn’t Josh Allen yet…

I think the frustration with Ballard and Gus is being taken out on AR. We are 4-3 so its so weird.

[Archer]

6 minutes ago, Restinpeacesweetchloe said:

James must of been really confused. So he was right the first time about Buckner not practicing. Buckner is the key to this game. Hopefully he can go. No designation for Pittman  either.

 

 

Very positive report!  I bet Buckner plays.

[richard pallo]

1 minute ago, Archer said:

Very positive report!  I bet Buckner plays.

Me too.  Just another rest day.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

1 minute ago, Archer said:

Very positive report!  I bet Buckner plays.

My guess is he will unless there is some set back. They will probably put Carlisle’s on IR to make room. I am confused why Mcgrone is questionable when he hasn’t been activated to roster. Maybe it all depends on Buck.

 

 

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Buckner was categorized as rest today so it looks like he will go.

[JediXMan]

1 hour ago, Restinpeacesweetchloe said:

My guess is he will unless there is some set back. They will probably put Carlisle’s on IR to make room. I am confused why Mcgrone is questionable when he hasn’t been activated to roster. Maybe it all depends on Buck.

 

 

If Lewis gets activated next week someone else has to get cut right?

[BProland85]

2 hours ago, indyagent17 said:

No Collins so Dell may have a breakout day and we are getting healthy but in the end in the 4th quarter you go with the better QB and that is Stroud. Richardson may never be accurate and that is the fate of most QB's that do not last long in the NFL if he does than I accept it will take time but if he never does he will not last long in the league sadly  Texans 28 Colts 13

Put Kenny Moore on him all day and stop Mixon and Indy has a great shot at winning. 

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

1 minute ago, JediXMan said:

If Lewis gets activated next week someone else has to get cut right?

Yep