AFC South and AFC Playoff picture/ Remaining Schedules (MERGE) Updated OP + on page 61 - post week 17. AFC Clinching Scenarios page 61

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Anyone know what Texans starters got hurt Sunday? Seen a tweet that they lost 3 starters during the game.

[JediXMan]

Looks like the may rest Lawrence this week.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

1 minute ago, JediXMan said:

Looks like the may rest Lawrence this week.

Yeah that does not look good for Lawrence. I still think jags beat panthers. Something to monitor for week 18 and the titans though.

[JediXMan]

1 minute ago, Restinpeacesweetchloe said:

Yeah that does not look good for Lawrence. I still think jags beat panthers. Something to monitor for week 18 and the titans though.

If there’s one game Bryce Young might have a break out game in this strange NFL season lol.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Here is the Texans players that got hurt in the game Sunday.

 

Early in the game against the Browns, the Texans faced a slew of new injuries, all on the same side of the ball. In a matter of minutes in the opening quarter, safety Jimmie Ward (quad), defensive end Jonathan Greenard (ankle) and cornerback Steven Nelson (foot) were deemed questionable to return due to injuries.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

7 minutes ago, JediXMan said:

If there’s one game Bryce Young might have a break out game in this strange NFL season lol.

Panthers offense seems to be getting better. Really happy young had a 300 yard game. Even if GB defense isn’t good that’s a huge accomplishment for him.  It’s in Jacksonville so not sure they can repeat it. Just win Sunday against raiders and we will see how jags go against titans.

 

Looks like Texans have a beat up secondary so maybe titans can take advantage of that Sunday.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Am I correct that if Titans beat Texans and Colts win Sunday texans are pretty much eliminated from the playoffs? With bills having 6 losses seems Texans would have 8 and could not get in.

Do we need ravens to beat dolphins so that bills  and dolphins game means something? I guess it will mean something to dolphins either way but colts kind of need bills with a 7th loss. I guess it doesn’t matter too much if we don’t win the last two games.

[Colts1324]

9 minutes ago, Restinpeacesweetchloe said:

Am I correct that if Titans beat Texans and Colts win Sunday texans are pretty much eliminated from the playoffs? With bills having 6 losses seems Texans would have 8 and could not get in.

Do we need ravens to beat dolphins so that bills  and dolphins game means something? I guess it will mean something to dolphins either way but colts kind of need bills with a 7th loss. I guess it doesn’t matter too much if we don’t win the last two games.

I do believe we could eliminate the Texans this week with a win & Texans loss. 
 

However, it’s becoming more & more likely that we are only fighting for the 7th & final spot. 
 

Cleveland and  Buffalo/Miami are likely to get the 5th & 6th seeds. 
 

If we lose this week, it’s almost assuredly over for us. 

[dw49]

1 hour ago, Solid84 said:

That’s fine. But why focus on that instead of the OBVIOUS mistakes the Colts made?

 

If we hadn’t had four turnovers or let them score so many points off of them this would have been a non-issue. 

 

I was only giving my opinion on the post that compared the Speed "no call " to the butchery in the Cleveland game. I don'r recall saying we played a "clean" game or even a good game. 

[w87r]

29 minutes ago, Restinpeacesweetchloe said:

Am I correct that if Titans beat Texans and Colts win Sunday texans are pretty much eliminated from the playoffs? With bills having 6 losses seems Texans would have 8 and could not get in.

Do we need ravens to beat dolphins so that bills  and dolphins game means something? I guess it will mean something to dolphins either way but colts kind of need bills with a 7th loss. I guess it doesn’t matter too much if we don’t win the last two games.

Pretty much.

 

 

I think my scenarios are pretty solid.

 

 

Easiest paths

 

Beat Raiders

Texans lose to Titans

Bengals lose to Chiefs

Steelers lose to Seahawks

 

 

That almost does it there: 93%

 

Then easy clinching possibilities week 18, even with a loss.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

I am not super concerned with Steelers since colts have the head to head. Seems if colts beat raiders and chiefs and titans win colts are in pretty good shape week 18. 

Browns sitting players against bengals would be worrisome. 

 

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

I assume Levis will start this week against Texans. Tannehilll might have the better chance to win.

[w87r]

19 minutes ago, Colts1324 said:

I do believe we could eliminate the Texans this week with a win & Texans loss. 
 

However, it’s becoming more & more likely that we are only fighting for the 7th & final spot. 
 

Cleveland and  Buffalo/Miami are likely to get the 5th & 6th seeds. 
 

If we lose this week, it’s almost assuredly over for us. 

Not in the slightest, all kinds of scenarios where we lose to Raiders and beat the Texans and get in. 

 

This one is really easily obtained:

Quote

 

Would need:(lose to LV, win vs HOU)

 

Chargers to lose to the Broncos(week 17)

Bengals to lose to the Chiefs(week 17)

 

 +

 

Texans lose to the Colts:(week 18)

 

+

 

Raiders lose to Broncos(week 18)

Plus Steelers lose 1 or last 2.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

I think Seahawks needing a win to get a playoff spot and being a better team then Steelers Seahawks will win that game. Glad that’s in Seattle. Rudolph is starting again.

 

Bengals defense is not that good. Raiders used a lot of emotion to beat a division rival. KC should be able to win. But that offense has not looked good.

 

Stroyd most likely comes back. Seems he has made progress. Then we don’t know about Pittman and smith. Smith is huge this week against Crosby. 
 

Looks like Lawrence might not play with them getting another QB. But they should still beat panthers at home. Would be fun for the division to come down to week 18.

[w87r]

24 minutes ago, Colts1324 said:

If we lose this week, it’s almost assuredly over for us. 

Another scenario:

 

If we beat Raiders and lose to Texans(alternate scenario)

 

Would Need:

 

Week 17:

Bills lose to the Patriots

Panthers lose to the Jaguars

Texans lose to the Titans

Steelers lose to the Seahawks

Bengals lose to the Chiefs 

Chargers lose to the Broncos

 

Week 18:

Titans lose to the Jaguars 

Bills lose to the Dolphins

Raiders lose to the Broncos

 

 

 

Hardest thing there on paper is Bills losing to Patriots, everything else seems more than plausible.

 

 

 

 

We win one of the last 2(9-8), especially the Texans game(which you've stated lose to Raiders) most likely we are in the playoffs.

 

Only Texans, Colts, Steelers, Bengals can get to 10 wins, and only 3 actually can. Seems more likely that none of them will and 9 wins will be the mark.

 

We own most the tie breakers now and we will own most of them then.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

 

[w87r]

https://www.nbcsports.com/nfl/profootballtalk/rumor-mill/news/seven-teams-can-clinch-playoff-spots-in-week-17

 

Quote

All of this week’s playoff scenarios can be found below:

 

AFC

CLINCHED:

Baltimore Ravens (12-3) – playoff berth

Miami Dolphins (11-4) – playoff berth

 

BALTIMORE RAVENS (12-3) vs. Miami (11-4); Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

 

Baltimore clinches AFC North division title with:

 

BAL win or tie OR

CLE loss or tie

Baltimore clinches AFC’s No. 1 seed, lone first-round bye and homefield advantage with:

 

BAL win

BUFFALO BILLS (9-6) vs. New England (4-11); Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

 

Buffalo clinches playoff berth with:

 

BUF win + PIT loss or tie + CIN loss or tie OR

BUF win + PIT loss or tie + JAX loss or tie OR

BUF win + PIT loss or tie + HOU loss or tie + IND loss or tie OR

BUF win + CIN loss or tie + JAX loss or tie OR

BUF win + CIN loss or tie + HOU loss or tie + IND loss or tie OR

BUF tie + PIT loss + CIN loss + JAX loss OR

BUF tie + PIT loss + CIN loss + HOU loss or tie OR

BUF tie + PIT loss + CIN loss + IND loss or tie OR

BUF tie + PIT loss + JAX loss + HOU loss or tie OR

BUF tie + PIT loss + JAX loss + IND loss or tie OR

BUF tie + PIT loss + HOU loss + IND loss OR

BUF tie + CIN loss + JAX loss + HOU loss or tie OR

BUF tie + CIN loss + JAX loss + IND loss or tie OR

BUF tie + CIN loss + HOU loss + IND loss

CLEVELAND BROWNS (10-5) vs. New York Jets (6-9); Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video

 

Cleveland clinches playoff berth with:

 

CLE win or tie OR

PIT loss or tie OR

BUF loss OR

JAX loss or tie OR

HOU loss or tie + IND loss or tie

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (8-7) vs. Carolina (2-13); Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

 

Jacksonville clinches playoff berth and AFC South division title with:

 

JAX win + IND loss + HOU loss

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (9-6) vs. Cincinnati (8-7); Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

 

Kansas City clinches playoff berth and AFC West division title with:

 

KC win or tie OR

LV loss or tie + DEN loss or tie

MIAMI DOLPHINS (11-4) at Baltimore (12-3); Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

 

Miami clinches AFC East division title with:

 

MIA win or tie OR

BUF loss or tie

AFC clinching Scenarios:

 

 

We almost made this list, only need one result from week 18(Steelers win/ or Browns win) to make it happen if we win and the other 3 lose.

 

Other obtainable scenarios if that one  doesn't work.

[w87r]

Texans claimed the dirty Kareem Jackson off waivers.

 

Just picked up some toughness. 

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Raiders talked a lot before and after that KC win. Hopefully they used all their energy and flying across country they don’t have much left.

 

Bradley knows how to make backup QB look good and they do have Adams and we have such a young secondary. He better not play this like Bengals and give them all these screens because he is worried about Adams. Jacobs should be back too. Colts have not looked good running the ball even with Stewart back. Not putting pressure on a rookie is stuff that should have him fired.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

This would be so interesting.

 

 

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

I’

[w87r]

1 minute ago, Restinpeacesweetchloe said:

This would be so interesting.

 

 

They need him, I know that.

 

I would bring him back next year if the opportunity presents itself, for sure.

 

 

I think his HC appeal should receive a bump, so he could get a HC job?

 

If not KC better pay the man.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

2 minutes ago, w87r said:

They need him, I know that.

 

I would bring him back next year if the opportunity presents itself, for sure.

 

 

I think his HC appeal should receive a bump, so he could get a HC job?

 

If not KC better pay the man.

I assume WA would have to give him permission since the new league year doesn’t start until march.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Interesting. Kevin Bowen said Pittman woke up with symptoms Saturday morning.  I am surprised he traveled with the team. 

[JediXMan]

22 minutes ago, w87r said:

Texans claimed the dirty Kareem Jackson off waivers.

 

Just picked up some toughness. 

This concerns me not because he’s a good player but he’s a repeat offender on head hunting.

[1959Colts]

1 minute ago, JediXMan said:

This concerns not because he’s a good player but he’s a repeat offender on head hunting.

Didn't they just claim the defensive tackle Tart too? Who had his own thread here?

[1959Colts]

25 minutes ago, w87r said:

Texans claimed the dirty Kareem Jackson off waivers.

 

Just picked up some toughness. 

Didn't they just claim the defensive tackle Tart too? Who had his own thread here?

[w87r]

4 minutes ago, 1959Colts said:

Didn't they just claim the defensive tackle Tart too? Who had his own thread here?

Yeah last week 

[Patrick Miller]

3 hours ago, jskinnz said:

 

1) I did not need an explanation of what a trap game is. 
 

2) The Raiders have a losing record and just saved their season. They are not good enough to just show up and beat Indy without their best effort.  I don’t buy for a second that they overlook Indy. 

I thought the same thing as the Colts went into the Falcons game but yet here we are.

[DiogoSales]

2 hours ago, Restinpeacesweetchloe said:

Here is the Texans players that got hurt in the game Sunday.

 

Early in the game against the Browns, the Texans faced a slew of new injuries, all on the same side of the ball. In a matter of minutes in the opening quarter, safety Jimmie Ward (quad), defensive end Jonathan Greenard (ankle) and cornerback Steven Nelson (foot) were deemed questionable to return due to injuries.

Greenard is big.. good pass rusher.

[w87r]

27 minutes ago, DiogoSales said:

Greenard is big.. good pass rusher.

Jimmy Ward is big loss to, he was put on the IR.

[DiogoSales]

Do we know if Julian injury is serious? 

[jskinnz]

59 minutes ago, Patrick Miller said:

I thought the same thing as the Colts went into the Falcons game but yet here we are.

I don’t think you are quite where you think you are.  They got outplayed and out coached plus missing Pittman hurt, but to say they overlooked ATL is nonsense to me. 

[DiogoSales]

16 minutes ago, DiogoSales said:

Do we know if Julian injury is serious? 

IR, not good

[JediXMan]

1 hour ago, DiogoSales said:

Do we know if Julian injury is serious? 

He’s done unless the Colts somehow make it to the AFCCG.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

1 hour ago, w87r said:

Jimmy Ward is big loss to, he was put on the IR.

Really?

[w87r]

9 minutes ago, Restinpeacesweetchloe said:

Really?

 

 

 

[BCMak24]

3 hours ago, w87r said:

Another scenario:

 

If we beat Raiders and lose to Texans(alternate scenario)

 

Would Need:

 

Week 17:

Bills lose to the Patriots

Panthers lose to the Jaguars

Texans lose to the Titans

Steelers lose to the Seahawks

Bengals lose to the Chiefs 

Chargers lose to the Broncos

 

Week 18:

Titans lose to the Jaguars 

Bills lose to the Dolphins

Raiders lose to the Broncos

 

 

 

Hardest thing there on paper is Bills losing to Patriots, everything else seems more than plausible.

 

 

 

 

We win one of the last 2(9-8), especially the Texans game(which you've stated lose to Raiders) most likely we are in the playoffs.

 

Only Texans, Colts, Steelers, Bengals can get to 10 wins, and only 3 actually can. Seems more likely that none of them will and 9 wins will be the mark.

 

We own most the tie breakers now and we will own most of them then.

You mean jags lose to the panthers right?

[w87r]

4 minutes ago, BCMak24 said:

You mean jags lose to the panthers right?

No, that game really isn't important for this one for this WC scenario. I went back and re-entered. However if Jaguars lost both games we would be Division champs. I didn't do any of those as we know we need to play a game better than Jags over last 2. Not too much to look at there.

 

Just need:

Bills to lose to the Patriots 

Texans lose to the Titans

Steelers lose to the Seahawks

Bengals lose to the Chiefs 

Chargers lose to the Broncos

 

Then week 18:

We lose to Texans

 

 

All we need is:

Browns to beat Bengals

 

 

 

There is so many different scenarios, I just put out a few. This was a work off a different one.

[w87r]

Here is the NYT simulation for anyone who hasn't seen it.

 

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/upshot/indianapolis-colts-nfl-playoff-picture.html#buf-ne-17=loss&ind-lv-17=win&jax-car-17=win&hou-ten-17=loss&sea-pit-17=win&den-lac-17=win&kc-cin-17=win&cin-cle-18=loss&ind-hou-18=loss