Dustin Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 Justis Mosqueda (@JuMosq) uses a statistical method that factors in all of the combine/pro-day numbers and created a metric that is virtually perfect for EDGE rushing projections to the NFL. Here are the EDGE rushers who were drafted in between 2005 and 2014 in the 1st through 4th round. Blue = #forceplayersRed = non-#forceplayers *note: some guys who are in red would (could) have been blue if they had done the required drills. Here are the #forceplayers for 2015: Vic BeasleyRandy GregoryAlvin DupreeDiggyPreston SmithDanielle HunterFrank ClarkShaq RiddickMarcus RushDavis Tull Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RealityIsLuck Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 I'm really starting to warm up to the idea of Preston Smith in the 2nd, He'd be a hack of a 5 tech in the 3-4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LJpalmbeacher2 Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 Justis Mosqueda (@JuMosq) uses a statistical method that factors in all of the combine/pro-day numbers and created a metric that is virtually perfect for EDGE rushing projections to the NFL. Here are the EDGE rushers who were drafted in between 2005 and 2014 in the 1st through 4th round. Blue = #forceplayersRed = non-#forceplayers *note: some guys who are in red would (could) have been blue if they had done the required drills. Here are the #forceplayers for 2015: Vic BeasleyRandy GregoryAlvin DupreeDiggyPreston SmithDanielle HunterFrank ClarkShaq RiddickMarcus RushDavis TullI'm assuming the 2015 list is listed Statistically with Beasley on top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dustin Posted April 3, 2015 Author Share Posted April 3, 2015 I'm assuming the 2015 list is listed Statistically with Beasley on top. There's no ranking. It's not really a formula that spits out a number. Each player has to hit minimum requirements (4.6 forty, 39" vert, ect...) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LJpalmbeacher2 Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 Ok, thanks. Good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
12isthenew18 Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 no leonard williams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dustin Posted April 3, 2015 Author Share Posted April 3, 2015 no leonard williams He's not an edge rusher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
21isSuperman Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 There's no ranking. It's not really a formula that spits out a number. Each player has to hit minimum requirements (4.6 forty, 39" vert, ect...)So it just considers athletic ability? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
12isthenew18 Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 He's not an edge rusher.i thought it said pass not edge my bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dustin Posted April 3, 2015 Author Share Posted April 3, 2015 So it just considers athletic ability? Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
21isSuperman Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 Yes. Does that make it the best metric available? Just because a guy can jump through the roof or run fast, that doesn't mean he is a good pass rusher. Workout warriors aren't always good football players Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dustin Posted April 3, 2015 Author Share Posted April 3, 2015 Does that make it the best metric available? Just because a guy can jump through the roof or run fast, that doesn't mean he is a good pass rusher. Workout warriors aren't always good football players I mean yeah, didn't you see the chart I posted? You're not going to find another metric that possesses success like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superman Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 I mean yeah, didn't you see the chart I posted? You're not going to find another metric that possesses success like that. I'd like to see the individual numbers. Some of the red guys have been dealing with injuries. Clowney for instance, is a surprise omission, and if he doesn't have pro success, it's probably more about injuries than about his workout numbers. Aldon Smith is another outlier. Seems like a good metric, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dustin Posted April 3, 2015 Author Share Posted April 3, 2015 I'd like to see the individual numbers. Some of the red guys have been dealing with injuries. Clowney for instance, is a surprise omission, and if he doesn't have pro success, it's probably more about injuries than about his workout numbers. Aldon Smith is another outlier. Seems like a good metric, though. Clowney had bad agility drills and Aldon didn't do anything of note in his drills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superman Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 Clowney had bad agility drills and Aldon didn't do anything of note in his drills. But Aldon has been a very productive pass rusher, despite not being a #forceplayer. He's the rare outlier, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewColtsFan Posted April 4, 2015 Share Posted April 4, 2015 Justis Mosqueda (@JuMosq) uses a statistical method that factors in all of the combine/pro-day numbers and created a metric that is virtually perfect for EDGE rushing projections to the NFL. Here are the EDGE rushers who were drafted in between 2005 and 2014 in the 1st through 4th round. Blue = #forceplayersRed = non-#forceplayers *note: some guys who are in red would (could) have been blue if they had done the required drills. Here are the #forceplayers for 2015: Vic BeasleyRandy GregoryAlvin DupreeDiggyPreston SmithDanielle HunterFrank ClarkShaq RiddickMarcus RushDavis Tull OK.... I'll be the one guy who asks.... Diggy? Is there a first and last name to that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dustin Posted April 4, 2015 Author Share Posted April 4, 2015 OK.... I'll be the one guy who asks.... Diggy? Is there a first and last name to that? He's the guy with the crazy name. Everybody calls him Diggy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backshoulderfade Posted April 4, 2015 Share Posted April 4, 2015 He's the guy with the crazy name. Everybody calls him Diggy.Oh, Diggy Zoo Wah? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewColtsFan Posted April 4, 2015 Share Posted April 4, 2015 He's the guy with the crazy name. Everybody calls him Diggy. I appreciate that everybody calls him Diggy.... but I have no idea who we're talking about? The guy from UCLA with the long African sounding name? Or is there someone else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That Guy Posted April 4, 2015 Share Posted April 4, 2015 He's not an edge rusher.He's as much of an edge rusher as J.J. Watt.Interesting metric. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dustin Posted April 4, 2015 Author Share Posted April 4, 2015 I appreciate that everybody calls him Diggy.... but I have no idea who we're talking about? The guy from UCLA with the long African sounding name? Or is there someone else? yeah him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dustin Posted April 4, 2015 Author Share Posted April 4, 2015 He's as much of an edge rusher as J.J. Watt.Interesting metric. JJ Watt played DE at Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That Guy Posted April 4, 2015 Share Posted April 4, 2015 JJ Watt played DE at Wisconsin.What a coincidence; Leonard Williams played DE at USC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dustin Posted April 4, 2015 Author Share Posted April 4, 2015 What a coincidence; Leonard Williams played DE at USC. A 3-4 DE isn't an edge rusher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That Guy Posted April 4, 2015 Share Posted April 4, 2015 A 3-4 DE isn't an edge rusher.Leonard Williams was often asked to rush from the edge; just like J.J. Watt was often asked to rush from inside. I see no reason to exclude one but not the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dustin Posted April 4, 2015 Author Share Posted April 4, 2015 Leonard Williams was often asked to rush from the edge; just like J.J. Watt was often asked to rush from inside. I see no reason to exclude one but not the other. Because one of them was an actual edge rusher who sometimes rushed from inside and the other is an interior pass rusher who sometimes rushed from outside. Arik Armstead isn't listed either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That Guy Posted April 4, 2015 Share Posted April 4, 2015 Because one of them was an actual edge rusher who sometimes rushed from inside and the other is an interior pass rusher who sometimes rushed from outside. Arik Armstead isn't listed either.Margus Hunt played DE in a 3-4 at SMU, yet his name is on the list. They can also be "edge rushers." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dustin Posted April 4, 2015 Author Share Posted April 4, 2015 Margus Hunt played DE in a 3-4 at SMU, yet his name is on the list. They can also be "edge rushers."Hunt was a projected edge rusher in the pros. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That Guy Posted April 4, 2015 Share Posted April 4, 2015 Hunt was a projected edge rusher in the pros.Adam Carriker (on the list) was projected to be a 3-4 DE or DT. As I recall, he was known for being excellent against the run, but only decent in rushing the passer. He was never projected as an "edge rusher." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dustin Posted April 4, 2015 Author Share Posted April 4, 2015 Adam Carriker (on the list) was projected to be a 3-4 DE or DT. As I recall, he was known for being excellent against the run, but only decent in rushing the passer. He was never projected as an "edge rusher."I'm guessing the requirements are you either are an edge rusher or projected to play on the edge in the pros. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That Guy Posted April 4, 2015 Share Posted April 4, 2015 I'm guessing the requirements are you either are an edge rusher or projected to play on the edge in the pros.Ha! Makes sense. I just think we should wait until we see what team drafts him before we start to label him "edge rusher" or "not." It does seem like a lot of 3-4 teams are drafting early, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
21isSuperman Posted April 4, 2015 Share Posted April 4, 2015 I'd like to see the individual numbers. Some of the red guys have been dealing with injuries. Clowney for instance, is a surprise omission, and if he doesn't have pro success, it's probably more about injuries than about his workout numbers. Aldon Smith is another outlier. Seems like a good metric, though. I mean yeah, didn't you see the chart I posted? You're not going to find another metric that possesses success like that. It also has some blue players that haven't been that great, like Adam Carriker, Vernon Gholston, or Jamaal Anderson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BOTT Posted April 4, 2015 Share Posted April 4, 2015 Does that make it the best metric available? Just because a guy can jump through the roof or run fast, that doesn't mean he is a good pass rusher. Workout warriors aren't always good football playersPaul Brown supposedly keep charts like this back in the day....and passed it on to guys like Ozzie Newsome and Bill Belichick who continue to use it. It may not be 100%, but it's definetly telling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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