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Taylor’s average $14 mil/yr contract


azcolt

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4 hours ago, Superman said:

 

It's October 2024. These conversations were all the rage in September 2023, before the contract was done. For those who don't like second contracts for RBs, or who disagree with Ballard's cap strategies, these conversations have been had already.

 

This thread is nothing more than whining because a player is injured. And we're not talking about a general wear and tear, aging player injury. We watched the player get hurt with our own eyes, and it was no one's fault. Before he got hurt, he was playing well and was very productive. If not for this injury, which is no one's fault, this thread wouldn't exist.

True, but JTs injury issue was part of the past discussions about contract.  In October 2024, the concerns some had about that have come to fruition.  Another ankle injury gives some support for those who want to argue, "I told you so".

 

I stayed out of those discussions.  IMO, even though he is a RB, and probably just carrier of the FB compared to other RBs, he is one of the few big play threats the team had at the time (disappointingly a function of roster construction but that's a different discussion).  I never thought the contract was excessive given that reality, and it doesn't burden the team with inabilities to make other decisions.  I don't think the contract is a big deal even if JTs availability is sporadic like some expected.  

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40 minutes ago, DougDew said:

True, but JTs injury issue was part of the past discussions about contract.  In October 2024, the concerns some had about that have come to fruition.  Another ankle injury gives some support for those who want to argue, "I told you so".

 

I stayed out of those discussions.  IMO, even though he is a RB, and probably just carrier of the FB compared to other RBs, he is one of the few big play threats the team had at the time (disappointingly a function of roster construction but that's a different discussion).  I never thought the contract was excessive given that reality, and it doesn't burden the team with inabilities to make other decisions.  I don't think the contract is a big deal even if JTs availability is sporadic like some expected.  

 

He didn't get hurt because he had a previous injury. He got hurt because football is a physical sport and players get hurt, especially when their ankles get trapped under another player's body. 

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2 hours ago, BlackTiger said:

No need to worry about it, according to over the cap the team is going into next season with 55 million in cap space and will still have around 30 after signing the projected roster.  Plenty to sign 53 players and make what ever move they want really

Per Spotrac we have around $53m. So somewhere in the $53-55m range. That's with only 37 players signed to the roster by the way. Now you're possibly looking at giving Raimann a new contract which will almost certainly be more than $20m. Fries will probably be in the range of Nelson-level money at his point. Smith will get at least the same as he's already getting $16.5m.

 

Smith is a wash if he gets about the same. Say Raimann gets around $22m, that would be a little more than $20m more than he's getting now and it'll likely be the same for Fries. Then add, what, $5-ish million for rookie contracts and then we still have to sign some 10-15 players. It'll fit under the cap, but that's once again a lot of money just to stay the same...

 

I'm not sure how this maths, but I'm not seeing where we're getting better here and that's my main gripe. Same old, same old.

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15 minutes ago, Solid84 said:

Per Spotrac we have around $53m. So somewhere in the $53-55m range. That's with only 37 players signed to the roster by the way. Now you're possibly looking at giving Raimann a new contract which will almost certainly be more than $20m. Fries will probably be in the range of Nelson-level money at his point. Smith will get at least the same as he's already getting $16.5m.

 

Smith is a wash if he gets about the same. Say Raimann gets around $22m, that would be a little more than $20m more than he's getting now and it'll likely be the same for Fries. Then add, what, $5-ish million for rookie contracts and then we still have to sign some 10-15 players. It'll fit under the cap, but that's once again a lot of money just to stay the same...

 

I'm not sure how this maths, but I'm not seeing where we're getting better here and that's my main gripe. Same old, same old.

The good news is we keep in place a top five OL.  I don’t think signing Raiman is an absolute must.  I think he has another year to go.  I’m not expecting Fries to get a big contract because of his injury but you never know.  I’m not worried about the money.  It seems like that’s all people like to talk about here.  We have always managed the cap well under Ballard.  They know what they’re doing on that front.

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7 minutes ago, Solid84 said:

Per Spotrac we have around $53m. So somewhere in the $53-55m range. That's with only 37 players signed to the roster by the way. Now you're possibly looking at giving Raimann a new contract which will almost certainly be more than $20m. Fries will probably be in the range of Nelson-level money at his point. Smith will get at least the same as he's already getting $16.5m.

 

Smith is a wash if he gets about the same. Say Raimann gets around $22m, that would be a little more than $20m more than he's getting now and it'll likely be the same for Fries. Then add, what, $5-ish million for rookie contracts and then we still have to sign some 10-15 players. It'll fit under the cap, but that's once again a lot of money just to stay the same...

 

I'm not sure how this maths, but I'm not seeing where we're getting better here and that's my main gripe. Same old, same old.

 

I highly doubt that Fries will be playing in those waters. Even without his injury, I don't think that was going to be his market, and I certainly wouldn't expect the Colts to make that kind of commitment. 

 

But to your larger point, you're right. The Colts are in a 'maintain the core roster' phase of team building and cap management, which was demonstrated in the past offseason. They added some players in the draft who have the potential to be starters in the next year or two (some of them are already performing now), replacing some higher paid veterans. And they kept their main core together for the next 2-3 seasons. So if they want to continue playing out this strategy, they have the cap standing to do so.

 

The problem is that the main core isn't good enough, as we're seeing in the early part of the season. Especially on defense, where they committed around $70m to players who don't improve any element of the pass defense. So yeah, based on early returns, it's same old. And there's no reason to think that Ballard is going to spend on expensive free agents, even if he has a ton of cap space. So the main hope for this roster right now is for young players to become difference makers.

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13 minutes ago, Superman said:

The problem is that the main core isn't good enough, as we're seeing in the early part of the season. Especially on defense, where they committed around $70m to players who don't improve any element of the pass defense. So yeah, based on early returns, it's same old. And there's no reason to think that Ballard is going to spend on expensive free agents, even if he has a ton of cap space. So the main hope for this roster right now is for young players to become difference makers.

/HEAVY SARCASM**

 

How very dare you to use constructive criticism of this team! Straight to jail with you! Go find another team to support! 

 

/END HEAVY SARCASM**

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20 minutes ago, Superman said:

 

I highly doubt that Fries will be playing in those waters. Even without his injury, I don't think that was going to be his market, and I certainly wouldn't expect the Colts to make that kind of commitment. 

I think Fries is playing at Nelson or very near to Nelson-level at this point. What speaks against giving him a big contract is he hasn't done it for multiple seasons and that's a fair argument. What do you expect his market to look like?

 

Quote

But to your larger point, you're right. The Colts are in a 'maintain the core roster' phase of team building and cap management, which was demonstrated in the past offseason. They added some players in the draft who have the potential to be starters in the next year or two (some of them are already performing now), replacing some higher paid veterans. And they kept their main core together for the next 2-3 seasons. So if they want to continue playing out this strategy, they have the cap standing to do so.

 

The problem is that the main core isn't good enough, as we're seeing in the early part of the season. Especially on defense, where they committed around $70m to players who don't improve any element of the pass defense. So yeah, based on early returns, it's same old. And there's no reason to think that Ballard is going to spend on expensive free agents, even if he has a ton of cap space. So the main hope for this roster right now is for young players to become difference makers.

I agree with all of this.

 

I think the main thing the Colts could do to actually improve without spending is getting a new DC. Ultimately that'll likely mean some old players leaving and new players joining the team, but from a cap point of view should stay the same. Bradley just isn't it and I think we can get more from our current defenders.

 

This has veered a bit from the original post, sorry about that.

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30 minutes ago, RollerColt said:

/HEAVY SARCASM**

 

How very dare you to use constructive criticism of this team! Straight to jail with you! Go find another team to support! 

 

/END HEAVY SARCASM**

 

I said the same thing in March, while leaving room for the strategy to work better than expected. So far, that's not been the case.

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9 minutes ago, Solid84 said:

I think Fries is playing at Nelson or very near to Nelson-level at this point. What speaks against giving him a big contract is he hasn't done it for multiple seasons and that's a fair argument. What do you expect his market to look like?

 

I agree with all of this.

 

I think the main thing the Colts could do to actually improve without spending is getting a new DC. Ultimately that'll likely mean some old players leaving and new players joining the team, but from a cap point of view should stay the same. Bradley just isn't it and I think we can get more from our current defenders.

 

This has veered a bit from the original post, sorry about that.

 

On Fries, he's been pretty average most of his career so far. He had a good five weeks to start the season, really good. I don't think that puts him in top five guard range. I would put him in the $13-15m/year range, just a bump ahead of guys who signed last year, like Ben Powers and Cesar Ruiz. And that's before the injury. Now, I expect a prove-it deal that comes in well below $10m/year. And either way, I think the Colts are well-equipped to deal with his departure (still early on the young guys, but they look good so far, and we still haven't seen Goncalves). 

 

Yeah, we've left the JT topic, but I didn't think that was a strong topic to begin with. JMO. The natural progression to talking about the Colts' cap standing should be fine. And you know I agree with you on Gus, which might also mean making some personnel changes. I think both are necessary, but I don't see Ballard making huge changes with established veterans. 

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3 hours ago, richard pallo said:

Hope he does something by the deadline.  A win Sunday might convince him to make a move.

Doesn't seem likely. How many trades has he made during the season over his eight years with the Colts? I can only find one -- the trade of Nyheim Hines to the Bills for Zack Moss and a fifth-round pick on Nov. 1, 2022.  Are there any others? 

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1 hour ago, BeanDiasucci said:

Doesn't seem likely. How many trades has he made during the season over his eight years with the Colts? I can only find one -- the trade of Nyheim Hines to the Bills for Zack Moss and a fifth-round pick on Nov. 1, 2022.  Are there any others? 

That’s why I said might.  Circumstances change every year and by the time the deadline nears he might like our chances to make the playoffs with an addition.  We were sellers in the Hines trade.  This time we would be buyers.

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8 hours ago, lollygagger8 said:

I'm a big JT fan.

 

I just really wish they would've kept Zack Moss.

 

$8M for 2 years for a good RB is pretty good value. Him and JT could've split reps 60/40 (or whatever) and both got less wear and tear and give JT a breather. 

Moss was benched in the second half last Sunday after a bad first half and a fumble in the second half for a rookie RB. He has been sharing time all year with the rookie Chase Brown and may be seeing less time according to sum in the know. I think we are better off with what we have for a lot less money.

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8 hours ago, lollygagger8 said:

I'm a big JT fan.

 

I just really wish they would've kept Zack Moss.

 

$8M for 2 years for a good RB is pretty good value. Him and JT could've split reps 60/40 (or whatever) and both got less wear and tear and give JT a breather. 

Moss hasn't been good this season.   Brown is out playing him

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Just now, jvan1973 said:

Moss hasn't been good this season.   Brown is out playing him

Yes, yes he is. That’s part of the reason Cincy is having so much trouble this year besides the defense. If the passing game is not perfect, there’s no run game to take away the stress. 

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43 minutes ago, richard pallo said:

That’s why I said might.  Circumstances change every year and by the time the deadline nears he might like our chances to make the playoffs with an addition.  We were sellers in the Hines trade.  This time we would be buyers.

 

I'd say that the evidence so far indicates that filling holes in the team through mid-season trades is something Chris Ballard generally doesn't do and doesn't believe in. And his beliefs do not waver. They do not vacillate. And not making the playoffs will not change that. 

 

Quote

"I've always had a strong belief in myself and those around me. Strong belief in what we do," Ballard told reporters [via The Athletic]. "... The last three years, not making the playoffs, it's a disappointment. I'm not gonna sit here and say it wasn't, but I still have a very strong belief in what we're doing, how we're doing it and how we're gonna get there. And that will not waver. Either you believe for something or you believe nothing. Like it's easy to vacillate and go with what the world wants you to do, but you need to believe in something or you don't. It's what we believe.

 

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4 hours ago, Solid84 said:

I'm not seeing where we're getting better here and that's my main gripe

We need a good QB first and foremost. Ideally Anthony because he's already invested in.  

 

After that the rest of the offense isn't bad overall, could use a better backup RB.

 

We need Latu to become a consistent contributor, Buckner to not miss games and maybe overhaul the Line backer group.  The secondary really has been better than expected with some pretty young players doing a good job

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10 hours ago, lollygagger8 said:

I'm a big JT fan.

 

I just really wish they would've kept Zack Moss.

 

$8M for 2 years for a good RB is pretty good value. Him and JT could've split reps 60/40 (or whatever) and both got less wear and tear and give JT a breather. 

 

 Interesting fact. 

Moss left for a starting job.

 Do you understand why your point is a dud?

 

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