Colts Could Lock Up Number One Pick Next Week

[GoColts8818]

If the Colts lose next week and fall to 0-14 and the Vikings and Rams each win the Colts would lock up the first pick in the draft. I don't know how the tie breakers would work with the Vikings and Rams and the Colts for the top pick but it's possiable a loss by the Colts might lock up the top pick.

[Smitto]

Right now that number 1 pick is bittersweet, makes me sick watching the colts lose the way they do... with the way the defense is playing i see no changes, forget about the offseason.

[FireJimCaldwell]

I think it would be too dependent on the SOS to be locked up next week if the Rams & Vikings are both 2-12 at that point. We'd have a good chance, but I doubt it would be considered official.

[Blue Horseshoe]

TIE-BREAKING PROCEDURE FOR SELECTION MEETING

• Clubs not participating in the playoffs shall select in the first through 20th positions in reverse standings order.
  
• The Super Bowl winner is last and Super Bowl loser is next-to-last.
  
• The losers of the Conference Championship games shall select 29th and 30th based on won-lost-tied percentage.
  
• The losers of the Divisional playoff games shall select 25th through 28th based on won-lost-tied percentage.
  
• The losers of the Wild Card games shall select 21st through 24th based on won-lost-tied percentage.
  

If ties exist in any grouping except (2) above, such ties shall be broken by strength-of-schedule. If any ties cannot be broken by strength-of-schedule, the divisional or conference tie-breakers, if applicable, shall be applied. Any ties that still exist shall be broken by a coin flip.

[wordofmouth]

Everyone is saying that we have an easier schedule than The Rams and Vikings, but do we? Has anyone, with more time on their hands than me, sat down and added up the wins and losses of everyones opponents?

I think it will be a moot point, but it would be nice to win a game or two and know that we are still getting the #1.

Uggh, this is depressing to even talk about. It will be an interesting off season though.

[shakedownstreet]

minnesota hosts new orleans & st louis hosts cincinnati <_<

go titans :unsure:

[FireJimCaldwell]

Everyone is saying that we have an easier schedule than The Rams and Vikings, but do we? Has anyone, with more time on their hands than me, sat down and added up the wins and losses of everyones opponents?

I think it will be a moot point, but it would be nice to win a game or two and know that we are still getting the #1.

Uggh, this is depressing to even talk about. It will be an interesting off season though.

Not counting 4pm games or later

Indy 114 94

STL 115 84

Minn 113 87

[swflacoltsfans]

We already have it locked up. Who do you think we could beat to get to two wins!

[shakedownstreet]

luck it up for lock

[FireJimCaldwell]

We already have it locked up. Who do you think we could beat to get to two wins!

That is a good point but any of the 3 teams we play could be beatable.... We would have to catch a perfect storm. Houston will likely play the string out since they have a 3rd string QB that they will need to get as much pre-playoff work as possible... Tennessee might be playing a rookie QB, and while Jacksonville put up some points today, I could see Gabbert stinking the place up.

The # 1 pick is likely safe, but it's not locked up yet.

[Mengle0225]

So the team with the weakest SOS gets the 1st pick, right? For that to even be a question is if we win 2 of last 3....can't see that happening.

But for kicks, any site you can find the current SOS of minn, st Lou, and Indy?

[FireJimCaldwell]

So the team with the weakest SOS gets the 1st pick, right? For that to even be a question is if we win 2 of last 3....can't see that happening.

But for kicks, any site you can find the current SOS of minn, st Lou, and Indy?

If all 3 teams finished 2-14, the one that had the worst record against the weakest schedule would have the highest pick. Just like if 3 teams were 14-2, and the team with that played the toughest schedule would have the higher seed.

NFL.com will have it, but it's not taking into account the final 3 weeks.

Indy 114 94 0.548

STL 115 84 0.578

Minn 113 87 0.565

is how everything stands after the 1pm games..

[wordofmouth]

If all 3 teams finished 2-14, the one that had the worst record against the weakest schedule would have the highest pick. Just like if 3 teams were 14-2, and the team with that played the toughest schedule would have the higher seed. NFL.com will have it, but it's not taking into account the final 3 weeks. Indy 114 94 0.548 STL 115 84 0.578 Minn 113 87 0.565 is how everything stands after the 1pm games..

Forgive me for being dumb, but I don't quite get the #'s....... ex. Minn 113-87. I assume the number with a decimal after that is the winning percentage of the opponents.

[Coltsman1788]

That is a good point but any of the 3 teams we play could be beatable.... We would have to catch a perfect storm. Houston will likely play the string out since they have a 3rd string QB that they will need to get as much pre-playoff work as possible... Tennessee might be playing a rookie QB, and while Jacksonville put up some points today, I could see Gabbert stinking the place up.

The # 1 pick is likely safe, but it's not locked up yet.

Co-sign on this post.

[FireJimCaldwell]

Forgive me for being dumb, but I don't quite get the #'s....... ex. Minn 113-87. I assume the number with a decimal after that is the winning percentage of the opponents.

Yes with 6 games left this week....

[Mengle0225]

Looking at the remaining opponents for each team, St Louis has by far the toughest. Minn and Indy very close......IF all 3 finish with same record, would be a close call between Indy and Minn.

[Ct Sharp]

Once the colts have it locked up, they should rest the starters.

[GoColts8818]

Once the colts have it locked up, they should rest the starters.

you know the irony of us being 0-14 and maybe locking up the first pick and us being 14-0 and pulling the starters wasn't lost on me lol.

[Ct Sharp]

exactly, if that happens, who knows, we might get the win.

[supremecoltsfan300]

That is a good point but any of the 3 teams we play could be beatable.... We would have to catch a perfect storm. Houston will likely play the string out since they have a 3rd string QB that they will need to get as much pre-playoff work as possible... Tennessee might be playing a rookie QB, and while Jacksonville put up some points today, I could see Gabbert stinking the place up.

The # 1 pick is likely safe, but it's not locked up yet.

no it was locked up when irsay said he doesnt envision manning playing this season. We cant beat anybody. we have the 3 best runninh backs to go against. cj2k foster and mjd. the first two led the league in rushing the last two years n mjd will lead it this year. Those three guys can beat us alone.

[FireJimCaldwell]

no it was locked up when irsay said he doesnt envision manning playing this season. We cant beat anybody. we have the 3 best runninh backs to go against. cj2k foster and mjd. the first two led the league in rushing the last two years n mjd will lead it this year. Those three guys can beat us alone.

In theory that is correct, but stranger things have happened. Like Caldwell being named head coach to start with.

[supremecoltsfan300]

In theory that is correct, but stranger things have happened. Like Caldwell being named head coach to start with.

firejim, you can say it out loud. we are going to lose every game. It doesnt make you a bad fan to say it. im hoping for these "stranger things have happened" to come true for our team. but it is over. we need a christmas miracle and a new year's day miracle to both happen.

[FireJimCaldwell]

firejim, you can say it out loud. we are going to lose every game. It doesnt make you a bad fan to say it. im hoping for these "stranger things have happened" to come true for our team. but it is over. we need a christmas miracle and a new year's day miracle to both happen.

If I had to bet my house, I would say that we lose all 3. But I would be nervous about it. I'm just stating a fact that we haven't locked anything up yet.

[Balzer40]

We already have it locked up. Who do you think we could beat to get to two wins!

^This^. Many fans are still having a hard time wrapping their heads around it though.

[GoColts8818]

We already have it locked up. Who do you think we could beat to get to two wins!

That could very well be true but I was talking about offically locking it up.

[oldunclemark]

Right now that number 1 pick is bittersweet, makes me sick watching the colts lose the way they do... with the way the defense is playing i see no changes, forget about the offseason.

We've got to win one....

There's so much difference between 1-15 and 0-16...

I really dont care if we pick 1st or second..there's a lot of good QBs

[FireJimCaldwell]

With all of the 4pm games accounted for:

Indy 114 94 0.548

Minn 118 90 0.567

STL 118 86 0.578

[Jay Roland]

if i remember right before the season started NFL.com or its team by team schedule site had the Colts playing the 5 toughest schedule of all the teams.

[FireJimCaldwell]

if i remember right before the season started NFL.com or its team by team schedule site had the Colts playing the 5 toughest schedule of all the teams.

That was likely based on last year's records.

[sfergson727]

If the absolute best thing is for the Colts to get the first pick in the draft, I have no doubt Caldwell and crew will screw it up....Colts go on three game winning streak.

[oldunclemark]

If the absolute best thing is for the Colts to get the first pick in the draft, I have no doubt Caldwell and crew will screw it up....Colts go on three game winning streak.

I wish that was possible....but we've got to go all out just to beat the spread.

[Mengle0225]

With all of the 4pm games accounted for:

Indy 114 94 0.548

Minn 118 90 0.567

STL 118 86 0.578

IF they lose next week, pretty much a given the #1 pick. I just hope we can win a game...1 -15!

[FireJimCaldwell]

IF they lose next week, pretty much a given the #1 pick. I just hope we can win a game...1 -15!

It makes it that much more likely, but still not a given unless both Minn & Stl win, which won't be happening either.

[unitaswestand]

Yeah, I was to see 1-15 and that is it, so it isn't quite as embarrassing. But we do need that #1 pick. It will either bring us Andrew Luck or a LOT of draft choices. #2 just isn't going to do.

[FireJimCaldwell]

After the Dallas NYG game:

Indy 114 94 0.548

Minn 118 90 0.567

STL 119 87 0.578

[Mengle0225]

Yeah, I was to see 1-15 and that is it, so it isn't quite as embarrassing. But we do need that #1 pick. It will either bring us Andrew Luck or a LOT of draft choices. #2 just isn't going to do.

Agreed......at this point, I want to win 1-2 games. But, HUGE difference in Picks 1&2 for either either the actual player or trade value.