Another FA Predictions and Mock Draft

[OhioColt]

Restructured Contracts OTC 

Ryan Kelly – Split his Roster bonus in 2022 in half 2.325m (Colts save 8.502m) 990k base, 2.833m Prorated bonus, 2.325 roster bonus and 6.148m Cap Number

Grover Stewart – Split his 1.34m Roster Bonus in 2021 to 670k (Colts save 3.56m) 990k base, 3.03m prorated bonus a 670k roster bonus Cap Number 4.690m

Jack Doyle – Split his 750k Roster Bonus to 375k (Colts saved 1.825m) 1.075 base, 2.575 prorated bonus, 375k roster bonus Cap Number 4.025m

Kenny Moore II – Split his 250k Roster bonus in half 125k (Colts saved 3.773m) 990k base, 1.511 prorated bonus, 125k roster, Cap Number 2.626m

 

Free Agency Additions:

QB Jameis Winston 1 year / 4m with incentives – Projecting 4000 yards 30 TDs 15 INTs

MLB Mychal Kendricks (Washington) 1.25m – Upgrade at MLB over Walker / Chance to Start and provide leadership to Nick Bolton

RB Lamar Miller (Washington) 1m – Capable RB offers upside

FS Marcus Williams – 5 years / 52.5m – Improvement over Blackmon proven backup plan

WR David Moore (Seahawks) 2 year / 7.2m – Future Hilton replacement? or rotational player

LCB Shaquill Griffin 4 year / 40m – Upgrade over Rock.  Expect Seahawks to pay a premium

LT Trent Williams 4 years / 86m – Time he retires we get to see what this year’s OT draft class does

LT Roderick Johnson 4 years / 8m – Played very well for the Texans in a backup role in 2020

LDE Morgan Fox (Rams) 3 years / 15.75m – 2nd stringer played well limited snaps. Drop 15-20 lbs

SLB Nate Gerry (Eagles) 2 years / 2m – insurance plan pending medical ankle/Achilles injury

SS Damarious Randall (Seahawks) 1 year / 1.25m – insurance plan.  With Jamal and ERFA Ryan Neal Randall becomes expendable.  Bad vibes with Randall or team conflict or just injuries?

 

Resign:

Hilton, Rhodes, Hunt, Muhammad, Carrie, Odum, Stallworth, Dulin, MAC, Pascal, Smith

 

Draft

Round 1- ILB Nick Bolton (Missouri) – Replaces Walker

Round 2 - Edge Ronnie Perkins (Oklahoma) – Played both ends solid rotational player/starter

Round 3 – TE Charlie Kolar (Iowa State) – Replaces Burton lost in FA

Round 4 - SS Divine Deablo – Potentially could push Willis as a starter if not a very solid backup plan

Round 5 -  WR Jonathan Adams JR (Arkansas State) 2020 1111 yards and 12 TDs – Hilton’s relief

Round 6 - RB Jah-Maine Martin (NC A&T) DNP 2020 - 2019 1246 yds and 20 TDs – Taylor’s ground relief

Round 7 - LCB Tay Gowan (UCF) DNP 2020 / 2019 8 Passes defended and 2 INTs – sleeper potential

[w87r]

[tvturner]

We're not taking a LB in round one, especially just to be "Walker's replacement"

 

Ronnie Perkins is probably not a R2 player

 

Why would we pay Marcus $50m when we just drafted a stud at the position..?

 

And among other things we're not paying Trent Williams $21.5m/yr when Nelson and Smith are set to be the highest paid at their positions....

 

[cdgacoltsfan]

2 minutes ago, tvturner said:

We're not taking a LB in round one

Ronnie Perkins is not a R2 player

We're not paying a safety $50m when we just drafted a stud at the position

 

And among other things we're not paying Trent Williams $21.5m/yr when Nelson and Smith are set to be the highest paid at their positions....

 

So we are going to bring in 11 free agents and resign 11 of our own. Got it.

[w87r]

34 minutes ago, cdgacoltsfan said:

So we are going to bring in 11 free agents and resign 11 of our own. Got it.

That GIF had me rolling.

[MikeCurtis]

Similar response to your last mock (I think I like the first one a little better)

 

I think Winston IS a viable option, but I would be happy with a few other options at QB as well 

 

I cant see LB in round 1

 

But I like a DE in round 2

 

Even though you have address OT in your FAs, we need an early OT to develop.  Injuries will happen.

 

I also see the dire need to pick up a higher impact WR for this year

 

Lastly, As mentioned on your last one, you have too many FAs coming and going ......

 

Thanks for posting

[PrincetonTiger]

[OhioColt]

16 hours ago, tvturner said:

We're not taking a LB in round one, especially just to be "Walker's replacement"

 

Ronnie Perkins is probably not a R2 player

 

Why would we pay Marcus $50m when we just drafted a stud at the position..?

 

And among other things we're not paying Trent Williams $21.5m/yr when Nelson and Smith are set to be the highest paid at their positions....

 

Without Walker we have no real cut number one ILB so yes can see the Colts focus on a LB early in the draft.

 

Ronnie Perkins is projected to be a Round 2 - 3 player and since we are drafting late in Round 2 might just be ideal spot for him to land to us.  Perkins does get high amounts of pressures in college which should translate well in the NFL and the Colts could sure use a player of his caliber.  Perkins did win is appeal to reverse a failed drug test so is this a possible flag or not?

 

As for Macus Williams, the top DB Budda Baker is making $14 million / year and Williams is even better than Baker.  Wouldn't be surprise to see Williams get paid like the best player at his position with a 5 year $80 million contract ($16 million / year).  Blackmon is no stud and not even in top 10 consideration.  That is what FA is all about and luckily for the Colts we will have one of the most cap friendly space available to go out and sign big name FAs. 

 

Currently the top LT is making $23 million / year and hands down Trent Williams is the best at his position.  So yes I do think he should get paid over $21 million / year.   @MikeCurtis you mentioned a developmental OT and LT Roderick Johnson is very capable backup as proven the past two years in Houston.

 

Extend - 2024 & 2025 extra Roster Bonus kicks in making up for lost rookie pay

Nelson 6 years $99 million (16.5m) = 14m, 15m, 16m, 17m, 18m, 19m – top LG makes 14.781m / yr

Leonard 5 years $65 million (13m) = 9m, 11m, 13m, 15m, 17m = top OLB makes $18m / yr

Smith 6 years $99 million (16.5m) 14m, 15m, 16m, 17m, 18m, 19m = top RT makes $18m / yr

 

Can see Nelson and Smith make a case to be the top paid players at their respective positions.  Leonard is good but not the best of the best if you will but Leonard will get paid close to top pay.

 

Even extending these players this year and delaying pay scale  to make up for rookie pay was able to calculate in 2022 still have around $38 million available to sign our pending free agents and around $7 million this off-season after the adjustments.  We have 23 pending free agents and as another mentioned have projected to resign half and most of the Free Agents have tagged are low cost backups to refill slots vacated.  Plus with the draft we make up the difference and then some so not that far fetched of an idea.

 

Eventually the Colts will need to find a long-term replacement for Hilton.  Suppose the Colts could target WR Ihmir Smith-Marsette (Iowa) – versatile playmaker KR, explosive open-field quickness.  R1-2 potential.  Another potential WR Tylan Wallace (Oklahoma St) – fast receiver off the line, quick release with speed in his routes able to make sharp cuts.  Advanced route tree with a large catch radius RD 2 -3.  

 

 

[OhioColt]

16 hours ago, w87r said:

That GIF had me rolling.

Pretty funny as well but not sure if he was making fun of my half-Asian kids.

[danlhart87]

22 minutes ago, OhioColt said:

Pretty funny as well but not sure if he was making fun of my half-Asian kids.

How would he even know you have them 

[tvturner]

19 minutes ago, OhioColt said:

Without Walker we have no real cut number one ILB so yes can see the Colts focus on a LB early in the draft.

 

Ronnie Perkins is projected to be a Round 2 - 3 player and since we are drafting late in Round 2 might just be ideal spot for him to land to us. 

 

As for Macus Williams, the top DB Budda Baker is making $14 million / year and Williams is even better than Baker.  Wouldn't be surprise to see Williams get paid like the best player at his position with a 5 year $80 million contract ($16 million / year).  Blackmon is no stud and not even in top 10 consideration.  

 

Currently the top LT is making $23 million / year and hands down Trent Williams is the best at his position.  So yes I do think he should get paid over $21 million / year.  

 

Can see Nelson and Smith make a case to be the top paid players at their respective positions.  Leonard is good but not the best of the best if you will but Leonard will get paid close to top pay.

 

Eventually the Colts will need to find a long-term replacement for Hilton.  Suppose the Colts could target WR Ihmir Smith-Marsette (Iowa) – versatile playmaker KR, explosive open-field quickness.  R1-2 potential. 

 

 

1. We have much bigger issues than missing an ILB... especially when Okereke is taking Walker's role...he technically already took it from him this past year. QB, LT, DE, and WR/TEs are much bigger needs than LB depth..

 

2. I watched every game that Ronnie Perkins played in..I'm an Oklahoma fan, I'd be shocked for him to get drafted in Round 2

 

3. If Williams is 'better' than Budda, he's not signing for 10m/year here....and Blackmon is coming off a good rookie season for the most part....I'm not sure any of us expected him to be as good as he was let alone a top 10 safety in Year 1

 

4. Spending over half your cap on 4 offensive lineman is a recipe for failure. Leonard and Nelson are going to be the highest paid in football at their positions whether you want to believe that or not

 

5. There's probably 11-12 WRs than are better than Ihmir smith in this draft. Round two is a stretch

 

 

[NewColtsFan]

1 hour ago, OhioColt said:

Without Walker we have no real cut number one ILB so yes can see the Colts focus on a LB early in the draft.

 

Ronnie Perkins is projected to be a Round 2 - 3 player and since we are drafting late in Round 2 might just be ideal spot for him to land to us.  Perkins does get high amounts of pressures in college which should translate well in the NFL and the Colts could sure use a player of his caliber.  Perkins did win is appeal to reverse a failed drug test so is this a possible flag or not?

 

As for Macus Williams, the top DB Budda Baker is making $14 million / year and Williams is even better than Baker.  Wouldn't be surprise to see Williams get paid like the best player at his position with a 5 year $80 million contract ($16 million / year).  Blackmon is no stud and not even in top 10 consideration.  That is what FA is all about and luckily for the Colts we will have one of the most cap friendly space available to go out and sign big name FAs. 

 

Currently the top LT is making $23 million / year and hands down Trent Williams is the best at his position.  So yes I do think he should get paid over $21 million / year.   @MikeCurtis you mentioned a developmental OT and LT Roderick Johnson is very capable backup as proven the past two years in Houston.

 

Extend - 2024 & 2025 extra Roster Bonus kicks in making up for lost rookie pay

Nelson 6 years $99 million (16.5m) = 14m, 15m, 16m, 17m, 18m, 19m – top LG makes 14.781m / yr

Leonard 5 years $65 million (13m) = 9m, 11m, 13m, 15m, 17m = top OLB makes $18m / yr

Smith 6 years $99 million (16.5m) 14m, 15m, 16m, 17m, 18m, 19m = top RT makes $18m / yr

 

Can see Nelson and Smith make a case to be the top paid players at their respective positions.  Leonard is good but not the best of the best if you will but Leonard will get paid close to top pay.

 

Even extending these players this year and delaying pay scale  to make up for rookie pay was able to calculate in 2022 still have around $38 million available to sign our pending free agents and around $7 million this off-season after the adjustments.  We have 23 pending free agents and as another mentioned have projected to resign half and most of the Free Agents have tagged are low cost backups to refill slots vacated.  Plus with the draft we make up the difference and then some so not that far fetched of an idea.

 

Eventually the Colts will need to find a long-term replacement for Hilton.  Suppose the Colts could target WR Ihmir Smith-Marsette (Iowa) – versatile playmaker KR, explosive open-field quickness.  R1-2 potential.  Another potential WR Tylan Wallace (Oklahoma St) – fast receiver off the line, quick release with speed in his routes able to make sharp cuts.  Advanced route tree with a large catch radius RD 2 -3.  

 

 

Here's the deal about our linebackers and how we use them...  

 

I might be off on these percentages a little, but not by much....

 

We only use all three linebackers including Walker about 25-30 percent of the snaps. 
 

We only use two linebackers with Walker coming off the field about 25-30 percent of the time.

 

And we use one linebacker with Walker and Oke coming off and leaving only Leonard about 40-45 percent of the time. 
 

So if we’re only using a true middle linebacker 25-30 percent of the snaps, then it makes no sense to use a first round pick to replace Walker.  Remember, we only used a 5th to draft Walker.    And we like him.  We just don’t use him all that much.   He’ll likely go to a team that will PAY him more because they will PLAY him more. 

[OhioColt]

37 minutes ago, NewColtsFan said:

Here's the deal about our linebackers and how we use them...  

 

I might be off on these percentages a little, but not by much....

 

We only use all three linebackers including Walker about 25-30 percent of the snaps. 
 

We only use two linebackers with Walker coming off the field about 25-30 percent of the time.

 

And we use one linebacker with Walker and Oke coming off and leaving only Leonard about 40-45 percent of the time. 
 

So if we’re only using a true middle linebacker 25-30 percent of the snaps, then it makes no sense to use a first round pick to replace Walker.  Remember, we only used a 5th to draft Walker.    And we like him.  We just don’t use him all that much.   He’ll likely go to a team that will PAY him more because they will PLAY him more. 

Think you need to fact check your information more.  

 

According to OTC

 

In 2018 Walker played 66.2% of the snaps and 33.1% on ST

In 2019 Walker played 78.2% of the snaps and 33% on ST

In 2020 Walker played 67.5% of the snaps and 32.3% on ST

 

Okereke 

 

In 2019 played 45.6% of the snaps and 39.6% on ST

In 2020 played 66.4% of the snaps and 19.9% on ST

 

Haven't seen anything official stating Okereke was moving to take over Walker's spot is one main reason why am thinking we target a true MLB early.  Okereke position at SAM for the Colts you are correct only sees the field normally 25-30% of the snaps.  Certain games where one played better than the other depending of their core strengths.  Clearly Okereke is not an all around LB as none really do excel at both pass/run.

[NewColtsFan]

12 minutes ago, OhioColt said:

Think you need to fact check your information more.  

 

According to OTC

 

In 2018 Walker played 66.2% of the snaps and 33.1% on ST

In 2019 Walker played 78.2% of the snaps and 33% on ST

In 2020 Walker played 67.5% of the snaps and 32.3% on ST

 

Okereke 

 

In 2019 played 45.6% of the snaps and 39.6% on ST

In 2020 played 66.4% of the snaps and 19.9% on ST

 

Haven't seen anything official stating Okereke was moving to take over Walker's spot is one main reason why am thinking we target a true MLB early.  Okereke position at SAM for the Colts you are correct only sees the field normally 25-30% of the snaps.  Certain games where one played better than the other depending of their core strengths.  Clearly Okereke is not an all around LB as none really do excel at both pass/run.

Thanks for the correction...   but I have not seen those stats anywhere.    
 

The team isn’t going to make an official announcement yet ...    not until Walker signs with another team or re-signs with the Colts. 

[OhioColt]

The biggest take away from the upcoming FA is that both the Colts and Jaguars not only in the same division but both have a large amount of cap space to make big splashes in FA.  The real question is which Clubhouse is willing to do what it takes to be competitive.  Unfortunately for the Colts, the Jaguars are looking to draft QB Trevor Lawrence with the first pick.  Wouldn't surprise me if they traded their R2P45 to someone and moved up and have 3 first round pick plus potentially R2P33 still on the board. 

 

Something to consider facing Lawrence twice a season maybe we need to beef up our secondary and defense unit as a whole.  Which again is why I think the Colts should strongly consider the likes of LCB Shaquill Griffin and FS Marcus Williams.  The Jaguars already have LCB CJ Henderson so am not so worried about them going that option but FS Williams over Jarrod Wilson would be a strong possibility.

[w87r]

4 hours ago, OhioColt said:

Pretty funny as well but not sure if he was making fun of my half-Asian kids.

What he said.

4 hours ago, danlhart87 said:

How would he even know you have them