OhioColts Do It All Mock FA-Draft

[OhioColt]

Numbers from Spotrac and OTC:

Colts cap standing: 2018 projected cap of $178m (7% increase from 2017), rollover of $18m from 2017 = adjusted cap of $196m. As of now, the Colts have $119m committed in 2018, cap space of ~$77m (committed $110m in 2019, projected 2019 cap of $190m)

Colts FAs:

F Gore – UFA

S Tolzein – FA

J Bostic – FA

Darius Butler – age / tackling issues UFA

Jeremy Vujnovich – ERFA worst ranked LG by PFF

Brandon Williams (TE) – UFA 30 year concussion ended 2017 on IR

D. Moncrief

 

Release: 2.866m

Running a 4-3 always seemed best to utilize 3 strong DT with 2 being strong starters with a third rotational starter along with 2 additional backups.

DT Henry Anderson – UFA 2019 injury prone 2018 cap hit 2.058m not listed pff 2017

Safety Clayton Geathers – neck injury concerned 2019 UFA, $808,482 cap hit

 

Colts FA Signings: 22.325m

A. Vinatieri, 1 year contract 3.625 - signed

R. Melvin, three years, $22.5m (cap hits $7.5m each year 2018-20)

J. Mewhort, one year, $2m (includes some games played incentives)

B. Mingo, one year, $1.5m

Pierre Desir, one year, $1.5m

Luke Rhodes, ERFA, one year $600K (current long-snapper/ST/LB)

C. Milton, ERFA, one year, $600K, reserve CB/special teamer

E. Swoope, ERFA, one year, $600K, 2018 top TE backup

M. Jones, ERFA, one year, $600K (conflicting reports on him, based on my research I think he's an ERFA)

M. Person, one year, $800K

 

Free agent additions: 50.85m

RCB E.J. Gaines PFF 86.6 #13 CB high quality

Spotrac projects a four-year, $37.5 million deal for Gaines averaging $9.3 million per season while Over The Cap is much more conservative, at roughly $25 million for four years

SS  Tyvon Branch – injury still capable of being a starter PFF 88.5 #6 high quality

• 2 year 10 million deal had 5 million guaranteed

MLB Anthony Hitchens 7-12m/year

• 4 year 45 million 13 million guaranteed

LG Senio Kelemete

• Stefan Wisniewski range of $2.5 million to $3 million per year

LILB Avery Williamson 2017 PFF 85.6 #10 LB

• He is projected to land a 4-year deal worth $36.4 million, according to Spotrac.com (9m/year)

 

RILB Todd Davis (bu) 2017 PFF 77.1 #34 LB (average)

• Favorable to Klein who signed a three-year, $15 million contract with the Saints last March (5m/year)

 

RT Chris Hubbard

• Steelers re-signed OL Chris Hubbard to a one-year, $1.797 million contract (2017) / am projecting 3.25m/year 1.55m/year guaranteed

 

WR Marques Lee 7m

• T.Y. Hilton, already on the books, a more moderately priced pass catcher may be a consideration. Marqise Lee (Jaguars) could be looking for a contract consistent with the $6 million to $8 million per year with over $15 million in guarantees that No. 2 wide receivers have been getting in free agency over the last couple of years.

 

Current Draft Needs:  RDE, RB, WR, TE, C (bu), OG, MLB (bu), FS (bu+)

1: R1P3 Edge Bradley Chubb

2: R2P3 G Isaiah Wynn

1. C Billy Price

2. LB Malik Jefferson

3. TE Dallas Goedert

4. G Isaiah Wynn

5. LB Leighton Vander Esch

6. G Will Hernandez

7. S Kyzir White

3: R3P3 TE Dalton Schultz

1. TE Dalton Schultz – do it all Y TE think Jason Witten per PFF

   1. Playing 723 snaps as a junior in 2016, Schultz recorded a overall grade of 78.9, but where he really stood out was in run blocking.

   2. The 6-foot-5, 240-pound Schultz recorded a run blocking grade of 83.2 in 2016, ranking him No. 2 among returning tight ends. Running behind Schultz on the left side where he primarily lined up, Stanford ball carriers averaged 5.1 yards an attempt.

   3. Schultz wasn’t used much in Stanford’s passing game in 2016, and it reflects in his 0.81 yards per route run which ranked No. 71 among tight ends.

2. TE Mark Andrews

3. TE Troy Fumagalli – good route runner and done well as a blocker

4. Edge Uchenna Nwosu

5. Edge Chad Thomas

6. Edge Tyquan Lewis

7. Edge Hercules Mata’afa

4: R4P4 MLB Josey Jewell

1. MLB Josey Jewell – tape MLB to RILB

2. LB Marquis Haynes – more a 3 / 4 speed rusher

3. LB Lorenzo Carter

4. LB Davin Bellamy

5. CB Nick Nelson

6. CB Donte Jackson

7. CB Duke Dawson

8. RB Nick Chubb

5 R5P3 RB Bo Scarbrough

1. WR Auden Tate

2. WR Marcell Ateman

3. WR Keke Coutee

4. RB John Kelly

5. RB Josh Adams

6. WR J’Mon Moore

7. WR Dante Pettis

8. WR Trey Quinn

9. RB Bo Scarbrough - highly ranked prospected  year before who dropped this year but very capable runner and pass blocking

10. RB Kalen Ballage

6: R6P4 FS Jessie Bates

1. FS Jessie Bates III - Bates is one of the nation’s more underrated defenders.  2016 campaign was even more impressive, when he racked up 100 tackles and picked off five passes.

2. LB Shaquem Griffin

3. LB Micah Kiser

7: R7P3 WR Jake Wieneke

1. WR Daurice Fountain

2. WR Jake Wieneke – productive college deep ball threat on right side

3. WR Equanimeous St. Brown

    

Post FA/Draft look with FA’s bolded and rookies in Italic ( R )

                                                            Offense

 

Jack Doyle Dalton Schultz ( R ) Erik Swoope

Anthony Castonzo Le’Raven Clark

Isaiah Wynn ( R ) Senio Kelemete

Ryan Kelly M Person

Jack Mewhort+ Joe Haeg Mark Glowinski

Chris Hubbard Denzelle Good

 

 

T.Y. Hilton Chester Rogers

Andrew Luck Jacoby Brissett

Marques Lee Kamar Aiken Jake Wieneke ( R )

 

Marlon Mack Bo Scarbrough ( R ) Robert Turbin Matt Jones Josh Ferguson ST

                                         

                                                     4-3 Base Defense

 

Jabael Sheard Jon Simon B. Mingo

Jonathan Hankins 24 Hassan Ridgeway 85

Al Woods 38 Grover Stewart 86 Margus Hunt

Bradley Chubb ( R ) Tarrell Basham

 

 

 

 

 

Avery Williamson Antonio Morrison

Anthony Hitchens Josey Jewell ( R )

Todd Davis Anthony Walker

 

 

CB Pierre Desir Quincy Wilson Nate Hairston

FS Malick Hooker FS Jessie Bates III( R )

SS Tyvon Branch Matthias Farley T.J. Green

CB E.J. Gaines Rashann Melvin

DT numbers represent PFF 2017 rankings

Thanks to Superman for his salary cap information I borrowed.  Did not calculate final cap committed or guaranteed so hopefully final numbers are in specification and not totally blown out of proportion to achieve. 

[NewColtsFan]

 

There are a number of issues to discuss.....

 

But the biggest comes at the end....     the last line of defense....     the secondary....

 

You have us re-signing Melvin and then he's the back-up to Gaines.     And you have Desire starting ahead of Wilson.

 

Gaines and Melvin would be our starters.     Hairston would be the slot corner/nickle.    With Wilson and Desire being our 3rd and 4th corners.      And that's if we did what you recommend we do.

 

 

[OhioColt]

other than head count on our corners and actual placement correction what other issue(s) do you have?

[NextGenerationLuck]

I do not agree with getting rid of Geathers. Even if we did Mathias Farley has a ton of upside. I don’t think he gets enough credit for how he played last season 

 

[OhioColt]

Final roster is 52 out of 53.  Safeties would be limited to NMT 5 so Geathers becomes a cap causality.  Geathers' neck injury was my motivational factor for cutting him now and his cap hit is low.  Same thing with DT Henry Anderson given his past injury history and his cap cost was lower than Margus Hunt if why he gets cut.

 

Would like to see possible a RILB competition but more like to have another quality backup to our center and RG.  Guess things will depend on if Jack Mewhort retires and beefing up some more of our offensive line.  Could see us cut ties with Mark Glowinski and add an alternate.

[NextGenerationLuck]

Hypothetically speaking if anyone should be cap casualty it should be TJ Green. Even after the neck injury, which I think he’s going to be fine from. Geathers still has more up side than TJ 

[Shive]

The formatting is really confusing me. Is the list of players under each pick the other notable players available when that pick was made? I think the approach is pretty sound (I don't agree with cutting Anderson or Geathers though), but the formatting is a bit too much and a bit distracting.

[OhioColt]

10 hours ago, Shive said:

The formatting is really confusing me. Is the list of players under each pick the other notable players available when that pick was made? I think the approach is pretty sound (I don't agree with cutting Anderson or Geathers though), but the formatting is a bit too much and a bit distracting.

Yes other available “on the board” players were listed to give an idea of different draft directions we could of gone with.  Tried to keep a balance of roughly 26 offensive/defensive players to keep to make final roster of 53 players.  

 

To keep a balance and not overstack positions which is why I broke it down and made it easier, at least for me, to allocate players to a specific position based on new 4 / 3 base defense.  

 

As for keeping Geathers it is still possible as no guarantees of drafting Bates III at FS will be available but given Hooker’s injury history and releasing Butler we will need a quality backup who can also start if needed.

 

As of right now we have too many DT on this team and we need to release one.  Do wish we had one more higher quality DT to rotate in play as needed...

 

Looks like I left off our final 53rd player a LB/ST/place holder Luke Rhodes.

 

After FA and the draft we have a rebuilt team ready for the 2018 season with all positions accounted for. Lots of new faces on defense.  IMO our defense should be greatly improved with marginal offensive line improvements but do like the potential going forward.  Time would tell how our right side of our offensive line holds up.

 

Disclaimer again am not 100% sure if we have the allocated salary cap to pull this off.  Do realize we will need ~10m for signing draft prospects per Overthecap.

[reidaj1812]

19 hours ago, OhioColt said:

Numbers from Spotrac and OTC:

Colts cap standing: 2018 projected cap of $178m (7% increase from 2017), rollover of $18m from 2017 = adjusted cap of $196m. As of now, the Colts have $119m committed in 2018, cap space of ~$77m (committed $110m in 2019, projected 2019 cap of $190m)

Colts FAs:

F Gore – UFA

S Tolzein – FA

J Bostic – FA

Darius Butler – age / tackling issues UFA

Jeremy Vujnovich – ERFA worst ranked LG by PFF

Brandon Williams (TE) – UFA 30 year concussion ended 2017 on IR

D. Moncrief

 

Release: 2.866m

Running a 4-3 always seemed best to utilize 3 strong DT with 2 being strong starters with a third rotational starter along with 2 additional backups.

DT Henry Anderson – UFA 2019 injury prone 2018 cap hit 2.058m not listed pff 2017

Safety Clayton Geathers – neck injury concerned 2019 UFA, $808,482 cap hit

 

Colts FA Signings: 22.325m

A. Vinatieri, 1 year contract 3.625 - signed

R. Melvin, three years, $22.5m (cap hits $7.5m each year 2018-20)

J. Mewhort, one year, $2m (includes some games played incentives)

B. Mingo, one year, $1.5m

Pierre Desir, one year, $1.5m

Luke Rhodes, ERFA, one year $600K (current long-snapper/ST/LB)

C. Milton, ERFA, one year, $600K, reserve CB/special teamer

E. Swoope, ERFA, one year, $600K, 2018 top TE backup

M. Jones, ERFA, one year, $600K (conflicting reports on him, based on my research I think he's an ERFA)

M. Person, one year, $800K

 

Free agent additions: 50.85m

RCB E.J. Gaines PFF 86.6 #13 CB high quality

Spotrac projects a four-year, $37.5 million deal for Gaines averaging $9.3 million per season while Over The Cap is much more conservative, at roughly $25 million for four years

SS  Tyvon Branch – injury still capable of being a starter PFF 88.5 #6 high quality

• 2 year 10 million deal had 5 million guaranteed

MLB Anthony Hitchens 7-12m/year

• 4 year 45 million 13 million guaranteed

LG Senio Kelemete

• Stefan Wisniewski range of $2.5 million to $3 million per year

LILB Avery Williamson 2017 PFF 85.6 #10 LB

• He is projected to land a 4-year deal worth $36.4 million, according to Spotrac.com (9m/year)

 

RILB Todd Davis (bu) 2017 PFF 77.1 #34 LB (average)

• Favorable to Klein who signed a three-year, $15 million contract with the Saints last March (5m/year)

 

RT Chris Hubbard

• Steelers re-signed OL Chris Hubbard to a one-year, $1.797 million contract (2017) / am projecting 3.25m/year 1.55m/year guaranteed

 

WR Marques Lee 7m

• T.Y. Hilton, already on the books, a more moderately priced pass catcher may be a consideration. Marqise Lee (Jaguars) could be looking for a contract consistent with the $6 million to $8 million per year with over $15 million in guarantees that No. 2 wide receivers have been getting in free agency over the last couple of years.

 

Current Draft Needs:  RDE, RB, WR, TE, C (bu), OG, MLB (bu), FS (bu+)

1: R1P3 Edge Bradley Chubb

2: R2P3 G Isaiah Wynn

1. C Billy Price

2. LB Malik Jefferson

3. TE Dallas Goedert

4. G Isaiah Wynn

5. LB Leighton Vander Esch

6. G Will Hernandez

7. S Kyzir White

3: R3P3 TE Dalton Schultz

1. TE Dalton Schultz – do it all Y TE think Jason Witten per PFF

   1. Playing 723 snaps as a junior in 2016, Schultz recorded a overall grade of 78.9, but where he really stood out was in run blocking.

   2. The 6-foot-5, 240-pound Schultz recorded a run blocking grade of 83.2 in 2016, ranking him No. 2 among returning tight ends. Running behind Schultz on the left side where he primarily lined up, Stanford ball carriers averaged 5.1 yards an attempt.

   3. Schultz wasn’t used much in Stanford’s passing game in 2016, and it reflects in his 0.81 yards per route run which ranked No. 71 among tight ends.

2. TE Mark Andrews

3. TE Troy Fumagalli – good route runner and done well as a blocker

4. Edge Uchenna Nwosu

5. Edge Chad Thomas

6. Edge Tyquan Lewis

7. Edge Hercules Mata’afa

4: R4P4 MLB Josey Jewell

1. MLB Josey Jewell – tape MLB to RILB

2. LB Marquis Haynes – more a 3 / 4 speed rusher

3. LB Lorenzo Carter

4. LB Davin Bellamy

5. CB Nick Nelson

6. CB Donte Jackson

7. CB Duke Dawson

8. RB Nick Chubb

5 R5P3 RB Bo Scarbrough

1. WR Auden Tate

2. WR Marcell Ateman

3. WR Keke Coutee

4. RB John Kelly

5. RB Josh Adams

6. WR J’Mon Moore

7. WR Dante Pettis

8. WR Trey Quinn

9. RB Bo Scarbrough - highly ranked prospected  year before who dropped this year but very capable runner and pass blocking

10. RB Kalen Ballage

6: R6P4 FS Jessie Bates

1. FS Jessie Bates III - Bates is one of the nation’s more underrated defenders.  2016 campaign was even more impressive, when he racked up 100 tackles and picked off five passes.

2. LB Shaquem Griffin

3. LB Micah Kiser

7: R7P3 WR Jake Wieneke

1. WR Daurice Fountain

2. WR Jake Wieneke – productive college deep ball threat on right side

3. WR Equanimeous St. Brown

    

Post FA/Draft look with FA’s bolded and rookies in Italic ( R )

                                                            Offense

 

Jack Doyle Dalton Schultz ( R ) Erik Swoope

Anthony Castonzo Le’Raven Clark

Isaiah Wynn ( R ) Senio Kelemete

Ryan Kelly M Person

Jack Mewhort+ Joe Haeg Mark Glowinski

Chris Hubbard Denzelle Good

 

 

T.Y. Hilton Chester Rogers

Andrew Luck Jacoby Brissett

Marques Lee Kamar Aiken Jake Wieneke ( R )

 

Marlon Mack Bo Scarbrough ( R ) Robert Turbin Matt Jones Josh Ferguson ST

                                         

                                                     4-3 Base Defense

 

Jabael Sheard Jon Simon B. Mingo

Jonathan Hankins 24 Hassan Ridgeway 85

Al Woods 38 Grover Stewart 86 Margus Hunt

Bradley Chubb ( R ) Tarrell Basham

 

 

 

 

 

Avery Williamson Antonio Morrison

Anthony Hitchens Josey Jewell ( R )

Todd Davis Anthony Walker

 

 

CB Pierre Desir Quincy Wilson Nate Hairston

FS Malick Hooker FS Jessie Bates III( R )

SS Tyvon Branch Matthias Farley T.J. Green

CB E.J. Gaines Rashann Melvin

DT numbers represent PFF 2017 rankings

Thanks to Superman for his salary cap information I borrowed.  Did not calculate final cap committed or guaranteed so hopefully final numbers are in specification and not totally blown out of proportion to achieve. 

ok, D first: would not sign either todd davis or avery Williamson (lets say don't sign davis) because Jon simon should be an every down player at OLB (he is too much of a playmaker)---already mention but keep Geathers don't bring in Tyvon Branch and Melvin starting at other cb position

O--would not resign Aiken nor draft Bo rb--you have 11 ol men and I would not resign Jack M and no to Hubbard. would go after fa G Norwell or another big name fa G.

[Superman]

I'm shocked. Didn't think your money would work, but does. You added about $60m in 2018, so you still have room for your draft picks and some in season buffer. 

[PrincetonTiger]

Will we get away with all the 1 year deals

[IndyScribe]

Disagree with cutting Geathers. Farley isn't as good and you're creating another need where there doesn't need to be one.

[OhioColt]

FA and draft was not going to be a cure all in one year.  Obviously going to be in-house competition for roster positions.  With the combine ongoing am sure a few draft picks will slide up/down.

 

Based on consensus and Superman’s cap analysis see no reason than why couldn’t keep Geathers and/release Farley.  Biggest factor is going to be acquiring a back/capable FS starter in case Hooker remains injured.