I wouldn't be confident in a bet on this either way if I had to make one right now. He is probably a higher than average risk to be forced into early retirement due to injury too. Sorry for going there but it would be a factor in a bet like this
If I had to bet today I would have to go with no, I also think he if does turn out good but it is out of the league in a few years then the bet is considered a push.
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