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Carlos Rogers *could* hit the market


stat2883

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http://www.ninersnation.com/2013/7/21/4541536/eric-wright-trade-carlos-rogers-salary-cap-49ers-cut

Speculation only in this article, but there have been whispers and reports other places as well. While they have already paid out some money to him this year, its still a question of how much he'll see the field and if that will be worth keeping him on the roster or not. It seems possible he could be let go and if so, that's a decent talent to be available, though he is on the downside of his career and coming off a poor performance. I think in the right scheme he could still be useful.

Do I personally feel he'll be released? At this point I would say no. It sounds like either Asomugha or Rogers could be let go during camp, but Nnamdi's contract has zero guaranteed money, so he'd be a cheap release as opposed to Rogers who already has a good chunk of guaranteed money for this season.

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First of all, that article was assuming that the Niners would get rid of someone on the heels of the Eric Wright trade, which was subsequently voided. The supposition that they are going to get rid of either Rodgers or Asomugha is now outdated.

Besides that, I noticed several mistakes in that article regarding Rodgers' contract. First of all, releasing Rodgers doesn't save the Niners any money in 2013 because his $5.5m base salary is guaranteed as of April 1. He's got some incentives that he wouldn't hit, which would save them about $800k in cash. But his cap hit would stay the same. Then they'd have an additional $3m in cap penalties in 2014, which is the same as it would be if they were to release him after the season.

So if you're going to pay a guy $5.5m regardless, why wouldn't you keep him on your roster and try to get something out of him?

As it pertains to Asomugha, his contract maxes out at $3.25m, if he is on the roster after camp and reaches all of his incentives. Releasing him now leaves the Niners with a cap penalty of $25k, which is an already paid workout bonus.

If they were going to get rid of one of those two, especially for money reasons (and what else could it be before they even break camp?) wouldn't it be Asomugha? As it stands, they'll probably stay put, since the Wright trade didn't go through.

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