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Let's Play a Game Called..... If-Then.....


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If the Colts take Player X in the first round,  then here's how the rest of their draft will shake out.     The predictions are based on positions.    I'm NOT offering names.

 

I did this exercise last year and came incredibly close on most every pick except the first,  and no one saw Hooker falling to the Colts...

 

I also made no trades in this.      We have 9 draft picks and I see us using six of them on defense and three on offense.

 

So.....

 

IF the Colts take Chubb                                    THEN the Colts will take

                                                                          2a     Linebacker

                                                                          2b     Cornerback

                                                                          2c     Running back

                                                                          3       Guard

                                                                          4       Wide Receiver

                                                                          5       Linebacker

                                                                          6       Safety

                                                                          7       D-line

 

Note:    We spend 6 of our 9 picks on defense....   and take two players at every D-level...   2 DL,  2 LB's and 2 DB's.    You'll see this in every scenario.

 

IF the Colts take Nelson                                   THEN the Colts will take

                                                                          2a     Linebacker

                                                                          2b     D-line

                                                                          2c     Cornerback

                                                                          3       Running back

                                                                          4       Wide Receiver

                                                                          5       Linebacker

                                                                          6       Safety

                                                                          7       D-line

 

IF the Colts take Barkley                                  THEN the Colts will take

                                                                         2a     Linebacker

                                                                         2b     D-line

                                                                         2c     Cornerback

                                                                         3       Guard

                                                                         4       Wide Receiver

                                                                         5       Linebacker

                                                                         6       Safety

                                                                         7       D-line

 

IF the Colts take Edmunds/Smith                    THEN the Colts will take

                                                                         2a     D-line

                                                                         2b     Cornerback

                                                                         2c     Running Back

                                                                         3       Guard

                                                                         4       Wide Receiver

                                                                         5       Linebacker

                                                                         6       Safety

                                                                         7       D-line

 

IF the Colts take Ward/James                         THEN the Colts will take

                                                                         2a     Linebacker

                                                                         2b     D-line

                                                                         2c     Running Back

                                                                         3       Guard

                                                                         4       Wide Receiver

                                                                         5       Linebacker

                                                                         6       Safety/Cornerback

                                                                         7       D-line

 

Notes:     I'm sure I'll be off here and there.     Ballard will likely take a player(s) in rounds different than my projection.   But my hunch is I won't be off by much.    I wasn't off by more than a round last year.    And I think I'll be close again this year.    As for all my BPA friends....    I think my choices match up well with positional value.    There are a number of good candidates in the rounds I've picked.    We can get our needs and stay with BPA at the same time.    We did last year;  I suspect we'll do it again.

 

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IF the Colts take Chubb... OT, CB, RB, LB, DT, G, WR, S

IF the Colts take Nelson...CB, RB, LB, DT, OT, WR, G, S

IF the Colts take Barkley...OT, CB, LB, DT, DT, G, WR, S

IF the Colts take Edmunds/Smith...OT, CB, DT, RB, DT, G, CB, OT

IF the Colts take Ward/James...OT, LB, G, DT, RB, G, CB, WR

 

Cheers

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I'll play, most likely will be wrong though, it's the draft!

 

IF the Colts take Chubb... LB, OG, RB, LB, CB, G, WR, OT

IF the Colts take Nelson...LB, RB, WR, LB, OT, CB, OG, S 

IF the Colts take Barkley...LB, OG, RB, LB, WR, OT, OG, CB

IF the Colts take Edmunds/Smith...OG, DL, RB, WR, OG, CB, OT, WR

IF the Colts take Ward/James...LB, OG, RB, LB, OG, WR, OT, WR

 

Some reasoning: I feel like if we do not grab a LBer in the first, one of the better LBers (Vander Esch, Evans, etc) will fall into the second day (Myles Jack type of thing, I know, he was injured, but still). That would leave us the second of the back to back for a OG or a RB. Then free up the 3rd pick in the 2nd round on another pick (either RB or WR depending on how the board falls). 

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