Mock 2024 offseason after Week 5 2023

[Archer]

I’m always thinking about the draft, so I thought I’d post my early thoughts.  It’s a little difficult to predict the financial fall-out from the Jonathan Taylor contract, but my back-of-the-envelope figures should come close.  There are a number of things in the first five games that have caused me to rearrange my priorities for 2024’s draft:

• Darius Leonard’s continued health problems and lack of elite play.    
• The OL’s return to prominence.  A couple of different rankings have placed our OL in the top 5 of the league. 
• A lack of plays coming from the Safeties.  I thought we had a burgeoning pair of premium Safeties, but neither one has been around the ball much or done much in coverage.
• Alec Pierce going the opposite direction as we’d hoped – who thought he’d become even MORE invisible during the course of games than he was last year?

 

The Plan

Re-sign: Pittman, Stewart, Minshew, Moss, Kenny Moore, Rigoberto, Tony Brown, and whatever cheap WRs we care to bring back (Montgomery, Hamler, Rodgers, etc.)

Cut: Leonard, Alie-Cox

Let Walk: Blackmon, Lewis, Bryan, Pinter

 

Leonard’s scheduled to count $20 million against the cap next year vs. a dead cap hit of $8 million.  It kinda has to happen.  And the group of young TEs needing PT makes Cox a goner, which saves us another $5 million.  Pittman is one of those guys who epitomizes the qualities that we want on our team – toughness and grit.  Gotta make him the priority.  Would have loved to do the same with Blackmon on D, but $, his mediocre play so far, and Cross waiting in the wings make that unlikely.  Grover gets a second extension, and Minshew will be more expensive this time around.  I think we can keep Moss – but a middle round RB will probably be the plan if we can’t.

 

Draft

1. Kamren Kitchens, S, Miami.  A ball-hawking FS to pair with new starting SS Nick Cross.
2. Tory Horton, WR, Colorado St.  Down-the-field Flanker to replace the lost cause (Pierce).
3. Ty’Ron Hopper, LB, Missouri.  Former CB/S is solid in coverage and the run game.  Depth and a new starter are needed at LB.
4. Christian Haynes, OG, Connecticut.  The interior depth needs help.  Haynes has high-end athletic traits and loves to finish in the ground game.
5. Jackson Mitchell, LB, Connecticut.  Another good coverage LB. 
6. TJ Sanders, DT, South Carolina. High-effort 3T with good athletic traits.
7. Jermaine Burton, WR, Alabama.  Fast as all get-out, with really good quickness.

 

You’ll notice that the draft is packed full with players I think are ascending.  Many are not currently predicted as highly as I have them. 

[John Hammonds]

4 hours ago, Archer said:

I’m always thinking about the draft, so I thought I’d post my early thoughts.  It’s a little difficult to predict the financial fall-out from the Jonathan Taylor contract, but my back-of-the-envelope figures should come close.  There are a number of things in the first five games that have caused me to rearrange my priorities for 2024’s draft:

• Darius Leonard’s continued health problems and lack of elite play.    
• The OL’s return to prominence.  A couple of different rankings have placed our OL in the top 5 of the league. 
• A lack of plays coming from the Safeties.  I thought we had a burgeoning pair of premium Safeties, but neither one has been around the ball much or done much in coverage.
• Alec Pierce going the opposite direction as we’d hoped – who thought he’d become even MORE invisible during the course of games than he was last year?

 

The Plan

Re-sign: Pittman, Stewart, Minshew, Moss, Kenny Moore, Rigoberto, Tony Brown, and whatever cheap WRs we care to bring back (Montgomery, Hamler, Rodgers, etc.)

Cut: Leonard, Alie-Cox

Let Walk: Blackmon, Lewis, Bryan, Pinter

 

Leonard’s scheduled to count $20 million against the cap next year vs. a dead cap hit of $8 million.  It kinda has to happen.  And the group of young TEs needing PT makes Cox a goner, which saves us another $5 million.  Pittman is one of those guys who epitomizes the qualities that we want on our team – toughness and grit.  Gotta make him the priority.  Would have loved to do the same with Blackmon on D, but $, his mediocre play so far, and Cross waiting in the wings make that unlikely.  Grover gets a second extension, and Minshew will be more expensive this time around.  I think we can keep Moss – but a middle round RB will probably be the plan if we can’t.

 

Draft

1. Kamren Kitchens, S, Miami.  A ball-hawking FS to pair with new starting SS Nick Cross.
2. Tory Horton, WR, Colorado St.  Down-the-field Flanker to replace the lost cause (Pierce).
3. Ty’Ron Hopper, LB, Missouri.  Former CB/S is solid in coverage and the run game.  Depth and a new starter are needed at LB.
4. Christian Haynes, OG, Connecticut.  The interior depth needs help.  Haynes has high-end athletic traits and loves to finish in the ground game.
5. Jackson Mitchell, LB, Connecticut.  Another good coverage LB. 
6. TJ Sanders, DT, South Carolina. High-effort 3T with good athletic traits.
7. Jermaine Burton, WR, Alabama.  Fast as all get-out, with really good quickness.

 

You’ll notice that the draft is packed full with players I think are ascending.  Many are not currently predicted as highly as I have them. 

I've been doing some waaaaaay too soon mocking myself.  I'm addressing many of the same issues, but with vastly different people.

In my mock, I'm assuming we're picking somewhere in the early middle.  Like pick 8 through 11.

1st Round - Malik Nabers, WR, LSU - Athletic, highly productive Z receiver, with natural ability to get open, but still needs to fill out his route tree.

2nd Round - Tyler Nubin, S, Minnesota - Big and rangy, with the ability to play single high safety, and get interceptions, not just coverage.

3rd Round - Zak Zinter, OG, Michigan - Yes, I know, Fries is playing a lot better this year.  I still want more assurance.

4th Round - Drake Nugent, OC, Michigan - This is in preparation for the post-Kelly world.  He and Zinter already know how to line up next to each other.

5th Round - Jacob Cowing, WR, Arizona - Speedy and shifty running in the open field; drafted specifically as a KR (which we don't have).

[MikeCurtis]

3 hours ago, John Hammonds said:

I've been doing some waaaaaay too soon mocking myself.  I'm addressing many of the same issues, but with vastly different people.

In my mock, I'm assuming we're picking somewhere in the early middle.  Like pick 8 through 11.

1st Round - Malik Nabers, WR, LSU - Athletic, highly productive Z receiver, with natural ability to get open, but still needs to fill out his route tree.

2nd Round - Tyler Nubin, S, Minnesota - Big and rangy, with the ability to play single high safety, and get interceptions, not just coverage.

3rd Round - Zak Zinter, OG, Michigan - Yes, I know, Fries is playing a lot better this year.  I still want more assurance.

4th Round - Drake Nugent, OC, Michigan - This is in preparation for the post-Kelly world.  He and Zinter already know how to line up next to each other.

5th Round - Jacob Cowing, WR, Arizona - Speedy and shifty running in the open field; drafted specifically as a KR (which we don't have).

I like it, Nabers would be a fantastic pickup but we need to add a CB very badly  (round 3?)

[Archer]

4 hours ago, John Hammonds said:

I've been doing some waaaaaay too soon mocking myself.  I'm addressing many of the same issues, but with vastly different people.

In my mock, I'm assuming we're picking somewhere in the early middle.  Like pick 8 through 11.

1st Round - Malik Nabers, WR, LSU - Athletic, highly productive Z receiver, with natural ability to get open, but still needs to fill out his route tree.

2nd Round - Tyler Nubin, S, Minnesota - Big and rangy, with the ability to play single high safety, and get interceptions, not just coverage.

3rd Round - Zak Zinter, OG, Michigan - Yes, I know, Fries is playing a lot better this year.  I still want more assurance.

4th Round - Drake Nugent, OC, Michigan - This is in preparation for the post-Kelly world.  He and Zinter already know how to line up next to each other.

5th Round - Jacob Cowing, WR, Arizona - Speedy and shifty running in the open field; drafted specifically as a KR (which we don't have).

Yeah, I’ve been taking Nabers on those draft simulation sites when he falls.  I’d rather have a 1st round WR, but I don’t like the 1st rounders left when we have a playoff team’s draft slot.  Kinda why I drafted Horton above where most project him.  Of course, he’s averaging like 120 yards a game with 6 total TDs through five games.

[Archer]

20 minutes ago, MikeCurtis said:

I like it, Nabers would be a fantastic pickup but we need to add a CB very badly  (round 3?)

Yeah, so far through 5 games Brents and Jones are looking pretty good.  Improving.  I guess I figure that Brents starts one side, Jones and Flowers compete for the other, and  Moore returns.  That’s already three youngsters in the corps, so I didn’t want to draft another.  We’ll get better at the position as the youngsters develop…

[OhioColt]

Great minds always proactive and well thought out as usual.  

 

It's even taken me a while to put together my big board draft list after 5-6 weeks along with key players atop of each list separated. 

 

RB Draft: (Holani, Vidal)

 

·         Bucky Irving (Oregon) who was one of the most electric backs in the country in 2022.  As a sophomore he forced a missed tackle on 43% of his attempts, which ranked second in the country. It was also the fifth-best single-season mark since PFF began charting college football in 2014.  In 2023 after 5 weeks, Oregon ranks second in the country in points per game (51.6).  Forget about dynamic duo of Bo Nix/Troy Franklin as Irving just as dangerous in their offense who refuses to go down on first contact.  Irving is tough and elusive with an 85.5 rushing grade adding 23 missed tackles forced and 0.43 missed tackles forced per attempt.  Ranked 13th in FBS 4.3 yards after contact against other running backs with at least 50 carries.

·         Blake Corum (Michigan) Junior 96.1 OFF, 96.0 RUN, 69.3 RECV, 78.2 PBLK, 63.2 RBLK – 2022 PFF Week 7 and 11 TOW.  Corum made history last season.  His 96.2 graded lead all players in the country which is the highest by a Power 5 player since 2014 recordings.  After locking down JT with a long-term deal Corum drops off my draft list for the time being but one of the better backs to enter this year’s draft.

·         Audric Estime (ND) junior – 2023 earned PFF TOW 3 honors.  Estime is the nation’s highest-graded RB and leading rusher.  After 5 weeks amassed 591 yards.  His 352 rushing yards after contact also leads all Power Five RBs.  Much like Corum will go early in the draft and should not be in consideration.

·         Trey Benson (Florida State) – In 2022 he was a dominate tackle-breaker.  His 51% forced missed tackle rate led the country but also set the PFF College record.  He forced 79 missed tackles on the year.  Risk/Reward Dec. 1, 2020, he tore his ACL, MCL, lateral meniscus, medial meniscus and his gracilis tendon (hamstring).  Off to a slow start for 2023 but Week 5 vs VT carried 11 times for 200 yards scoring twice on the ground.  If available in Rounds 3-4 may consider adding depth and this may even be too high for a 3rd back to be honest.

·         George Holani (Boise State) – 2022 earned PFF TOW 5 honors.  Can he stay healthy and duplicate last year’s success averaging 5.2 yards per carry for 1157 yards and 10 touchdowns?  2020 career cut short by an MCL injury limited him to 3 games.  2023 only played one game been sidelined with a lower-body injury.  Shown decent hands for a running back.  Show potential to be a productive runner and probably our best draft candidate late in the draft.

·         Kimani Vidal (Troy) – 2022 PFF TOW 12, 2023 PFF TOW 1 (89.2 PFF grade).  As a true freshman Vidal ranked 21st overall averaging 3.83 yards after contact.  After 6 weeks Vidal currently leads the FBS in rushing yards by a large margin with 835 yards more than 100 over next closest back.  Vidal was an early watch list will be interesting to see what he does against better competition.

 

Offensive Lineman: (Haynes, Limmer, Beebe, Paul, Stoffel, Barton, Jurgens)

·         RG Christian Haynes (UConn) – 2023 PFF TOW 3, 4, 5, 6 honors.  After 5 weeks he is the only guard in the country with an 85+ PB and RB grades - 85.8 overall PFF grade.

·         OC Beaux Limmer (Arkansas) is an all-around stud at RG and only one of 3 Power 5 guards with 80-plus grades in both pass-run blocking in 2022.  For 2023 Limmer is moving to center.  Second most valuable returning interior lineman in FBS for 2023. Versus LSU had a total PFF grade of 71.6 with a 67.5 RB and a 75.4 PB grades.  Looked better as a RG than as a center other than Haynes (UConn) Limmer shown capable in both RB/PB add upside as OC Round 1

·         OL Cooper Beebe (Kansas State) – Jack of all trades OL No matter where Cooper Beebe lines up, he produces elite play. At right tackle in 2020, he was a PFF honorable mention All-Big 12 honoree. As a left tackle in 2021, he was named first-team All-Big 12. In 2022 at left guard, Beebe was a second-team All-American.  Beebe's 94.0 pass-blocking grade over the past two seasons led all offensive linemen in college football. During that span, he didn’t allow a sack on 770 pass-blocking snaps.

·         LT Jordan Morgan (Arizona) – 09/26 Morgan has the 5th best PFF grade of 75.6 on Arizona’s offense.  First-round potential

·         Kingsley Suamataia (BYU) – switching from RT to LT in 2023 considered a developmental player with upside.  In 2022 at RT he excelled in pass protection earning an 80.9 pass-blocking grade in 337 snaps not allowing a single sack and gave up only 3 hits.  His cousin is Penei Sewell (Lions) who helped coach him into becoming a potential first round pick.  Suamataia replaces Blake Freeland whom the Colts drafted in Round 4.  He possesses a strong work ethic and has the frame and athleticism required to be an elite tackle.  Capable of playing anywhere on the OL. Versus Kansas had a 69.6 PFF grade.  Through 4 games only has a 55.0 grade.  Made #3 on Bruce Feldman’s Athletic Freaks List.

·         RG Christian Mahogany (BC) senior – Most punishing blocker who missed all of 2022 with an injury.  Mahogany is back dominating blocks, finishing the defender to the ground and capable of blocking two defenders out of the play at the same time.  Mahogany leads all FBS OL in plays with10 grades.

·         RT Taliese Fuaga (Oregon St) junior if he declares 2024 – PFF has him listed as a top-10 OT entering 2023 season.  After 4 weeks Fuaga is the Power 5’s highest-graded OL with an 87.5 PFF grade.  2023 after 4-5 weeks his 90.9 run-blocking grade is nearly 3 points higher than next closest FBS OT.  His 6 pancake blocks (PFF highest graded blocks) are also tied for the most in the country.  Besides Freeland and Witt as Smith’s backups Fuaga offers upside adding another player who excels in run-blocking.

·         LT Patrick Paul (Houston) Junior if he declares– 2023 PFF TOW 2 honors.  Made the PFF watchlist for 2023. After 3 weeks has an elite 95.4 pass-blocking grade.  Continue to watch for Paul as a major riser.  Something the Colts seem to be lacking this year on the offensive line is pass-blocking.  Round 1

·         RT Blake Fisher (ND) – 2022 PFF TOW 8 honors. In 2022 he earned a 72.9 overall grade and a 68.9 pass-block grade.  After 6 weeks T96 with a 68.6 grade. Potential Round 2 grade but doesn’t appear to be living up to hype this season.

·         RG Justin Osborne (SMU) – best in zone, gap or man schemes – PFF early honorable mention before the season for the ACC.  2023 PFF TOW 1 honors.

·         RT Victor Stoffel (Temple) – Earned 2023 PFF TOW 3 honors. After 4-5 weeks in 2023 shown dominance in the run game earning an 81.9 RB grade leadings all Group of Five tackles overall grade of 82.5. Stoffel name is atop my draft list proving capable at both run and pass blocking assignments.

·         RT Chase Lundt (UConn) junior if he declares – 2023 PFF TOW 4, 5, 6 honors

·         LT Graham Barton (Duke) – 2022 PFF TOW 11 honors.  Only Power 5 tackle last season with a 95.0 plus grades in both pass protection and run blocking.  Finished with 17 blocks, 5 more than any other tackles in the country.  Expected to move inside for the NFL as he lacks length and has experience at center.  Solid backup for Quenton Nelson something the Colts has lacked for years an offer deeper backup plan at LT.

·         RG Zak Zinter (Michigan) 2022 PFF Week 5, 11 TOW Honors

·         LG/C Michael Jurgens (Wake Forest) Senior – Tied with OL Bradley Ashmore with an 84.4 PFF grade after 4-5 weeks in 2023.  Jurgens probably the more well-rounded of the two (Ashmore) only one of two guards in the Power Five with an 80.0 PB and RB grades.  Round 7-UDFA

Wide Receivers: (see all as viable draft picks)

·         WR-X Tory Horton (Colorado State) Senior – Earned 2023 PFF TOW 5 honors.  After 4/5 Weeks in 2023 earned an 85.4 PFF grade.  Combined 20 first downs and touchdowns ranks 6th among FBS receivers.  Also, a decent PR after 5 games with 7 PR for 121 yards with is 4th highest average 17.3.

·         WR-X Rome Odunze (Washington) - His 605 yards against single coverage last year trailed only Marvin Harrison Jr. among returning Power Five wide receivers. He’s also the third-most valuable returning Power Five receiver, according to PFF’s wins above average metric.  PFF update best contested catch receivers as of Oct 5th included Odunze which was an issue for him last season.

·         WR-SL Jalen McMIllan (Washington) Junior if he declares.  2022 PFF TOW 11 and 12 honors.  PFF grade 77.5.  Round 3 grade.  Not a “wow” type of athlete but is smooth with his routes finding space as a receiver consistently winning at the position.

·         WR-Z Malik Nabers (LSU) - Entering the 2022 season, many expected Kayshon Boutte to be one of the best receivers in the country, let alone LSU’s top pass catcher. Yet, it was Nabers who took hold of the Tigers’ WR1 role and never looked back.  He was a monster after the catch this past year. Nabers’ 21 forced missed tackles on receptions were the fifth most among Power Five receivers while his 204 receiving yards after contact placed eighth. He’s currently the No. 2 wide receiver prospect in the 2024 NFL Draft, according to Trevor Sikkema.  Earned PFF 2023 TOW 3 honors.  91.5 overall PFF grade

·         WR Hayden Hatten (Idaho) – In 2022 had 1223 receiving yards, 17 contested catches with 39 explosive plays of 15+ yards earning an elite PFF grade of 91.9. Hatten has excellent catch strength and hand-eye coordination and can create separation.

·         WR-X Will Sheppard (Vanderbuilt) - Sheppard leads the country in contested catches with 9 through 5 weeks and contested targets of 18.  Sheppard is a physical receiver not a burner or known for creating consistent separation.

·         WR-Z Keon Coleman (FSU) (Alec Pierce), junior Michigan State/Florida St. – 4th round grade initially but displayed first round traits vs LSU.  Showed strong hands making several tough catches in traffic and impressive speed for a 6’4” 201 lbs WR.  Through 5 weeks PFF has him listed as one of the top WRs making contested catches along with Legette, Odunze, and Sheppard.  Doubt we need to replace Pierce and Coleman is low priority but if he slips to Round 3-4 might be interested.  Does offer some upside as a PR only ranked #34 after 5 games with meager 7.4 yards/game.

·         WR-X Xavier Legette (SC) – view as a one-year wonder who is having a solid campaign with a 79.9 overall PFF grade after 5 weeks.  One of the better receivers winning contested catches.  Legette would be another target mid-late rounds but has potential Day 1-2.

·         WR-Z Adonai Mitchell (Texas) junior if he declares.  Missed 9 games in 2022 due to an ankle injury.  Impressive one-handed catch in the National Championship game where he played for Georgia in 2022.  Could see his draft stock rise if he remains healthy.

 

Linebackers: (Trotter, Ulofoshio, Reid)

·         MLB Jeremiah Trotter Jr. (Clemson) – 2022 PFF TOW 13 honors. Legacy prospect. The son of an All-Pro linebacker of the same name, Jeremiah Trotter Jr. aims to carry the family torch in 2024. Trotter’s a bit light, but he’s an instinctive defender who’s hyperactive behind the line of scrimmage and can play in coverage.  Trotter is slightly better than Jack Campbell whom I was very high on last year’s drafted by the Lions.  Trotter only LB with 80+ grades in both coverage and pass-rusher.  Only allowed a passer rating of 42.9 and open-target rate of 47.6%.  If Zaire Franklin doesn’t perform well this season than could see the Colts look to add a standout MLB.  Note Franklin Week 1 performance earned a NFL league drug test after leading the team with 18 tackles (10 solo).  Franklin is a former 7th round pick where he broke the franchise record for tackles in a single season. 

·         MLB Edefuan Ulofoshio (Washington) – Former walk-on was a PFF honorable mentioned All-American in 2020 leading all Power Five LBs with an 87.8 grade.  Ulofoshio missed 6 games in 2021 due to an arm injury.  Then missed 8 more games in 2022 due to a knee injury.  2023 healthy and is 2nd among Power Five LBs with an 85.3 PFF grade after 5 weeks.  Ulofoshio is the only LB in the country with 78+ grades as a run-defender, pass-rusher and in coverage.

·         WLB Kendre’ Grant (Louisiana) junior if he declares – Only one of two LBs excelling in 2023 with a 90.7 run-defense grade good for 2nd among FBS LBs while earning a 87.2 PFF grade.  Listed as BU on Ourlads but has 31 TOT, 3 sacks, 1 FF, 1 FR and 1 PD after 5 games in 2023.  NFL trade deadline is coming up soon and talks about moving players already popping up on sports websites.  Could Darius Leonard be a potential trade candidate for the Colts? Given his medical issues and high reward capabilities might be tempting to move on and acquire some more draft capital.

·         SLB Dallas Turner (Alabama) junior if he declares– Dallas Turner isn’t quite as powerful or as strong amidst contact as Will Anderson Jr was.  Turner has the versatility to cover the flats, as well as the elite closing speed to swallow up runners in pursuit. But his mix of explosiveness, bend, and length gives him immense pass-rushing potential.  Finished 2022 with 8 TFLs and 4 sacks.  2022 earned PFF TOW 6 honors.  After 5 games in 2023 has 26 TOT, 6.5 sacks, and 2 *.

·         LB Tommy Eichenberg (OSU) – 2022 PFF TOW 6 honors, con misses too many tackles 11-13/season – unless does something spectacular drop from my draft list.

·         WLB Danny Stutsman (Oklahoma) junior if he declares – Earned 2023 TOW 3 honors.  Stutsman had a breakout campaign in 2022 racking up 125 tackles, 10.5 TFLs, three sacks, two picks, and five PBUs.  At around 6’3″, 230 pounds, Stutsman brings eye-popping closing speed, and his motor never cools. 

·         MLB Power Echols (UNC) junior if he declares - 2022 TOW 0 honors, 2023 TOW 4 honors.  2022 stat line 103 TOT, 2 sacks, 1 FF and 1 INT with 2 PDs.  2023 after 5 weeks has 35 TOT, 1 FF, 1 INT and 1 PD.

·         SLB Curtis Jacobs Jr. (PSU) – low miss tackle rate. Freshman QB pass rating when targeted for 94.4.  Sophomore had an 82.3 grade but only a 63.8 grade when targeted as a junior.  A bit slow to locate the ball and often overruns plays.  Fooled by counters.

·         Rover LB Karene Reid (Utah) junior if he declares– 2023 after 4-5 weeks earned an 87.7 PFF grade.  Does more than excel in coverage as he is only 1 of 3 LBs in the country with a 75.0 plus run-defense, pass-rushing, and coverage grades this season.  Roving safety play nickel and provide run supports as a LB covering assignments out of the slot and even deep coverage.

 

DBs: (Tumblin, McKinstry, Grimes, Abrams-Draine, Kinchens, DeJean, Bullock, Smith, Mitchell)

·         FS Rayuan Lane III (Navy) junior if he declares obvious deferral to complete his military duties – Lane is the only other safety in 2023 after 5 weeks with an 80.0+ grade in both run defense and coverage earning an 87.8 PFF grade.  Lane afer 5 games currently T-5 in PBPG with 1.6 with 2 INTS and 6 PBUs.

·         FS Cole Bishop (Utah) junior if he declares – After 5 weeks in 2023, targeted 13 times, 4 catches allowed, 2 INTs, and 4.8 passer rating allowed

·         LCB Noah Tumblin (SDSU) Senior – 2023 after 5 weeks Tumblin has been a ballhawk for the Aztecs with 2 INTs and 8 PDs.  His forced incompletions combined with INTs lead all corners in the country. Update after 6 games ranked 3rd in PBUs. Former dual-threat QB?

·         CB Kool-Aid McKinstry (Alabama) tied for 2nd among all FBS in forced incompletions (18).  McKinstry is also the best PR leading all Power 5 players in 2022 with 332 punt return yards. Kalen King (PSU) in single coverage led all corners in the country with a 93.3 grade and 18.3 passer rating allowed.  King forced 15 incompletions in single coverage tied for 3rd among FBS corners in 2022.  Excels in man coverage.

·         LCB Tony Grimes (Texas A&M) - after accumulating 16 pass deflections and a pick over the 2021 and 2022 campaigns at North Carolina.  Grimes, a former five-star, has high-end athleticism and proportional length, and plays the ball with patience and focus.  In 2022 Grimes recorded 6 tackles with 7 passes defended.  In 2021 he broke up nine passes.

·         RCB Jason Marshall Jr. (Florida) The 6’1″, 198-pound DB picked up an interception and eight PBUs in 2022 and is primed for a breakout in 2023.  Solid QB passer ratings, 76.8 in 2022 and 59.8 in 2021

·         SS Tyler Nubin (Minnesota) - two top traits football IQ and impressive ball production.  Versus Nebraska had 2 picks

·         CB Alex Johnson (UCLA) – 2023 PFF TOW 2 honors currently 30th after 5 games with 3 PBU average 1.2 PBPG while adding 3 INTs

·         LCB Carlton Johnson (Fresno State) – 2023 PFF TOW 3 honors.  After 6 games has 4 PBUs ranked 19th adding 4 INTs

·         RCB Myles Jones (Duke) – 2023 PFF TOW 3 honors.  A 7-year senior.  After 3 games only allowed 6 catches while adding 2 INTs and 2 PDs earning an 88.8 PFF grade.  Listed as BU and has the height we covet at 6’4” 194 lbs just age an issue.

·         LCB Josh Newton (TCU) - solid QB passer ratings, 56.4 in 2022 and 86.2 in 2021

·         LCB D.J. James (Auburn) - solid QB passer ratings, 61.3 in 2022 and 64.9 in 2021 only 160 lbs

·         RCB Chau Smith-Wade (Washington St.) solid QB passer ratings, 68.2 in 2022 and 58.8 in 2021 – Round 2-3

·         CB Kris Abrams-Draine (Missouri) 2023 PFF TOW 4 honors.  After 6 games leads all FBS players with 8 PBUs (1.8 PDPG) while adding 3 INTs. 

·         CB Khyree Jackson (Oregon) – 2023 PFF TOW 4 honors. Currently ranked T22 in PBUs with 4 after 5 games averaging 1.2 PBPG while adding 2 INTs on the season.

·         FS Kamren Kinchens (Miami) As a true FS led the country with a 90.0 grade and 90.7 coverage grade with 6 INTs – PFF Week 11 TOW honors in 2022 – had a career day 94.9 grade vs Georgia Tech in Week 11.  Processing and tracking ability he had 3 INTs and 1 PB for the season now has 6 INTs and 4 PBUs with zero TDs allowed.  Vs GT had a 77.8 RD grade.  Kinchens had six picks and five deflections in 2022, and he combines his playmaking ability with a strong 5’11”, 202-pound frame.  As a sophomore he led all safeties with a 90.0 overall grade and a 90.7 coverage grade

·         LCB Cooper DeJean (Iowa) Junior - logged five picks (including three pick-sixes) and eight PBUs in 2022 — has a tantalizing blend of size and athleticism at 6’1″, 209 pounds. He’s also a high-IQ defender who can jump routes in coverage.  DeJean is the most versatile defensive back in the country, lining up at outside cornerback, slot corner, linebacker and even edge defender for the Hawkeyes.  Not only is he a jack of all trades in terms of how he lines up, but he’s also an incredibly well-rounded cornerback. He was the only cornerback in the nation this past season to earn 85.0-plus grades both in coverage and as a run defender. His 15 run-defense stops were tied for the most among FBS cornerbacks, while his four interceptions tied for fourth among Power Five cornerbacks. Mid-late Round 1 grade – Update 10/11 currently ranked 11th as a PR after 6 games with 15 PR for 215 yards averaging 14.3 yards.

·         FS Calen Bullock (USC) dominated in coverage tied for 5th among all safeties in the country with 5 INTs and 3rd most valuable safety in the country.  In 2022 earned PFF TOW 5, 11, and 13 honors.  After 5 weeks earning high praises from PFF.  Bullock has shown to have the range to play single-high FS in the NFL and potentially the best FS in the class.  At 6’3” Bullock has great instincts and vision along with elite range and ball skills to go in Round 1.  Over the past two seasons he has the highest coverage grade among Power Five safeties and 3rd highest mark of 91.3 among FBS safeties.  Hands for INTs and forcing incompletions place him in the top five for his position in coverage.  Does need to improve his run-defense and tackling.

·         SS Beau Brade (Maryland) – 2022 PFF TOW 5 honors.  2023 currently ranks T-22 with 6 PBUs averaging 1.2 PBPG. 

·         NCB Tykee Smith (Georgia) – In 2020 didn’t allow a single catch of 15+ yards in coverage – graded as top (1) safeties returned to school in 2021.  In 2022 Smith was ranked #2 returning to college safety.  Smith missed most of 2021 with an ankle injury, torn ACL.  Solid man coverage skills plus fast enough to run with slot receivers and strong enough to cover tight ends.

·         LCB Quinyon Mitchell (Toledo) junior if he declares - As a sophomore in 2022 90.4 DEF, 74.8 RDEF, 58.8 PRUSH, 90.4 COV.  Finished 2022 with 42 TOT, 5 INTs and 19 PDs.

 

Defensive Lineman: (Jenkins, Brown, Bell, Trice, Bristol, Sweat)

·         DT Kris Jenkins (Michigan) - Jenkins is a dominant run-stuffer in the middle of Michigan’s defensive line. The junior’s 31 run-defense stops were tied for the most in the nation among interior defensive linemen, and his positively graded run-defense rate was third among Power Five interior defensive linemen.  Great replacement for Grover Stewart. Potential as a late Round 1 pick.  As of 10/05 his 90.2 run defense grade leads all defensive tackles.

·         Edge Donnell Brown (Maryland) junior doubt he declares this year for the draft but after 5 weeks in 2023 Brown has a PFF grade of 92.0 with 140 snaps.  He has racked up 8 pressures on 140 snaps plus has 2 INTs and 1 PBU.

·         Edge/Viper (RDE) Ben Bell (Texas St) Junior if he declares – Brother is Levi Bell (Seahawks).  2023 after 5 games Bell has a 91.8 PFF grade.  His 39.7 pass-rush win rate in nearly 10% points higher than the next closest edge defender.  Level of competition?

·         LRDE/OLB Jacoby Windmon (Michigan St) – PFF graded after 2-3 weeks 90.8 DEF, 80.0 RDEF, 81.5 PRUSH, 92.5 COV – in 2021 had 118 TOT, 6.5 sacks, 1 FF and 1 PD – in 2022 has 15 TOT< 5.5 sacks, 4 FF, 1 FR and 1 PD – vs Washington double teamed a lot but still has high motor finding ways to make plays, spin move and hand chop move. 2022 PFF TOW 7 honors – Week 7 turned in a 91.1 PFF grade a career high mark for an off-ball LB.  Also logged 23 coverage snaps in Week 7 didn’t allow a single catch.  Suspended in 2022 due to Michigan tunnel altercation.

·         LDE Chop Robinson (PSU) 10 TFLs and 5.5 sacks in 2022 earning highest marks among FBS pass-rusher in pass rush win rate 12.1%.  2023 PFF TOW 4 honors.

·         DE J.T. Tuimoloau (OSU) junior if he declares– bigger role now that Zach Harrison off to the NFL. 10.5 TFLs, 3.5 sacks, 2 INTs and FF in 2022.  2023 PFF TOW 3 honors

·         Edge Bralen Trice (Washington) Junior more a one-year wonder, can he repeat in 2023? – Trice set the pace with 70 pressures and was the most productive pass-rusher in college football in 2022 edging out Alabama’s Will Anderson.  Trice led all FBS edge defenders in pass-rush win rate (29.5%) and second in pressure rate 22.4%.  Very powerful and can barrel through opposing tackles with straight-line speed.  High motor that doesn’t wear down even late in games.

·         DL Brandon Dorlus (Oregon) At 6’3″, 285 pounds, Dorlus who contributed 2.5 sacks and 9.5 TFLs in 2022 is truly a goblin on the defensive line. He has the length and mass to disrupt inside at 3-tech, but he can also play as a stand-up rusher and use speed-to-power.

·         3-4 LDE DL Jowon Briggs (Cincy) 6’2 297 lbs - 2022 PFF TOW 5 honors and 2023 PFF TOW 1 honors

·         RDE Kaimon Rucker (UNC) - 2022 PFF TOW 0 honors.  Rucker became first Tar Heel in 10-years to be named the Walker Camp Defensive Player of the Week.  Versus South Carolina he had 5.5 TFLs and 2 sacks.  2023 after 5 weeks has 23 TOT and 4 sacks.

·         IDL Jacques Bristol (Central Michigan) – Earned 2023 PFF TOW 1 honors.  After 5 weeks in 2023 earned an 86.9 PFF grade.  Bristol only Group of Five IDL with an 80.0 plus pass-rushing and run-defending grades. 6’1” 295 lbs.  Might be too light at 295lbs to play Stewart/Bryan role may be better behind Bucker/Adebawore

·         DL Keenan Stewart (UTEP) –Dominated JUCO.  Can play 1T and 3T in the 3-3-5 and 4-2-5 nickel defense.  In the last six games in 2020, Stewart produced a 92.7 PFF grade, ranking first in college football, and was anchored by a 94.4 run-defense grade. The sheer amount of plays he disrupted was astounding. His positively graded play rate against the run was the highest at the position over those last six games by a healthy margin. Obviously, the level of competition wasn't too strong, but that's solid production in any system, against any opponent.

·         IDL/LDT T’Vondre Sweat (Texas) - 2023 after 5 weeks earned a 90.2 PFF grade.  Only 1 of 2 IDL who possess a top-10 pass-rush and run-defending grade.  His 18.8% pass-rush win rate also 5th among all DTs while his 6 TFLS or no gain are T-2nd.  6’4” 362 lbs could be backup to Stewart instead of Buckner.

 

 

[OhioColt]

Based on our team now and what hopefully will be available for the draft am thinking of the following:

 

Round 1 - LCB Cooper DeJean (Iowa) – All around complete DB in coverage and can stop the run.  Bonus PR currently ranked 11th.

 

Round 2 - WR-X Tory Horton (Colorado St) – Combined 20 first downs and touchdowns ranks 6th among FBS receivers with an 85.6 PFF grade.  Bonus PR currently ranked 6th.

 

Round 3 - RG Christian Haynes (UConn) - After 5 weeks he is the only guard in the country with an 85+ PB and RB grades - 85.8 overall PFF grade.  Doubt he falls to Round 3 but great upside for the Colts.

 

Round 4 LCB Noah Tumblin (SDSU) – Currently leads all corners in the country in forced incompletions combined with INTs.  See also LCB Kris Abrahms-Draine (Missouri) after 6 games leads all FBS players with 8 PBUs plus has 3 INTs.

 

Round 5 - LG/C Michael Jurgens (Wake Forest) - Only one of two guards in the Power Five with an 80.0 PB and RB grades.  For years we have lacked a true backup to Nelson and Jurgens will prove capable and offer upside at center.

 

Round 6 - QB Darren Grainger (Georgia St) dual threat like AR great compliment to one another.   After 5 games in 2023 Grainger has earned a 91.4 PFF pass-rushing grade leading all Group of Five QBs while adding another 292 rushing yards (9th).  The health of AR already an issue and Ehlinger seems to have one foot already out the door.  Minshew needs to be resigned. 

 

Round 7 - DL Jacques Bristol (Central Michigan) - Bristol only Group of Five IDL with an 80.0 plus pass-rushing and run-defending grades.  Provides needed depth behind Stewart depending on his contract.  Projecting Stewart to get signed long-term finishing off his career with the Colts.

 

Obviously going to be a lot of different models can come up with just off my own list posted above here.

[John Hammonds]

17 hours ago, MikeCurtis said:

I like it, Nabers would be a fantastic pickup but we need to add a CB very badly  (round 3?)

I'm gonna wait until the end of the year before I gauge how badly we need a CB.  We just drafted a bunch of them this year.  And by crazy happenstance, all of them are being forced to start.  So...  We'll see how much better they're playing by the end of the year.

[OhioColt]

Unfortunately, I doubt we will be in consideration for Marvin Harrison, Jr. 

 

Finally came up with a list worthy of Dr. T that probably won't change much between now and the draft, even included a couple juniors who might declare (Abrams-Draine and Powers-Johnson).  A lot on offense are players who excel at both run and pass blocking which I think will be key not only protecting AR next season but help setting up the run game for both AR and LT.   The loss of Stewart shows as have high hope that he ends his career as a Colt, but both Sweat and Mills would add to our defensive line.  Something Ballard has been known for outside of reaching for QBs is his heavy emphasis on the defensive line, especially in free agency.  I do like the potential of Sweat and Mills along with Mills teammate Howard Cross III.  Didn't include any edge players, but junior Ben Bell (Texas St), brother is Levi Bell (Seahawks) is on fire but do have to question the level of competition.  Mohamed Kamara (Colorado St) is another intriguing player who made midseason all-American Honorable Mention with a very impressive stat line.  CB Sebastian Castro (Iowa) is another player to keep tabs on along with OL Beaux Limmer, Cooper Beebe, Christian Mahogany. Victor Stoffel and Javon Foster.

 

NFL Draft

Round 1

a)       TE Brock Bowers (Georgia)

b)      WR-Z Malik Nabers (LSU)

c)       LCB Kris Abrams-Draine (Missouri)

Round 2

a)       LCB Denzel Burke (OSU)

b)      FS Calen Bullock (USC)

c)       OC/RG Jackson Powers-Johnson (Oregon)

Round 3

a)       DT T’Vondre Sweat (Texas)

b)      FS Jaylin Simpson (Auburn)

Round 4

a)       SCB Mike Sainristil (Michigan)

b)      WLB Payton Wilson (NC)

Round 5

a)       LG/C Michael Jurgens (Wake Forest)

b)      RG Christian Haynes (UConn)

Round 6

a)       WR-SL Malik Washington (Virginia)

b)      DI Rylie Mills (ND)

Round 7

a)       TE Trey Knox (South Carolina)

b)      RB Jo’Quavious Marks (Miss. St)

[chad72]

How about Cooper DeJean in Round 1 and Xavier Legette with size and speed in Round 2? I am surprised no one is talking about Cooper Dejean from Iowa with his size and length for the Colts.

[MikeCurtis]

I REALLY want the Colts to use a round 1 pick on the best WR that they can get there hands on

 

This offense with a true WR1, would be scary....... 

 

We could be much more balanced ........

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[OhioColt]

9 hours ago, chad72 said:

How about Cooper DeJean in Round 1 and Xavier Legette with size and speed in Round 2? I am surprised no one is talking about Cooper Dejean from Iowa with his size and length for the Colts.

Legette to me is still a one-year wonder albeit having a solid campaign with a 79.9 overall PFF grade after 5 weeks.  Plus, he is one of the better receivers winning contested catches.  Could be a mid-late round target with potential Day 1-2.  Not very good as a run blocker only 45% blocking.  Legette did earn midseason all-America Second Team.  The Colts have obviously tipped their hand at a desire for a top wide receiver during trade talks so also expect the Colts to target a top WR early in the draft.  Have to think if the draft was today that either Rome Odunze or Malik Nabers would be high on our list if we go WR in Round 1 as Harrison Jr will most likely be gone before our pick.

 

Am very high on Cooper DeJean.  He is probably the most versatile defensive back in the country.  Capable of lining up at outside CB, slot corner, LB and even as an edge defender.  Bit of a jack of all trades in terms of how he lines up.  He was the only CB in the nation last season to earn 85.0+ grades in both coverage and as a run defender.  Bonus as a punt returner although still not sure exactly what happened this past weekend as he cost his team a win with an invalid fair catch hand signal vs a wave off apparently. 

[OhioColt]

Too bad the Colts didn't draft CB Devon Witherspoon over AR as I had hoped.  Witherspoon is the best cornerback in the league right now which is what I expected him to be very good but realize we needed a QB and still think this year's upcoming draft class might be better.  Minshew proving capable starter once again...hindsight.

 

[Archer]

Updated after week 7

 

Offseason Highlights: Cut Leonard and Alie-Cox, re-sign Pittman, Stewart, Moore, Minshew, Moss

 

Draft: 

Trade 1 (13) for about 1 (22) and 2 (54)

 

1) Kamren Kinchens, FS, Miami

2) Dontay Corleone, NT, Cincinnati (rising Grover clone)

2) Tory Horton, Flanker, Colorado St.

3) Ty'Ron Hopper, LB, Missouri

4) Zach Frazier, IOL, West Virginia

5) Darius Robinson, 3T, Missouri

6) Jackson Mitchell, LB, Connecticut

7) Jarquez Hunter, RB, Auburn

 

[chad72]

On 10/24/2023 at 9:34 PM, OhioColt said:

Legette to me is still a one-year wonder albeit having a solid campaign with a 79.9 overall PFF grade after 5 weeks.  Plus, he is one of the better receivers winning contested catches.  Could be a mid-late round target with potential Day 1-2.  Not very good as a run blocker only 45% blocking.  Legette did earn midseason all-America Second Team.  The Colts have obviously tipped their hand at a desire for a top wide receiver during trade talks so also expect the Colts to target a top WR early in the draft.  Have to think if the draft was today that either Rome Odunze or Malik Nabers would be high on our list if we go WR in Round 1 as Harrison Jr will most likely be gone before our pick.

 

Am very high on Cooper DeJean.  He is probably the most versatile defensive back in the country.  Capable of lining up at outside CB, slot corner, LB and even as an edge defender.  Bit of a jack of all trades in terms of how he lines up.  He was the only CB in the nation last season to earn 85.0+ grades in both coverage and as a run defender.  Bonus as a punt returner although still not sure exactly what happened this past weekend as he cost his team a win with an invalid fair catch hand signal vs a wave off apparently. 

 

Another guy I love is Jalen McMillan of Washington. He is Josh Downs with more size and speed, IMO. He will be a mismatch in the slot and can play a bit of Z too, IMO. I see a little bit of Antonio Brown type versatility in Jalen McMillan with his speed, of course needs the right QB, would love to have him at the middle of Round 3.  He is 6'1", 192 with sub 4.4 speed that runs great routes and has good hands.

[OhioColt]

On 10/27/2023 at 1:25 PM, chad72 said:

 

Another guy I love is Jalen McMillan of Washington. He is Josh Downs with more size and speed, IMO. He will be a mismatch in the slot and can play a bit of Z too, IMO. I see a little bit of Antonio Brown type versatility in Jalen McMillan with his speed, of course needs the right QB, would love to have him at the middle of Round 3.  He is 6'1", 192 with sub 4.4 speed that runs great routes and has good hands.

With the way Josh Downs is playing and Minshew targeting him I think adding another backup with starting potential in the slot would be a bonus.  Hopefully Downs can continue playing an important role when AR comes back next season.  Both Jalen McMillan and Malik Washington would be high potential draft day picks. Washington (Virginia) ahead of Week 7 has a PFF receiving grade of 86.2 on 61 targets (PFF ranks 8th).  He is very shifty forcing 15 missed tackles so far.  McMillan also proving a capable WR with a PFF grade of 77.5.

 

I recently posted observations seen from last year's draft class but WRs and CBs do make an immediate difference in year 1 more so than any other roster position.  The Colts clearly need DB help early and could find a contributor right away, barring more injuries.  Do we need to address our strength and conditioning coach or team doctor?  Is it our turf or something else why our DBs are decimated with injuries this season?

 

 

[chad72]

6 hours ago, OhioColt said:

With the way Josh Downs is playing and Minshew targeting him I think adding another backup with starting potential in the slot would be a bonus.  Hopefully Downs can continue playing an important role when AR comes back next season.  Both Jalen McMillan and Malik Washington would be high potential draft day picks. Washington (Virginia) ahead of Week 7 has a PFF receiving grade of 86.2 on 61 targets (PFF ranks 8th).  He is very shifty forcing 15 missed tackles so far.  McMillan also proving a capable WR with a PFF grade of 77.5.

 

I recently posted observations seen from last year's draft class but WRs and CBs do make an immediate difference in year 1 more so than any other roster position.  The Colts clearly need DB help early and could find a contributor right away, barring more injuries.  Do we need to address our strength and conditioning coach or team doctor?  Is it our turf or something else why our DBs are decimated with injuries this season?

 

 

Falcons have the Jaguars 3rd round pick for Ridley.

 

I would say, move slightly back with the Falcons (from 9th to say 12th), get the Falcons' 3rd round pick, to get an additional Day 2 pick.

 

Then, draft:

 

Round 1: Malik Nabers, WR, LSU (will be a better Pro than Odunze, IMO)

Round 2: T.J. Tampa, CB, Iowa State, another long press coverage corner candidate like Brents

Round 3: Ladd McConkey, WR, Georgia, outstanding slot route runner to add to Josh Downs, track background

Round 3 (Falcons pick): Ruke Orhorhoro, DL, Clemson, can play anywhere from 1-tech to 5-tech

 

What do you think?

[OhioColt]

17 hours ago, chad72 said:

 

Falcons have the Jaguars 3rd round pick for Ridley.

 

I would say, move slightly back with the Falcons (from 9th to say 12th), get the Falcons' 3rd round pick, to get an additional Day 2 pick.

 

Then, draft:

 

Round 1: Malik Nabers, WR, LSU (will be a better Pro than Odunze, IMO)

Round 2: T.J. Tampa, CB, Iowa State, another long press coverage corner candidate like Brents

Round 3: Ladd McConkey, WR, Georgia, outstanding slot route runner to add to Josh Downs, track background

Round 3 (Falcons pick): Ruke Orhorhoro, DL, Clemson, can play anywhere from 1-tech to 5-tech

 

What do you think?

Saw you post same draft idea in another thread.  While I am high on Nabers I wonder what the thoughts on retaining Isaiah McKenzie and resigning him for next season.   I can see the Colts letting McKenzie walk and going after both LCB Cooper Dejean and Tory Horton.  Horton also an WR-X like McKenzie and a better returner than Dejean and we could use both positions filled.  Although I do hope that Jaylon Johnson (Bears) does hit FA and the Colts can acquire him and would absolutely take Nabers in a heartbeat.  Kenny Moore is having a bounce back season but will be 29 next season.  At some point the Colts have to address his replacement to groom and adding CB depth is a must as we have seen.  Imagine Round 3 or 4 look for SCB Mike Sainristil (Michigan) who is having a stellar college season.  Sainristil already made 2023 PFF TOW 4 and 8 honors and received honorable mentioned for 2023 college football midseaon all-America team. 

 

Unfortunately, I don't have much listed for either T.J. Tampa or Ladd McConkey.  Ruke born in Nigeria didn't start playing football until his junior year of high school.  View him more as a 3-4 weakside DE.  Unless we change DC and switch bases which didn't work out too well based on our home turf prior I can't see us pursue Orhorhoro or NT Howard Cross III (ND).  Teams like the Ravens, Broncos or Falcons seem to be better fits having similar built players in Michael Pierce, D.J. Jones, and Grady Jarrett, respectively.  

 

On defense we clearly value our defensive lineman.  A dark horse Round 1 pick could very well be DT Kris Jenkins (Michigan).  Brandon Dorlus (Oregon) is another player to watch and who should be rising up NFL draft boards.  T;Vondre Sweat (Texas) and Rylie Mills (ND) are also likely draft candidates for the Colts.  Jacques Bristol (Central Michigan) still an intriguing prospect and at one time Keenan Stewart (UTEP) dominated JUCO back in 2020 but haven't heard much of him as of late. 

[chad72]

5 hours ago, OhioColt said:

Saw you post same draft idea in another thread.  While I am high on Nabers I wonder what the thoughts on retaining Isaiah McKenzie and resigning him for next season.   I can see the Colts letting McKenzie walk and going after both LCB Cooper Dejean and Tory Horton.  Horton also an WR-X like McKenzie and a better returner than Dejean and we could use both positions filled.  Although I do hope that Jaylon Johnson (Bears) does hit FA and the Colts can acquire him and would absolutely take Nabers in a heartbeat.  Kenny Moore is having a bounce back season but will be 29 next season.  At some point the Colts have to address his replacement to groom and adding CB depth is a must as we have seen.  Imagine Round 3 or 4 look for SCB Mike Sainristil (Michigan) who is having a stellar college season.  Sainristil already made 2023 PFF TOW 4 and 8 honors and received honorable mentioned for 2023 college football midseaon all-America team. 

 

Unfortunately, I don't have much listed for either T.J. Tampa or Ladd McConkey.  Ruke born in Nigeria didn't start playing football until his junior year of high school.  View him more as a 3-4 weakside DE.  Unless we change DC and switch bases which didn't work out too well based on our home turf prior I can't see us pursue Orhorhoro or NT Howard Cross III (ND).  Teams like the Ravens, Broncos or Falcons seem to be better fits having similar built players in Michael Pierce, D.J. Jones, and Grady Jarrett, respectively.  

 

On defense we clearly value our defensive lineman.  A dark horse Round 1 pick could very well be DT Kris Jenkins (Michigan).  Brandon Dorlus (Oregon) is another player to watch and who should be rising up NFL draft boards.  T;Vondre Sweat (Texas) and Rylie Mills (ND) are also likely draft candidates for the Colts.  Jacques Bristol (Central Michigan) still an intriguing prospect and at one time Keenan Stewart (UTEP) dominated JUCO back in 2020 but haven't heard much of him as of late. 

 

Pittman can be an X too, and I think we need to invest in Z type of WRs like Nabers and Odunze. 

 

I do think we go with more man CBs moving forward and T J Tampa fits the prototypical build with his length. However, I am not complaining whatsoever with Cooper DeJean .

 

Ladd McConkey, I have to see how his short area split and 3-cone are, at the combine. Everything suggests to me that he could be a Cooper Kupp like guy in the slot.

[Archer]

On 10/24/2023 at 11:38 AM, chad72 said:

How about Cooper DeJean in Round 1 and Xavier Legette with size and speed in Round 2? I am surprised no one is talking about Cooper Dejean from Iowa with his size and length for the Colts.

Really coming around on Cooper DeJean - @chad72, you’re a visionary!  I think our biggest Defensive problems before losing Grover were in the secondary.  But the concerns were all over the unit - no one slot troubles me in 2024, but R. Thomas hasn’t made many plays at FS and our depth at outside CB when Flowers and JuJu are sidelined has killed the D.  DeJean is high upside at any secondary position we put him.  Smart move.

 

I also see LB as an increasing need.  Leonard is getting better and better, but at almost $20 million against the cap, he’s destined to be cut.  And, unpopular take, but Speed and Franklin haven’t been too great in the base D.   We need a stud to replace Shaq and a depth boost (Stuard and McGrone).  Olubi can stay…

[OhioColt]

11 hours ago, Archer said:

Really coming around on Cooper DeJean - @chad72, you’re a visionary!  I think our biggest Defensive problems before losing Grover were in the secondary.  But the concerns were all over the unit - no one slot troubles me in 2024, but R. Thomas hasn’t made many plays at FS and our depth at outside CB when Flowers and JuJu are sidelined has killed the D.  DeJean is high upside at any secondary position we put him.  Smart move.

 

I also see LB as an increasing need.  Leonard is getting better and better, but at almost $20 million against the cap, he’s destined to be cut.  And, unpopular take, but Speed and Franklin haven’t been too great in the base D.   We need a stud to replace Shaq and a depth boost (Stuard and McGrone).  Olubi can stay…

Just got done going through available upcoming FAs targets some on the cheap but proven players mostly at backup positions.

 

Top 4 FA Targets:

• RG Robert Hunt (Dolphins) - Say what we will about Fries but compared to Hunt Fries is a capable backup.  
• LDE Brian Burns (Panthers) - if we can afford both Hunt and Burns, I would be a very happy camper.
• WLB/MLB Frankie Luvu (Panthers) - Luvu maybe it's the name but Frankie has proven year after year he can play football at a high level and been on my radar for a while now.
• RCB Tavierre Thomas (Texans) – native of Detroit tempted to move closer to home? Top 10/114 CBs 

Low-Cost backup/Starter potential:

LG Kevin Dotson (Rams) 

LG/OC Trystan Colon (Cardinals) 

OC Nick Harris (Browns)

RT Olisameka Udoh (Vikings) 

OT Prince Tega Wanogho (Chiefs) 

LT/LG/RT Chuma Edoga (Cowboys) - Was hoping to acquire Edoga last season and still proven value as a backup

 

DE Bryce Huff (NY Jets)

DE A.J. Epenesa (Bills) 

DE Clelin Ferrell (49ers) 

DE Malik Reed (Raiders)

 

WLB/MLB Isaiah Simmons (NY Giants) – first round draft pick decent but now listed as BU

WLB Anfernee Jennings (Patriots)

WLB/Edge Yetur Gross-Matos (Panthers) – IR

WLB-ST Joe Bachie (Bengals) 

SLB Josh Uche (Patriots)

SLB-ST Cam Gill (TB Bucs) 

MLB-ST Shaun Bradley (Eagles) IR 

MLB-ST Krys Barnes (Cardinals) – hit/miss starter potential

 

LCB Dane Jackson (Bills) – 49/114 CB

LCB-ST Isaac Yiadom (Saints) – Showing promise as a starter

LCB Rashad Fenton (Cardinals) IR

RCB Greg Stroman (Bears) 

RCB Bryce Hall (NY Jets) 

RCB David Long Jr. (Panthers) – backup getting starting time with CJ Henderson out

FS Jaylinn Hawkins (Chargers) decent starting potential 

FS Xavier McKinney (NY Giants) one of the better safeties 8m – 30th/87

SS/LCB Jeremy Chinn (Panthers) – Chinn is a local Indy kid and the Panthers have plenty of DBs

 

DRAFT:

R1) WR-X Rome Odunze (Washington) or WR-Z Malik Nabers (LSU) 

 

R2) FS Jaylin Simpson (Auburn) - more of a CB than SAF past two seasons but this year currently has a 90.4 overall grade with a 91.3 coverage grade adding 4 INTs and allowing just 32 yards in coverage.  Solid in man-to-man and elite as a zone defender.

 

R3) SCB-SWR Mike Sainristil (Michigan) – 75.1 pass-rushing grade when asked to blitz.  Great in man and good in zone-coverage as well.  Also capable of playing slot WR and still takes some offensive snaps with Michigan.

 

R4) QB Tyler Van * Miami (Fl) - 2023 after 4 weeks earning first round accolades.  Has 13 big-time throws leads all Power Five QBs with an 85.3% adjusted completion rate (5th) with a 94.3 PFF grade.  Struggling as of late it seems and seen his name dropping but still appears to be a need for the Colts.

 

R5) WR-X Tory Horton (Colorado State) PR – Isaiah McKenzie is a FA and McKenzie is Pittman’s BU-X.  Seen Horton draft stock all over the place.  He is a decent PR after 5 games with 7 PR for 121 yards which was 4th highest average 17.3.  Horton also is one of the better run blockers as a receiver.  2023 earned college football midseason all-America Third Team.

 

R6) DT T’Vondre Sweat (Texas) - A big man on campus 6’4” 362 lbs.  2023 after 5 weeks earned a 90.2 PFF grade.  After nine weeks, Sweat is only 1 of 2 IDL who possess a top-10 pass-rush and run-defending grade (overall 90.3 PFF grade).  His 18.8% pass-rush win rate also 5th among all DTs while his 6 TFLS or no gain are T-2nd.  2023 earned college football midseason all-America Second Team.  2023 PFF TOW 9 honors.  His 16.3% pass rush win rate is 6th in the nation while his 10 TFLS are tied for 3rd.  

 

R7) RB Jo’Quavious Marks (Miss. St) – 2023 earned college football midseason all-America Honorable Mention.  Averaging over 4+ YPC and over 50 RECs/year impressive. Best both run and pass blocking earning consistent grade 76% for all.

[Defjamz26]

On 10/11/2023 at 6:03 PM, John Hammonds said:

I've been doing some waaaaaay too soon mocking myself.  I'm addressing many of the same issues, but with vastly different people.

In my mock, I'm assuming we're picking somewhere in the early middle.  Like pick 8 through 11.

1st Round - Malik Nabers, WR, LSU - Athletic, highly productive Z receiver, with natural ability to get open, but still needs to fill out his route tree.

2nd Round - Tyler Nubin, S, Minnesota - Big and rangy, with the ability to play single high safety, and get interceptions, not just coverage.

3rd Round - Zak Zinter, OG, Michigan - Yes, I know, Fries is playing a lot better this year.  I still want more assurance.

4th Round - Drake Nugent, OC, Michigan - This is in preparation for the post-Kelly world.  He and Zinter already know how to line up next to each other.

5th Round - Jacob Cowing, WR, Arizona - Speedy and shifty running in the open field; drafted specifically as a KR (which we don't have).

It’s hard to put a safety in mock drafts because we don’t know what Nick Cross will be. He’s listed as the backup SS but hardly plays because of how stubborn Bradley is. Idk if he’s a SS or a FS. 

[OhioColt]

15 hours ago, Defjamz26 said:

It’s hard to put a safety in mock drafts because we don’t know what Nick Cross will be. He’s listed as the backup SS but hardly plays because of how stubborn Bradley is. Idk if he’s a SS or a FS. 

Other than Nubin, not really sure about the rest of the strong safeties in this draft class.  Now FS is different as we have multiple choices to choose from.  As for Cross I am still on the fence and have him pretty much like the rest of the Colts from opponent to the next where he will grade high one week and look like a bust the next.  Blackmon moving from FS to SS and staying healthy this season has been a big bonus for us with him playing very well.  Bottom line we have to keep Blackmon and probably would give a two-year extension and keep Cross as a high potential backup given Blackmon's injury history.  Can Nick Cross play FS at a high level?  A good question and wonder if he has been given a chance.  

 

It's the FS class that intrigues me the most and an area where I think we really need an upgrade.  Jaylinn Hawkins (Chargers) appears decent with starting potential and a slight upgrade over Rodney Thomas.  Xavier McKinney (NY Giants) another option but the draft appeals more to me to find our future starting FS.  Kinchens (Miami) is a possibility, but I think we look at CB or WR in Round 1.  Calen Bullock and Cole Bishop are also potential draft targets.  Trey Taylor (Air Force) is another strong candidate but with his military am going to assume like Andre Carter II he goes UDFA.  Taylor after 9 weeks his 88.5 coverage grade is second among Group of Five safeties while posting an impressive 78.8 run-defense grade.  Jaylin Simpson is the most appealing of all safeties with the production to match.  Offers upside in both man and zone coverage plus the flexibility being used as a cornerback.