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Narcosys

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Posts posted by Narcosys

  1. 7 minutes ago, coltsfeva said:

     Broncos lost and are 6-7. 

    If the Colts win out and Pittsburgh loses to NE or NO and/or Baltimore loses to  the Chargers, the Colts are in. 

     

     

    Here’s a good link for each team:

    https://www.google.com/amp/www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/25494877/2018-nfl-afc-nfc-playoff-picture-bracket-schedule-super-bowl-matchups-week-14%3fplatform=amp

     

    I know, but I can see them winning out. Baltimore will drop one but will win the Division over the Steelers.

  2. 16 minutes ago, chad72 said:

     

    Cowboys got gouged by Zach Ertz the first time, how has Dallas Goedert been doing? I bet they devote extra resources to Ertz and Goedert might be the recipient this time. 

     

    This is the targets for TE from weeks 11 through 13, and in fantasy, it typically a case of what you have done for me lately:

     

    https://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/reports/targets-distribution/te.php?year=2018&start=11&end=13&show=totals

     

     

    Dallas Goedert and Demetrius Harris stand out to me among the TE2 guys. Unless one of those TE1 guys is still available and you trust them??? Giants are weak vs TEs and I bet Reed or Davis finds the end zone this weekend.

     

    Of the ones with 10+ targets on that list

    Herndon

    R. Ellison

    Brate

    D. Arnold

    • Like 2
  3. 16 minutes ago, teganslaw said:

    Either Jordan Thomas or Cameron Brate. Both games could be high scoring. I don't trust Herndon against Buffalo and not sure about Seal-Jones. 

    Might role with thomas or Herndon. He gets the targets from darnold.  Thomas is a real flyer to me. Brate is up against the toughest defense when it comes to TEs. Their LBs have been stopping all TEs.

     

    Plus I already have Humphries and Evans starting...I'll look more into thomas, but they just don't incorporate him.

  4. 47 minutes ago, chad72 said:

    Alright, hear me out, tell me if I am crazy or reasonable:

     

    I am in this 14 team league that is all about capping QB production. 3 points for passing TD only, 0.02 per passing yards, -1 for INT, 1 point for 300-399 yards, 0.1 for each pass completed, 6 pts for rushing or receiving TD, 0.08 points per rushing yard. 

     

    This means that (say) if Luck throws for 350 yards, completes 30 passes and 2 TDs, 1 INT vs the Texans, he gets 7 + 3 + 6 - 1, a whopping 15 points. Luck has not been running a lot lately. So even if I throw in 20 yards rushing, I get to 16.6 points.

     

    My other QB is Josh Allen. I saw how Mariota used his legs vs the Jets at home, and how Allen has been running a lot. 0.08 per rushing yards.

     

    So, if Josh Allen rushes for 60 yards (he has been rushing for way more than this) and 1 TD, throws for 200 yards and 1 TD completing 20 passes, I get 60 * 0.08 = 4.8 + 6 + 4 + 3 + 2 = 19.8 points.

     

    Given how my league's points are structured, does Josh Allen become a better play at home vs Jets than Luck with a Ryan Kelly-less-Jack Doyle-less OL going against the Texans' DL on the road, or at worst a push in a home match up against the Jets???

     

     

    The math adds up and it seems running QB's are worth more.

    • Like 1
  5. 17 hours ago, chad72 said:

     

    Yes, he is. Just not sure what is going to happen with him garnering all the attention? I am sure someone else will emerge, just not sure who, just the timing of it is terrible.

     

    Same thing with Boyd and A.J.Green. However, I trust Boyd more than Sutton, if you look at both their situations and target shares. Jeff Heuermann was getting targets, he goes on IR, and then Sutton's targets go up, and now Sanders goes on IR, which probably makes it harder on Sutton, IMO.

     

    I really don't know. Just go with who you have, to be honest. 

     

    With Darnold possibly returning and McCown playing well, I'm not certain that the bills would be the best defense to play. The Rams D versus Bears could be better IF Trubisky doesn't play, and KC could be a smart play too with Lamar Jackson not being a true passer. 

  6. 7 hours ago, Hoo-Hoo-Hoo-Hoosiers said:

    I have two questions about who to start? 

    First, which defense do I start?

    Texans (home against Indy) or

    Chargers (home against the Bengals)? 

    Second, im thinking of picking Samuels up for the steelers but would need to drop another RB to do so (league limits me to 5 RBs), would you drop either P.  Barber or Tevin Coleman for Samuels?

    Chargers, barber.

  7. 4 hours ago, CanuckColtsFan said:

    We're 5-1 with him

    1-5 without.

     

    It's not out of the realm of logic to draw some conclusions from that. 

    Lol yes it is when you have 52 other people on the team. Again, Ebron has outperformed Doyle every way.

     

    The games I watched we lost, the ones I was unable to we won...should I draw conclusions from that?

     

    Is Doyle being absent the reason we had so many drops at the start of the season, or that luck couldn't complete passes over 65% of the time, or does doyle not playing affect a defense that allows over 30 points for 3weeks straight, 42 alone to the jets? No.

     

    Its nonsense.

  8. 6 hours ago, Narcosys said:

    Didn't swing pettis or Samuel, so as it stands

     

    QB: Luck @Hou

     

    RB: Mixon @LAC (Flex), Cook @Sea, J. Jackson vs Cin,  M. Breida vs Den, S. Ware vs Bal, M. Mack @Hou

     

    WR: M. Evans vs NO, A. Humphries vs NO, T. Boyd @LAC, M. Williams vs Cin, C. Sutton @SF 

     

    TE: C. Brate vs NO (Available: M. Andrews @Bal, D. Arnold @TB)

     

    D/ST: Bills vs NYJ, Rams @Chi, Chiefs vs Bal

     

     

    @Chad72

     

    E. Sanders is injured and probably out. Is Sutton now a play over anyone?

  9. 1 hour ago, CanuckColtsFan said:

    Because we lost those games

    That's absolutely illogical, Ebron lead the team in TDs those games, and has outperformed Doyle even when healthy, this while taking into consideration when they both played this year and Doyle's past few years. A TE does not determine the outcome.. What of the games we lost when he did play? No team relies on a single player to determine the outcome of games. 

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