ColtStrong2013
-
Posts
4,150 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
7
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Gallery
Events
Blogs
Posts posted by ColtStrong2013
-
-
26 minutes ago, Superman said:
Tom Brady doesn't have a surgically repaired throwing shoulder.
If league average on QB sneaks on 4th and short is around 80%, but league average on other runs is around 70%, is that extra ten percent worth the risk, given Luck's status?
The further Luck gets from his surgery, and assuming he makes it through this season with no issues, the more comfortable everyone will get with him running such a physical play. For now, I don't think it's worth the risk, when there are other plays that are nearly as effective as QB sneak, but far less risky.
Peyton Manning had a surgically repaired neck times 4, and they still snuck the football on occasion. Patriots sneaks are 91%, so to answer your question, yes, the extra 21% could make or break close games... or in last season's case, the difference between 4 wins and 9, 10, 11?
-
31 minutes ago, Steamboat_Shaun said:
I could see it going both ways... if they're in scoring position, especially down near the goal line, & it makes sense to run a QB sneak, I don't see Reich shying away from it, but at the same time I can't see it happening very often.
I don't see it happening in goal line situations, or when defenses are stacked. 3rd and short, split the defense out wide, with 4 down lineman and one backer accounting for a tailback. Get them on a hard count or catch them off guard,and go where the defense is weak.
It's honestly the easiest concept in football. You put the ball in your playmaking franchise qb's hands, with the responsibility to get a yard... and he gets to decide where he goes.
Andrew Luck behind Ryan Kelly and leaning left behind Quenton Nelson is a money play... guaranteed.
-
43 minutes ago, aaron11 said:
maybe many times is an exaggeration but its definitely happened
I have watched a lot of Patriots games over the years... Because they play the game right and showcase how a team should be built. They have extended a lot of drives and put a lot of games away because of Tom Brady's sneaks on 3rd/4th & short. They know the risk of it, but have also proven that when done correctly, the risk is minimized... and with great reward.
-
Tom Brady has mastered it and never takes a hit... It's just smart football.
-
1
-
-
Easy talking the C word around here... I stated a while back that Ballard was changing it, and a few jumped down my throat.
-
No one is sure he is the best player in this year's draft, certainly don't know his status in the league... but one thing is for certain, he was the best player for the Colts this draft. Period.
He single handedly is changing how this team conducts themselves in practice. He single handedly makes this offensive line better and meaner.
With the change in offensive philosophy with quick release throws, and a better emphasis on the run game (better in the sense that we will take what the defense gives and not force Frank Gore up the middle with a stacked defense), drafting Nelson was the best complimentary move this offseason for any team, in my opinion. The fact that we got 3 second round picks AND Nelson is hard to argue that statement.
-
2
-
-
8 hours ago, Jared Cisneros said:
I can't speak for Smonroe, but I'll tell you my concerns about Reich. 1.) He has 0 sample size as a head coach so far. I buy into his philosophy, and the Eagles won a SB with him, but I guess I'm one of those guys who needs to see it to believe it. 2.) There was little to no interest in him as a head coaching candidate before we showed it after the Josh McDaniels fiasco. In fact, I don't remember any other team showing interest in him besides us. That's sort of a red flag to me. I don't think he has character concerns, but I think there may be reasons we don't know about that he didn't get hardly any interest (if any) by 31 other teams before McDaniels didn't work out with us, and finally, only interest with us afterward. Something could happen where he had some baggage the other FO's knew about that the fans didn't, and it shows during our first season.
I'm just speculating, and it's all my opinion, but it's something to keep in mind.
Bills were interested... that's at least one team. But as @Clem-Dog said, most teams don't want to wait on a guy who refuses to speak with teams until after the first week of February. He wasn't expecting to be a hot commodity this season, the super bowl run with Foles made him one... he would be a front-runner if not the top guy going into this season had he stayed in Philly.
Today's NFL doesn't give two craps about head coaching sample sizes. One of the brightest minds in football is 32 years old and had a full 2 years of experience as an offensive coordinator. No one cares about recycling head coaches that had mediocre careers as HC.
-
5 hours ago, coltsfeva said:
The biggest difference I’ve noticed with Ballard vs Grigson is humility and the sense that he sees himself as part of the solution.
Even though Grigson did well, he seemed to be dripping with arrogance. At the time, I don’t know if was anything he said per se, just an observation.
Having said that, I’m sure there have been plenty of successful GMs that were pretty arrogant.
There have been some players let go ( Mingo, Melvin) that were a bit of a head scratcher but despite all we’ve been through as Colts’ fans, I’m glad we’ve got Ballard/ Reich.
You listen to Pac McAfee talk about Grigson... and then watch Ballard on his show. You see how fast Adam V signs with Ballard versus the difficulty that Grigson game him in his negotiations (how is that even a difficult signing?) You hear what former colleagues say about Grigson (surprised he got a GM job) versus seemingly everyone that Ballard ever work with praise him with the utmost respect. You see how approachable Ballard is to the media and respectful towards athletes. We all saw the difference in how each of them worked with Pagano. There is no question the difference in character and respect across the league in the two executives.
I'm a big believer in some things working out for the best. I believe the timing in letting go of Grigson was the greatest thing that happened to this organization. Whether Ballard's teams win a championship, or even match the W's that Grigson's career here brought, or not, he is a better and more respectable General Manager on so many different levels. Winning is the ultimate goal in the National Football League, but everything else is important as well. Ballard is top notch in how he conducts himself and how he handles business. Without a doubt.
-
1
-
1
-
-
10 hours ago, NewColtsFan said:
At least you’re consistent... wrong, but consistent.
This is now twice you’ve said people here would be blaming Ballard if the Leonard deal hadn’t gotten done.
The only people who’d be bashing Ballard are the ones who don’t understand the new CBA. Everyone else — the vast majority — would be bashing Leonard and his agents. That’s where the responsibility would’ve been correctly placed. For some reason you don’t know that.
And once again you trot out another wrong example with Ballard.... in your mind “he can’t close the deal.” You take the 2018 free agency season and interpret it as he CAN’T close the deal, when the correct understanding is that the only deal he wanted to close on in 2018 were the ones on HIS TERMS. And as I’ve explained to you repeatedly, Ballard closed the deal 10 times in the 2017 free agency season. But you keep forgetting that even though it was only one year ago.
Ballard wasn’t the problem with Leonard, the agents who wanted things they mostly weren’t going to get were the problem.
It’s the first day of camp and here you are knocking heads with folks. You might want to consider keeping your powder dry and enjoying the new season. Just a thought....
Ballard has had a couple great FA for what he wanted to accomplish. He hosted some big names, who only entertained the idea to see what kind of money was on the table. They were never coming here this year unless we offered stupid money... and that would be stupid. Ballard methodically plays the game in FA, and this next one could be big if Luck plays well and the team trends in the proper direction. This is a big year for Ballard coming up... and I look forward to watching it play out.
-
1
-
-
2 hours ago, Matthew Gilbert said:
Not drafting Josh Jackson has really been on my mind this week. Pairing his ball-hawking in the secondary with Hooker could have been so nice. I really wish the Colts would have taken Arden Key as well but I know Ballard doesn't take the red flag types until a certain round. I have faith in Ballard but there are a couple of picks in this past draft that I wish different selections were made.
I too was on the Josh Jackson train, and a little disappointed we didn't go after him. I have thought all along that not taking a defensive back in the draft was Ballard's way of putting his faith in what we have. They have a season to build off last year and prove they are our guys going forward, or Ballard will be addressing it in FA / possibly round 1 of 2019 draft... I look forward to watching that unit specifically this year in a new system that should allow them to make plays and play at a high level.
-
I think we are going to see a completely different team this season than we are accustomed to. That doesn't mean it will translate to a winning season, but it will be drastically different. Young, fast, and better in the trenches. There will undoubtedly be a lot of upset folks with so many young players making mistakes on the field. I look for boom or bust throughout the season on both sides of the ball, meaning breaking a big touchdown or failing miserably on offense and making a big play or breaking down and allowing a big play/touchdown on defense. This is a growing pain season with a franchise qb getting back to where he should be. It will take the entire season to see a sound and competitive team, in my opinion.
I think this team could shock some people, and will put those big media folks that are saying we won't win more than last season to shame. I look for a 7 to 9 win season, and think we could do better, depending on Andrew's play and more importantly, how he works with Reich/Sirriani. It could be a very positive year going forward.
With all that being said, I think this season will show what Ballard's vision and his scouting ability is made of... and I look forward to that. I look for a season- long growth as a team, with so much youth and potential. I sincerely hope those Ballard critics on this forum and fanbase see those positive things, even if it isn't a successful year in the W/L column.
-
1
-
-
10 hours ago, richard pallo said:
I have to agree. That coupled with what appears to be a strong draft class, an improved offensive line and finally a new playing surface that hopefully cuts down on injuries and improves performance and we just might be in store for one heck of a year. Could the stars finally be aligning?
I am excited to see what Andrew can do working with some very creative and brilliant offensive minds for a change. Reich and Sirianni could be the real difference makers here. With some new speed on offense and a more solidified o-line, they can really exploit mismatches and make Luck's job seem like a walk in the park compared to what he is used to here. Going to be very fun watching this offense start the season, and then grow throughout the course.
-
2
-
-
52 minutes ago, krunk said:
I've questioned the rusty part myself as well. He should be decent after all of the end of OTAs, throwing during down time before camp, training camp and preseason. He should have shaken off a good deal of the rust, but I'm sure there will be some things here or there I suppose.
I understand there is a good chance it takes some time to work into form... but Andrew has performed at a very high level with a bum shoulder for several seasons prior to all this time off. He very well might feel better throwing the ball than he ever has.
-
1
-
-
With an improved line, improved playcalling, and a fresh shoulder, I hate to even put a cap on what his potential is.
We are all assuming he will be rusty, but I think with a month and a half of working with his receivers, he might not be all that off. One thing is for certain, he has utilized his time off to study and work on aspects of his game that needed improvement. I fully expect a much improved Andrew Luck to shock some folks this year. Might take some time, might not, but by seasons end, he'll be dang tough.
35 touchdowns, would be more but Reich will put a bigger emphasis on the running game. TY with 10, Ebron with 8, Doyle with 4, Cain to be the standout rookie with 6 or 7.
-
10 minutes ago, Flash7 said:
So then he didn't win the pick-up basketball game?
Salty because he got embarrassed on the basketball court.
-
2
-
-
10 hours ago, Smoke317 said:
I noticed that Doyel said, in his article about Luck & the coaching staff, that Haeg has been slotted in as 4th string... Is that good (we’ve got a lot of great young talent on the OL) or bad (Haeg has regressed and is/was never that good to begin with)? Do you guys think he’ll make the final roster and how do you guys feel if he doesn’t?
I think irsay's comments on haeg as a young backup that is versatile enough to play any position on the line, indicates they are looking at him to be a big part of this offensive line depth going forward. He needs a nice competitive camp, but should be on the roster.
-
1
-
-
14 hours ago, Savage said:
Would love to see a lot of packages with Leonard, Walker Jr, and Goode together. Hopefully, AWJR can be the MLB this team hasn't had since the Mike Peterson.
This team has sorely lacked a disrupting MLB. I was sold on Smith for that reason, but definitely think he made the right and easiest pick in Nelson. Smith could have changed this defense himself. We couldn't go wrong at #6 this year.
I think Walker Jr. can be the guy. His first start late last season was impressive and gives me great hope going forward. Very intelligent guy that has all the traits necessary.
-
On 6/9/2018 at 10:45 AM, Lucky Colts Fan said:
I bet if we had a chance to look at Ballards famous Binder, we'd see that you are exactly right. He probably had the 4-3 plan from the start and knew he should go ahead and start drafting for it since Pagano was most likely a lame duck that first year.
He absolutely knew what defense he wanted going forward. He came from a strong 3-4 defense in KC and knew how hard it is to replicate. I think we all saw the handwriting on the wall with his first draft. Across the board. You don't draft a defensive end that doesn't fit the defense you're inheriting without visioning where he is going to be down the line. He knew Basham could be a solid pass rusher in the system he excelled in at Ohio. He hired Matt Eberflus in a quick minute while waiting on McDaniels. It wasn't McDaniels guy. It was Ballards'.
-
On 5/30/2018 at 3:28 PM, Myles said:
You are 100% sure? But just in case, we have Brissett? That doesn't sound 100%. Looking in great shape is a big optimistic sign, but we cannot see through the flesh.
We are all hoping for the best, but we are still waiting to see.
If I was a betting man, I would bet that he will be back without any issues. But I wouldn't bet my house.
He could 100% throw a football last October and has had no further surgeries/worked on his strength since then... so yes, I think it is safe to say he can absolutely throw a football. That isn't the big question. The question is if he can do it without consistent and nagging pain.
-
On 5/26/2018 at 7:20 AM, JColts72 said:
More gibberish talk from them. Who knows when luck will be in a game again.
Captain Andrew Luck is preparing his sidearm for battle. That is all we know...
-
A few things for me on this. First and most importantly, we must reserve our feelings and opinions on the charges and the allegation in regard to his character until more is reported. Right now, we know literally next to nothing. He claims he doesn't even know the woman. Secondly, on that same breath, you just don't know with cases like this. He might be cleared completely because it is her word versus his (what it appears to be), but it doesn't mean he isn't guilty of the act, he's just not guilty of the crime from a prosecution standpoint. Lastly, from an operational standpoint in relation to what we are all here for, I would hope that Chris Ballard would be patient and let this play out a bit. If he doesn't, he's setting the precedent that he will cut you at first allegation, and what player in today's social media/hooking up culture wants to run the risk of pissing a girlfriend off that knows she can get him canned with a simple allegation? There is very little risk monetary and even reputation for some of these women versus the risk for these athletes... I don't say that lightly, as my wife would clip my nuts at night if I meant it in a degrading and misogynistic manner. It's just very true.
I know first hand a friend that is involved in the athlete hook up culture. It's amazing how fast some of these guys can send a DM on instagram to a woman they dont know, and get them on a plane to their city for a weekend. AMAZING. It's risky business for these athletes. I hope this isn't a similar situation. Messages don't die and are easy evidence to prove a guy indeed does know a person they "don't know."
-
@NewColtsFan I appreciate your post. We can disagree on things or need clarification (and still disagree) without being blatantly rude about it like some tend to be on here. I'm happy to explain my thought process, and never claim to know anything in absolute terms. I enjoy this forum for quality discussions on the specifics of schemes and aspects of the game the casual fan refuse to discuss. This is one of those posts, that we all can take away other perspectives and learn something from. I constantly learn things about the game on this forum.
-
12 hours ago, NewColtsFan said:
So, first things first...
It doesn't matter that Ballard brought in Dodds first... that's only because he was available first. Ballard couldn't bring in Eberflus in 17 because Pagano was the HC and he had his own DC. Ballard was not going to interfere there. This is only an issue of timing. It doesn't reveal anything one way or the other.
As soon as he could bring in Eberflus, Ballard did just that.
I have no idea why you would think ANY of this? Why do you think Ballard had to "sell" his vision of a defense to Eberflus? You've seen the quote from Ballard about Eberflus. One meeting and he was sold. Why wouldn't you think these two men share a vision. Share principles and values. Have common ideas about what they want to run. I'm at a complete loss why you're taking this viewpoint and not that Ballard and Eberflus are closer to being philosophical twins than they are Boss and Employee and that the boss had to explain what he wanted the employee to do.
This is baffling to me.....
CS13....
I should say that you've quickly become one of my favorite posters, so I'm not at all comfortable reading your exchanges here and not understanding your point of view at all. This almost never happens to me when I read your posts, but it sure has here.
Thanks for taking the time to explain yourself here... If you've already done so and I've somehow missed them, my apologies, just my eyes playing tricks on me... Thanks again for your help.
P.S. --- I tried to put some of this at the very top but the system is not allowing me to.
Boss and employee's can work together well if the employee buys in on the vision... I own a business and I can tell you for a fact that not one employee tells me how they are going to things if it doesn't align with my vision. If Ballard knew what type of defense he wanted this team to instill based on what he was comfortable scouting, personnel wise, then he is going to lay that out for defensive coordinators to buy into. I doubt very seriously their meeting was Eberflus laying out his defensive plans and Ballard buying it. Ballard contacted him for a reason, and it was because he liked certain aspects of the Cowboys defense and he knows Eberflus is a great coach. I have no doubts in Eberflus only that he won't be here very long if things go well... and I certainly hope that is the case. I think they are probably very similar in philosophies, as Eberflus wouldn't have agreed if not. He was in a good spot in Dallas, this was just too good of an opportunity to pass up. I also don't believe Ballard will interfere in the coaching side of things like Grigson did. But Ballard clearly had his idea of defensive scheme when he came in. To not assume that, is to discredit his organization and planning, which many executives say is unparalleled. I apologize for not explaining that. I do not believe this is Ballard's way or the highway, and know that Eberflus is going to do the coaching/planning. But from a defensive scheme standpoint, I firmly believe Ballard laid his vision out based on what he was comfortable drafting, what he has already drafted (particularly the secondary) and it isn't a Tampa 2 foundation from the secondary standpoint... I could be completely wrong and surprised, but I don't see Hooker and Geathers being a Tampa 2 base defense or variation. I think Hooker is an Earl Thomas like centerfielder and Geathers is a Kam Chancellor type safety, and that is where Ed Dodds comes into play. Time will tell with that assumption... and it is just that at this point.
-
29 minutes ago, ColtsBlueFL said:
So, what kind of defense will the Colts’ new coach be inheriting? Ballard made several references to the Tampa 2-style defense the Colts and the Chicago Bears – one of his former teams – used with great success in the 2000s. But, further reporting has clarified what the Colts really are going for is a style similar to that of the Dallas Cowboys, who have been running a modified version of the system. Eberflus was Dallas’ linebackers coach, working under defensive coordinator Rod Marinelli, whom Ballard has known for years.
Here is the full article-
This story was done after the McDaniels fiasco, but before Reich was hired. Yes there will be twists to the Tampa 2 as teams long ago figured ways to beat the Dungy version (I documented one play in Nickel vs. 11 personnel)
"Though the 68-year old Marinelli is a Dungy disciple, NFL offenses became adept at beating basic Cover 2 coverages long ago. It certainly still works situationally, but to deploy it full-time is not an option."
I read that article also back in February. Again, different perspectives apparently. Very little chance their base secondary coverage is Tampa 2. The front 7 might be similar style but this secondary especially sub packages will be mixing up coverages and using cover two sparingly. It talks about that in that very article. 3 receiver sets carve up cover two defense today.
Luck QB sneak ???
in Colts Football
Posted
https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stat-analysis/2016/2015-short-yardage-results
Absolutely worth the risk...
5 time NFL champs agree.