ColtStrong2013
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Posts posted by ColtStrong2013
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45 minutes ago, shasta519 said:
Oh I agree. I think the “no state income tax” can get a bit overblown. It’s a factor…but just one of many.Rodgers is a bit different because he’s a QB and has amassed a small fortune in a long career.
But for most players, it’s probably the gtd money and trajectory to the playoffs (if they can get both), which often is dependent on that team’s QB.
I think it can get overblown. But I have little doubt that accountants are working numbers as offers come in from agents to show breakdowns. It would be silly to not have one on standby.
I know when LeBron James took a paycut to go to Miami, the breakdown was shown to indicate he really wasn’t taking a paycut at all. It definitely can get overblown, but doesn’t diminish that there can be offsetting finances involved.
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27 minutes ago, jvan1973 said:
He will still pay state taxes in every other state he plays in that does have state tax. So 8 games at home and 2 in Tennessee and Jacksonville will have no state tax, the other 7 games will be taxed
that is true. i am sure there is a lot more nuance to it than what we know.-
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11 hours ago, w87r said:
"Though Ballard didn’t admit it, ESPN’s Stephen Holder reported the Colts offered more money to defensive end Danielle Hunter before he signed a two-year, $49 million (with $48 million guaranteed) with the Houston Texans."
If money was close I'm sure he makes more in Houston than he would've with Colts with No state tax in Texas.
we would have to offer at least 1.5 million more in guaranteed money to offset the difference in state income tax. -
3 hours ago, John Hammonds said:
It can all be upset by untimely injuries, but I'm giving us 10 wins and a playoff berth.
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2 hours ago, AwesomeAustin said:
Yes. The Colts need to figure out how to win at home and with AR. I have my concerns with him other than health. Most of it is not fully understanding how he will be utilized and if he can pass effectively in this league on a consistent basis, especially if the defense puts him in a hole regularly. That’s a lot for someone with 18 games at the pro and college level.
I saw enough last season to be far more concerned about his availability than his ability to throw the ball. He showed a lot with his arm, ability to make big plays in a comeback against the Rams. He has yet to show he can stay healthy. Regardless what he does this year, there will be a lot of anxiety watching him play all the way up until the end of his season, whether by injury or by conclusion of the team’s season.-
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41 minutes ago, chad72 said:
We should get good value out of retaining Mo Allie Cox, put him as a blocker on special teams
oh lord- not the conversation turning to keeping Mo or getting that cap space savings…You could be right regarding him though. The conversation kept revolving around blocking tight ends value in the league, and they certainly would know whether this rule was likely or not internally.
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8 hours ago, AwesomeAustin said:
At first I thought the Colts were going to possibly take a step back. This is a very manageable schedule with the best teams at home. Had a losing record at home last year but hopefully they can improve on that. 8-9 wins seems right and can +\- 2 wins depending on health and the defense. I think the offense and special teams play great this year.
The Colts will host the following teams at Lucas Oil Stadium in 2024:
Houston Texans
Jacksonville Jaguars
Tennessee Titans
Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins
Pittsburgh Steelers
Chicago Bears
Detroit Lions
The Colts will face the following teams on the road:Houston Texans
Jacksonville Jaguars
Tennessee Titans
New York Jets
New England Patriots
Denver Broncos
New York Giants
Green Bay Packers
Minnesota Vikings
gotta figure out how to win at home with that home schedule… If we can pull 5 wins out of that grouping, we will be right in the thick of things. Otherwise, we are going to have to play very well on the road and steal a division game somewhere.
AR winning games is an unknown for everyone. Even assuming he stays healthy, it’s an unknown. He might play great all year, but struggle to put teams away or find ways to win. I think Steichen helped this team figure out to win games last season, so I’m hopeful that continues.
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1 hour ago, RollerColt said:
Not to mention, he isn’t getting fired right before the draft just because of free agency.
Doing things like that would completely collapse an organization quick.
yes- and even if he were to be fired at the end of the upcoming season (or the middle of it,) Ed Dodds, Brown, and co will still be the ones leading the draft come next offseason. So this process plays out for another offseason again next year.
If you need to blow the current organization up, by all means. I don’t think that’s going to ever be the case under Ballard’s management. He’s good enough for that to not be the case, and I think most people will agree on that. From key executives, to coaching staff, etc. I don’t forsee tearing it down and starting again. If you need to pull a Kansas City, and just need to get rid of the GM for someone internally, you would have to have reasoning like they did- erratic contracts and decision making against the advice of others in the organization. Again, I don’t see that ever happening. So, the question becomes- why are we making that big of a decision? Can he vouch for himself on why the results have been mid? If so, what is the plan going forward to get us to the next level? That conversation likely already happened- and Irsay’s agreed/were satisfied with the answers which is why we are where we are with Ballard and this process.
18 minutes ago, bluephantom87 said:I can respect the time and thought put into that response which by the way I agree with some but not all. At the end of the day we want the same thing.... I gave Ballard big kudos last season for the Shane hire, the AR pick and the Minshew signing. We did have some success last season and that's a start. I just don’t feel with how the division is shaping up that now is the time to sit pat but I also said we'll see how the draft pans out. I just expected a few more moves considering what Chris said at seasons end about improving the team with more explosive players and by changing up some of the things that he did in the past. If the gm shines that means the Colts shine and that's all I want whether it comes from Ballard or someone else but again I have no control over that. Cheers!
I agree on expecting more too. The reports- and my thinking is maybe he did try and it didn’t pan out. QB stability matters for Free agents too. Maybe this year isn’t it. Maybe a healthy (healthier) season by AR is what it will take to show some big players we are worth coming to. I don’t know. Maybe I’m wrong entirely and it’s not going to change.
I don’t mind the division being the way it is shaping up. I think we can compete within the division, and we showed it this year. I know the Steelers and Ravens didn’t mind when they were making postseason runs / winning superbowls with it. Seahawks and 49ers made runs with each other playing great. Tough divisions mean tough teams in the playoffs, imo. Competition either breaks you or makes you elevate your game. I don’t see us breaking.
and hopefully we still get some of those explosive / explosive disrupters type players yet this offseason.
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8 minutes ago, bluephantom87 said:
Dear God... I'll never give undeserved credit when it's not earned. I know you probably think that Ballard is one of the top gms in the league but I don't. IMO he's more middle of the pack and based on his sub .500 record that might be a stretch. He could dip even further if we finish near the bottom of a newly talent infused division. As a matter of fact some early predictions have us doing just that for the upcoming season. To me this draft has to produce some elite talent or have some noticeable upgrades in positions of need.
Ballard has done some decent things in his tenure as gm but he hasn't done enough to move any needles as far as getting the team back to upper tier status. I am a season ticket holder and have been for years through good times and bad so no bandwagon fan here just one who's invested like many others who are. Trust me this forum is NOT the only place where Ballard's welcome has worn thin due to the team's minimal accomplishments. As a matter of fact this board is tame compared to other sights that speak on his job performance.
Now if Ballard suddenly turns the corner with a slightly different approach to elevate the team PAST mediocrity and actually follows through with some of the things that he usually says at his season ending presser then maybe we'd be having a different conversation. Enough of the "It's on me", "We need more explosive players" and the "I've got to do better." Yada yada...
I say again I will have no problem applauding him IF he gets the team to a place where they can compete for a division title, make a couple of playoff runs or ultimately hoist a Lombardi. Trust me I won't gaslight because I stand on what I say. Your opinion is that Ballard is doing things the right way but his Colt's resume of nearly 8 yrs says differently. It has no division titles to list and reflects ONE playoff win courtesy of an inherited Andrew Luck. Those are the facts that somehow seem to fall under the term "bashing" as you and some others defend him. I say to each his own and for the record I was a Ballard fan initially but MY opinion has changed over time. It doesn't matter regardless because like I've said on several occasions until Irsay is fed up with this low reward journey of Ballard it shall stay status quo.
I don’t think he’s one of the best GM’s at all. I’m not sure why you would put those words in my mouth. I think he’s one of the better in certain aspects. I certainly think he’s one of the more respected ones, and that’s substantiated by comments throughout the league. I think he’s very direct and well-intended. Results of course matter, and you are correct, they have been middle of the road. My argument to those that think he will be fired, is who is going to replace him that will be better? It’s always walking in circles “well I think Malcom Brown would be better”… why? If AR pans out, then the results will improve with the same exact plan that has been in place for 8 years now. So firing Ballard, hiring Malcom Brown and then having success will be attributed to Brown? That makes little sense. No one has a good idea, except for firing Ballard. Things could get worse. He’s been pretty consistent putting competitive teams on the field. I think people forget some of the blowout losses we had with Andrew luck under center… As if those years were more acceptable than what we have experienced. In my opinion, they are not and should not be at all. We had a generational qb and didn’t win squat. Division titles? So what… those were squarely on his shoulders and what did it get us? To the point we are at currently- complaining about the results since he left.
you say IF he gets the team to a place where they compete for a division title? Didn’t we just experience that in year 1 of our new coach and without our top 5 draft pick under center? Everyone is predicting we are going to regress this season. I’m not sure I see it that way, and I’m confident Shane Steichen and company do not. Time will tell, but I’m way more optimistic moving forward than I was a few years ago. If players take time to develop in this league, and coaches do as well, then why wouldn’t Ballard continue developing as a manager and becoming something really good. I don’t think he’s as far off as everyone thinks he is. And I’m confident that if he is fired, whoever inherits the team is not going to complain much and blame him for anything that he left, because we will be in pretty damn good shape compared to the rest of the league when they fire their GM’s… I’m not loyal to Chris Ballard, I’m loyal to the Indianapolis Colts. I just see things differently than many on here do- I don’t see us being far off, and I know 100% that things could be (and would be under Ryan Grigson) far worse…
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4 minutes ago, Restinpeacesweetchloe said:
There is no room for more dline. Ballard is paying bucks for that dline and we have too many players. right now. No dline or oline right now is going to improve this roster right now. This would be a terrible pick and Ballard should be canned on the spot. We are good on both lines right now. Seriously should not be here if thst is the pick and he is a very unserious GM. No ssg would be went out and paid Grover and Davis yo draft for trenches. That is not a good use of money
Ballard is always going to reinvest in the trenches, so regardless of how we perceive our lines or the amount of money in them, that is a certainty. It might not be the 15th pick this year, but it’s not going to be surprising for many who put weight into what Ballard repeatedly says. He believes at any given time, there is room for improvement and always room for additional talent on the lines. They believe that you need 7-8 quality lineman on offense and as many as you can stack on the defensive line, as they work in waves. -
1 minute ago, Superman said:
That's part of what was sold when he was hired. He brought in his group of guys who were supposed to be high level teachers and developers of young players, and that hasn't exactly worked out in two seasons. In fact, the defense got worse last year in a lot of ways, and then one of his group developmental coaches got fired.
It's not all Bradley's fault. There were a ton of injuries in the secondary, we wound up playing practice squad level reserves for a large part of the season. The idea was for Brents, Flowers, Jones, Rodgers, to grow together. Rodgers was gone, Flowers got hurt, Brents wasn't able to stay on the field, Jones started to fade in the second half. And guys like Baker and Brown wound up playing way more snaps than anyone expected. I think the hope is the main group is able to stay on the field, and everyone has benefited from the forced experience last season.
I feel like it's a large part of the sales pitch for Ballard, and the Irsay fam has largely bought in because he has had success defensively here. 2021 was one of the better defensive units we've seen with the Colts. Unfortunate injuries/suspensions kept that from progressing over the last few years, more so than Eberflus leaving, IMO. But that unit was looking like it was developing into a game changing defense, but with no consistent help on the other side of the ball.
But... I do agree with you that Gus' system isn't going to work unless he changes his way, which is unlikely. It just feels like the system is ultra conservative in order to develop young players. Perhaps some are right in the thought that patience will wane, but it sure feels like an organization buying in on a longterm plan. Ballard's always been thought highly by colleagues throughout the league as a very detailed-oriented executive. I can't imagine there isn't that type of planning on the defensive side of the ball.-
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4 hours ago, Superman said:
What is Bradley's contribution to defensive success?
I’m going to answer this below the following post, as my answer to what he possibly contributes is correlated…1 hour ago, chad72 said:But Gus Bradley didn't coach the Legion of Boom to 2 Super Bowl appearances, it was Dan Quinn as DC, who parlayed that into a HC job in Atlanta then.
2009-2012 - Gus Bradley was DC (no SB appearances, they make 2 SB appearances with Dan Quinn as DC right after he leaves)
2013-2016 (Jaguars HC, never even win the division, let alone make an AFCCG, he is fired after 2016)
2017 - Jaguars make their first AFCCG with Todd Washburn as DC and Doug Marrone as HC
That man, Gus Bradley, when he leaves, good things happen right after he leaves. Just an observation
my answer to what Gus Bradley contributes to on defense is development of players. I’m not sure we’ve seen it yet, but @chad72’s observation (and a good one by the way) could be what Ballard has studied and views as a strong development coach. I hope that is the case. And in that case, he likely won’t be the guy that leads our defense to a championship level as a defensive coordinator. It would be the next guy. -
54 minutes ago, BlackTiger said:
I dont even know what that is. Franklin will probably go off on social media and let us know though!
He’s already ripped on it being proposed. -
Just now, Superman said:
Sneed's agent to the Titans: 'You know the Colts are prepared to send the Chiefs a 2nd rounder and offer $20m/year, you don't want to see this guy in your division do you?'
exactly… -
Just now, throwing BBZ said:
If you could possibly grasp that Ballard really wasn't in on Hunter
I’m not sure that he was in on sneed either. Trying hard to ignore the irony that the main organizations involved (and ultimately both players were traded to) are our division rivals.-
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1 hour ago, csmopar said:
And a lot of expert mocks had Paye projected as a top 5 pick that year too. He slid to 15. I’m not sure we pick up his option, but I think we should.
That’s not something I recall at all. The top 10 was very good that year and the defensive end class was not good. I remember an article saying he could go top 13-15 and that may be too high. I know we were fortunate to get him at the time at 21, but he was never a top 5 or even 10 pick, imo.-
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9 hours ago, LJpalmbeacher2 said:
that last play with the season on the line on 4th and 1 and having a career backup QB throwing to a practice squad player and the best player on the team was on the sidelines just doesn't make sense if someone doesn't buy into NFL being scripted.
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19 hours ago, bluephantom87 said:
With that being said I'll be the first to applaud him if the team starts winning on a consistent basis that sees a divion title or two, a few playoff runs and maybe a shot at a SB.
Of course you would... You and everyone else that has bashed him nonstop like broken records on this forum. You all will try and gaslight the hell out of everybody on here like you didn't want him fired for the entire duration of his career.
It's hypocrisy at best. I won't support the team while they are trying to build it the right way instead of the way I think we should be approaching it from my living room couch/ipad... but you better believe I'll be the first one on here pumping myself up when the tide is turned, and the titles start flying.
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3 minutes ago, Hoose said:
The amazing depth at CB and WR this year suggests that you CAN get an elite player at 15 if you go with one of those positions. My guess is the Colts don’t trade down and instead grab a difference maker.
I'm not sure depth and elite talent at the top of the class are entirely correlated. There could be a view of tiers, where teams don't exactly view much difference between the top few and the next three to five of the same "tier." I would think that would suggest that you could afford to trade back and still get a similar player at that position, or take the bpa regardless of position, knowing the class is deep on day 2.
I don't have many expectations for the first round, and i'm always excited to see what plays out. I think we can make an argument for cornerback, receiver, or edge rusher at 15, (or brock bowers)... and i can also see the argument to take one of the top tackles if they would somehow fall to 15. I just don't put a lot of weight into position need. I'm hopeful we address the secondary in the next few weeks so we have some clarity on how they view the room going into the draft (even though it could just be smokescreens to avoid showing their hands). I guess you could argue that not addressing the cornerback position leading up to the draft could be the same smoke and mirrors approach, so that teams may think you are targeting cb when you have your eyes on someone else entirely. I do like the corners and receiver options in the 1st round though. More than anything, I just want talent. -
27 minutes ago, richard pallo said:
How about sending Paye in a package deal to the Eagles for Reddick? They are open to trading him. The Brian Burns trade was pretty reasonable for the Giants. Colts might be able to put together something similar that makes sense for both sides. They really might like Paye to take his place.
Eh, I'd be done trading with the Eagles for a while quite frankly. I think they are always looking to fleece somebody. If they don't want him, there's probably a reason or two.
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There's always the possibility that several teams think 2 or 3 of the edge rushers are elite and go above us. That would push some really good players to 15. If we think anyone is elite, then there is a high likelihood that we aren't going to see them at 15.
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Just now, DougDew said:
Would either Verse, Turner, or Latu be a better rusher than what we have...a long term 3 down threat? Because EDGE is the most premier position, IMO, than either WR or Corner if there is a player to support a top 15 pick
I won’t be surprised/upset if we get one of those guys. Preferably Verse/Turner. I also wouldn’t be upset if we traded back and picked up chop Robinson. -
1 hour ago, DougDew said:
Is AP's ceiling a 2 or a 4?
Possibly 2, but time for reaching that ceiling is running out in this organization… I understand he hasn’t had exactly a fair shake with the qb situation, so I’m hopeful we see more of his potential downfield especially. But he’s not exactly the ideal 2. I would think you would want a 2 that has the ability to become a 1 in the next 3 years when Pittman is looking at a new deal. That’s where options come in with a very important offensive position.
But- I agree with this.
1 hour ago, DougDew said:It seems that we have a bigger hole at corner right now. But I think if you look at potential ceiling of EDGE and WR, it seems like those two spots don't have as high of a ceiling?
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35 minutes ago, Solid84 said:
I did some digging on Tyquan Lewis on PFF.com
They have a stat called PRP - Pass Rushing Productivity:
LINK - PFF's Pass Rushing Productivity I encourage anyone interested in this to go sign up at PFF.com
For reference Micah Parsons was the most effective Pass Rusher in the league last season and he scored 12.7. Myles Garrett scored 10.8 and TJ Watt 10.4.
Tyquan Lewis was our best guy at DE (by margines) at 9.9. Interestingly he scored quite a bit better rushing from the QB's strong side (Paye's spot) than from the LEO position (Ebukam's spot). Lewis was the 14th most effective DE Pass Rusher IN THE LEAGUE among DEs with 100+ pass rush snaps.
On 158 snaps from the REO he scored a PRP score of 11.4 (4 sacks, 5 hits and 23 hurries). On 88 from the LEO he scored 7.4 (1 sack, 3 hits and 8 hurries).
I know there may be some concerns about his durability if we up his snaps, but I'd REALLY like to see him start at REO instead of Paye.
I like Lewis. I thought he was peaking when he blew his knee against the Titans in 2022. He recovered well and was good for us last year. I would expect him to see increased usage, especially if he is performing bigger than Paye. The Lewis, Dayo, Paye trio going into next year is interesting to me. Little chance we don’t keep one of them, but it sure feels like it isn’t going to be Paye. So it’ll be interesting to see how it plays out.-
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Pressers from Owners meetings
in Colts Football
Posted
Imagine thinking a general manager of a multi billion dollar organization would admit to the key customers (fans) that the qb was the most important position in football, and losing Andrew Luck would be devastating to the franchise’s success.
If it wasn’t about one player, then it would’ve been a hell of a lot easier to win paying 3 different guys $20 plus million for the one season they were each year for…