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Restored

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Posts posted by Restored

  1. 10 hours ago, Buck Showalter said:

    Clearly??? Lol...

    The Colts let the Texans leap frog them in divisional standings from '17 to '18...

     

    If one wants to discuss what will define a successful '19 season, it has to start with winning the division, a feat that has elluded the Colts for four seasons. Can't have visions of grandeur without first proving that last years run wasn't a fluke.

     

    If the Colts are the clear-cut "best" team in the AFC South, then they need to go out & win the AFC South. I would think that any reasonable fan would expect this before expecting an AFCCG appearance...

     

     

     

    You seem to think that the Colts winning the division is the only measure of success even though the Colts beat Houston twice in 18’, with one of the wins being in fairly convincing fashion on the road in a playoff game.

     

    A team doesn’t win 9 out of 10 games and a road playoff game as a fluke either. They’re the favorites in the AFC South right now and justifiably so.

     

     

    • Like 2
  2. 25 minutes ago, ColtsBlueFL said:

     

    Because very few teams have a top tier QB, and finding even decent QB's (good enough to win with) isn't easy.  Many teams have really bad QB's (in comparison) and most of them were round 1 selections!

     

    Dak was taken in round 4 because the Cowboys were not able to trade up to get Paxton Lynch! How did thaat work out?  And he cracks the upper half of QB's IMO.  Here's an accuracy graph (all QB's throws, not including 'hits')-

     

    dak-prescott-comp-3.png?w=2000&h=1714

     

    Dak can make all of the throws and is above the league average in doing so at most every distance. They just keep his jersey clean.

     

    Pro Football Reference Approximate Value chart-

     

    prescott-av.png

     

    I think the Cowboys need a more efficient offense (like Reich with Luck, and Reid with Mahomes) to be really recognized as one of the better QB's.  Dak was supposed to sit a year behind Romo, but Tony's injury propelled Dak into the job right away, and he has done well. (2 pro bowls, 2 playoff appearances in 3 years).

     

    With so many teams still in QB purgatory, Cowboys were lucky to go from Tony Romo to Dak Prescott. Not quite as fortunate (IMO) as the Colts going from Manning to Luck, but nobody should lose sight of the fact.

     

    Sometimes I think our fans are QB spoiled and feel anyone not named Luck, Mahomes, Brees, Brady, or Rodgers is trash...

     

    My point is that QB's like Dak, whom still are not at the levels of Luck, Mahomes, Brees etc., are getting paid like they are in the upper echelon of the league. This in turn inhibits a team's ability to build around them with so much capital being tied up in one player.

     

    This type of capital spend works for teams that have QB's that are good enough to make up for the limitations that their salaries cause. But to your point, mid-tier quarterbacks like Dak need a strong supporting cast around them to be successful but their overly inflated salaries make it difficult for teams to do so.

    • Like 1
  3. I agree. Dak is a symptom of a much bigger problem in the NFL and football in general. Mediocre QB's get overpaid and subsequently hamper their team's ability to build a winning team in the long-term. But if we go deeper into high school's and colleges, we see that the game is now full of pass-heavy offenses. The problem, is that the QB's in these schools aren't well-developed and play in simplified systems that inflate their stats but don't prepare them to be able to play effectively at the pro level. Some NFL teams clearly don't understand this and invest large sums of capital into these QB's that should never get paid the amount of money they are getting. 

     

    The only silver lining could be that the salary cap will continue to increase each year but I'd be interested to see if that is keeping up with the pace of QB salary rate increases as well.

  4. On 5/24/2019 at 12:56 AM, NewColtsFan said:

     

    I agree that balance is the key to winning....     and last year,  we had almost 67 plays per game.  40 passing,  and nearly 27 running.     Not the balance you want. 

     

    If you go over to NFL.com you'll see that most QB's are throwing 30-40 pass attempts per game.

     

    I think right around 35 is the sweet spot.     Below 30 is putting a lot of pressure on the running game to sustain an offense for 60 minutes.     You might get that for a game here or there,  but not for a whole season.

     

    Here are the Colts stats for last year:

     

    https://www.colts.com/team/stats/

     

    And here are the stats for the league from NFL.com

     

    Note of caution:   There are lots of categories, and lots of settings to change for your search.   

     

    http://www.nfl.com/stats/player

     

    In the games the Colts won last year (not including the playoff game), Andrew threw 31, 23, 31, 29, 29, 37, 41, 27, 47 and 35 times which comes out to an average of 33 passes a game so you're pretty much right on with your assessment.

  5. 2 hours ago, NewColtsFan said:

     

    Honestly, I still think we’ll throw 35-36 times a game...

     

    But that may lead to 4-5 more runs per game which I think Reich wants to help run the clock. 

     

    Ideally, you still want to only be passing 25-35 times a game. Balance is still key to winning.

  6. 1 minute ago, John Waylon said:

     

    I do think this had some to do with it. His hard nosed style did not fit the culture Reich wants to build. Though the results were nice. If we fall back into the middle of the pack next year up front I’m gonna be pretty sad. 

     

    It makes you wonder if the mean/nasty reputation that the line had this year was in part due to the coaching style he used. I'm in agreement that if the line takes a step backwards next year, I will be disappointed.

    • Like 1
  7. 1 minute ago, Superman said:

     

    No question the defense didn't get any help from the offense, and that was a major factor.

     

    But I think it's lacking context to suggest that the defense "clamped down" in the second half. The defense was outmatched from jump, and the game didn't get closer than 17 points until late in the 4th quarter. Then they promptly scored again.

     

    I'll give the defense credit for their 4th down stop, and they got another stop on that late TD drive, but it was ruined by a STs penalty. Still, their offense had another gear that they never showed in that game.

     

    I don't get how anyone could say the defense played well.

     

    The defense stopped their offense on four consecutive drives in the second half and the offense only capitalized on one of them and fumbled away the turnover that the defense got on KC's side of the field.

     

    Yes, they were outmatched from the jump but did more than enough to put the Colts in position to win on offense.

  8. 14 minutes ago, Superman said:

     

    Yikes. 

     

    First, if you think the Chiefs offense felt any pressure at all in this game, I believe you're very mistaken. The one time we even remotely threatened, they came right back and scored a TD. I mean, Mahomes had 50 TDs this season; do you think our defense kept him from throwing a TD? I don't; he just didn't have to. Their best weapon wasn't even fully utilized, and they still won by three scores.

     

    Second, even in a game where I don't think the Chiefs went more than 25% into their gameplan (because the game was over at halftime), they had 26 first downs (not including penalties), they converted three times on 4th down (and it wasn't close on any of the three), they had 433 yards, zero turnovers on offense, they averaged 5.5 yards/rush and totaled 180 yards, Kelce smoked us, the QB was 65% and had open receivers from start to finish...

     

    Do you know how many times they went "first down, second down, first down" on us? You know they didn't even get to second down until the fourth play of the game? They earned first downs on first down or scored on first down nine times in the game. The few times they were behind the chains were due to penalties.

     

    Their offense toyed with our defense from start to finish. We put up zero resistance, aside from a handful of plays, mostly helped by an offensive penalty on their part. The idea that our defense played well is crazy to me.

     

    While I agree that the defense looked out of sorts early and the Chiefs moved the ball pretty much at will, the defense certainly clamped down in the second half and made enough stops and plays to give the offense ample opportunities. I will however agree that the lack of pass rush with the front four hurt them a lot in the game and they had no answer for Kelce which was to be expected.

     

    I also think its important to remember that Mahomes banged up his knee late in the first half and that offense did not look the same in the second half after it. The offense just didn't take advantage of the opportunities.

  9. 22 minutes ago, rockywoj said:

    Yup, my son & I are flying in for the game from Winnipeg!   Arriving Friday, leaving Monday. Staying across from Arrowhead at the Drury Inn. 

     

    Tickets on the Colts side, lower bowl around the 40-ish yard line, row 15. 

     

    Reservations already made for Q39 (yum) and the Majestic Restaurant. Never been to the Majestic before, but this will be my 2nd visit to Q39. 

     

    Hoping for some good tailgating pregame with fellow Colts fans!  Maybe even a few of you from this forum!

     

    Awesome!! Hope to see you down there on Saturday before the game!

    • Like 1
  10. On 1/7/2019 at 12:46 PM, cowboooy said:

    Hi hozer, 

    thanks for the reply. Got a ticket in section 340 (guess that's the opposite side of you). Not perfect, but I'm happy that I can attend the game. 

    If you guys want to meet up prior to kick-off, just let me know. 

     

    Hey man, we will be in section 344 so not far away. Will PM you. Trying to round up other fans to meet up.

    • Like 2
  11. 5 minutes ago, BloodyChamp said:

    Luck has pulled bigger comebacks outta his buttpad. Not that today wasn’t great, but I don’t know who Luck’s leader critics have been watching.

     

    It’s not so much the comeback itself but rather his maturation as a leader that is happening before our eyes. He isn’t afraid to put his foot down and light a fire underneath the team to push them to another level of play.

  12. 51 minutes ago, Bluesmith said:

     

    I don't understand this logic at all.  These are professional athletes, getting paid well to be motivated to play the game of football.  Why in the hell do they need to be galvanized by a boneheaded coaching decision?  They are expected and compensated to be professional football players.  

     

    I love Reich and Ballard and the Colts, but I won't turn a blind eye to a boneheaded call when I see it.  And to suggest that the players are some kind of * millenials that need special gestures to motivate them to play is getting old.

     

     

    That's a very narrow scope of the mindset of professional football players. Ultimately, these are still human beings that have different levels of motivations, emotions etc, despite their differences in pay compared to most people. The way that football teams attempt to get players to buy in and be motivated is not that different than how a regular, everyday business would try and find ways to get employees to buy-in.

    • Like 2
    • Thanks 1
  13. 22 hours ago, John Waylon said:

    Grant is still getting about twice the snaps that he is, and it’s getting a little thin with the reasons why. Grant has been incredibly underwhelming since his arrival. Maybe even moreso than the DHB, Nicks, and Johnson signings before him. 

     

    I think seeing more of Inman and less of Grant would be better for the offense as a whole, honestly. 

     

    I agree. Keep in mind that Inman joined the team just over a month ago and it will take some time for him to get fully acclimated into the offense and be on the same page as Luck. I'm willing to bet we see more of him going forward as time goes on.

  14. 22 hours ago, chad72 said:

     

     

    Titans give up the fewest points to the TE position due to their LB strengths, across the league. They also give up the 7th most points to WRs, it would be a mistake to not utilize our WRs. Butler is susceptible to a double move. We don't have to force it but we can hit on a few chunk plays to TY. I'd say run more plays for Inman on the outside for the element of the unknown, stay patient, protect Luck and be ready to play 60 minutes.

     

    Our D being able to pressure Mariota and get sacks is what this game will come down to because we won't be able to score 30 on them. We have to grind out a 27-20 type game against them, IMO.

     

    Yes. This is one of the weeks where TY can't be used as a decoy and should be a focal point of the gameplan IMO. I'm anxious to see what Reich and co draw up this week.

     

    The offense also needs to be able to run the ball. I can't emphasize how important this is. The Colts pass protection has been better because of the threat of the running game and teams are no longer able to just tee off on the passing game like before. The Colts didn't run the ball that well in the game against Jacksonville and it showed in the second half (especially on the 3rd and 1 late in the game).

     

    On defense, the Colts have to get some pressure this week. While the Titans running game isn't as much of a threat as Jacksonville's, Mariota is better than Bortles when it comes to downfield passing and the Colts CB's just aren't good enough to hold up in coverage and give up the big play far too often.

     

    This will be a tough test and any hope for a playoff spot lives and dies with this game.

  15. 1 hour ago, Lawrence Owen said:

    You forgot to add : They've looked pedestrian so far this year because we have their OC calling our shots now.

     

    True and a kind of forgotten conclusion so far this season. Colts offense has looked very creative and works with the pieces that it has available meanwhile Philly's offense has been very stagnant at times to start the year (granted with a number of injuries).

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