ponyboy
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Posts posted by ponyboy
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Interesting point. But if you just need a power back to wear down a defense while gaining less then average yardage, wouldn't somebody like Delone Carter provide that?
Similar NFL production when you look at their two careers (at least when you look at averages):
Carter 26 games 3.8 ypc, TD% 4% Pass Protection Efficiency 93%
Richardson 20 games 3.5 ypc, TD% 4%, Pass Protection Efficiency 88%
Don't get me wrong, I'm happy that Trent is with the Colts. He's young, relatively cheap ($$), seems durable, doesn't have a history of fumbling, shows elusiveness in the open field (pass plays), and I'll still somewhat caught up in the draft hype (all those scouts can't be wrong, right?) . But at some point NLF productivity has to trump hype and potential. Having watched all of Trent's games on NFL Rewind, I'm don't necessarily feel we got him cheap, but I'm glad we have him.
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Just to be accurate.. Trent's career average is 3.47 ypc.
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At least for this season, I would expect Bradshaw to continue to be the #1 back in the Colts RB rotation unless he's slowed by injury. Bradshaw has produced his entire career when healthy -- 7 year career 4.6 ypc ave, and a top pass protector. No bad years at all (although a lot of fumbles in 2010). Richardson and Brown are great for getting Bradshaw some rest and are nice insurance when/if Bradshaw gets injured.. but I don't see either of them approaching Bradshaw's productivity when he's healthy.
Next year with Ballard back it's hard to imagine the Colts keeping Ballard, Bradshaw, and Richardson. I kind of expect Bradshaw will be the odd man out in that case given both Ballard and Richardson are young and still on bargain rookie contracts, but for this year a healthy Bradshaw would seem to be a clear #1, IMO. Maybe 15-20 touches a game for Bradshaw?
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Howell, Freeman, Butler, Bradshaw, Castanzo, Thornton, McGlynn (yes, McGlynn), Link, Cherilus, Havili
Nice game!!
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To the OP.. you've obviously put a lot of thought into this. You mention that you've analyzed Trent's performance in Cleveland and I'm curious how you came to your conclusions. Don't take this the wrong way, I'm genuinely interested how you researched this.
One thing I'm curious about is Trent's pass protection. I've read several claims that this is one of his strengths, including yours. Looking at PFF "Pass Blocking Efficiency" stats for 2012, Trent is listed as #61/63 for pass protection (behind all Colt RBs -- Donald Brown is #53). So far in 2013, Trent is #48/53 (Donald Brown is #39). I went to Game Rewind and watched both Cleveland condensed games from this year -- discovered they have a pretty good TE in Jordan Cameron but otherwise looked really flat offensively. Trent wasn't in the game on most 3rd down passing situations.
What have you seen that makes you feel pass protection is one of his strengths?
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I'll bet if you got a Las Vegas odds maker to make a bet on Luck ever winning a Super Bowl, it would be around 1,000 to 1. I could be wrong about that but I doubt it. Getting to the Super Bowl isn't easy. Winning it is even more difficult. There are lots of great QBs in NFL history that never won one.
I'd take that bet in a heartbeat.
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Yes, I'm concerned. Browns have some good offensive linemen and Weeden still took 16 hits last week (6 sacks). Dolphins front 7 looks really tough, but the offense was really weak last week (watched the condensed game and forgot that Mike Wallace was on the team -- he was only targeted a few times with 1 catch, though Hartline look good).
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Grigsons top pick last year was luck.
I think it could be argued that the Luck pick was Irsay's.
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I still haven't figured out if acknowledging anything negative that happened is allowed or is it considered overreacting?
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I think Kerwynn Williams will be cut, not signed by another team, and then signed to the Colts PS. This to me is an easy cut and keeps one of the predicted harder cuts on the roster.
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Ziemba has played well. I think he'll survive this cut.
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Is that Will Wolford with Lamey? I thought he was retiring?
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Burn, baby burn... disco inferno
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If I had, JaMarcus Russell, Jason Campbell, Bruce Gradkowski, Carson Palmer, Terrelle Pryor, Charlie Frye, and Kyle Boller as my QBs, I would be a bad receiver too.
I keep hearing Bey is held back by QB play. In 2012, he had a QB with stats similar to Luck. His production was very Avery like (which isn't bad just not great -- Avery had his moments last season).
2012
Luck 339/627 4,374 23/18
Palmer 345/565 4,018 22/14
Avery 60/125 781 3 TD
Bey 41/80 606 5 TD
I sincerely hope to eat some crow on this at the end of the season, but I'm expecting a very Avery like season from DHB.
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That penalty would at least allow for substitutions. lol
But no I don't really ever remember Peyton being so quick with the no huddle that teams could still make some subsitutions unless he
I always felt Peyton would be at the line ready to snap so they couldn't attempt a substitution and he did this all the time. If they did try to substitute, it was a quick snap and a free play. So maybe you didn't see a lot of penalties (but still quite a few) -- I feel there were plenty of times defenses wanted to substitute but couldn't.
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I grew up in Indiana and was a big Bears fan (late 60s- mid 80s). I started going to a few Colts games in the Jeff George years and my interest in the Colts started to climb. The Colts passed the Bears as my favorite team around 1992/93 -- and it's not even close anymore. I do still follow the Bears and they my NFC team. I don't have a 3rd (well kind of pulling for the Broncos now as a distant 3rd).
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.... 4TH ROUND DRAFT PICK!!
The story does not say what the conditions are.... only that Shipley has to pass a physical. The story notes that the Ravens OL coach was the Steelers OL coach when they drafted Shipley out of college.
Do you like the trade NOW?!?
Is Grigson off your S*** List?!?
Do you know how good a deal this is for the Colts?
Do you think Ozzie Newsome got the best of Grigson as I read one poster say?
NOTE to Moderators: I deliberately put this out as a separate thread. I thought it would get completely lost inside the monster thread about the trade. Thought it deserved it's own thread.
A #4 would be nice (and yes I understand the value of getting the 4th rounder back). But if it's a #7, I'd still rather have the best option available protecting Luck this year -- let them battle it out in training camp and may the best man win. If Satele or Holmes had beat him out in training camp, then great. A little insurance against losing one of them to injury or Holmes not being ready to step in would be nice to have.
I read a lot of the trade thread and nobody was claiming he was an anchor or Pro Bowler, or that Grigson was on anybody's S-list.. just that he sure played well for us in spot duty and graded out well by PFF (who closely analyzes every play). Getting Luck more protection this year is huge and the more competition for spots the better (somebody unexpected may emerge).
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My bad lol it means the quote above is a good point. I'm lazy.
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I think you can start grading anytime you want and refine the grade as time goes on. Overtime the grade will trend up/down and become more credible as time passes. But what's wrong with saying "as it stands today, I grade <blah>", with the knowledge that the earlier the grade the more likely it is to be inaccurate.
So how much time needs to pass before a grade can be considered credible... I'd guess 2-3 years. But it can still be worthwhile giving an opinion anytime before that and adjusting the grade as more information becomes available. Watching the grades trend over time would be something that I would find interesting.
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He would be considered a whopper -- but I don't see it happening. We might not need one this season, but Reggie's eventual replacement is not on the roster yet so I wouldn't necessarily be against it (depending on what he was suspended for).
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Sharrif Floyd, the player I believe was the best in the draft, falling and being picked one pick before us.
And another emotional moment would've occurred when we passed on him had he dropped to #24. Reports of high fives in the war room when Floyd was selected at #23 (letting Werner drop) would indicate they were taking him even if Floyd had been there.
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Well itd be nice to have a another wr.
We did not need a C at all. Dont think he can overtake Satele or AQ.
I've felt that Satele wouldn't be with the team past this year -- his salary in that 3rd year is too high for his production. I'm wondering now if he'll make it this year.
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Not a huge difference between players in the 24-60 range.. Unless somebody slides and there's a value at #24, I'd like to see a trade for high-mid #2,#3 and get both.
Richardson Predictions (Seattle)
in Colts Football
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17 rushes 54 yards, 1 rec. 6 yards