OhioColt
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On 2/1/2024 at 1:33 PM, throwing BBZ said:
We needed a Blue Chip Edge the year we drafted Kwity at 19. I can't imagine many grading him as that. Yet Ballard didn't trade back.
At 15, a true Blue Chip player should fall to us.
Someone that Ballard/Dodds can't screw up on. Make the pick.
What we really needed was a LT and should have drafted LT Christian Darrisaw.
As for Dayo his tape screamed lazy to me and wasn't on my draft board. No hustle to chase down players, repeatedly.
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On 2/2/2024 at 3:15 PM, Solid84 said:
I don't know his stats, but he had a big problem dropping the balls at the senior bowl. I think that's a concern, even if it's a small sample size.
Kalen King (PSU) clocked as the third fastest player at 20.57 MPS behind DB Max Melton (Rutgers) second fastest, and first fastest clocked was WR Devontez Walker (UNC). A few Colts fans have been saying we want/need a fast WR hence the reason why the Colts are talking up with Walker.
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Maybe it's just me but the whole metrics your using can be deceiving and somewhat confusing. I think PFF simplified the process and recently released their 2024 NFL Free Agency Rankings for IDL. See if I can drop some of the images for DJ Reader, Grover Stewart, DaQuan Jones, Maurice Hurst. Edge player Carl Lawson (Jets) was another player who suffered a torn Achillies in 2021. Lawson still had a pass-rush grade 71.1, True pass set pass-rush grade of 72.3, a 13.6% pass-rush win rate, and 50.9 run-defense grade. Clearly wouldn't hopefully be used on rushing down but rotate in on obvious passing down.
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On 2/2/2024 at 5:02 PM, Shive said:
I'm really on the fence about the first pick. On one hand, I love JPJ and wanted to take him in the 2nd for the same reasons you gave. After the Senior Bowl week, there's no way he lasts until our pick in the 2nd. I think it would really have to depend on who was left on the board at our pick. There's some really good skill position players that will most likely be available, but I also think there's some that will fall to the 2nd. With this draft being very top-heavy, I wouldn't be opposed to trading back up into the bottom of the 1st or the top of the 2nd if the right guys are there.
If JPJ is the pick, he immediately challenges Fries at RG and potentially improves the play at that position. If Kelly has another injury-filled season (especially another concussion), he may have to hang it up, or the team could choose to move on. I can't help but remember the god-awful C play we had before Kelly got here and I definitely don't want to re-live that. It's not a flashy move, but it's a smart one from a long-term perspective.
Really same feelings here as well with JPJ. Had a R2 on him target for sure but his draft stock does seem to be rising. Already seeing his name mentioned at P16+ and the Colts are right there as well at P15. Not flashy but does fill a need, some debate from immediate to short-term future. An improvement over Fries, I would like to think so and given JPJ's short history at Center might work for us as well and still get reps and learn from one of the league's best in Kelly. Cap space-wise wonder if the Colts could pull of a mid-season trade for an upcoming DB or WR if JPJ looks legitimately like the future.
On 2/3/2024 at 12:19 PM, MikeCurtis said:Thanks for sharing
1) Pass rush improvement - BIG Need
2) WR help - Speedy separation guy
3) Play making FS
4) CB help
5) LB help
Lets compare your approach to my list (AGAIN..... I am a nobody, that has an opinion, that is wrong much
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1) Pass rush improvement - BIG Need
The Jets writers are very unhappy with the performance of Carl Lawson - I dont think he is the answer here
2) WR help - Speedy separation guy
Roman had a great practices this week, but showed little during year. He would have to wow me at combine
3) Play making FS
This is such a tremendous hole, I would not wait until round 4 to address.
4) CB help
Not addressed
5) LB help
Not addressed
Tried to listen to Mike here as well from previous posts and have similar concerns that I tried to address.
1) Key additions on DL with proven pass-rushing specialist done
2) Speedy WR - Colts already have 3 starting WR's. Debate all we want and really don't see R1 as the need for a WR. TBD but again Colts do lack depth which is a major issue. Adding Roman Wilson and bringing back Parris Campbell fills the major void.
3) Starting FS that can make plays - Love to have the cap space room to add Xavier McKinney but not at the ~10.5M APY to even a Jessie Bates type contract closer to ~16.5M to 17.5M range.
Jaylin Simpson in R4 honestly isn't a stretch and do feel would be a steal this late in the draft. See also Talanoa Hufanga (49ers) was a R5 pick was tied for 5th best safety November 2, 2023, article Fox Sports. Micah Hyde was a R5 pick that's had a productive career. Value can be found in various rounds and Simpson might have that appeal as well. Kind of funny tho think back to another FS draft prospect Cole Bishop also from Utah and the Utah connections tie-in made as another late draft board candidate.
4) CB help. I agree and R1 we really could/should address this issue and didn't have any FA addition to address. If not this year, next year, if you were reading between the lines, might have the potential to add Bear's Jaylon Johnson, expecting him to get franchised. Cam Heart (ND) could wind up surprising teams and history of the draft also supports players drafted on Day 3 can produce and become starters.
5) LB Help - sadly not address and did look at final round. R5 ILB Maema Njongmeta (Wisconsin) on my draft board and reminds me of Cincinnati's Ivan Pace Jr. who went UDFA and have a very successful rookie season. Hard call to make with the uncertainty of our TE room. Obviously let MAC go to free up cap space and not sure about late legal ramifications from the other player.
FA options had were:
LB Josey Jewell (Broncos) - decent run-defense and coverage grades but low 3.6% forced incompletion rate with a 6.0% run-stop rate. Figured 2-year 15.3M (7.7M APY)
LB Bobby Wagner (Seahawks) - even at 34 years old he is still a tackling machine and can shed blockers. Lost some athletic ability in space but will still be an upgrade over Franklin. 1-year 4m fully guaranteed. 7.6m
ILB Anthony Walker Jr. (Browns) – Battled injuries with the Browns and been giving multiple 1-year deal. Unlike after the 2020 the Colts should have available cap space to resign Walker to a multi-year prove it deal where he flourished when fully healthy. Franklin is set to be a FA next season.
IF we have cap space wouldn't mind these options as well. Once you actually break down on your own the financials and adding new players to the mix things do get more complicated than simply reading something and hand-picking players on a wish list system. If you want a more realistic approach challenge your own selves, see what different scenarios you come up with while trying to address as many issues as you can and address as many others can't in free agency. Alway nice to be a dreamer but got to give it up for the Colts real organization and draft selection committee for the real hard work making the Club future contenders.
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On 2/4/2024 at 4:46 PM, DaColts85 said:
I will say every year contract amounts are drastically off in these mock offseasons. Xavier McKinney will get more than 7mil a year. Teams can bid pushing that price to 10+ for sure.
At first, I looked at FS Antoine Winfield Jr but compared to Xavier McKinney, Winfield was used move in the box and his stats guess say where inflated with the number of blitzes. Loved to get McKinney as he would compare more to what the Colts use as a true deep threat safety. Some even questioned if MLB Okereke is one of the main reasons why McKinney flourished this season. McKinney seems more suited as a single high safety where he dominated in 2021 and shown he struggles moving up in the box. McKinney is better suited for zone coverage and the Giants ran Cover 3 in 2022 but ranked last in their usage of zone. McKinney appears best suited to play deep for a zone-based team.
Now I figured McKinney initial value was around 10.5M APY but wouldn't be shocked to get a deal closer to what Jessies Bates got last season around ~16.85M to 17.5M APY. After resigning of our own Colt's players that didn't leave us much to sign other key positions, namely I have a similar topic regarding upgrading our pass-rush adding on the defensive line and at the price point McKinney was out of our range in order to sign draftees.
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To start the 2024, season the Colts are projected to have $58.923M in cap space.
On of the first things needs to be done is extended/restructure Bucker's contract from 2024 to 2027 (projecting 10M SB, 30M guarantees, 91m (22.75 APY)). Richardson will go ahead, and project gets his rookie contract extended in 2027 with little hit to our cap space and ideal contract year to extended Bucker as well. After the extension/restructured contract the cap space increases ~6-10M for 2024 season depending on how much negotiations go and a heavy backend future.
Cap causality to save the Colts an additional 5.92M by releasing TE Mo Alie-Cox. Plus, an additional 1M saved by releasing Sam Ehlinger.
Resign:
WR Michael Pittman Jr. 4-year 90M – To make FA additions this season and to make the Colts immediate playoff contenders can see the Colts opt to save further salary cap implications and Franchise tag Pittman. Not really sure if it would save cap space for 2024 or add more to it but hoping it saves.
SCB Kenny Moore 3-year 24M - The wait and see approach that Ballard stood his ground on has now passed. Clearly a leader on the team coming off one of his best career seasons playing a versatile position that demands a lot. Well liked in the locker room and been the leader on and off the field. 2-year 10m APY with a 6M SB.
RB Zack Moss 2-year 9.26m (4.63M APY) – 2M SB
SS Julian Blackmon 3 year 22.5m with 9M SB with 5M guaranteed. Injury history and like most of the fence with resigning Blackmon. Drop-off in secondary during Blackmon’s absence was felt. Not sure Cross has shown enough. If you have read this far the resigning of both Moss and Blackmon are for a reason in free agency.
Edge Tyquan Lewis – Between toe and knee injuries Lewis finally flashed the potential we had high hopes for when we drafted him. 2-year 9.1M (4.55M APY) with 2M SB.
Grover Stewart – 3-year 32M, 6M SB, 6M guarantees. I would have D.J. Reader but projected Reader to make around 17M APY but proved too costly against the cap.
FA Signings:
The Utah pipeline gets stronger for the Colts. Utah reunion of sorts with Blackmon and Zack Moss also same class. Would have loved adding LCB Jaylon Johnson (Bears) also played together at Utah. Instead, the Colts add QB Tyler Huntley (Ravens) 1-year 3.75m – Minshew type deal from 2023 seen as a better fit. 1.75M SB, 1.75M guarantees. Exploiting Utah pipelines bringing in Huntley who pairs well with Richardson much like in Baltimore with Jackson's running capabilities.
Edge Carl Lawson (NY Jets) – PFF projecting 1-year 3.5m prove-it deal. Lawson is a beast when healthy as a pass-rushing specialist.
RDT DaQuan Jones (Bills) – 32 years old and played well for the Bills and would be a nice insurance backup role behind Stewart. Taven Bryan got 3.5m last season and been nowhere the player Jones has. The Bills missed DaQuan when he got hurt in London and told him as much per GM Brandon Beane. Beane said “He’s earned the right to test his market and see what it looks like. But we would be a fool not to entertain bringing him back.” With the salary cap restraints, the Bills have, any team offering Jones a multi-year deal with a good amount of guaranteed money would price Buffalo out of the market to resign Jones. We saw how bad our IDL was when Stewart was out of the lineup and Jones if he continues his performance was better than Stewart as a pass-rusher while barely trailing Stewart in run-defense. 2-year 10.25m with 6M SB and 4M guaranteed.
LDT Maurice Hurst (Browns) – Flashed potential but injury history cause for concern. Latest was a pectoral injury, 2021 calf injury, missed entire 2022 season with a torn biceps suffered in training camp. Solid backup to Buckner as Adebawore struggled in his rookie season. Hurst has been impressive in both run-pass grades plus earned high marks in pass-rush win rate 14.1%. 3-year 16.8 deal with 6M SB and 3M guaranteed.
P Tommy Townsend (Chiefs) – replaces Rigoberto Sanchez for similar money. Townsend is expected to break the bank for Punters and command top dollar. An All-Pro in 2022 and ranks in the top 10 in the NFL. In 2021 finished second in net yards per punt and 1st in 2022.
SWR Parris Campbell (NY Giants) 1-year 3.5M. The Colts are dangerously thin at the receiver position. Campbell a former Colt provides depth behind Downs but adds dimension of inside/out receiver. Just seen Oct 27, 2023, article by Bleacher Report's Kristopher Knox saying the Colts would be wise to bring back Campbell.
NFL Draft:
Round 1 - OC Jackson Powers-Johnson (Oregon) – Much like Ryan Kelly when he was drafted in R1P18 the Colts that the best OC in years early on Day 1. Powers-Johnson has proven himself at both guard and center at Senior Bowl practices this week. Project a camp battle with Fries as immediate starter at RG and then move to Center full-time in Kelly’s absence. Seattle who picks immediately behind us is also interested in upgrading their OL along with the Dolphins currently at P21.
Round 2 - WR-Z Roman Wilson (Michigan) – We mentioned how thin at the receiver position the Colts are. This week at the Senior Bowl almost every DB has not been able to cover Wilson. Alec Pierce’s time with the Colts may very well hinder on this year or become the WR3 on the team. If we draft Wilson, would Pierce end up getting moved much like former Colt WR Phillip Dorsett?
Round 3
OL Dominick Puni (Kansas) – The Colts lack depth at both LT and LG spots and Puni has been proving himself at the Senior Bowl practices he could be a future starter with coaching. Raimann already 25 years’ old when we drafted him and will be 27 to start off the 2024 season. Biggest issue I've worried about has always been the person replacing Quenton Nelson.
Round 4
FS Jaylin Simpson (Auburn) - 2023 college football midseason all-America First Team. Mid-year Simpson’s 91.3 coverage grade lead all safeties in college football. His 4 INTs is tied for the most among FBS safeties. Simpson at the time only surrendered just six catches for 32 yards. He went from a rotational CB the past couple of seasons to one of the top playmaking FS at mid-season.
Round 5
CB Cam Heart (ND) – 6’2” 204 pounds with 32 5/8” arms. Until this week wasn't even on my draft board but has checked all the boxes so far during Senior Bowl check-in and practice sessions.
Option B SCB Sebastian Castro (Iowa) – hybrid LB/SAF role. 2023 college football midseason all-America Second Team-Flex D. After 9 weeks Castro leads all CBs with a 90.2 PFF grade allowing only a 35.8 passer rating when targeted. PFF defense grade 91.6, run defense grade 87.0, and a coverage grade of 91.6. Last year it was Illinois' DBs and this year it was Iowa's trio of backs that I am stoked about.
Round 6
TE Brevyn Spann-Ford (Minnesota) – ran the 2nd fastest of any TE on the National roster 16.32 MPH. In 2022 he was the best run-blocking TE in the class. His 82.5 run-blocking grade that year led all Power Five tight ends, while his 14 big-time blocks were four more than any other tight end in the country. Spann-Ford is also one of the best receivers at the position, recording 2.22 yards per route run in 2022 — the fifth-best mark among FBS tight ends. However, poor QB and offensive play this season didn’t help increase his draft stock but a strong showing this week at the Senior Bowl just might.
Round 7
QB Austin Reed (Western Kentucky) – Sam Ehlinger will be a FA in 2024 but cutting him will gain the Colts an additional million dollars.
Option B - QB Carter Bradley (S. Alabama) – Bradley been turning heads in practice at the Senior Bowl. At times he has looked better than both Nix and Penix. The name Bradley should sound familiar as his father is Gus, our Colts DC.
Recap:
On defense the defense improves their pass-rush while adding capable run-stoppers in DaQuan and Maurice. Much like the Raven's had planned for a similar quarterback play style the Colts added Huntley whom I also saw other external writers mentioned he would be an ideal fit with the Colts and using our Utah connections seems very possible. I still think our wide receiver group is thin and hopefully we can find an UDFA on the cheap to add. Our tight-end group still in-flux with some unknowns if you will be it injuries or legal ramifications. Still lacking at linebacker and cornerback positions. Still hoping Daniel Scott can prove to be a decent backup at FS.
Time to clock out enjoy your weekend all.
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1 minute ago, OhioColt said:
Free Agents am looking to upgrade and add quality depth are:
On Defense:
- FS Xavier McKinney (NY Giants) - top-10 marks in 2023 and a solid tackler better forcing incompletions
- DT DJ Reader (Cincinatti) solid both pass/rush game
- DT DaQuan Jones (Bills) again solid pass/rush game
- DT Maruice Hurst (Browns) dominate both passing and rushing game
- Edge Carl Lawson (Jets) - go back to when he was dominate in Cincinatti with Reader but Lawson wins at pass-rushing
- LCB Jaylon Johnson (Bears) - projected to be franchised and probably a reach but could see the Colts bolster their Utah connections. (Blackmon, Zack Moss, and our next backup QB Tyler Huntley)
On Offense:
- SWR Parris Campbell (NY Giants) - former Colt provide depth behind Downs, proven history of low drop rate.
- WR-X Olamide Zaccheaus (Eagles) - another low-cost signing that had a better career with Steichen. Small size reminds me of Hilton and again low drop history.
- WR-X Brandon Powell (Vikings) - similar build to Zaccheaus (Hilton) with low drop history.
- RG Greg Van Roten (Raiders) - Will be 34 years old still playing very well and bounces around year to year would be a great addition to camp compete with Fries.
Forgot to add Tight End Adam Trautman
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Free Agents am looking to upgrade and add quality depth are:
On Defense:
- FS Xavier McKinney (NY Giants) - top-10 marks in 2023 and a solid tackler better forcing incompletions
- DT DJ Reader (Cincinatti) solid both pass/rush game
- DT DaQuan Jones (Bills) again solid pass/rush game
- DT Maruice Hurst (Browns) dominate both passing and rushing game
- Edge Carl Lawson (Jets) - go back to when he was dominate in Cincinatti with Reader but Lawson wins at pass-rushing
- LCB Jaylon Johnson (Bears) - projected to be franchised and probably a reach but could see the Colts bolster their Utah connections. (Blackmon, Zack Moss, and our next backup QB Tyler Huntley)
On Offense:
- SWR Parris Campbell (NY Giants) - former Colt provide depth behind Downs, proven history of low drop rate.
- WR-X Olamide Zaccheaus (Eagles) - another low-cost signing that had a better career with Steichen. Small size reminds me of Hilton and again low drop history.
- WR-X Brandon Powell (Vikings) - similar build to Zaccheaus (Hilton) with low drop history.
- RG Greg Van Roten (Raiders) - Will be 34 years old still playing very well and bounces around year to year would be a great addition to camp compete with Fries.
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@Solid84 very well done and am liking what you done.
I also was exploring a trade back with Detroit for P29 and getting R2P61 and R3P92 while sending our R6P193 to even out the trade per Drafttek's trade value chart. I done this yesterday before just now reading the recap from the Senior Bowl Standouts. With the so-called hatred from some fans around Alec Pierce, Roman Wilson has been on my list as a potential camp battle with Pierce. Sounded like almost every DB was not able to cover Wilson and his stock is expected to jump.
R1P29 via DET FS Calen Bullock (UCS) - Facing off vs Stroud, Lawrence, and Levis going to need an improved defense
R2P46 WR-X Xavier Legette (SC) - Tag or resign Pittman Jr.? More weapons for AR?
R2P61 via DET WR-Z Roman Wilson (Michigan)
R3P82 SCB-SS Javon Bullard (Georgia) - Blackmon gone and Cross the future? Bullard-Cross camp battle with upside Bullard-Moore in the Slot long-future?
R3P92 via DET Edge Marshawn Kneeland (Western Michigan) non-stop motor been wreaking havoc versus strong competition at the Senior Bowl
R4P118 Edge Mohamed Kamara (Colorado St) - Impressive college stat line and proving to be a handful at practices for the Shrine Bowl
R5P150 ILB Maema Njongmeta - Reminds me Ivan Pace Jr who went UDFA that was a stud at Cincinnati. Njongmeta looks legit like the late round LBs the Colts take that find success in the NFL.
R7P232 CB MJ Devonshire (Pittsburgh) - PR and was second-team All-ACC honors as a PR in 2022 and CB in 2023. Hands for INTs. Does well in both man and zone coverages in blitz-heavy defensive scheme. Great ball skills to be a starter.
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On 1/26/2024 at 9:45 AM, MikeCurtis said:
I also wanted to bring in a FS last year, but I didnt really expect CB to be aggressive
First off, we were paying QBs last year at a big clip
And in the offseason LAST year...... this team was looking at another disaster of a year
One FA wouldnt have made a difference
THIS year is different (I hope)
We CLEARLY need a DE, FS, LB, CB, and WR in the offseason
We can get a WR and CB that can start day1 in the draft (And be better than what we have today)
I also believe that we might get a FS / LB that can play this year..... in the draft.... But I wouldn't count on it
Latu might be an option in round 1, but he will need to add some weight and it will take 2-3 years to get ready
.... IF he works out
I could make a case for a DE and a FS in FA and draft what you can
Huff at 15M and a FS at 4-5M
The time IS ticking for a short period of time where we have QB and LT on cheap rookie deals
If we are going to be aggressive...... now is the time
But.... who knows what CB will do
Winfield may very well get franchise tagged. The other dynamic to his stat line was usage as a blitzer which something the Colts defense I didn't think really utilized their FS much. Bottom line Winfield probably isn't what the Colts need as a best-fit solution. Final overall cost to sing Winfield also affect our own bottom line to sign players that would truly help.
I still think the Colts should focus on the defensive line. Aging depth still like DaQuan Jones to replace Taven Bryan, Maurice Hurst to backup Buckner, and sad to say let Stewart go and replace with DJ Reader but add his former Bengals teammate Edge Carl Lawson (Jets). All these players are better pass-rushers and run-defenders except Jones whom Stewart barely edged out.
Looking at the Shrine Bowl practice standouts, Edge Mohamed Kamara (Colorado St) continues to make a name for himself that I have been high on for a while. Maema Njongmeta (Wisconsin) ILB was another on my draft board continues to display his physical strength/awaerness while dropping back in coverage. The only question with Njongmeta was why he lost favor with new HC Fickle at Wisconsin.
Moss done well at RB but AJ Dillon is a bigger-better man imo that will help in the run game. Wouldn't mind adding him in FA.
Depending on FA and what we do with our first draft pick, FS Calen Bulluck (USC) would be a possibility, LCB/FS Cooper DeJean (Iowa) as the first pick would pass on him either. FS Jaylin Simpson (Auburn) is another very high possibility. If we go military and have to defer for a few years as an UDFA check out Trey Taylor (Air Force). With the emergence of Nick Cross at the end of the season it wouldn't shock me to see Blackmon gone in FA. Javon Bullard (Georgia) was seen as a true SCB-SS that would be strong in our zone coverage.
Obviously, plenty of options and different routes we can take and risk of whom might still be on the draft board. Look what both the Lions and Texans done this year with solid draft classes. The Colts have their work cut out for them for sure to remain competitive against the Jaguars and Texans. Not worried YET about the Titans.
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On 1/26/2024 at 8:54 PM, NewColtsFan said:
Ohio…..You may have forgotten. The reason Hines wasn’t used in those rolls this year is because he suffered a bad off-season knee injury while jet skiing and didn’t play all season.
I do remember.
Hines name was recently mentioned as a potential cap cut for the Bills. I still wouldn't mind having him back and not just for return duties as he was dangerous as a WR option for us in the past. Pending his recovery but the Colts am guessing are not going to resign Mckenzie and not sure want to leave Downs as the primary return man. Much rather have a second-third string than a starter in the return game.
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Questions already in Las Vegas whether O’Connell is competent to play QB at the most important position in team sports with expected growing pains of sorts and underperforming after flashing star potential another week. Carr is gone and Garoppolo was benched last season. The quarterback I think the Raiders would be targeting with Pierce as the new HC is LSU’s Jayden Daniels where the two crossed paths at Arizona State. The Raiders have the 13th pick in the 2024 NFL Draft but would have to add draft capital to move up. Wouldn't shock me to see the Bears trade back out of the first pick again and add more draft capital.
New Raiders GM Tom Telesco orchestrated the trade that sent Khalil Mack from the Raiders to the Bears. Mack could very well be a Chargers cap cut candidate but a reunion of sorts finishing out his career as a Raider could be possible. Colts could trade for Maxx Crosby and the Raiders can fill his role with Mack while learning on last year’s first round defensive end pick Tyree Wilson. Both Paye and Odeyingbo are upcoming free agents would we need to resign both next season with Crosby? After running some Over the Cap salary calculations am not sure that the Colts resign Pittman and look to Round 2 to add his replacement with this assumption of trading away our first-round pick for Crosby.
The wait and see approach that Ballard stood his ground on has now passed. Kenny Moore is clearly a leader on the team coming off one of his best career seasons playing a versatile position that demands a lot. Well liked in the locker room and been the leader on and off the field. Re-eval Moore has been grossly underpaid as one of the best NCB in the game. The Colts need to resign him and back pay him his true value after all these years.
Last year I really wanted the Colts to bring in FS Jessie Bates III from Cincinnati and while Cross and Blackmon played above-average at SS we clearly had issues at the FS spot. We missed on bring home an Indiana kid in Bates so hopefully we don't make the same mistake twice and miss out on FS Antoine Winfield, Jr (TB Bucs). It's been said defenses win games and adding Crosby on the Edge and FS Winfield who is another All-Pro should make this team dangerous. Winfield's coverage grade with no pressure was a 73.2, coverage grade on throws in =< 3s was 71.3, forced incompletion rate was 9.0%, and run-defense grade was an excellent 93.4.
If you had a chance to read my earlier post about PFF releasing IDL grades and rankings than add DJ Reader (Bengals) to replace Grover Stewart, DaQuan Jones (Bills) replaces Tyvan Bryan, and Maurice Hurst (Browns) adds depth behind Buckner since Adebawore had the typical rookie struggles last season.
Cap space-wise I was still around ~17m available in cap space but outside of resigning Kenny Moore the rest hit FA market. I will have to spend more time calculating salaries again tonight. The biggest stick shock for me was the projected price on Reader. His recovery process may impact his market value and injuries may be an issue. Projections 3-year 45-48m contract (15.25 APY) and 25-30m guaranteed. Well more than I figured Grover Stewart would command around the 10-12.5m range more likely.
Did see two other possible cap cut candidates that if we have cap space wouldn't mind adding as well. MLB Demario Davis (Saints), even at 35 years' old he still an upgrade at MLB. Bring back Nyheim Hines (Bills) as the Colts will need a return specialist and we all should remember Hines was very effective as a pass-catching RB. Evaluate Hines coming off a torn knee ligament. Remember lobbying saying we needed to pay Hines and we did under Reich only to trade him to the Bills who never did use Hines in a running back/receiver role.
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PFF released their 2024 NFL FA rankings for IDLs.
Got to love what Grover Stewart has done for the Colts and living here in Ohio I wouldn't mind seeing our Colts add DJ Reader (Bengals). According to PFF Reader is graded as the 10th highest run defender among interior defensive lineman and 11th as a pass-rusher. Reader did tear his right quad tendon late in Week 15 and am hoping his recovery process impacts his market value but Reader was 3.1 points better in run-defense, 15.4 points improved in pass-rush grade over Grover and had a better run-stop rate by 0.6%.
We did learn how valuable Stewart absence was to the team and DaQuan Jones (Bills) would be a nice insurance policy behind Reader and may initially start. Jones much like Stewart not the better run-defender (3.2 points) but does excel as a pass-rusher.
LDT Maurice Hurst (Browns) also is a high target player am hoping the Colts are interested in to add quality depth behind Buckner. Hurst has flashed potential but again his injury history is a cause for concern with most recent pectoral injury. In 2021 was a calf injury and missed the entire 2022 season with a torn bicep suffered in training camp. I will take 75-76 grades in both run and pass as a backup. Helps had a 14.1% pass-rush win rate.
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12 hours ago, IndyScribe said:
But why would you ever entertain converting AR to tight end. He's a QB and will remain a QB for the rest of his career. If he fails, it's going to be as a QB. I made the Luck comparison because no one would ever think about converting Luck to another person, even though he was built like a LB. Josh Allen has a similar build to Richardson. Are you converting him to TE? You'd be run out of Buffalo for suggesting it. I don't understand the Russell comparison. Just because they're the same weight means he's going to be like Russell? Jamarcus Russell notoriously didn't practice or work hard. Richardson is the exact opposite. If you're going to compare him to someone, use a more accurate comparison, like Josh Allen. I swear, half of you would've converted Josh Allen to LB after his rookie season because he wasn't that good.
Please do the world a favor and stop making up crap. Sure am not different than most people here that do not like when someone keeps adding words and ranting on about stuff that was clearly taken out of context. Not once but now twice. For the love of a God please keep it to yourself.
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On 1/21/2024 at 12:20 PM, IndyScribe said:
I find it funny how much Colts fans want AR to fail. Did you know Luck was asked to convert to LB? Yet I never heard anyone say anything about moving him to a different position...
If Luck was still our QB, people would get crucified for suggesting we take a first round QB to be a backup due to his injuries. But people are more than happy to do it for AR, who had a fluke injury, and has looked promising in his limited play. Sometimes I wonder if you guys are really Colts fans. Instead of supporting him, people already want to replace him.
Interesting take as I personally never once said I wish AR to fail. Only forwarding on what others have documented about AR's body build more similar to a tight end, which is true compared to Kylen Granson or even Will Mallory. Although most TEs typically have the similar height that AR does but weight more in the 260-pound range. It does seem true that AR is probably the heaviest of all starting NFL QBs with I think Dak closest to AR. Do wonder if AR would benefit from shredding some of the weight and get closer to Lamar's playing weight and how much more dynamic of a player he could be. Now the last QB that I do remember weighing around AR as a comparison would been JaMarcus Russell. Leave it at that...
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2 minutes ago, BProland85 said:
Too many FA edge players this year and next to determine. Crosby at least would lock down for 3 years.
Seen WR Tyler Locket’s name mentioned as a possible candidate along with Bears CB Jaylon Jones.
The draft is deep with WR talent and could see us draft two.
Still think we need a FS and CB opposite of Brents.
iLB we might try to bring back Anthony Walker Jr. or be happy to add Bobby Wagner who still playing well for his age.
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3 minutes ago, KB said:
So since we're talking about DEs, what's everyone think of Jared Verse? He lacks bend is the biggest knock. Has a quick first step, can apply pressure, and is solid on the edge. Might be the upgrade at Paye's spot that's needed.
At this moment, I want him if we pick at 15 and all the weapons are gone.
Personally I think Trice is going to be better. Maxx Crosby is he truly wants traded would be my edge crush.
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Regarding any team with QB issues your HC won’t last long without a QB who can get your team to the playoffs.
I may have missed who our backup QB would be behind AR. I still wouldn’t give up on the Justin Fields debate as a contingency plan or someone who compliments AR game style.
Dream world scenario guess would be like my previous post trade P15 for Edge Maxx Crosby and R2 to Bears for Fields 2024 cheaper contract if take it over than resigning Minshew…
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2 minutes ago, Superman said:
DEs have containment responsibilities in every 4-3 defense. Characterizing someone as an edge setter is kind of a misnomer. And while Paye isn't a game wrecker, it's not like he's a non factor in the pass rush. He's just as productive as Ebukam.
Seems like an easy fix trading away our P15 to Raiders for Maxx Crosby like we done with Buckner. Crosby also had a high 9 RAS but also would be insurance since Paye and Dayo’s contracts are up next season.
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2 hours ago, John Hammonds said:
That's an intriguing scenario. Do we trade the 15th for Crosby just like we traded the 13th for Buckner? Especially if the Prime Time players that we have targeted all get picked by that time.
If the Raiders are wanting to move up for their QB of the future then the deal I would think has to be made in advance of the NFL draft to allow thrm to move up but still with a post June trade designation.
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Guess I will be in the minority and vote Trade Alert
Colts send 15th pick in the NFL draft to Las Vegas Raiders in exchange for Edge Maxx Crosby. Seen a few here posting how we need a proven edge player and Crosby excels both as a pass-rusher and as a run stuffer. Maxx is already a potential future HOF with three consecutive Pro Bowl selections. The Colts pulled off a similar trade with DeFoerst Buckner and the 49ers and now the Raiders are in need of a QB. Combining picks 13 and the Colts 15th pick would help them add needed draft capital in order to make the move for a QB.
Crosby worked under Coach Bradley in 2021 on record saying "He’s a ball of energy and that’s what you want in a coach. He’s a big positive influence in this building and I’m looking forward to playing under him.” The Raiders would then be smart and designate Crosby with a Post 6/1 trade freeing up $19m in cap space which they could use.
Crosby already on record saying a trade request could be on the table if Antonio Pierce was not hired as their HC. He was already upset with owner Mark Davis choosing Chase McDaniels over Bisaccia previously. Continue to monitor the situation in Vegas but even if Pierce was named HC I would still like to see the Colts add Maxx Crosby especially with both Paye and Odeyingbo upcoming free agents next off-season.
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15 hours ago, Solid84 said:
Saw Gabe Davis is a free agent this offseason. Say we land Bowers at 15, could Davis be a target in FA?
Love to have a generational player like Bowers at TE.
Gabe Davis is a capable FA wouldn't complain about.
Another potential cap space cut seen was Edge Emmanuel Ogbah (Dolphins) who saw his playing time diminish and is on the decline at age 30. Ogbah has still shown flashes and could probably get a one-year prove it deal or more.
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On 1/14/2024 at 2:35 PM, Solid84 said:
The Colts are already the 4th youngest team in the league. At some point you actually have to retain your veterans instead of booting them every chance you get.
And yet every season the Colts let majority of the players go in FA and continue to build through the draft. Linebackers especially we have a talent for them in the draft and yet let Walker and Okereke both walk. Those sting every year since. The league is a business and have to spend your cap space wisely. We can all play armchair GMs all we want it's not our money to spend but we all can dream of creating a dream team and build a dynasty. Some players I get we all want but they don't fit our system. Glad we don't typically overpay for players that eventually never live to their previous potential more times than not. These are fun exercises for sure and obvious someone takes notice. In the end were just fans and are along for the ride but always nice to dream and root on the home team wherever we may live.
Do I think it's wise to sign Madubuke over Stewart no and clearly the cheaper option and best for the team. Tyler Davis (Clemson) is very similar to Stewart as a run-stopper just pray stays healthy and can perform better than most than often fail as IDL.
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On 12/19/2023 at 11:37 AM, Archer said:
I’m at the same place with LB being at the top of my list this year. Ballard likes the long ones, though, so I have Edgerrin Cooper at my #1 target. Seems like we can trade down and still pick him up, which is also something Ballard loves. I get it, trades require a trade partner, so many people don’t like to assume they can be pulled off. I like some of your other priorities - DT, IOL, and one more piece at WR…
ILB linebackers rarely it seems do well in the NFL. Obviously, some exceptions to every rule. Sadly the Colts let one of the better ones walk last season with Okereke. Guess Pat knew what he was talking about Okereke being a future HOF. At the beginning of the college season. I also had very high hopes for Trotter. If we were drafting later in Round 1 might be tempted but rather have a generational TE with Bowers or another high potential BPA.
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2023 Reese’s Senior Bowl Tracker (Measurements, 1-on-1’s,etc…)
in NFL Draft, Scouting, and Free Agent Talk
Posted
Hooker fell on draft day and the Colts brass took the best FS they thought was available. Too bad we didn't go after Budda Baker instead and still like what Baker's been able to do and remain with the Cardinals.