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Yoshinator

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Posts posted by Yoshinator

  1. It’s tough to figure out what Grigson will do, since he sticks to his draft board and takes what he considers to be the best available player at a position of need.  So you’ve got to guess who he’ll fall in love with.  However, looking at how I think the first round will unfold, it seems like our choice will come down to a CB or an OT.  Two fallacies IMO, are that we will be going for a NT or SS Landon Collins.  As for the NT, I really think we have a lot of talent at NT that the coaches like (Chapman, Kerr, Hughes, and even Jones in a pinch).  Many here on the forum have noted (possibly correctly) that the NT play needs to be better, but the coaching staff believes in developing players and then letting them play.  I guarantee that Grigson and Pagano aren’t going to just dump these NTs before giving them sufficient chance to show they can play.  Those who want a NT upgrade in this draft will probably be very disappointed.  As for Collins, no need to use a first rounder on an in-the-box safety who can’t cover – you can get those elsewhere.  I don’t think there’s a single Safety in this class worth our 1st rounder.

     

    1) Kevin Johnson, CB, Wake Forest.  I feel like someone (Philly?) might fall in love with Johnson in the early twenties.  He sticks like glue and is a much better man-to-man cover CB than you can usually get at #29.  The only reason he may last to us is concerns about his slight frame (though he’s never been hurt and he’s a really good tackler).  Jalen Collins of LSU might be a better system fit, but less dynamic in coverage.  Jalen’s physical style of play, physical tools, and coverage ability are bound to appeal to the decision makers.  The position makes a lot of sense to me, as we rely on great man coverage, and we’ll be lucky to get nine games out of Toler any given year.  Not to mention that the top back-up at border corner (Butler is strictly a slot guy) is Jalil Brown or Sheldon Price.  It’s tough to make this call given that Grigson hasn’t drafted a CB in three drafts despite obvious need, but he’s gotta see the need..  

     

    2) Donovan Smith, OT, Penn St.  I’ve come nearly full circle.  Initially (like December), OT was my first round pick.  But then I realized it would cost nearly $2 million more against the cap this year to cut Cherilus than to keep him.  At that point, OT became a late-round need to enhance depth in preparation for cutting Cherilus next year.  However, now we doubt Cherilus’ ability to return from injury this year (and we’ve done so well in FA with other positions), so getting an heir apparent at RT seems possible early in this draft.  As for Smith, most of his flaws as a player may be the result of playing a little too heavy.  He played in the 340s, was 338 at the Sr. Bowl, and was down to 328 at his PD.  Ran a 5.00 flat or so at his PD.  This is earlier than many expect him to go, but I feel like he could be gone before our 2nd rounder.  Scouts should love this guy.

     

    3) Derron Smith, S, Fresno St.  Might prefer Damarious Randall of Arizona St., but I think he’ll be gone.  Smith just had a pretty good PD for a guy three months removed from hernia surgery.  18 bench reps, 4.55ish on the forty and 4.22 short shuttle.  His size (5’10, 200) may keep him from being drafted by some teams, but the Colts have been known to play safeties of that size.  He’s more of the ball-hawk, coverage type.  In another poor safety class, this is one of the few guys I could see Grigson pulling the trigger on in the first half of the draft.

     

    4) Mike Hull, ILB, Penn St.  I’m not a fan of D’Qwell, who was too much of a liability in coverage (and assaulting pizza drivers isn’t winning me over either).  Irving should be better.  Overall, we’re okay here, as Freeman should return to form and Muamba may make strides.  Still, I’d like to enhance depth for the post D’Qwell years (very soon), and because Freeman will be a FA next year.  Hull would go higher if he didn’t have an injury past.  He’s an all-round ILB with pretty good physical skills.  His forty was a little disappointing, but he has good instincts in coverage, which should keep him from being D’Qwell 2.0.

     

    5) Tyeler Davison, DL, Fresno St.  I think that Grigson and Pagano are happy with the DL, as many have written lately.  As I said, I never saw a need for a NT, but I was worried about generating a little more pass-rush.  None of the guys available to us in this draft seem that athletically different from Kelcey Quarles, who the team reportedly likes a lot.  So, I gave up on the 295 lb. pass-rusher idea.  But this guy is the size and shape of Kendall Langford, with the quickness of a smaller guy.  He has a lot of development to do, but I think this is what Grigson and Pagano want the DEs to look like.

     

    6) John Crockett, RB, North Dakota St.  This is where it’s going to get tough.  We have nine picks, and we probably don’t have nine clear roster spots for them.  Some picks won’t make the active roster this year.  Anyway, Crockett’s been one of my favorites since the East-West Shrine game, where he reportedly was great at receiving and in blitz pick-up.  A little slow forty (4.62), but a good 10-yard split (which speaks well for his ability to get to and through the hole).  Quick feet.  He’s a complete back, like a healthy Ballard, whose running is probably the weakest part of his resume.  It’ll probably be a good competition between him and Tipton for the #3 back.

     

    6) Connor Halliday, QB, Washington St.  A bean-pole who weighs less than 200 lbs at 6’3.  However, he’s got a great arm and is very accurate on the short- to medium-range stuff.  Not bad on the long stuff, but makes too many bad decisions on throwing into coverage (too confident).  He’s from a run-and-shoot type offense and has a lot to learn about pro style offenses.  I like him as a lively camp arm.  He has some of the athletic traits of Luck and could possibly some day run the Colts’ offense.  No illusions: he would strictly be the guy on the PS that runs the scout team and can come to the active roster if the unthinkable happens (and develop into Luck’s future back-up).

     

    7) DeAndrew White, WR, Alabama.  Probably another PS guy.  A great athlete who never put it all together in Alabama’s WR-unfriendly system.  Ran a 4.40 forty at his pro day.  Had some injury concerns.  I would say that Ryan Lankford is my favorite to win the #5 WR role (if we keep five), but getting more physical talent into camp won’t hurt.  He could surprise…

     

    7) Detrick Bonner, S, Virginia Tech.  We interviewed him.  A developmental guy that could make the roster.  Good physical skills, and more of a coverage guy.  If he proves valuable on ST, he could displace Colt Anderson on the roster…who knows?

    Honestly, if this was our draft, I'd probably overdose on a bunch of pills. I know you put a lot of time and effort into this and I appreciate it, but the picks are dreadful based on both need and BPA most likely. CB is something we can get in the mid-rounds, there are better OT's like Jake Fisher and TY Sambirilo that will be available in the 2nd most likely. Derron Smith I love, Hull is pretty decnt as well. You have to take an RB in the 5th like Dominique Brown that has a chance to be a difference maker. Best chance to get a starter out of a 5th rounder. A qb is a wasted pick at this point IMO, might as well get a WR like Austin Hill at that point. Take a DL guy in the 6th and get your QB in the 7th along with Bonner. 

     

    Again, not a fan, and I think this draft would set us back a year or two. This is a Dan Synder Redskins type draft IMO.

  2. It is an agreed topic that we are short a starting safety at this point.  Who is a safety we could trade for and whom do we have available to trade?  We have nine draft picks of which one could be put in with a deal.  The challenge is finding the safety that we want on a team that has a position need and we have a player or players we are willing to give up to fill our need.  Looking at safety stats for last year Aaron Williams of Buffalo would be a consideration. He is only 24 (their oldest at the position) but what do they need that we have.  I would have no problem assisting the Bills in their quest to dethrone the Pats.  Any other ideas or thoughts?

    Yes, we draft a safety like Cody Prewitt, Anthony Harris or Jaquiski Tartt in the 2nd or 3rd round. We don't need to trade for someone's leftovers. The best way to build a team is through the NFL draft. There are a lot of safeties we could get in the draft that will fit our system and scheme that are 22 years old and excellent players. Rather get one of those.

  3. I'm sure this has been talked about before but it seems the Eagles are keen on getting rid of him

     

    I think he would be a great one year starter to help Mewhort develop behind him and let him

     

    and Herremans be the starting RG and LG let the young guys rotate in says he could be had

     

    for a 5th or even wait til he's released and sign him was PFF's #2 G last season

    Mewhort is our 2nd best Lineman. He absolutely does not need time to develop. Ridiculous idea.

  4. Wow people do love to sell our young players short. I can't wait in another season or 2 for Moncrief and Newsome to really blow people out of the water.

     

    Newsome was one of the best past rushers of his draft class. He had Anthony Barr type production despite being picked a lot later. He might take a step back because of the log jam we'll have at OLB but I think he has a future here.

    Excellent post here. All the casual fans and some of the hardcore fans who base a player based on the round he was drafted aren't giving Newsome the credit he deserves. This is a guy who was a situational pass rusher last year who got the 2nd most sacks of any rookie in a loaded draft class and was our leading sacker. If he was a full time player from week 1, he in all likelyhood would of got double digit sacks his rookie season. This guy has star written all over him and is everything that werner was supposed to be. I'm proud of Grigson for getting him and I'm proud to have Newsome on the Colts!

  5. Ahh I was not aware you were doing this on a site.

    Yeah it's no big deal, there are 3 or 4 people that didn't know though, so I thought I would say it so people would quit saying how unrealistic my draft is and also about the trade lol. Most sites have projections that are questionable and different from the experts, and the drafts can get out of hand. This would be a dream scenario, and although it wouldn't happen most likely, I think something close to this could happen if the BPA picks were also needs that fell and we scooped them up.

  6. I don't think 4 of the top 5 picks will be there at those spots, Tartt being the only one. Also like other people mentioned theres no need for the bears to trade us their 2nd and 3rd. The value doesn't add up. And they would probably try trading ahead of another team that would take a qb. Why trade with us when a team that will take a qb is back further? They would want to be right ahead of that team.

    You gotta remember, I'm doing this on Firstpick, a site with computer simulated software. Ryan Pace didn't call me and ask to trade up 10 spots for a 2nd and 3rd, it was my pick and a computer representing the Bears offered me the trade to move up and take Brett Hundley and I took it. Also trades don't have to be extremely even. If a team wants a solid player, that will pay a little. It has happened before and it will happen again. You are overthinking this. I didn't just write down picks at certain rounds and make up a trade, I did a simulated draft with 31 other teams represented by computers and one offered me a trade. This is based off of 32 teams picking players one at a time, not me just writing players down.

  7. I love that Pagano is saying this. I was upset when we got rid of Andrew Jackson, but he was just depth and nothing more. Irving is 26 and has the potential to be our best ILB. He can stop the run and he can tackle. This might be my favorite signing, not because he's the best player, but because he can make a huge difference and is young. Hopefully that ACL tear doesn't ruin him next year.

  8. I was most shocked with Shelton but sure enough he was almost the last defensive tackle projected first round on the board when I picked Goldman, Phillips, Brown and Williams were all taken before him. I know unlikely but how sweet would that be.

    Shelton at 29 would be a dream. I would give up my next poker tournament cash in Vegas for that. Actually if I were Grigson and he started to fall this far, I would trade up for him. Probably this years and next year's first for him when he reached 15. Shelton is better than Leonard Williams IMO. He is a great fatty that would be insane for our D-Line. We can only pray lol.

  9. I know a lot of these players aren't projected no where near where I got them but that's the way they fell thus its a dream draft but I had to post even though too good to be true.

    29: R1P29

    DT DANNY SHELTON

    WASHINGTON

    61: R2P29

    ILB PAUL DAWSON

    TCU

    93: R3P29

    RB TEVIN COLEMAN

    INDIANA

    128: R4P29

    CB IFO EKPRE-OLOMU

    OREGON

    165: R5P29

    S ADRIAN AMOS

    PENN STATE

    204: R6P29

    S CHRIS HACKETT

    TCU

    206: R6P31

    DE SHAQUILLE RIDDICK

    WVU

    244: R7P27

    WR DAVARIS DANIELS

    NOTRE DAME

    255: R7P38

    WR LEVI NORWOOD

    BAYLOR

    Actually, all of these picks besides Shelton could happen. Although Shelton will never fall to 29, we could get the rest at their respective spots here, even Coleman if he is the odd RB to fall in this draft.

  10. 1. Erick kendricks ilb ucla

    2. Carl davis DT/NT mizzou

    3. Henry Anderson DE Stanford 

    4 David cobb rb Minnesota 

    5. Rob haavestein ol  Wisconsin  

    6 ismaeil campbell safety northwestern 

    7 Ladarius gunther cb miami 

    7 jorddan richards ss stanford 

    This is very similar to mine, I like it. If havenstein fell to the 5th I'd be very excited. Davis will be interesting to see whether he goes in the first or 2nd. 

  11. i think Anderson would be there in the fourth i think he gone by the second to third round i don,t  see kendricks fall that far either 

    Yeah, that whole end of the 1st/beginning of the 2nd is going to go wild. Kendricks best case scenario is probably where I have him, but it's going to depend on which ILB's go first and which ones are leftover. Trades and predicting where someone will go is unpredictable. Henry Anderson has fallen a bit though and I think he could go in the 4th. Again, it's kinda BPA, but that's also the correct strategy.

  12. Round 2 Pick 7 (CHI): Eric Kendricks, ILB/OLB, UCLA (A-)
    Round 2 Pick 29: Jordan Phillips, DT, Oklahoma (A)
    Round 3 Pick 7 (CHI): Jaquiski Tartt, SS/FS, Samford (B+)
    Round 3 Pick 29: Duke Johnson, RB, Miami (Fla.) (A)
    Round 4 Pick 29: Henry Anderson, DE, Stanford (B+)
    Round 5 Pick 29: Kevin White, CB, TCU (A)
    Round 6 Pick 29: Austin Hill, WR, Arizona (A-)
    Round 6 Pick 31: Corey Robinson, OT, South Carolina (B)
    Round 7 Pick 27: Jordan Richards, SS, Stanford (B+)

     

    This is a pretty simple mock where we trade down 10 spots with the bears to pick up a 3rd round pick. I went defensive mostly in this draft as it is a glaring weakness on our team. I also went BPA a lot so a couple picks that seem unrealistic could happen in the real draft. I don't want to hear about Jordan Phillips as some 1st rounder will probably fall to us in the 2nd whether it is him or not. It just happened to be him here. 

     

    I thought this draft would raise our draft to the next level and it shows that trading down may be the best option for this year's draft.

  13. It's like we gained nothing.

    You are completely missing the point. We didn't get a high pick or anything near it, but that's not why this is good. Grigson should use this to either 1.) Get his top UDFA or 2.) Take the best player available period that fell at any position during the draft (though this player may of fell due to character concerns or injury concerns, if he's a 4th or 5th round talent for example: take a shot). This pick will be used mainly to ensure that Grigson gets his top guy in the UDFA process without having to battle other teams for him. Just because you have a list doesn't mean you'll get all of them. It's a race to sign as many as possible, so lock up your top talent before the process begins. That's where this nifty pick comes in handy.  :thmup:

  14. This is decent news that we got a 7th. I remember that we were supposed to get the bottom two 7ths in the projections, but if any team moved up it knocked us out. So any pick is good.

     

    IMO, the best way to use this pick is to either 1.) Take the best player you wanted as a UDFA so you don't have to battle with other teams to sign him, or 2.) Sign a high risk/high reward guy that fell a round or two and hopefully get a bargain with a very low pick.

  15. I have a few, I mostly have cards(I don't know if this counts or not).

     

    Peyton Manning (8x10)

    Andrew Luck (8X10 and rookie certified autographed card)

    T.Y. Hilton(Certified Rookie Autographed Cards)

    Laron Landry(8x10)

    Robert Mathis(1 Certified Autographed Card)

    Donte Moncrief (a couple certified rookie autographed cards)

    Dwayne Allen (Certified Rookie Autographed Cards)

    Coby Fleener (Certified Rookie Autographed Cards)

    Reggie Wayne (8x10 and a couple certified autographed cards)

    Austin Collie (2 Certified Autographed Cards)

    Vick Ballard(Certified Rookie Autographed Card)

    Anthony Castonzo(Certified Autographed card)

    Vonate Davis(Certified Autohgraded Card)

    They count, I don't count them personally as part of my stuff because of the lack of value, but they still count.

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