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ColtStrong2013

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Posts posted by ColtStrong2013

  1. Just now, holeymoley99 said:

    Changing subject partly is fine.....Minshew was awful as I also said last night, in fact his misplaced easy throw cost us the first down late in the game making a routine catch into a very difficult one.. HOWEVER to say a missed fg as opposed to punt deep doesnt make a difference in a close game is an argument you would be all alone in making and for good reason, no logic to this reasoning.


    its not changing subject. The subject is kicking a fieldgoal versus punting. You claim it didn’t make sense because risk/reward. I claim your numbers don’t factor in the poor scoring performance our offense was showing. We couldn’t convert 3rd downs. We couldn’t score in the redzone. Our qb was throwing over heads and out bounds, completely not seeing wide open receivers. We had made two field goals already and felt the points were needed versus cj stroud. Shane Steichen didn’t agree with your analysis on the risk/reward not being worth the attempt. Points were at a premium for our offense. If not for a solid defensive effort, we would have been smoked last night and not because we missed a 57 yard fg instead of punting. 

    • Like 1
  2. Here’s a thought. Maybe get aggressive for once and make a big trade up. 
     

    At some point, Ballard’s going to shock us and be aggressive in the offseason… or he’s going to set his predecessor up with a young roster, well managed cap, and no lost draft inventory. 
     

    2024 is the year. I can feel it. Aggressive in free agency. Aggressive moving up the board for the talent this team needs. 

    • Like 1
  3. 1 minute ago, holeymoley99 said:

    Not hindsight if said it at the time which most here did but as all know I'm a big stats guy (among biggest here) and risk went against the numbers and didnt pay off. 


    cool. What was Minshew’s stats- 3rd down conversions- red zone %? Just curious… you know the stats that actually make up the difference in the game and certainly did last night. Not the risk/reward of a fieldgoal try to take the lead. 

  4. 5 minutes ago, holeymoley99 said:

    They scored with good field position so it 100% burned him


    Nah. You are playing the what if game as if they would have punted. What if goes both ways. They could have still scored and it wouldn’t have mattered. Still had a chance to win and couldn’t because we couldn’t score. He was right at the time to try for the points and the lead. Points were low percentage to come by. That kick was damn near as high percentage of a look as we got last night. 

  5. 4 minutes ago, holeymoley99 said:

    When a kicker has an injury they often have to change their kicking motion, doesnt mean they still cant boot it just not as accurate as when healthy so instead of down the middle or close (As we seen in Gay's stint with the Rams where he was 12 of 15 from over 50 as opposed to this year 8 of 13). So again no denying the risk was heavier and it burned him. Those numbers are correct I'll provide link.

     

    https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/G/GayxMa00.htm


    it didn’t burn him. Still had chances. Players didn’t execute. 

  6. 3 minutes ago, holeymoley99 said:

    It affected his bad performance down the stretch, if you think not then you just think he became a below avg kicker. Not sure which you believe.


    I didn’t say it didn’t. But it didn’t affect his game last night. He was booting them. He missed by inches on a 57 yard try. It was a risk. Steichen trusted and needed the guys that could score to deliver. They didn’t do enough. 

  7. Just now, holeymoley99 said:

    Raiders game missed 50 yard fg then the flag with the questionable offside

    Steelers game 2 games before that missed 2 fgs

    Bengals game the previous missed fg and PAT


    you are using recency bias, when if you are truly using recency bias, you should be focused on the made 50 plus yarder within the same game… 

  8. 2 minutes ago, holeymoley99 said:

    END OF HALF, you said a mouthful there. Risk/Reward much lower allowing points in that situation and no need to punt. Common sense call on that one.


    35 seconds left. He misses, it’s the same situation. No difference in risk/reward. The reward is points when your qb can’t convert 3rd down or in the redzone. The risk is missing and still not being able to score as the game went on… Points were needed. Punts were not. The mouthful that you should have focused on was that our kicker proved he could make it, and had the leg, just missed by inches. 

  9. 2 minutes ago, holeymoley99 said:

    I think the main difference was Gay was hitting them back then and has been missing them of late (Even missed last week vs Raiders and we got a fortunate off sides to re kick in what did not appear to be off sides at all as has been mentioned many times). 


    he had just drilled a 52 at the end of the 1st half… 

     

    We wanted to take a lead, and everyone on here would have punted… give me a break. The hindsight bias is so strong on this forum. Hilarious 

    • Like 1
  10. 1 minute ago, bluephantom87 said:

     

    We had the opportunity to grab Stroud also but chose to stand pat and hope that he fell to us with rumors flying that his stock had dropped drastically due to his low scores on the Wonderlic test. Rumor also had it that the Texans preferred Young due to the Bama ties that hc Ryan liked or Richardson. All this was BEFORE the Panthers jumped in to take the top pick and by all reports it was a house divided with Frank liking Levis, the owner liking Young and the organization liking Stroud.

     

    Everyone had the Colts moving up just 3 spots to take the number one pick overall since they were in dire need for a qb and most thought Stroud would be that guy ESPECIALLY coming off that performance against the vaunted Georgia defense in the national semis in college. Of course teams have moved up to snag their guy like the Chiefs moving 17 spots from 27 to 10 to snag Mahomes or the Bills moving up 5 spots to take Allen. Don't forget the Ravens jumped back into the 1st rd to snag the soon to be TWO time league MVP in Lamar Jackson. 

     

    Nick Caserio has done an excellent job in just a couple seasons BEYOND just drafting Stroud. He's nailed the hc hire in Ryan as well. Moved up in the same draft a pick right behind Stroud and took their defensive conerstone piece in Will Anderson Jr. Picked rookie wr Tank Dell who's turned into that wr1 burner before his season ending injury to pair with their other stud wr in Nico Collins who was drafted a couple of seasons ago along with their shutdown corner in D Stingley. Caserio also snagged wr N Brown and te D Shultz from the Cowboys to give Stroud passing weapons galore!!

     

    Now the Texans have WON the division already as we sit STILL waiting on Ballard to start making some bold moves to push the Colts over the hump! We have a solid built team that's respectable but NOT good enough to make noise and that's pretty much been the summary of Ballard's long tenure season after season.


    all that and yet still won by a sliver with Chris Ballard’s pick at qb on IR and with Gardner minshew performing like he did last night… 

     

    The Texans won last night because of cj stroud outperforming Gardner minshew, period… Everything else you posted is just rambling. 

    • Like 1
  11. 5 minutes ago, Restinpeacesweetchloe said:

    You should be able to see it right there because  I embedded it.

    I mean what did he say that the guy responded with moral victories on? I can’t see the initial post and it won’t let me view when I click on it. 
     

    nevermind- found it

  12. 5 minutes ago, Fat Clemenza said:

    Personally, I appreciate Steichen’s going for it, “play to win” attitude. It doesn’t always work but I wish his predecessors would have had more of it. 

    Reich, Pagano, even Dungy- they all would have punted. 
     

    Also, I think SS clearly had very little confidence in Minshew’s ability to get us points. And he was right. 


    oh you know damn well that pagano with Andrew luck under center and 4th and 4 or under on the scoring side of the field would have punted… with viniateri as kicker too. Pat McAfee influenced that some, though, so I won’t be too hard on that. 

  13. Just now, Restinpeacesweetchloe said:

    How long do you guys think it will be before we know if they are going to let go of Bradley? Within a week?


    Probably longer. When Ballard gives his presser, it will be “we’re going to evaluate.” 
     

    and they will. Meaning- not just his performance, but what other options they have. 
     

    my favorite mantra- grass is always greener… 

  14. 2 hours ago, Goatface Killah said:

    This is so true, but its just so disappointing given the situation. We were right there. 

     

    But the gap between Minshew and Stroud was just too great and it showed at the end of the game.

     

    The throws Stroud made to Collins to start the game and on that scramble in the 4th quarter vs Minshews throw to Pittman that sailed 15 yards over his head out of bounds and his attempted swing pass on 4th down, is the entire story here. 

     

    The play call is just frustrating for me because I honestly think we couldve still won, in spite of it. 


    too reminiscent of Carson Wentz lobbing overthrows against the raiders 2021… “just make the layups.”-Chris Ballard 

     

    I would love to have been a fly on the wall next to Ballard and Irsay that last play. I wanna know what they looked like.

  15. To be competitive- check  

    To find out what this team was made of- check

    Accountability-check 


    dreams

    Winning season- check 

    Have a chance at division title- check 

     

    My expectations went out the window when #5 went down. They overachieved. They gave me new reasons to be excited again. Disappointing for sure. Heart wrenching. So close. 

  16. 9 minutes ago, holeymoley99 said:

    Fair catch is where it is caught not at 25 yard line on punts. Rigo could have pinned them down deep even 1 yard line.


    Stroud could have thrown a 99 yard td to Nico Collins the very next play too could he not? 
     

    rigo could have shanked it or punted it into the endzone. We can go on and on. Had a chance for points. Was inches from getting them. Would have been awfully nice. 

    • Like 1
  17. 1 minute ago, chad72 said:

    Steichen trusted Minshew to put a simple pass on the money in a second half where he had been doing better. I don't see anything wrong with that.


    All-in-all, I stand by my long time stance that your team is only going as far as your qb takes you. For the Texans, cj stroud won them a division. For the 2023 Colts, we weren’t winning that game without throwing again. Just very little chance. They were putting the ball in Minshew’s hands and we took what they gave. 

  18. 2 minutes ago, jvan1973 said:

    Trust your defense.  Missing the fg was basically guaranteed points for the Texans.   I'm not sure historically what the percentage of a 56 yard fg is.  I'm guessing it isn't high.   I'm not blaming the loss on that.   I think SS is gonna be a good coach.   


    couldn’t you say he was trusting his defense to keep them out of fieldgoal range on a short field by taking the chance for points? 

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