Future

Mad props to you, Coltsguy511.... an ambitious undertaking and a job very well done. But as someone who has followed drafts of all kinds for roughly 45 of my 55 years, I'd like to share some observations if I may...

A couple of speed bumps in your scenario...

-- First, the odds of the Colts finishing with the first overall pick I think are very, very small. I think a fair guess of the number of wins this year would be 5 or 6. I suppose a terrible defense and lots of injuries could impact that, but getting the first pick again I think is HIGHLY unlikely. More likely, we'd get a pick somewhere between 5-10 overall. (although I do LOVE the idea of trading back!)

-- Second, even if we pick first, it's not clear yet (way too early) that there is a franchise player in college football worthy of a team giving up so much (three 1's and two 2's in your scenario).... I don't think we'll know that until roughly January or February. Seriously. That's how long it took to realize that RG3 was worth it.

-- Third, more likely for the Colts in 2013, is a trade like what the Cowboys did. Dallas traded their 1st and 2nd (14th and 45th) to move up to #6 where Tampa was picking. So, the Bucs gained a 2nd rounder. Other than the HUGE St.louis/Wash trade involving three #1's a one #2, this was the only trade that garnered as much as a #2. Otherwise, all other 1st round trades involved 3rd and 4th round picks and/or lower. In short, it's very, very rare to get the monster block-buster trade. Possible, but rare.

-- Fourth, your 4th round projection, Margus Hunt, seems like a very desirable player based on nothing more than freakish tools and great workouts. So, if he can play, I doubt he lasts until the 4th round. Seems like someone who'd go much higher.

I don't mean to throw a bucket of cold water on all your hard work. ALL OF IT is possible. Just not very likely, that's all. I'm just as crazy as you are.... I've already mapped out how I'd like the Colts to draft in both 2013 & 2014. I'm sure I'll post them at some point throughout this year or next, I only share to say, you're not alone. Great things ahead. But Luck IS the right first step!

NewColtsFan

Mad props to you, Coltsguy511.... an ambitious undertaking and a job very well done. But as someone who has followed drafts of all kinds for roughly 45 of my 55 years, I'd like to share some observations if I may...

A couple of speed bumps in your scenario...

-- First, the odds of the Colts finishing with the first overall pick I think are very, very small. I think a fair guess of the number of wins this year would be 5 or 6. I suppose a terrible defense and lots of injuries could impact that, but getting the first pick again I think is HIGHLY unlikely. More likely, we'd get a pick somewhere between 5-10 overall. (although I do LOVE the idea of trading back!)

-- Second, even if we pick first, it's not clear yet (way too early) that there is a franchise player in college football worthy of a team giving up so much (three 1's and two 2's in your scenario).... I don't think we'll know that until roughly January or February. Seriously. That's how long it took to realize that RG3 was worth it.

-- Third, more likely for the Colts in 2013, is a trade like what the Cowboys did. Dallas traded their 1st and 2nd (14th and 45th) to move up to #6 where Tampa was picking. So, the Bucs gained a 2nd rounder. Other than the HUGE St.louis/Wash trade involving three #1's a one #2, this was the only trade that garnered as much as a #2. Otherwise, all other 1st round trades involved 3rd and 4th round picks and/or lower. In short, it's very, very rare to get the monster block-buster trade. Possible, but rare.

-- Fourth, your 4th round projection, Margus Hunt, seems like a very desirable player based on nothing more than freakish tools and great workouts. So, if he can play, I doubt he lasts until the 4th round. Seems like someone who'd go much higher.

I don't mean to throw a bucket of cold water on all your hard work. ALL OF IT is possible. Just not very likely, that's all. I'm just as crazy as you are.... I've already mapped out how I'd like the Colts to draft in both 2013 & 2014. I'm sure I'll post them at some point throughout this year or next, I only share to say, you're not alone. Great things ahead. But Luck IS the right first step!

NewColtsFan

For one, In the description I put "If', just to clear that up. For 2 I agree with you. For 3, the skins got those for the #2 overall pick and if we have the #1, we may be able to get a little more. If you remember Barkley was rated above RG3 on most draft boards until he pulled out. Unless he has a horrible year or major injury, a team should look for him. For 4 I agree, I have looked Hunt up more and more and I see that he should be drafted before the 4th. I will probably change that pick in my next mock. Thanks for the advice and please read my other blog posts! I can't wait for the next few years, it'll be great seeing Luck develop, our team grow, and our current and future draft picks.