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  1. I agree, there was a lot more than just Brady regressing last season. However, the film is still telling. He didn't have to overthrow open receivers, didn't have to throw the ball at the running back's feet in simple screens, etc. Brady has been regressing for a while now. These throws started to appear in early 2018, first sporadically, then more frequently. In 2019, it was way worse than before, and gotten worse as the season went by. Who knows how it continues in 2020? Maybe the gradual regression will continue, but he'll still be able to compete at a top10-15 ish level, maybe it will accel
  2. You're right, its a crazy idea. Tweet Bill O'Brien, he might like it.
  3. Desir is obviously a brigge gap solution, and Wilson is trending out. But Tell? Imo, he's everything but a guy to loose at this stage. He looked very-very promising in that limited role he had last year. He is still raw, and needs to learn a lot (he's a converted safety after all who never played CB before), but I see a ton of potential in him. Maybe not in 2020, but eventually. It's wouldn't surprise me if he exceeds Yasins ceiling, who by the way I also like.
  4. Good for Dodds. However, I'm not sure I'd take that job. The Browns whole GM & HC searching process is kinda weird. They interview their HC candidates, and doesn't name any of them but begin to interview GM candidates, to find a "good match". But who will answer who? A situation like that can quickly turn into a mess if limits of power are not crystal clean. So, he should be careful. His stock will probably only rise in the next few years, so this is probably not his only chance.
  5. Are you serously asking this question? Man, the success rate in the first round is around 45 to 65% (depending on which position, which period). In later rounds success rate drops dramatically. In rounds 5 to 7 it's no better than 10-12%. And success has nothing to do with finding "elite" players. A 4 year starter is already considered "success", even in the first round. The league average (e.g. realistic) expectation towards a draft is to find 3-4 players who will contribute. Possibly 1-2 starters - one of them worthy of a second contract -, and 2-3 rotational / backup players for
  6. The Ravens couldn't handle that a running back is throwing the ball. Seemed they are not used to it. Seriously, I didn't see it coming, but that's what happen if a team turns the ball over 3 times (2 inside your own 30 yards line), while can't convert any 4th and shorts. It doesn't matter that the Ravens converted 8 of 8 during the season, and barely gave away the ball. They did last night and they lost the game. The Titans are in the AFCCG, and there's nothing to explain about 2 road wins in the playoff. Anyway, I don't think it's been championship football so far, so
  7. As I said, the draft is not only round 1 or round 2. Do you know what draft capital means? It means, that each pick has a unique value comparable to the other picks (google for "trade value chart"). You take all picks of every teams, and sum their picks by each picks individual value. Do it for all teams, and you'll have a comparable number, representing the total "pool pf resources" each team have. In 2019, the Patriots had the 9th most draft capital, the Colts had the 10th most capital. So actually, the Patriots had a little more than the Colts. In 2017, the Colts had the 2nd mos
  8. No, not all GMs inherit a mess. Brett Veach inherited a championship caliber team when John Dorsey got fired. Whoever will take the Texans GM job soon, won't inherit a mess. He will have to solve some puzzles, but that Texans team is a playoff team even with an average HC. These two are not exceptions, there are other GM's, who inherited quite decent situations. Ballard didn't. The Colts were a mess. Btw, he inherited a very talented, INJURED QB, who's future was questionable. It was offered by Irsay. He was the one who declared the team as a mess. And he wa
  9. Again: You are not drafting only first and second rounders. You are drafting in all seven rounds. Belichick (so did Ballard) traded down with some of his picks to acquire more picks, including 2nd rounders. It doesn't matter if it's your original pick or your acquired pick(s), if you hit them, then you hit them, if you miss, then you miss. If we remove that single 1/6 pick, the remaining total draft capitals of the 2 teams were comparable. Actually, quite close. The difference is, that Ballard found an all pro in the 2nd round, Belichick didn't. Ballard found quality starters in the 4th, 5th r
  10. Comparing draft capital to draft capital, the difference is much less than it looks by the first 2 rounds. They traded down and up, giving up or gaining 2nd rounds for 1st or 3rd, etc. The only big difference was 2018, when the Colts had a 1/6. Other than that, the Patriots did pick later, but had more compensatory picks, and some picks for traded players. The total draft capital was/is quite close, except that extra 1/6. So remove Nelson from the comparison, and compare the rest. Ballard still wins by a mile. PFF believe Rock had a top50 rookie season. I believe he had h
  11. Well, in that case, PFF selected 4 of these JAGs into their top50 rookies of 2019. (Okereke, Willis, Rock and Tell). TOP 50 is the middle of the second round, so they're practically saying that Ballard has chosen 4 TOP 50 worthy players in 2019. He had 2 picks in the top 50. I don't necessary agree with their list, but it doesn't really matter. The mere number is impressive. https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-top-50-highest-graded-rookies-through-week-17 Lets compare Ballard's 3 drafts to Belichick's last 3 drafts: Ballard: 2017: Hooker, Mack, Wa
  12. Actually Smith wouldn't cost that much. The Redskins would have to eat all DM remaining of his signing bonuses. So the Colts would only need to take his base salary, which is $16M for 2020, then $19M for 2021 and $21M for 2022. Only the $16M for 2020 is guaranteed. At the same time, the Redsking would be able to clear $16M off of their salary cap, Remember when the Texans traded Osweiler to the Brown AND gave up a 2nd rounder along with him, so they can get rid of his cap hit? Maybe the Redskins would be willing to do something similar. Maybe not give up a pick, but I'm positive they would let
  13. The Niners are the least penalized team in the leaguge right now (the Dolphins are the second). Anyway, I didn't say playing disciplined football is related to talent. What I said is that it's the coaching staffs responsibility to force them to do that. The Colts are the 4th least penalized team, so there's nothing wrong with them regarding this area. Actually, they improved a lot, 'cause they were one of the most penalized last year. My point was, that those drops, mistakes, inability to separate, inability to catch contested balls, etc. sometimes indicators of lesser talent more
  14. There is nothing wrong with Reich. Philip Rivers had the best years of his carreer under him, Carlson Wentz had an MVP season, and he made Nick Foles SB MVP. This year he made Jaboby look almost like a franchise QB so far. I still believe he is good, we're fortunate to have him. I don't always like his play calling of course. But who does? There is NO coach in the NFL whos play calling is 100% perfect for me. I need to remind myself time to time, that Reich is not trying to play pretty football. He's trying to win games. If playing ugly, then playing ugly. So far he is doing exact
  15. I'm just happy the league put behind the kneeling thing. It brough the worst out of many people regardless of which side they took of the story. Just sad.
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