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Smurphy1

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Posts posted by Smurphy1

  1. With Pep Hamilton arriving as the Colts new offensive coordinator, there seems to be a renewed focus on our running game. To some, this is not welcomed as it would take the game out of Andrew Luck's hands, arguable our best player. Especially after a year with so much success slinging the ball.

     

    However, there are some statistics that show that if a team can average a total of 50 combined rush attempts and completions, it creates a formula for success. (i.e. 25 rushes and 25 completions per game, or 20 rushes and 30 completions per game, etc...).

     

    You can read about it in the article below.

    http://www.nationalfootballpost.com/The-magic-number-is-50.html

     

    After reading the article, what are your thoughts of having a more balanced attack, with a focus of having the "Magic 50?"

     

    I don't think you generally have success because your rushing + completions is greater than 50. I think it's the other way around. You have more then 50 because you are a successful team. Good teams usually run more plays and have a higher completion percentage, shocker.

  2. Vick Ballard

    Ahmad Bradshaw

    Delone Carter

    Where's the change of pace back in that? All those guys are power backs. If Pep is running this offense, I'm sure he's looking for Donald to be the change of pace cause Shaw may start on the PUP.

    And we haven't heard ANYTHING about D. Carter this entire off-season at any workouts. It's like he's not even a Colt

     

    Carter is coming back from injury and hasnt participated yet.

  3. I always remember the good games during the regular season. However some years even though I remember the good games I still can't help feel disappointed that we didn't win the SB maybe because of bad coaching or GM interference *cough* 2009 *cough*. But other than that the SB isn't all that matters. Good games are good games.

  4. As much as I agree with you about Polian I would point out that FA this year was very much a buyers market mostly due to the new CBA. It basically made it much easier to get good talent without overpaying compared to a few years ago.

  5. Well, I don't think it's a signing we needed, but...

     

    ...He's an upgrade over Donald Brown. He signed a deal with a 1.9M cap hit, which is absolutely fantastic. What a deal! That means they can cut Donald Brown, and take in his 1M dead cap hit (compared to his 2.7M cap hit). Essentially, Bradshaw's deal is a 2.9M cap hit (if they cut Brown), and Brown is 2.7M if he stays on the roster. I'd easily pay .2M more for Bradshaw. So, again, the deal was oustanding.

     

    It's going to be a great battle with Ballard for the top spot. They're going to have a great 1-2 punch. 

     

    If they cut Brown they can spread his dead cap hit over two years for 500k each instead of 1 mil all this year.

  6. That is what I just said and asked....Why?????

     

    We are going to cut a camp body that few people have ever heard of to stay at 90 but by the time we cut down to 53 one of the better known RBs on our roster is going to go. We are not going to go into the season with Ballard, Bradshaw, Brown, Carter, and Williams. Thats the thing people are really asking here.

  7. Unless another FA comes up that we need the money for, I'd be surprised if we cut Brown. We're looking pretty good cap-wise and I'm not sure how many other moves we'll make.

     

    I'm not so sure. Last I heard we had like 8.6 mil in cap space. Take 2 for Bradshaw, and about 4 ish for werner and that leaves us with 2.6 mil. Thats kind of for injury signings during the season. Most teams like to keep 6ish for that heading into the season.

  8. There was a lot of good with Polian, even though I have done my fair share of Polian bashing (I was at the Jets game, so I feel any Colts fan that paid good money for that game has the right for a good Polian rant every now and then)...

    I think that the whole "perfect" season debacle was sort of  the beginning of the end for the Polian era, he was always brash with media & in interviews but he even seemed to rachet that up a notch or two those last few years, and he logged in a couple of questionable drafts as well & it was down hill from there...

     

    I will say I always thought it was cool that Polian would walk the field during warm ups while players were stretching & personally shake every players hand before home games, I guess that was one of the more personable things he would always do...

     

    Yeah Polian was always like that. He acted like he was always right and anyone questioning him was stupid. In the early years he was right most of the time so his attitude didn't bother people that much. But towards the end he started slipping and instead of backing off he doubled down. I see that as him placing his pride above the success of the team and it's why I started to dislike him.

  9. Stupid question maybe, and I apologies if it is, but how can they * a player abilities before Training camp starts. I guess I'm referring to some of the UDFAs we signed, would they really cut them before getting a handle on how they play?

     

    Or can we expect them instead to shift some of the dead wood that they have a fair idea of where their ceiling lies. 

     

    OTAs

  10. The "formula" just happened to turn out:

     

    Broncos vs. Ravens?

     

    Broncos vs. Colts?

     

    The schedule formula is pretty simple. 6 games are against the other teams in your division, one home one away each. 4 Games are played against one of the other 3 divisions in your conference that rotates on a 3 year schedule, 2 home 2 away. 4 games are played against a division in the other conference that rotates on a 4 year schedule 2 home 2 away. The last 2 games are played against the teams in the 2 divisions in your conference that you did play this year and are the teams that finished the same rank in their division that you did in yours. This is why we played the pats all the time we both finished first every year in our divisions. The Broncos and Ravens are playing because of the same reason.

  11. Well, someone needs to change the formula or something. Carry the 1 and divide by 2 and you get Luck vs Dalton haha

     

    All that Cincy needs to do is win their division consistently then we would play every year. The reason we played the patriots so much is that we both finished 1st in our divisions every year.

  12. I think we go 13-3 at best, 11-5 at worst -- I have 2 expected losses, and 4 toss-ups (with a split vs. HOU)

     

    Week 1: Oakland, W

    Week 2:  Miami, W

    Week 3: at San Francisco, L

    Week 4:  at Jacksonville, W

    Week 5: Seattle, toss-up, I expect a win, but we'll see -- will be interesting to see how our D holds up vs. SanFran, SEA, and DEN before the bye week.  I expect to learn a lot about Walden during this game

    Week 6:  at San Diego, W

    Week 7:  Denver, L

    Week 8: BYE

    Week 9: at Houston, toss-up -- I originally was thinking split with HOU, but having them away after our bye week might prove beneficial to us

    Week 10: St. Louis, W

    Week 11: at Tennessee, W

    Week 12:  at Arizona, W

    Week 13: Tennessee,. W

    Week 14: at Cincinnati, toss-up -- I expect CIN to win AFC North, could be tough battle away at this time of year

    Week 15: Houston, toss-up -- I expect us to win this one, being at home late in the year -- but it is hard to beat the same team twice in a year, I think we'll know more about this after our week 9 matchup

    Week 16:  at Kansas City, W

    Week 17: Jacksonville  W

    I agree with most of this but I would put Denver as a toss up.

  13. I don't think this would be true at all. 

     

    People are genuinely perplexed by our apparent fascination with him. He didn't even make the final cut after being drafted by Dallas. Kansas City didn't want to keep him, nor did Miami, and Green Bay didn't seem interested in keeping him, either. 

     

    It's not the fact that we signed him that has drawn attention. Bad players get signed by every team. It's the deal we gave him. 

     

    Had we signed him for half of what we did (IE his expected worth) this deal wouldn't be such a head turner and head scratcher. 

     

    Sure, we're all hoping "maybe they see something in him that we don't" and if they do, great.

     

    If not, however, and he turns out to be a 16 million dollar gaffe, it's going to look worse than usual. 

     

    When you sign a good player to a big deal and he doesn't work out, hey, that happens. This guy's stats don't warrant his contract, and if he doesn't work out, we've grossly overpaid for a guy there was never any reason to sign for the amount we did in the first place.

     

    The other thing is that you don't pay a free agent based on how good he is. You pay him based on how much other teams are willing to pay to get him. He may be the best LB ever when he gets to our team but if no other team was looking to sign him then we overpaid by a lot.

  14. I would point out that we were not going to get Vasquez. He went to the broncos for only 6 mil/yr when he could have easily gotten more elsewhere. There is only one good explanation why someone would do that, they want to go to a team that they feel gives them a good chance for a super bowl. He wasn't going to come here unless we paid way, way, way too much.

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