EastStreet
-
Posts
26,341 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
258
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Gallery
Events
Blogs
Posts posted by EastStreet
-
-
1 hour ago, DougDew said:
You keep coming back to validating your speculation that F is likely a bad signing because F + E in 2019 will not have many more catches than E did in 2018.
E had those catches because he was the only target other than TY, which is not a sustainable approach in general, and definitely not so if E gets hurt or not 100%. If Funchess takes underneath catches, Ebron can still provide the deepish threat for TY, at the same time keeping the DBs closer to the LOS because there is now an underneath threat in addition to TY and Ebron being on the field, not to mention Doyle or his replacement. The DBs are more spread out, thereby helping all receivers.
If Funchess turns out to be better than Grant, it was a good signing, especially since Inman appears to not be on board yet and may walk over money.
No, that's not what I said. I illustrated clearly that Ebron's targets were consistent with TEs in Reich's previous Os. In fact, Ertz had the exact number of targets in 2017, that Ebron had in 2018. And only a few less in 2016. So, if Reich has done the same thing, target and production wise with two different TEs, on two teams, in three straight years, why is it not sustainable? That is the very definition of consistency.
-
6 minutes ago, Chloe6124 said:
My guess is all contracts have to be made public or at least available to all teams.
yup. highly doubt the agents hold the proverbial keys to contract communication. and i wouldn't call and agent, a "league source".
it is fact that a player must take a physical before receiving any signing bonus (let alone playing). given his injury history, it's probably not an automatic assumption he passes. he has a history of serious neck issues, and his latest neck issue was only 6 months ago, with a concussion on top. Add to that, the knee injury in Dec. and, teams can add any prerequisite to FA contracts they want. i highly doubt they would not add in specific language stating a failed physical voids the contract.
to add, the NFLPA updates a daily cap report too that's on their website. pretty sure they do multiple detailed reports each year which include all the nitty gritty that goes at minimum out to all teams and players. all PA's across different sports want transparency as it helps the individual player understand the market for their services.
i'm sure teams extend common courtesy and allow for players to announce though. in this case, i'd bet he's holding off till some type of box is checked. doubt the agent has shushed something based on low $$
-
45 minutes ago, NewColtsFan said:
I aooreciate you’re new... but the deal is done. We know that because Geathers is back on the roster. The website has announced it. They don’t do that if everything including physicals aren’t done.
And the only person who called an agent “whiny” is you, simply because you didn’t agree with my viewpoint.
You overplayed your hand.
i wasn't playing any hand. i just disagree like others do. no need to have a dramatic moment.
and i may be new to posting more on this board, but i've been following it for much longer, and have been following the colts since they arrived in Indy.... the chance the agent is holding the info because of ego is pretty silly and borderline tin hat.
-
1
-
-
54 minutes ago, Colts_Fan12 said:
I sure dont see it as our biggest need getting abused over the middle is way more important than getting a better DT we have good players there currently so Ballard isnt going to panic like some here are about our DTs
we are set up perfectly to take literally any position we want
I'd bet "what we want" ends up being a DT lol.
-
6 minutes ago, Chloe6124 said:
I don’t believe that. I think since it is a one year deal it will actually be pretty big. I could see him getting more money on this one year deal then he would of got per year on a two year deal.
i don't either.
IIRC, teams can put prerequisites on a deal, like physicals, etc. before it becomes "a deal".
Not saying that's the case here, but we all know it will come out eventually. Doubt it's delay is because of a whiny agent.
-
1
-
-
13 minutes ago, Colts_Fan12 said:
we also are not in dire need of a DT like most think either
we're not in dire need of any one position. but our biggest need is DT, and it's one of two positions (the other WR), that has the greatest potential to impact pure point differential.
-
3 minutes ago, Colts_Fan12 said:
I highly doubt the colts are in win now mode like most fans seem to think
depends how you define win now. i don't define it as "throw every dollar to win now". I define it as knowing your team, and picking your moments.
it's not only about the wait or gamble. taking an injured player in the first has big time $$ implications. Obviously you are paying for an unproductive body for at least a year, but you also lose the "draft" benefit. One of the advantages of drafting a guy in the first, is getting a stud on the cheap for a few years before you have to pay his worth. Waiting a year or two for him to get back to form negates that benefit big time. it's very possible he gets back to form in year 3, demands a bunch of money, and then goes somewhere else lol. Or he doesn't get back to form at all.
-
40 minutes ago, Colts_Fan12 said:
and if he was healthy he would be a top 10 pick? you cant be picky when a top 10 to 15 player drops to 26 CBS has tillery at like the 32 best player with simmions still ahead of him
Mocks have been very slow to drop Simmons, but it has definitely trended that way the last few weeks. It's not really about being picky. It really depends on the team's need and current situation. If they are trying to win now (which the Colts are sorta in win now mode), you don't go with Simmons. If you don't have a franchise QB, or building or rebuilding, and you have 1.5 to 2 years for recovery, then Simmons might be a great value/gamble.
-
13 minutes ago, Colts_Fan12 said:
I'll still take Simmons over them all
If he were healthy, I would too. Couple problems with a situation like this... 1) you miss out on any production year one. 2) year two is getting back in game shape, especially for O or D line, and 3) he may never get back to form.
I'd take Tillery over that all day long. Lawrence is something I'd have to dig in on. He is good against the run, and KC did run on us early and often.
-
11 minutes ago, Mr. Irrelevant said:
Did a quick Google on him, looks like you’re right. I’m warning a bit up on him now.
I wouldn't warm up on him too much until we find out about the long term outlook of his hand lol. If healthy, and we can get a favorable contract ($ and years), then I'd be more than happy.
-
1
-
-
3 minutes ago, Colts_Fan12 said:
if we take lawrence at 26 I'm gonna puke
He's good against the run, but average vs pass. I won't puke, but it will be a huge meh for me.
Wilkens if available, Tillery if not, and if both of them are gone....... then a decision between Lawrence and Simmons (who will use 2019 to recover and get healthy).
-
Saw the story on Deandre Baker stock falling based on interviews alone... must have been some really bad interviews. Good gracious...
Polite (DE) also in free fall per Rotoworld. Said he may fall from late 1st, to 3rd. Not sure what the deal is...
I wouldn't take either with our first two picks, but would jump at Baker with 59, and Polite at 89 if the red flags aren't that bad.
-
If Ray is finally healthy (big if), I'd happily take him or Lynch as depth. Both have high upsides if they can get past their issues.
-
29 minutes ago, Colts_Fan12 said:
I'd rather wait a year and get Simmons hes better then the 3 you mention Wilkins also most likely wont even be available at 26 so it's not relevant
NFL.com's latest draft has Wilkins going 31 (and us taking Lawrence at 26), CBS has Wilkens going 25, and us taking Lawrence again. Draftek has him going 24th. He's in mid 20s to low 30s in just about every decent mock. Could be very relevant.
I'd take Tillery and not bat an eye. He'll be highly productive and has position flexibility to play NT, DT, and even a heavy DE. He can line up all over the place and has the height and arm length to be a ball batter monster.
-
4 minutes ago, csmopar said:
A lot of the ones, such as Ray, that fail in a 3-4, usually do better in a 4-3. 3-4 LBs are very very hard to find good ones. They're a unique set. Simon was cut because, at least i believe, just like Hankins, was due to the player expressing no desire to change over.
Ray didn't fail. He had a fantastic year 2 with Denver in 2016, and was injured 2017/2018 and had multiple surgeries.
-
2 minutes ago, Chloe6124 said:
Ballard is very good at taking other teams misfits and turning them into stars. We could quickly be very loaded at DE. Which will free us up in the draft. Maybe even to possibly move back and get more picks if the the guy we want is not there.
wouldn't call him a misfit. Had a great second year in 2016. he simply was uber plagued by wrist injury in 2017/2018.
Just now, krunk said:They may see him as a LB. He was a LB in Denver. Justin Houston is built like a 4-3 DE anyway
he played olb like Houston (scheme wise). he's a couple inches shorter than Turay, but less than 10lbs lighter. He'll play DE IMO.
-
52 minutes ago, NewEra said:
I wonder if the Houston signing means we are no longer interested in Lynch? I was actually really interested in his size and potential. But it depends on what's between the ears as to if he'd reach it.
I doubt we sign Lynch now. I'd take him as depth IF the terms were generous. He'd be a very solid 2, and could challenge everyone not named Houston IF he's hungry and has his head on right.
Lot of IFs.
-
1
-
-
5 hours ago, BleedBlu8792 said:
Houston is definitely a stop-gap. Does he make the team better? Obviously. However, he's not a top tier pass rusher anymore, but I'm good with that because he fills a huge hole in an area we desperately needed help at. Turay simply is not ready to be a full time starter and he's our only pure pass rusher on the team from the outside. Muhammad is ok as a rotational piece but he clearly isn't the answer either. On top of that, where the Colts are picking, we won't get a day one starter there either. I'm sure Ballard could have made it work like last year, had we not landed Houston, but now, Houston takes the pressure off these guys to try and be something they just aren't right now.
He had 9 sacks last year, which isn't bad. And he had those sacks playing a few yards in back of Jones, and opposite Ford, both top 10 guys in sacks.
IMO, he'll have more opportunity to get sacks with the Colts. He's not competing with two other top 10 guys for the penetration play calls. He's going be on the line instead of behind Jones, and be our primary. Not the #2 or #3. And he's going to disrupt and open up lanes for our other guys.
I'm going to predict 10+ for him this year. Not sure I put him in the stop gap category just yet.
-
1
-
-
1 hour ago, Narcosys said:
Lawrence could make it to the second round for us. There may be better available, but after the first 9 or 10 are gone its a toss up. I do believe that many D line will be gone by that time, which leads me to picking up a top DB instead of a mid tier DL.
from a pure ratings perspective, it's much more likely to a higher rated DT available than a S. Most mocks have Tillery, Lawrence, and Wilkens being available in that 25-32 space. All three of those are 6.0+ rated guys. I know NFL.com ratings aren't perfect, but they are a good guide, and better than most.
In terms of S, there are zero Ss rated above 5.91 this year. Very meh class in terms of top talent. But a great class in terms of "good" depth. There are 15 guys in that same tier (5.5-5.99). I'd rather get a guy like Thornhill, CG-J, or Hooker who are 5.7-5.9 later. I like Thornhill better than the guys in the 5.9 range anyway. But those three can be taken late 2nd, maybe 3rd.
CBs, a few top guys, but they will be gone. The ones available will be rated the same or below the DTs available.
-
1
-
-
Any updates on Zach Brown (MLB)? Been pretty quiet for one of the top FAs left.
Would love to get MLB upgrade via FA. He's about the only guy left on the board I'd happily take.
Last I saw, Raiders, Bills, and Miami were showing interest. Indy is more attractive than those 3 lol.
-
6 minutes ago, shastamasta said:
I agree on Funchess. Hope I am wrong. But I watched him for a long time. Here is a good representation of what the Colts are getting. Pretty slow, no separation but does make some nice contested catches, no YAC...and a deep pass that he plays small and doesn't go up and get it. He will have some production...I just don't see Luck slinging it to a guy who is draped by a DB.
I do think he will make some circus catches and people will go wow. But his general production and consistency will be meh. Hope I'm wrong. IMO, he should have bulked up a little, and stayed at the TE in college. He'd be much more valuable and the norm in that position. UM convincing him to go WR I think hurt his career.
-
5 hours ago, coltsfeva said:
Unless a blue chip DE is still there, I’d like to see a DT to start over Stewart. Ballard spoke about getting pressure up the middle but they still need a solid run defender.
I do trust Ballard & Co with whatever they decide.
Houston is very good vs the run. I'm all about the DT with the first pick. I think Simmons (who is uber talented) will be available, but hate drafting a guy who just got injured and waiting another year for him. I'd guess we end up with Tillery, Wilkens, or Lawrence.
-
7 hours ago, DougDew said:
I agree, in theory. I'm the guy who said Ebron wasn't amazing simply because his stats were aided by the fact the Luck had few other go to options, so E got more targets than he should have. So if Luck has more options via a better #2 than Grant, logic says that Ebron's stats will go down. They will settle to a more normalized volume because the other part of the team has become more normalized.
And I think that is the goal. I don't think Ballard looks at it like I'm going to leave my #2 WR crappy because I have a TE who can make up the difference. I think he wants more normalized and equal level of talent throughout the receiving corps in order to maximize Luck's choices. Which is why I think Funchess won't be stepping on Ebron's role directly, although the impact may be felt in Ebron's total catches and the sum total of both players (which I think would increase actually).
think of the following.
-Saying Ebron got more targets because Luck didn't have options is incorrect. Reich's offense relies heavily on the TE. In 2018, Ebron had 110 targets. In 2017 when Reich was with the Eagles, Ertz had 110 targets. In 2016, Ertz had 106 targets. That's not a change in targets to the TE at all. Zero. It's just the Reich offense.
-Saying Ebron all of sudden improved because of Luck is incorrect, and thinking Funchess will do the same if flawed as well. In 2017 in Detroit, Ebron's average y/c was 10.8 and his catch % was 61.6%. In 2018 in Indy, his y/c was 11.4 and catch % was 60%. He actually dropped his catch % a little with Luck. The change was in how Reich used him. While in Detroit, Ebron averaged less than 10 RZ targets a year in his last 3 years there. In 2018, he was targeted 22 times, more than double. 11 of his 13 TDs were RZ. So, in short, he didn't all of sudden get better and start catching more or getting a bunch more yards. He was simply used more in the RZ, and used more productively.
So.... if Reich holds true, Ebron will still get around 110 targets. If his snap count or targets drop, it's likely because Reich is using Funchess in place of, or in the same way as Ebron.
My prediction, Funchess will start out at the typical WR2 position, but will struggle with separation in between the 20s. If that's the case, he'll end up primarily limited to being a RZ weapon. And that doesn't do much for the WR2 need.
Reich's O in the past has relied a lot on short/quick passing. More of a horizontal attack. The issue is, while Luck can do short/quick, Luck is a true vertical guy. And what we lack are vertical weapons (which is why they drafted Cain). I'm sure Luck is pushing for more of a vertical game. The big questions are, will Reich tweak his O to accentuate his vertical QB, and will our defensive minded GM spend draft capital on a vertical thread.
-
9 hours ago, crazycolt1 said:
Since the day we signed him one you have doubted the talent level of Funchess.
Now you want to use one game to judge the whole team and what it did the last the last 12 games of the season? That is being too narrow minded IMO.
LOL. I can show you stats from the entire year that clearly shows our WR position group lacked a true WR2 and was a sub par group overall aside from TY. Snap counts, yards, separation/cushion average, and much more are pretty clear. That's not narrow. In terms of Funchess, I've followed him since his UM days. That's not narrow either.
It's not "doubting" Funchess. It's objectively looking at data.
What is more logical?
1) forming an opinion based on past performance and stats
2) ignoring past performance/stats and assuming improvement based on a feeling.
Funchess should improve his stats next year. What he likely will not do is hit 800 yards without taking a lot of targets and yards from Ebron, or provide a vertical threat to keep double coverage off TY.
Are we well positioned?
in Colts Football
Posted
Reich might be a new HC, but he's not a newbie, and he did beat Belichick the year before as OC. Pederson who was the HC, was only in his second year as HC, and has about the same combined years as OC and HC as Reich.
Let's not forget Pagano's first three years were pretty darn good. Not a big fan of him, but our issues in 15-17 were more on Grigsuck than Pagano.