Surge89

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  1. Surge89

    Ballard: What if hypothetical

    Im personally in the wait and see group. My reasons for optimism are the things being said are in line with how I think a team should be ran (but as we all know talk only goes so far) and I think we got a good coaching staff to facilitate a vision. Which is also something I love is that this team seems to have a vision or an identity if you will. Something we sorely lacked with the previous regime. My reasons for caution though are what worry me. While I liked parts of the draft I feel like Ballard did not take what the draft gave him. And I'll be in even more caution if we go and sign multiple defensive ends next year (it's going to be a great year for the entire dline) when we spent 2 high picks on them this year. To me it seems like he got to cute for his britches after making the obvious pick and that reminds me of Grigson. Is that an overreaction? Time will tell. But it's a big reason for concern since this is supposedly the main entrance of talent is via this man's draft strategy. Also I don't want a Polian approach to free agency and I get the feeling that is what we are getting. That's underwhelming especially in an age where the salary cap is ever increasing and the options to sign decent talent for reasonable money are becoming more and more viable. Take the Breeland free agent as an example. Either way despite my worries I'd say I have more optimism than pessimism and a far playoff run would probably have me sold. But less than. 8 wins and I'm going to be questioning pretty hard. Luck is good enough for us to reach the 50/50 mark.
  2. Surge89

    LeVeon Bell

    ???? Issue with the bolded. Since when has Bell ever been a playoff performer. He's usually hurt by that time of the season hence why he's only played in 2016/2017 playoffs... Again yet another argument against him as he's never there when he's actually needed. We need to remember that the NFL market still works on a type of supply and demand. No one scoffs at 30 million dollar extensions for quarterbacks because it is common knowledge that a QB who can perform at an NFL level is extremely rare. And one who is elite at the NFL level is even rarer hence the amount of money thrown to QBs. Bell has a fundemental issue against him in that yes he's a great blocker and yes he's a great pass catcher and yes he can run well but every single attribute he brings to the table isn't in high demand because he only blocks/runs at an elite level which are both low desired traits since committee and specialist backs can take care of that issue more efficiently. Also imo his biggest issue is that the Steelers have a ton of talent at the receiver position. They don't need Bell to receive a 100 balls they have Schuster and AB. They don't need Bell to have 2000 yards rushing they have a promising rookie in Connor who can carry for about 1200 and still squeeze out some more yards from the other complimentary backs. His pass blocking is nice but they also have one of the most talented Olines in the NFL and definite top 3 in the AFC... Bell has nothing to stand on and the sheer fact that the Steelers offered anything over 12 million a year is laughable. Sadly though I knew this was coming. Me and Superman had a discussion a couple years ago about the diminishment of the RB and such and I knew the inflation was coming. It's inevitable and Gurley/Elliot will be the next ones with 12million plus contracts.
  3. Surge89

    Anthony Castonzo

    Aside from the rest. This part of your post has me wondering what exactly you have been watching... Castonzo was incredibly handy with speed for being a rookie, having an inury, and being an olineman in the "hold the ball for 10 minutes" Arians system. For you to think he was a very weak link makes me question how you gauge oline play because that isn't accurate at all. His second year he was even better in the same terrible system... suppsoedly PFF said he was terrible against the pass or something like that yet we had an even worse system... Again still wondering... His third year yes. Not a good one. He looked absolutely lost. Often beat on simple stunts by ends he should not be losing to but he got it together right before playoff time. Still not sure how the word "weak" could be associated with him. Solid in his contract year is an understatement. He was fringe pro bowl material. And his next year was about the same. Last year while the colts may have not been great he again showed he was fringe pro bowl material with a steaming pile of vuj next to him. And trust me vuj was pretty bad. Your take seems incredibly pessimistic and sensational in order to just make a point that Castonzo isn't a pro bowler. Yet no one is claiming he is but he for sure is an above average left tackle and that's awesome.
  4. Surge89

    Steve Ishmael

    Forgive me for the long winded post but this is a conversation I actually enjoy to discuss! In soccer there's is a trait called burst step. It's not speed per se but more initial agility. That's the trait that usually separates receivers apart in the NFL. Do they have the ability to hit a top of the route then have a sudden burst of acceleration to a point before the defender can react. Elite receivers yes have all the traits you mention but realistically that's literally less than one percent of even the elite. It's how someone like Collie (mentioned earlier in the topic) created so much space because he instinctively knew how to utilize the burst he had. Speed only matters at getting to the top of that route in time for the QB to make the throw. It's important but not life and death. Especially if the QB can anticipate then that gives the receiver an even longer window to reach the point and then make the move. Also a big reason why receivers of all calibers flourish with Manning and Brady. Yes Manning has a quick release but it was more about how he was throwing that quick ball as soon as half a second before the receiver broke and the placement several yards in the future of the route. It's quite special. Also in terms of soccer it's how someone like Robbie Keane was such a good player. No matter if he was in Serie A, EPL or MLS he had a knack for scoring goals due to his ability to just burst off a backline. Never the fastest dude but gritty and one heck of a shot. But if you look into the truly elite of the sport you find people like CR7 who has insane top end speed but also the other traits as well or Messi who while doesn't have the wheels like Ronaldo does (he's still plenty fast lol) he has an insane ability to shift and change direction while maintaining incredible balance. So with that said. Speed may not be overrated (it's sort of the baseline for top tier play) but elite speed is definitely overrated. The difference between a player who runs a 4.3 and a player who runs a 4.7 is so marginal and situational that it usually has little impact on the player unless accompanied by elite traits in initial burst and the knowledge to use it.
  5. He isn't entirely wrong but he did a fairly good amount of work himself handicapped by a GM who couldn't hit the side of a talent barn right in front of him. Plus he didn't even have Luck for 2 of those years so I'd like to think he's giving a Luck a tad too much credit. I agree with the moving on but I for sure love that he is a man of integrity. Wish there were more like him instead of it being an oddity when we see one.
  6. Surge89

    We're #32!!!

    I disagree. No matter how good defenses are luck account for a tremendous amount of offensive pressure and he will have a reinforced oline this time. Mariota and Bortles couldn't hope to keep up with Luck. There's a reason why Tennessee was a whopping boy for all this years. The only worry is Houston. Whom still has to prove they can beat a Luck led team with Watson. I'd say 4 to 5 wins is to be expected if Luck is healthy. And then on top of that we play the Jets Bills and Dolphins. That's already 8 high percentage games and we match up well with Seattle. Bengals and Skins both will be worried when they play us.... That's 11 already. Are we going to go out and blowout NE and Philly? No. But our schedule isn't all that good and we have the best QB in our division when healthy. Even when Luck was gimping through the season he owned our division. I don't expect that to change.
  7. Surge89

    We're #32!!!

    Agreed. This talk of 8 and 8 being our hopeful floor is rediculous. With Luck we are at minimum a 10 win team. Our division just doesn't have the fire power to keep up with a healthy luck save maybe Houston.
  8. Surge89

    Supes 2018 draft analysis

    Shortened your quote for the sake of the thread. Always love to hear your perspective! I'll say that I was initially underwhelmed with taking a guard in the top 10 but after seeing 4 guards go over corners and pass rushers I was glad we took Nelson. On the third day I was thrilled. Lots of value and players who can provide a higher tier of depth which is what this team needs badly. But that leaves the second day. And let me first say that these opinions are just shaped on what I have watched on these guys through my draft process so take with a grain of salt lol. Anyways, boy did I have my share of complaints on the second day. Unlike you I loved the Leonard pick and don't see him a reach at all. Also unlike you I despise the Smith pick and not only see it as a reach but a comical reach with Connor Williams still on the board. Not only did I have Smith a whole round lower (and I loved this guard class...) But there were some especially talented corners still available. I find it funny that people aren't mentioning the positional value when it comes to this pick. We took a guard and reached for him when there were edge rushers, corners, linebackers and right tackles still on the board... The last 2 picks of the second round are equally as bad as the Smith pick. Next year there will be a plethora of edge talent defensive tackle talent. There was no reason to reach for needs here when there was value at right tackle, receiver, runningback and linebacker. Take what the draft gives you instead of reaching for need. Just by position these picks are extremely short sighted and have utter dissappointment from me. As far as the prospects go I loved Turay before the draft. But in no shape or form did I see an oft injured high upside unrefined edge rusher as a second round pick. Bad value is bad value here. And Lewis is even worse. Basham has a better shot and making an impact then Lewis does. All in all the draft was ok. It could have been way better. But I expect that next year when we are drafting another set of edge rushers there will be some wondering why we drafted 2 in one of the weakest edge classes in the past 5 years...
  9. Surge89

    Let's Make Some Predictions!

    I'll play. All pending good health. Mack has over 1000yards TY has over 1700yards Hooker has more than 10 INT Our sack numbers jump to top 15 in league Luck is sacked less than 15 times Eric Ebron has more than 10 TDs
  10. Surge89

    Baker Mayfield

    SW... Mayfield is not Manziel... Not even close. And Mayfield got drunk one night... He never did it again. Acting like these 2 players are even in the same stratosphere is rediculous. And leadership is a big part of the QB spot and Mayfield has that. The kid has been constantly second guessed and has constantly proved everyone wrong.
  11. Disclaimer for your disclaimer: no worries I just value your opinion is all. I'm more than willing to give Ballard a benefit no of the doubt but I'll say this. I didn't agree with most. Day one I was initially dissappointed/unimpressed but after the day was over I was extremely happy with the pick. In no way shape or form did I think so many guards were going in the first and over good corner and decent edge talent. Day 2 was just ugh. I too liked the Leonard pick but the Smith pick was just meh to me. Turay I was high on before the draft but not in the 2nd. I can't get behind that pick I've watched enough of him to know I just wouldn't have taken him that high. I'm actually ok with the Lewis pick as a player. But in terms of the roster I think he's a redundant pick with little to no value. Day 3 is the best one for me. I like Franklin alot and I like Fountain. Cain was another kid I watched that has tons of potential hard not to like. I haven't watched Wilkins or Hines alot so I can't comment and I have nothing on Adams. All in all I'm torn on this draft. Did we get better? Yea I think we did especially on oline. But I think we failed to capitalize on the actual best part of this draft which was limebackers and corners. And I believe there was a much better combination of picks out there for us. For this season I think it will be a decent draft especially if it keeps Luck upright but in the bigger picture I think we wasted a year here in getting Luck a complete team. Our lack of movement in free agency is probably the biggest inhibitor here. But again it's a wait and see.
  12. Exactly the reason why I didnt understand taking edge guys this year and missing out on the linebackers corners and running backs. It's water under the bridge now but it seems near sighted the approach we took in this draft.
  13. So bud what was your opinion of this draft by Ballard? I appreciate your insight during the draft process and you seem to watch just as much of these kids as I do so I'd like to know your opinion. Maybe a breakdown by pick?
  14. Surge89

    Baker Mayfield

    Lol @ Mayfield being Manziel 2.0. take the time to actually find out about the kid before spouting off nonsense. Also this is the best move the Browns have made in more than a decade. Darnold and Allen would have taken them no where.
  15. So in a lackluster edge class we take 2 project edge rushers in the 2nd round?... And somehow have neglected our MLB spot... I'm just so confused with these decisions. To me we have not taken advantage of the strength of this draft but hey what do I know...