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Nesjan3

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Posts posted by Nesjan3

  1. 32 minutes ago, 2006Coltsbestever said:

    Trubisky will be Trubisky on Saturday. That team is a mess. We will win that game by at least 7.

    I dont care who the Steelers QB is we haven't beat then since Nov 9 2008, and that is the one of only two times we have beaten them since 1984. This game is not a gimmie. No way in hell. I actually think we lose to the Steelers but winning out against the Falcons, Raiders and Texans could still get us in.

  2. 5 minutes ago, w87r said:

    I give you the other 3, although I don't think the Titans on the road is going to be an easy out for any of their remaining opponents.

     

    But the Bucs are Division leaders and they are definitely not one of the worst 6 teams in the league.

    Meh, I said arguably because people will certainly have differing opinions. I think all 4 of those teams are 4 of the worst teams in the league. They get to play each other twice is the only reason they are close to .500

  3. 28 minutes ago, Restinpeacesweetchloe said:

    Bills play cowboys next week. Should be an interesting game in Buffalo. 
     

    Broncos play in Detroit.

     

    Vikings are in Cincy.

    Colt fans keep saying that but we are also an average team with a backup QB. Which makes these games pretty even.

    Yah we are not one of the top 14 teams in the league IMO. Probably somewhere in between 14-20 is where I would rank us.

     

    However just like the Giants last year sometime strength of schedule is a massive determining factor in a teams record when all is said and done.

     

    Like look at our 4 game winning streak, Pats, Panthers, Bucs, Titans. Haha arguably 4 of the 6 worst teams in the league. Then 2 of our 4 remaining games are against the Falcons and Raiders. 2 more absolutely terrible teams lol.

     

    Win those 2, get one against the Steelers or Texans and we are in. 

  4. Just now, coming on strong said:

    i agree people got carried away and forgot who the colts played .   colts only beat two teams with a winning record and one was a rookie early in the season before he was good .   even the ravens game we got very lucky got outplayed most of the game and everything went our way

    100% correct we have one of the easiest strength of schedules in the league this season which has worked in our favor. Are we actually one of the top 14 teams in the league. Not likley.

    • Like 1
  5. 4 minutes ago, Superman said:

     

    Got it. I think the Colts have a unique two year period where they can get after it. I don't know if it's Ballard's DNA to play in these waters, but the Colts are going to be something like $100m under the cap in 2024, and they have a cost controlled QB. So yeah, we can we absorb a couple years of a highly paid RB, but it only matters if we really improve the roster at other positions -- C/RG, Edge, WR, DB. 

    Agreed I think it was the perfect time in this teams trajectory to pay JT. AR and Raiman could very well be  two players at premium worthy of large contracts. The debate is out on Pittman. I think he probably gets a large contract but its my opinion he is a really good number 2. Maybe not a 1 on SB contenders. CB and pass rushers are probably the two positions we lack the most talent. Of course it all really hinges on AR at this point.

  6. 6 minutes ago, NewColtsFan said:


    Not sure you’re aware that the whole league not paying running backs is roughly a year and a half old.   Thats it.  It just bubbled up last year and boiled over this year.   That’s it.   
     

    And some teams are still drafting RB’s in the first round.   Atlanta just took Bijan Robinson in the first round this year.   So this idea that everyone agrees on the idea of devalued RB’s is not unanimous and it’s only been very very recent.  

    I am definitely aware of this. Just looking at the real successful teams of recent years. Most not all most have a mid to late round RB's on a small contract doing enough to sustain a respectable run game.

  7. 2 minutes ago, Superman said:

     

    The problem with the sample size is not the number of years, it's that you're limiting the analysis to only SB winning teams.

     

    And I don't disagree with the idea that paying a RB big money isn't the best use of cap space, I just disagree with the argument that 'no team has won a SB with a highly paid RB, so that means it's wrong to pay a RB.' I think that's poor analysis.

    Yah thats fair. I was more trying to emphasize that it would be prudent for Ballard to acquire some players at more premium positions worthy of contracts like JT's. At your own positions pay range of course. I was just using SB winning teams as an example.

    • Like 1
  8. 1 minute ago, 2006Coltsbestever said:

    Everyone knows it is more of a passing league today, the RB is still important IMO. Take Lynch off of Seattle, they don't win the SB in 2013 or make it back in 2014. They even had a good QB (Wilson) and a great D but IMO they don't win it all without Lynch. It is not like we are paying Taylor 20 Mill a year like a great WR makes. 

    Yah I tend to agree. And in my original post I said I am not against the JT contract. I think it was a good time to pay him given where our team is now. Lynch in Seattle then Bettis in Pitt are probably the 2 exceptions since 05. Also thats a good point that since 00 the NFL landscape has changed drastically. Nowadays the real successful teams pay QB's, WR's, LT's and pass rushers.

    • Like 1
  9. 36 minutes ago, Superman said:

     

    I think this is a bad starting point for any analysis. The sample size is too small, and is unnecessarily restrictive. It also assumes that each SB winning team had either the best roster in the year they won, or the best constructed roster, and neither of those things is necessarily true. 

    Feel free to go back a lot further than that. Its been a very very long time since any team has won the SB with a RB being their best or probably even a top 3 player. The league in general obviously has similar feelings hence the whole "not paying a RB" saga.

  10. I mean you look at the last 15 SB winners not a single one of those teams had a RB on a contract anywhere near JT's. They all have their cap allocated to QB's, WR's and Pass Rushers. However I think our situation is unique. Were not contending for a SB and JT is a great support for AR and the offense while we build.  I would hope that "if" Ballard ever gets us there, by the time we are ready to compete our salary cap is a placed correctly. 

    • Like 1
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