MarylandTerrapin
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Posts posted by MarylandTerrapin
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Yes - the better SD and GB do the rest of the way, the more it helps our strength of victory pct. We also want the Lions and Chiefs to lose a few more games to hurt Hou's cause. If Jax tanks the rest of the way, I think that will be enough to make the difference if it comes down to strength of victory.
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1 hour ago, oldunclemark said:
How would this work out?
Tenn (6-6) has Denver, KC and Houston to play...we need them to lose to Denver and KC but beat
Houston and finish 8-8..
...we need Houston (6-5) to lose to GB, us and Tenn..and finish 8-8..
...Colts (5-6) need to beat the Jets, Houston and Jax and finish 8-8.
we would eliminate Tenn based on our 2-0 record against them....
.......Colts and Houston would be 4-2 in the division....
Houston would be 6-6 in the AFC..we would be 6-6 .
Under this situation....Who wins the AFC South?
Common opponents is the tiebreaker over AFC record as their are 14 common games vs 12 AFC games. Indy's different opponents are the Jets and Steelers (they go 1-1 so 7-7 against common opponents). Houston's different opponents are the Pats and Bengals (they go 1-1 so 7-7 against common opponents).
Then AFC record comes into play, 6-6 for both. The next tiebreaker is strength of victory. The difference in strength of victory could come down to our sweep against Tenn and Hou sweeping the Jags. The Jags horrible record could bring Hou's strength of victory pct down. In this case, we want Jax to lose the rest of their games to go 2-14 - this will further hurt Hou's strength of victory pct. We also need to cheer for a couple teams that we beat and Hou lost to in order to boost our strength of victory pct. (i.e SD, GB).
Hope that helps!
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Indy is 17-14 outside the South in the Luck era even with the Bills game. Luck's "11 and Fine" is Indy's new version of Peyton's "12 and 4ever". The Colts have continued to make progress each year in the postseason. Everyone forgets we were 2-14 four years ago. Most teams would love to go 11-5 each year, regardless of what division they're in.
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The first one was with cats...now check out his latest Direct TV commercial. Glad he also sees the humor in his beard!
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Einstein defined insanity as "doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results." I really thought the Colts had learned from past mistakes, but unfortunately, the team's blueprint during the Manning and Luck eras looks eerily similar.
I will say that Manning had a much better o-line early in his career than Luck has had so far. I think 2008 was the beginning of Indy's o-line troubles as the run blocking suffered greatly and Manning had to get rid of the ball much quicker when the pass blocking went south as well.
...and yes...Luck has had better postseason success early (3-3 start vs Manning not getting a win until season 6). It also seems that we've been blown out more in games during the Pagano era. Even when we lost against the Pats with Dungy/Caldwell, the games were close up until the 2012 season.
I'm really curious to see how the run game develops this season because a solid run game will allow us to sustain drives, eat some clock, and make us consistent. Also, our 3rd down D greatly improved last season, but disappeared in the playoffs against the Pats. Those areas need to show up in the playoffs if we want a successful Super Bowl run.
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Good stuff...Bob Lamey was supposed to be in the shoot...posing while eating a cheesesteak sub, but had to cancel at the last minute.
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It's been 11 years since Jan 18th has fallen on a Sunday. Not sure if anyone has picked up on this eerie connection:
2004 - Manning plays in his 1st AFCCG...his opponent, the Patriots at Foxboro
2015 - Luck plays in his 1st AFCCG...his opponent, the Patriots at Foxoboro
Let's hope that we get a better result this time!
BTW...early forecast for Foxboro on the 18th is H 44 L 26 with a 10% chance of precip. Much better than the snow falling for the 2004 game.
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Colts cover the spread: Colts 27 Texans 17
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I can't see SD going 12-4 - have you seen their remaining schedule? Denver has a better chance of going 2-2 down the stretch than SD has of going 4-0.
I see the Pats potentially losing only one more game (@ SD) so the only realistic way the Colts are getting a 1st round bye is if they finish 12-4, Den loses two more (@ SD and @ Cincy), and Cincy loses one more game.
Most likely, the Colts will end up with the #3 seed, Denver will be #2, and the Pats will be #1. Let's just finish 12-4 first and then see how everything else plays out.
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Being an AFC South team playing the Colts (1-13 record in the last 14 games)
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I think this is a great game to put some focus on Moncrief. The Texans are going to be concerned about not getting beat by T. Y. Hilton. We can switch up and burn them deep with Moncrief.
I think Moncrief can be an x-factor as well. A lot of different threats on offense - I just hope we play it smart late in the 4th quarter. If we have a chance to kick a FG for a 2 possession lead, then kick the FG...don't get cute.
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We've been able to win on Thursdays. With the exception of our Thanksgiving games (2004 and 2007), all of our modern day Thursday games have been close. We've only had the one home Thursday game (2011) so going on the road to win in a short week never mattered to us.
Earlier in the season when Hou was 2-0, they reminded me a bit of the 2008 Titans. They've struggled since and the main difference is that Kerry Collins protected the ball in 2008 - Ryan Fitz does not. Houston will only go as far as their QB takes them and that's why the Texans won't win the division. Their QB's ineffective play will negate any strides their running game and D makes. If they had an elite QB or a mistake-free game manager, then they would be a playoff contender.
I think we'll win another Thursday game and hopefully continue our huge TOP advantage and run out the clock in the 4th quarter.
Colts 23 Texans 17
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For what it's worth -Colts @ Broncos - LEagles @ Colts - WColts @ Jaguars - WTitans @ Colts - WRavens @ Colts - WColts @ Texans - WBengals @ Colts - WColts @ Steelers - LColts @ Giants - WPatriots @ Colts - LJaguars @ Colts - WRedskins @ Colts - WColts @ Browns - WTexans @ Colts - WColts @ Cowboys - LColts @ Titans - WRecord 12-4 (7-1 at home at 5-3 on the road)IMHO, if we want a 1st round playoff bye, we'll either have to go 8-0 at home or beat Den to open the season.
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The AFC title game is attainable if we get a bye. If we beat either Den or NE, then we'll get the #2 seed. If we beat them both, then we'll get #1 seed via tiebreaker. As it stands now, I'm figuring 7-1 at home, 5-3 on the road, and at least 5-1 in the division. Looking at the schedule, I think a 7-3 record through 10 games sets us up for 12-4. Weeks 5 through 11 will tell us a lot. We've been incredible under Luck in one-possession games so we know how to win the close games.
Even if we don't go 12-4, 10-6 will easily win the AFC South.
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My Schedule Prediction:
Week 1- Jags (1pm CBS)
Week 2- @ Browns (1pm CBS)
Week 3- Texans (1pm CBS)
Week 4- @ Giants (4:25pm CBS)
Week 5- @ Titans (1pm CBS)
Week 6- Eagles (8:30pm ESPN)
Week 7- BYE
Week 8- @ Broncos (8:30 NBC)
Week 9- Bengals (4:25pm CBS)
Week 10- @ Texans (1pm CBS)
Week 11- Redskins (8:30pm NBC)
Week 12- Ravens (1pm CBS)
Week 13- @ Cowboys (4:25pm CBS)
Week 14- Patriots (8:30pm NBC)
Week 15- @ Jags (1pm CBS)
Week 16- @ Steelers (1pm CBS)
Week 17- Titans (1pm CBS)
Gives us a good chance of 5-1 or 6-0 heading into Denver. You need an NFLN Thurs game though.
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I'm not sure what's more hardcore... A schedule prediction thread or people that argue about it?
Dang, it's a long off season.
So true. I think people just want something to talk about at this point. I'm sure that people will complain about the official schedule too.
Horrible primetime selections tbh. Redskins vs Colts will be primetime, you can bet the house on that. Also Broncos , Houston I'd guess. Patriotswould be a toss up since they've been technically wiping the floor with us for a few years. Ravens or Steelers might be as well but thats about it.
I went back and forth with the Skins game - if it makes primetime, I'm thinking ESPN. I also think that RG3 will be out of the NFL within 5 years due to continuous injuries so the hype will finally die. Houston was 2-14 last year so I don't see them playing any SNF games. They'll get a Thurs night NFLN game, but that's the only way I'd see us playing them in prime time.
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I'm a little late with my predictions this year, but wanted to post before the schedule comes out tomorrow night. I gave us 4 prime timers. I put @ Cleve on Thursday night to make it a short road trip and because of TRich's return to Cleve. I gave us 4 out of 5 at home during the stretch run. I'm thinking 12-4 with an outside chance at 13-3 if we can stay healthy.
9/7 - at Jags (1pm CBS)
9/14 - Titans (1pm CBS)
9/21 - at Cowboys (4:25pm CBS)
9/28 - Eagles (8:30pm NBC)
10/5 - at Steelers (1pm CBS)
10/12 - BYE
10/19 - Ravens (1pm CBS)
10/23 - at Browns (8:30pm NFLN)
11/2 - Patriots (8:30pm NBC)
11/9 - at Texans (1pm CBS)
11/16 - at Giants (1pm CBS)
11/24 - Bengals (8:30pm ESPN)
11/30 - Jags (1pm CBS)
12/7 - at Broncos (4:25pm CBS)
12/14 - Redskins (1pm FOX)
12/21 - Texans (1pm CBS)
12/28 - at Titans (1pm CBS)
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Was still a kid in MD when the Colts moved, but continued to follow them. I don't get as much grief from the bitter Marylanders as I'm pretty headstrong and they've pretty much backed off. I do try to fly out to Indy once a year to catch a game.
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I stand corrected - well played sir.
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So does that mean Houston goes 11-5 next year, makes the playoffs as a WC, and loses to the eventual SB champion?
I was thinking of the pattern of us making the AFC title game each time we've played KC in the postseason: January of 1996, 2004, 2007, and maybe 2014.
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I don't think he's a padawan anymore tho.
So my question is: choosing from Manning, Luck, and Brady, which one is Darth Vader, Luke Skywalker, and the Emperor? :hmm:
Or should I chuck out Darth Vader for Anakin Skywalker...?
The answer is that I have gone too far into this metaphor. Or is it a simile...?
Perhaps he's Private First Class...
Belichick is Darth Vader, Peyton is Han Solo, Luck is Chewbacca (or maybe an Ewok), Brady is Anakin Skywalker, Polian is the Emperor, and Irsay with his mystic tweets is Yoda of course.
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...at least this time we didn't have to hear Teddy say Jeff Friday recovered it...
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If it was anything like the AFC Champ game 7 years ago, then I'm thinking...
"...and Brown fumbles the friggin' football...wait...ANDREW LUCK RECOVERS AND DIVES INTO THE ENDZONE FOR A TOUCHDOWNNNNN!!!...JIMINY CHRISTMAS...CAN YOU BELIEVE IT!!!..."
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Amish or a young Abe Lincoln.
"Four scores and 7 minutes ago, I orchestrated the 2nd biggest playoff comeback in NFL history."
Rumor central -- Pagano and Grigson reports, 1/16 (merge)
in Colts Football
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I don't often read message boards, but when I do, I get my rumors, innuendos, and entertainment from the Colts forum.
Stay thirsty Colt fans.