gspdx
-
Posts
2,077 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Gallery
Events
Blogs
Posts posted by gspdx
-
-
I say no. Is this the kind of guy you want as a coach here? He is a Ryan.
He creates too much drama - like his brother. The next thing you know there will be something about a foot fetish...
-
This idea that 1 person was the sole reason for all the success or failure of a team is laughable at best. You could have put Peyton Manning on say the Lions of a few years back and they are not very successful. This is not basketball where 1 player can carry a franchise, you need key players around them. Polian, the coaches, the players (all of them) is the reason why this franchise has been successful. This year we are again missing some key personal due to health issues, we have had other players not live up to their expectations and we made some bad draft choices, but this view/idea that this franchise has had the suceess it has had over the past 10 season just because of Manning is laughable and a HUGE insult to all the other players who have played on this team during that time.
But I think the Colts would perform similar to last year if Peyton was playing. Which means a 10 win season and possibly a trip to the playoffs. If that was the case then the Colts would be talked about as having 11 10+ win seasons in a row! So if Peyton had been on the Lions and they got good with the no huddle offense the way Peyton runs it, maybe they could have been competitive.
-
You make an excellent point in replacing Manning and that is one thing that Mike and Mike touched on yesterday. The fact is that no one can come in and do what Peyton does. Our offense is predicated on a no huddle format and calling plays based off the formation of the defense. Forget all the physical talent Peyton brings and his ability to make throws. Due to our system and practice / game time running the offense, any other qb simply can't come in and do it. The options are stay with the offense and try and get them up to speed, or develop the team around the skill sets of the qb you have. As Mike and Mike discussed yesterday along with Herm Edwards and Jon Gruden, in the event we draft Luck, Indy would need to change the type of offense they run. It simply isn't possible for anyone to come in and do what Peyton does. This fact is in a big way responsible for the state of afairs of this team and another reason why we didn't have a reasonable backup. One, Peyton never has missed a game, and two, even if he does go down, the replacement can't run our offense effectively. Keep in mind, Peyton is a control freek and has 100% of the time with the first team in practice and is still playing in games that are already won and in our favor. His backup NEVER sees time on the field.
Please - don't say we have a complicated offense. ViriLudant will be here in a flash to dispel that myth!
-
Chris just didn't get up one day and get the position, he worked his way up through the organization just like any other young GM would. The problem I believe here isn't his experience level but his last name.
I thought most GMs were hired in to a team. Maybe I'm wrong, but I think most teams interview and bring in someone external when hiring a new GM. I guess that means you really need to prove yourself somewhere else before getting the job. My concern is that Chris is possibly getting special treatment. I have also read - but I don't know for sure - that Chris was given more of a role in the last 3-4 drafts. If that is the case then I still have questions about his ability.
-
Sorry but any boss that allows his employes him to "challenge" him isn't a very good boss. A good boss will seek out and work with his employees, but allow them to challenge him?
Sure - maybe we have a different definition of challenge. I can challenge decisions, directions, question policies, etc. That doesn't mean I am calling out the boss as an incompetent boss. In a very strong team environment team members know they can "challenge" things and influence decisions. Where I work we have a policy of "constructive confrontation" and actually all employees are supposed to receive training on it. A strong boss can deal with this and at the end of the day they are still the decision makers. It can really make the team stronger.
-
In a democracy yes...not in a business or pro football team. The boss is there for a reason.
Wow - sure wouldn't want you to be my boss. I work in a very large company and having the ability to question decisions and challenge the status quo are valued practices. If you are surrounded by yes men then you will never hear the truth.
The boss it there for a reason - not to be the unquestioned authority, but to lead.
-
Some comparison statistics
Entering this year Manning had started 65 more games than Brady, and 110 more than Roethlisberger. A difference of 4 years and a game with Brady and almost 7(6.8) years with Roethlisberger.
Some of you might ask what's the point. He should have played more games, entered the league earlier, hadn't missed a game up till this year, etc.
The point is that when it comes to scoring 10 points or less, Brady & Roethlisberger have had more games like this than Manning.
Brady 41-0
Roethlisberger 33-1
Manning 32-0
28.7% of Brady's games the team allowed 10 pts or less.
34.7% of Roethlisberger's games the team allowed 10 pts or less.
15.4% of Manning's games the team allowed 10 pts or less.
11-19 pts?
Manning is 50-3 or 25.5% of his games the team allowed 11-19 pts.
Brady is 35-3 or 26.6% of his games the team allowed 11-19 pts.
Roethlisberger is 11-7 or 18.4% of his games the team allowed 11-19pts.
So 19 pts or less
Manning's had 40% of his games.
Brady's had 55% of his games.
Roethlisberger's had 53% of his games.
On the offensive side:
Manning is 72-7 when scoring 30+ pts. & losses of this nature is outright embarassing
Brady is 55-1
Roethlisberger is 23-2
Each of the three are undefeated when scoring 40 at this point. 18(20-0), 12(15-0), & 7(4-0)
Wonder why they(Brady & Roethlisberger) have two of the highest winning % 's of all time and better than Manning.
Good stuff. Based on these numbers the Colts under Manning are 83-2 when we hold oppenents to 19 pts per game.
With that in mind I would say for the Colts 19-20 pts per game for the opponent is the number I would shoot for. It would be great to hold teams to 15 but that is elite.
-
Nice post. I wouldn't want Gruden. Showing emotion on the sidelines isn't the only way to be a successful coach. It's not a requirement.
-
I don't really understand the premise of throwing out the outliers in football stats.
It's purely an analysis technique. If we had hundreds of data points I wouldn't throw it out. But it skews the data when we have a small sample. So - the New Orleans game was an outlier based on our other body of work. We would have lost that game. But by looking at the other data I have come to the conclusion that with Peyton on the field, accounting for one less score due to that fact and our scores in the 20s because of him we have a shot at winning these games. Assuming we would have lost the Texans game too then all of the sudden with Peyton we could be 6-2 right now.
This isn't like 7th grade throwing out the 2 lowest scores or throwing out your bad hole in golf. It's an analysis technique. Let's use golf for example. Let's say you want to decide where to improve your golf game the most. You break all of your shots for 18 holes down to drives, irons, and puts. So let's say on 17 holes you score a 4 or 5 and on one hole you score a 10 with 7 putts. By including the one hole in your analysis you might falsey conclude that you need more work on putting when this was an anomally in your normally consistent putting. Where you are really struggling is in shots with the driver.
Just a crude example in response to the witty responses from above. I hopes this helps a little bit.
Now in the real world you don't necessarily just ignore outliers. Let's say I run a factory and I have a day where we had lots of errors and that day the temperature was 100 degrees. I am able to determine that yes, the high temperatures caused variability in my process. Depending on the weather where my factory is I might want to put in some mitigating systems - air conditioning - or I might not need to. Maybe I can just shut down for the few days of 100 degree weather because my factory is in Fairbanks, Ak.
-
Actually I think there is more to this than defense. Frist take into consideration the time of possession. The longer the offense is on the field the fewer changes (time) the oppossing team has to score. You also need to look at the offensive turnovers and the situation we got into last week with the blocked punt. The offense failed to execute and put the punt team in a position where they got blocked for a TD. Plus there have been a few turnovers deep in our territory that might not happen with a more experienced QB.
So I think with Peyton on the field you would immediately bring down that numnber by about one score.
I would also discount the 62 point NO loss as an outlier at this point. If we continue to get beat with numbers like that then it would need to be included. But at this point I'm going with 190 points in 7 games which is about 27.1 points per game. If you then include the Peyton effect (in my opinion) we are about 20-21 points per game. All of the sudden we look competitive with a guy like Manning at the QB spot that can put up more than 20 points in most games.
Again this is just my guess, but to me it would suggest that with this team with P-Money at the helm we could be looking at another 10-12 win season.
-
Because I'm feeling ornery.
The seat is just fine - it's just the view that's a problem!
I've only been to one game and we sat in section 420 about half way up under the scoreboard. I was concerned that we wouldn't see anything, but it turns out they were really good seats in my opinion. It felt like the sands were pretty close to the field. The way the place is configured if they aren't obstructed view seats I would think they are all pretty good.
-
From another thread - statement from Bill Polian concerning Peyton:
At 0-8 and with the playoffs seemingly out of reach, there's one big reason to push Manning to practice -- finding out how close Indy's franchise quarterback is to 100 percent."That is much more important to us because we know he's not going to play six or seven more years," Polian said, reiterating that Manning is nearing the end of his career.It appears the Colts organization isn't expecting 6 more years either.
-
IF makes it pretty clear that I am making a supposition. Grow up.
But you state that Peyton can play for 6 more years. Even if doctors clear him that is just your opinion. You state it like it's some kind of fact. But the reality is, and many people here seem to be stating, they don't believe Peyton could play that long. I happen to agree with them. I think his physical abilities will drop off enough in the next 3-4 years that you won't want to watch him play. It will begin to get painful as you see him not being able to do what he once could.
Favre could probably play another 2-3 years on a team that provided him protection. Wouldn't be pretty. Jeff Georgs says he can still play. But father time has a way of taking the ability away and too many times the player himself is the last to see.
-
Yes - we run the Tampa 2 and give the receivers a huge cushion on 3rd and 8, 3rd and 10. I don't understand why you wouldn't at least shrink your cushion on a 3rd down play to try and limit the reception short of the first down. Maybe I'm missing something but that seems like common sense. Maybe our corners are just that bad.
I kind of wish we had Tryon and Hayden now.
-
I didn't see yesterday's game because of my west coast location - but how about Chris Johsnon again doing nothing in the running game. Total running was 94 yards. If our defense could stop a few pass plays they would be competivie. It also looks like we passed for more yards and ran for more yards than the Titans. Obviously we are using the wrong measurement (points scored) to decide who wins.
-
I say buy tickets to all 3. I was back in Indy last month and we went to see the Colts/Chiefs game. Did I tell you we lost? Seriously! But we had a really good time and I bet tickets are even cheaper now!
-
I love how people know the word 'Nepotism' and thus they assume they know what it's all about. They also assume it's always a bad thing, or that it's done with ill, almost conspiratorial intentions.
I am suspicious of the decision by people to replace themselves with their kids. In some instances it works out fine. In others it doesn't. But to think the best replacement is your kid - there aren't any other potential replacements out there? And before we get on the Irsay issue: When you are the owner you can do what you want. Both Polians are employees. Also - Jim is a much better owner than his dad, so in that instance nepotism worked out fine.
All I can say is I would be surprised to find out there isn't anyone out that that would be better than Chris Polian. I hope he does well for the Colts sake.
Also - I am not personally calling for the firing of Caldwell or the Polians. It looks to me like this team is pretty weak right now and I hope they can fix it. I'm not sure Caldwell is the guy but I don't beleive any of the other names being tossed around are the right guys either: Cowher, Chucky, etc.
-
I wasn't thinking about getting blasted by a bunch of us on a message board. I doubt he cares to much about that. I'm thinking more about getting blasted by the football world, including the media. But I guess he had 3 choices: a) go for 3 and get blasted for having no guts, B) go for it and fail and get blasted for not getting points, c) go for it and make it and get praised. So the way he might not get blasted is to go for it. I guess I would rather try something other than the safe choice since the safe choice isn't working really well.@gspdx: You are so wrong. No one on this board would have given him a pass for that if we fail to convert. They would have screamed about how terrible he is for not taking the points and building on the next drive. Caldwell is in a lose-lose among the Colts fans on principle. -
If he goes for it and doesn't get it he gets hammered.
I disagree. If they had at lt least gone for it people would say so. As far as getting hammered - could he be getting hammered any worse? This is a team right now with nothing to loose. Why not go for it?
-
I dont think you know what your talking about, brown is a downhill runner.. he isnt not the dancing back... he see's a hole and he takes it.. if brown was on another team he would be the starter... the colts are a passing team hence they need a blocking RB and donald isnt that, ive seen donald at UConn and the guy does not dance. Hughes was meant to be on a 3-4 team, its obvious the guy does not have any moves when it comes to pass rushing... the guy is a LB playing DE and he is out of position so yea i can bet if he was on another team he would produce... and how would he be able to beat brayton and anderson when they both can do play so many positions. Gonzo may be a bust but if he was out on the field i think he would be producing, ugoh was never a 1st round pick talent.. ive never known a LT that ran track and i never felt like ugoh was worth a 2nd round pick.
In other words - the front office screwed up because they drafted first round picks that didn't fit our system. So the guy might still be a good player, but he is a bust in our system. I would definitely blame the front office for that kind of failure to evaluate talent.
-
Once again. It. Is. Not. A. Complex. Offense. Sorry, that's straight out of Moore's mouth. Stampede Blue had a great article about it a few years ago. It's not complex, it's just all built on timing. The routes aren't hard, nor do they have anywhere near the number of routes of teams like NE and GB.
It's also built on being able to read defenses and knowing what play and audible Peyton is calling. From what I read a while back he is given a basic formation. Then based on the defense he has multiple plays that can be called - and then audibles from that play.
If you think it's easy to get all of that done in a few seconds and the make the right call every time I've got some land for sale in Florida.
The offense might be complex in itself, but running it isn't a piece of cake.
-
Exactly!The great "collie" seems servicable at best with no manning.He's just another guy...nothing special about him.I would also throw in dallas as well.
Isn't that true of any receiver? Receivers can't pass themselves the ball. It QB is supposed to understand how to get the ball to the right guy at the right time. Peyton does that and Collie makes the most of it.
I think Collie and Clark would be successful with many of the good QBs. We just don't have one right now.
-
I hear Jeff George is still available.
-
Not his finest hour.
When actually was that?
Poll -- What Do You Do With The Option In Late Feb?
in Colts Football
Posted · Edited by gspdx
I think you talk with Peyton in January and work out a deal. According to another thread I read Peyton was the one that wanted that in the contract so the team could get out of it if he isn't healthy. If that is the case I don't think he wants to get paid for sitting in the luxury box. So you opt out of the contract and then sign a new deal that is sructured differently - pays less - more structured around his health - whatever. It might work.