rsrobinson
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Posts posted by rsrobinson
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Kaepernick was a turnover machine against the Seahawks this season. In three games he threw six picks and lost two fumbles. In four career starts against the Seahawks he is 1-3, has 3 TD passes, 7 INTs, 2 lost fumbles, 8 sacks, and a QB rating of 54. In the NFCCG he passed for only 153 yards and turned the ball over 3 times. His early success in that game came largely on his legs but once the Seahawks adjusted by having LB Bruce Irvin spy on him and taking away the run Kaepernick was largely ineffective and the Seahawks outscored the 49ers 23-7 the remainder of the game.I agree with this. Kaep was pretty good vs the Seahwaks this past year as well despite the TOs at the end. He has strapped that O to his back the last couple of playoffs and could have easily had a ring if not for the terrible play calling by Harbaugh inside the 10 vs the Ravens. He has a pretty powerful skillset despite some accuracy issues. He also is mentally tough as well. I think he is worth it but then again I am in favor of paying QBs. You have to the right guy at the helm and franchise Qbs just don't come around often especially in the second round.
The bottom line is that Kaepernick has been flat out bad against the Seattle defense. It's the polar opposite for the Packers who seem to have no clue how to defend him.
Having said that, he has a world of talent and I think this is a pretty good deal for the 49ers. The $61M guarantee is only for injury and the 49ers have the option of getting out of it each year if he underperforms.
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Evey year lots of NFL players who aren't on the cover of Madden get hurt. They must ne victims of the non-Madden cover curse.
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They both looked old and lost in their last two games.
I give them both 2 more seasons. If Manning survives all the beatings from next year, and assuming Brady don't take more injuries.
Both of them are far past their prime and haven't won a Super Bowl since Dubya was president and I highly doubt either one of them will be in the big dance again unless it's another epic blow out like the last one.
Manning lit up most of the defenses he faced this year, he just ran into a buzzsaw in the SB. Also, assuming you are a Saints fan based on the picture in your sig, that same defense also made Drew Brees look bad. Twice.
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Classic example of beauty being in the eye of the beholder. ;) I thought Bundy was creepy looking.
Part of the reason that Bundy got away with it for so long was that he was a normal looking guy who didn't raise any red flags with people who knew him or worked with him. He even walked some of his female co-workers out to their cars at night and they felt safe with him. He was also considered somewhat attractive and charismatic which is how he was able to lure some of his female victims into situations where he could kidnap and kill them. He was a classic sociopath who could act and appear normal but had no empathy for other people.
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Since 2010 when Pete Carroll and John Schneider were hired they've had only one top ten pick (Russell Okung) and the past two drafts haven't even made a pick in the first round. There were also only three players left over from the previous regime on the Super Bowl roster, none of them top ten picks. They built their roster by drafting extremely well in the later rounds and turning obscure players from the CFL and other teams' practice squads into starters. It also didn't take them much TIME....their 2013 roster that won the Super Bowl was assembled in just three years after blowing up a roster that had won a total of nine games the previous two years.There's only 2 teams with enough depth to have the injuries we had & still get to their conference championship game & that's Seattle & San Francisco
You all sit back & talk about depth & say Seattle & San Francisco are so great but forget to realize they've been bottom feeding the last 6+ years. It's easy to get depth & top talent when you're picking top 10 in the draft consistently. Unless you're the Jags cause they just suck.
But point being, the 49ers & Seahawks took TIME to get to the talent their at. You all are too impatient, that's the problem. You can't build dynastys & championship teams overnight. Just doesn't happen.
And the Seahawks' success is a good reason to ignore draft grades because they almost always get bad grades for their drafts since they evaluate players differently than the likes of Mel Kiper and Todd McShay. The "experts" frequently scratched their heads about many of the Seahawks' selections who later turned out to be starters, Pro Bowlers, and even All-Pros.
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Richard Sherman can probably give him advise on how to get it overturned.
Sherman won his appeal because the guy administering the drug test screwed up the collection process that is in place to protect players from a false positive. In this case Mathis has admitted to taking a banned substance so there's no basis for winning an appeal. The reason for taking a banned substance is considered irrelevant because an NFL player is held responsible by the league for what goes into his body.
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those are faulty stats..
a game-winning drive is something where some guy kicked a field goal to win
..and defense has a lot to do with whether you come back to win...and Seattle has a superior defense
Nobody thinks ( or should think) Russell Wilson is anywhere close to Andrew Luck because Seattle has a better 'D'
Wilson has had better stats than Luck pretty much across the board so far and the Seahawks offense has averaged more points per game than the Colts the past two years. The Seattle defense isn't responsible for making Wilson an accurate and efficient passer and you don't win as many games as Wilson has so far in his career without being able to make clutch plays in the fourth quarter.
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Really? Wilson lets the defense do all the work.
Wilson has eight 4th quarter comebacks and ten game winning drives which is nearly identical to Luck's eight 4th quarter comebacks and eleven game winning drives.
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This offseason, they've already lost Golden Tate, Walter Thurmond, and Giacomini. This is simply the nature of the salary cap. You can't keep all the great talent you have because you can't afford it. Guys who have proven themselves in your system will have to be replaced by rookies who aren't a sure thing. They're bound to lose some good talent. They have a lot of contracts expiring in 2015 and 2016
Those are exactly the type of players a team shouldn't overspend to keep if they want to remain competitive during the salary cap era. Teams don't get into cap problems because they pay fair market value to keep elite talent like Earl Thomas, they get into trouble by overpaying for relatively replaceable players. The Seahawks didn't even make an offer to Giacomini or Thurmond because they believe they already have young players on the roster who can replace them and lowballed Tate because this is a WR rich draft.
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And so begins the battle to stay competitive in a league that is designed for every team to go 8-8. Seattle had to paid Thomas and soon Sherman and then Wilson. Very tough to keep all your pieces year and year out which is why the draft is so key. We'll see how Carroll is able to do going forward but rarely does lightning strike twice with so many good players taken so low in the draft.
The Seahawks are in better shape with the cap than most think. They are nearly $15M under the cap right now and even with extensions to Thomas and Sherman should still be able to roll quite a bit of that into next year's cap. And with the salary cap expected to rise above $150M in 2016 there has probably never been a better time to lock up young elite talent.
Like all teams they will have some tough cap decisions to make, but they will have a young, talented core under contract to continue to build around for the next few years.
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Thurmond probably was one of the best slot corners in the league last year but was about the fifth or sixth best defensive back in Seattle's secondary. Thomas, Chancellor, Sherman, and Maxwell were all better and it was a tossup between Browner and Thurmond.colt fans would differ. butler is better
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I'm a little surprised by the trade although in retrospect I probably shouldn't be. Carroll loves players with unique size, atheticism, and versatility and Pryor has all of the above. I doubt he'll beat out TJack as the #2 but I could see Carroll cooking up some plays to get him on the field in certain situations for trick plays, the wildcat, or as a receiver. It's something like what the Jets tried with Tebow without much success largely because of Tebow's limitations. If it doesn't work out all they've lost is the 32nd pick in the 7th round.
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Pete Carroll tried to recruit Richard Sherman to USC out of high school and told him he thought he had the makings of a shutdown corner. Sherman dropped to the fifth round because he had switched from WR to CB in the middle of his college career and was raw at the position, but he still had the attributes Carroll was looking for: length, athleticism, intelligence, and an ultra-competitive personality. He and John Schneider were able to overlook his weaknesses and focus on his strengths and potential which is why they selected him. That's not luck, its the ability to evaluate talent.I always find it interesting that Jim Harbaugh, who coached Richard Sherman in college let him pass in the draft -- he has been a tremendous player, but the fact that Harbaugh and a lot of other teams passed on him leads me to believe Seattle got lucky there.
When you see how many key contributors they have on the team taken in the later rounds and signed as UDFAs its hard not to conclude that there has to be more than luck involved.
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The Bucs?!?!
ALL HAIL WILSON HE DOMINATED THE cruddy TB BUCS!!!
Russell Wilson has eight 4th quarter comebacks and ten game winning drives in two seasons. Cam Newton has six of each over three seasons. You don't win as many games as a starting quarterback in the NFL as Wilson has unless you can make plays during crunch time in close games.
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Excellent post, people fall back on stats way too much to determine if a team/player is "good" or "great."
The entire concept of the game of football, like any sport, is to WIN THE GAME. However you do that, it doesn't matter, you just need to get a Win. If a QB gets a Pass play called and checks into a run 100% of the time for an entire game and they win, then that QB did an amazing job. That's a part of football and defines the QB position, which is to MANAGE THE GAME. Sometimes that involves slinging the rock all over the field and sometimes it relies on getting your offense into the best possible play for success.
What the defense is doing can dictate things, time of possession can affect stats tremendously, weather can affect stats, matchups can affect stats, gameplans can affect stats.
If the other team has a time of possession of 40 minutes, but the opposing QB went 11/18 att/comp, 175 yards, 1 TD and 0 turnovers, they played an amazing game.
I notice this mindset in younger fans or people that I would consider "casual" fans. When I say casual fan, its not meant as an insult or derogatory in any way, it just means that they watch the football game on Sunday and really don't go a whole lot deeper than that.
People who have played football, study football and the offensive/defensive concepts and chess matches that go on and enjoy the sport, not just their favorite team, tend to see things for what they actually are in the context of the game being played. Stats do not come close to telling the entire story, they're just a metric used to show certain types of finite production.
I'll use one of Brady's seasons as an example.. Yes, a Pats fan using Brady in a comparison argument, stop the presses!!!
Brady was voted unanimously as the 2010 MVP of the league, and his season that year was arguably much better than his 2007 season even though his 2007 season statistically was more "impressive" at first glance.
in 2007 he threw 50 TDs, 8 interceptions. In 2010, he threw 36 TDs and only 4 interceptions. However, his 2010 season he was masterful and fully in command of his offense, it was just built differently with talent. He checked down into run plays at the goal line all the time if he thought it was best for the team, not his stats, and they scored 28 rushing touchdowns that year.
Him checking down into a run play to get a touchdown for the team hurt his personal stats, but it was still a demonstration of him playing the QB position at a high level. That TD total also doesn't include his rushing TDs either, but that season he used a two TE set offense and still managed to carve defenses up.
Excellent post. Too many people take a superficial glance at how many yards and touchdowns a quarterback passed for, calculate his fantasy football score, and then use that as the measure of whether a QB had a good game or a bad game.
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How are those pedestrian? I am not sure why you only look at volume stats. Go a little deeper and check completion percentage, third down efficiency and fourth quarter numbers when the game was on the line. The measure of a great QB has nothing to do with volume that is more a reflection of the talent around the QB which is why Brady's volume stats rose so much more with Welker and Moss around him. But his other measurables stayed the same. If they were so pedestrian he would not have made the pro bowl in 2001 and 2004. And remember those stats are before the rule changes that now allow receivers to go down the field untouched and protect the QB like he is a china doll.
He sounds like a product of the fantasy football generation. Volume stats are basically all some of them care about. He's also using Newton's rushing stats to pump up his overall stats. There's no doubt that Newton is a far better runner than Brady, and there's value in that, but ultimately efficiency in passing the football is what defines the great quarterbacks and Brady is much more efficient than Newton. A QB can be a statue and still be a great quarterback (Manning, Marino) while a QB who is a great runner but is not an efficient passer cannot (Michael Vick).
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That is just dumb on so many levels.Seattle won the Super Bowl in spite of Russell Wilson. He fumbled & gave SF the ball inside the 15 on the very first play of the NFCCG. His defense outscored him & Denver in the Super Bowl. They would've won that game with a towel boy playing QB.
Wilson did fumble on the first play of the NFCCG but didn't turn the ball over again and finished with a QB rating of 104.6. In fact that was his only turnover of the playoffs. Compare that to Newton's 2 INTs and 79.9 QB rating against the 49ers. Those two picks in Newton's only playoff game is one more than Wilson has thrown in five playoff games.
And, no, the Seahawks defense didn't outscore their offense in the Super Bowl. Not even close. Wilson was razor sharp throughout the game, consistently moved the chains on third down, kept Manning off the field, and the Seahawks never punted the ball until the fourth quarter after the game had long been decided. Wilson finished 18-25 for 206 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs, 123.1 QB rating, and had another 26 yards rushing on just three carries. He put up those numbers despite the fact that the Seahawks offense took their foot off the gas with over 11 minutes remaining in the game and Wilson spent the last couple of series standing on the sidelines wearing a baseball cap.
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You forgot to mention that Cam's completion percentage, interception rate, passer rating, 3rd down efficiency, etc have all improved every year. His raw stats have declined but he's improved as a passer every year. He's also been more productive & efficient than Luck.
Yet he still Russell Wilson in all those areas. So I guess I'm not seeing where he's about to fall by the wayside.
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Wilson is no where near the level of Newton. Put Cam in Seattle & they still win the Super Bowl. Put Russell in Carolina & there's no way they win 12 games.
These types of unprovable claims based on imaginary scenarios are both tedious and ridiculous.
Newton could finish 2014 as follows...
8-8 W/L, 3212 Yd, 27 TD, 41 INT
... & he'd still have more wins, more yards, more touchdowns, & fewer turnovers than Peyton Manning after 4 seasons.
And Russell Wilson could go 2-14 with 13 TD passes and 22 INTs and still have more wins, more TD passes and fewer INTs than Newton after three years.
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2 year totals-
Cam Newton- 9,400 Yd, 62 TD, 34 turnovers
Andrew Luck- 8,828 Yd, 55 TD, 34 turnovers(Newton 3rd yr- 3,964 Yd, 30 TD, 14 turnovers)
Wilson, Kaepernick, Griffin, etc will fall to the wayside. And not a moment too soon. I predict multiple Super Bowl meetings between Luck & Newton.
Also, since you're using rather raw and simplistic stats here, Newton has passed for progressively fewer yards in each of his three seasons, rushed for progressively fewer yards in each of his three seasons, and produced fewer touchdowns in his second and third seasons than he did in his rookie year. So, based on the stats you provided, where exactly is the career arc you believe is leading Newton to surpass every other young QB except Luck?
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Browner and Thurmond had already been replaced by the end of the season by Maxwell and Lane, Harvin is already a big upgrade over Tate and they expect Kearse to be able to replace him as well, Rice missed half the season anyway and he may yet re-sign, Clemons hasn't been the same player since the ACL injury, and there are several young DL on the roster they believe are capable of replacing Bryant. The Seahawks roster was so loaded last year that they have a number of young players who could have played for many teams who were on the IR or played sparingly in 2013 but will be expected to contribute in 2014. They may actually be even younger in 2014 than the team that was the youngest to ever win a Super Bowl and are still the team to beat in the NFC.
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2 year totals-
Cam Newton- 9,400 Yd, 62 TD, 34 turnovers
Andrew Luck- 8,828 Yd, 55 TD, 34 turnovers(Newton 3rd yr- 3,964 Yd, 30 TD, 14 turnovers)
Wilson, Kaepernick, Griffin, etc will fall to the wayside. And not a moment too soon. I predict multiple Super Bowl meetings between Luck & Newton.
Beyond the fact that you are using simplistic fantasy football stats which do little to measure quarterback efficiency, what are you basing your your claim on that Wilson, Kaepernick, and Griffin will fall by the wayside?
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"As of 2010, the franchise had sold over 85 million copies, according to ESPN. It is a cash cow."
I do wonder how much creative control that Madden has over his video game? Does he just hand programmers a list of additions to incorporate & they just do it? Is Madden an active participant in the development process or not? Does John initiate change or delegate change to someone else with each new component or feature of his game?
It is kind of amazing how his video game has cornered the NFL market & has no real competition to speak of because usually the gaming market in the same genre has 2-3 main rivals slugging it out over annual profit margins. The 1 asset John has in his corner is continued access to HOF players, coaches, TV broadcasters, & current rosters that few other gaming development studios have access to these days.
It would be interesting if Madden ever teamed up with a special effects Hollywood studio company to give his game a big screen theater feel because the coaches don't seem life like to me. You know use that film technique where a person wears a black suit with white dots all over it to simulate what director James Cameron did on the film "Avatar." Something like that.
Madden's only involvement these days is cashing the paycheck from EA Sports.
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From what we know so far it sounds mainly like a night of heavy partying gone wrong. The fact that the woman requested to fill out an incident report with the police suggests she may want to pursue it, though. It could be a shakedown attempt or the woman could be genuinely concerned that Kaepernick (or one of the others) had sex with her after she passed out. Hard to say.
Interesting Observations Comparing TRich & Lynch....
in Colts Football
Posted
When Marshawn Lynch first came to the Seahawks he didn't understand how to run behind a zone blocking scheme and struggled quite a bit. A lot of Seahawks fans were down on him despite his epic Beastquake run in the playoffs against the Saints. In 2011 about halfway through his second season with the team he had a long conversation with OL coach Tom Cable about the zone blocking scheme and allegedly the light came on and he began tearing up the league after that. Not coincidentally, the Seahawks were 2-6 that season prior to that and finished 5-3 and began exhibiting the style of play that eventually led them to a Super Bowl title.
Can Richardson make the same leap in productivity that Lynch did? I guess it depends on the reason for his lack of productivity. If it was because of a lack of understanding about the Colts offense and blocking schemes then the offseason will help. If its because of poor field vision then probably not.