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  1. I could see it. On the other hand, the fifth year option isn’t as valuable for teams in the new cba — especially for teams trading up late to snag a QB. It’s now tied to positional value instead of draft slot and fully guaranteed when exercised. The option will now be the same as the transition tag. For QBs in 2020, that was a little over $24 million, only a couple million less than the franchise tag. The value also becomes equal to the franchise tag if a player makes the pro bowl twice in his first three years. There are still benefits — teams still get an extra year of co
  2. It’s pretty clear the Ballard regime puts a heavy emphasis on leadership and football character. About 75% of the Colts draft picks over the last two years were team captains. With that in mind, here’s a list of 2020 draft prospects that are also team captains that I thought might be worth sharing. A couple of quick points: in addition to captaincy (C), I’ve also noted Senior Bowl players (SB), the position-adjusted SPARQ percentile of players that worked out at the combine, and arm length for positions that the Colts probably have a threshold for (OL, DL, and CB). I left out prob
  3. Yeah, there’s a pretty small group of CBs that meet the 32” threshold in this year’s class. I do wonder how dogmatic Ballard is about arm length — is it like in Seattle where guys with sub-32” arms aren’t even on the board, or a bit more nuanced? Because there are a lot of good prospects in this class that hit above 31 inches. Here are the CBs with 32” arm length I’ve identified this year for anyone that’s interested. Jeff Okudah - 32 5/8 Trevon Diggs - 32 3/8 Bryce Hall - 32 1/4 Michael Ojemuda - 32 1/4 Kindle Vildor - 32 1/4 Bopete Keys - 32 5/8
  4. Good discussion. It’s kind of fun to play around with the different scenarios. The ideal move down for me would be something like: Indianapolis receives #58, #89, #108, #155 = 577.2 points Minnesota receives #34, #193 = 573 points Obviously that’s unlikely to happen due to the sheer number of picks Minnesota would be giving up. But the strength of this draft (and pretty much any draft) is in the second and third round. If I’m a GM, I want as many bites at the apple in that range as possible. A trade like the one above would give us two seconds and
  5. I’d think a team at the end of round one like the 49ers would make sense. The Colts get the the fifth year option and SF gets to recoup more draft capital — I think they’re missing all of their day two picks.
  6. This is what I was thinking. If you’re going to prioritize the lines at the expense of skill positions, you have to have better depth at RB. Mack is a free agent in 2021 and hasn’t shown the ability to stay healthy for a full season. Hines is a good receiving back and should flourish with Rivers at QB, but Jordan Wilkins isn’t anything special and Johnathan Williams might not be resigned. JK Dobbins is a guy that ticks all the Ballard boxes. Big, productive, team captain, unique athlete (top SPARQ in the country among all players at Nike events as a high school senior). I could see
  7. I’d like to see a trade down at #34. There will likely be interest in that pick coming at the top of the round so it could generate a good return. I’d group those WRs in to the same general tier with guys like Shenault, Pittman Jr., Claypool, and Hamler. I like some better than others but would rather trade down and pick up an extra third so we can potentially grab two from that pool — or fill another need at OL, CB, etc. The total lack of activity in free agency with the receiving group makes me think Ballard might want to double dip the position early in the draft. Someth
  8. This is pretty much what I’m thinking. I don’t think Reich wants to limit Campbell to a slot-only option. For all his struggles last year, Agholor had a really nice year in 2017 under Reich and Groh working primarily out of the slot. For the draft, Michael Pittman Jr. is a guy that checks pretty much all of Ballard’s boxes. Team captain, good production (100+ catches, 1275 yards, and 11 TDs as a senior), solid athlete (85th percentile SPARQ), Senior Bowl attendee, and NFL bloodlines. He also has added value as a gunner on special teams. Not sure why it seems like he’s flyin
  9. Exactly. This might be the first offseason I can recall where the supply of available QBs might actually outstrip demand. In free agency, you have Brady, Rivers, Winston, Bridgewater, Tannehill, and Mariota. Andy Dalton is available via trade, and Cam Newton and Derek Carr might be. With the draft you have Burrows, Tua, Herbert, and Love as first round type guys. It’s pretty clear that Cincinnati, San Diego, Tampa, and Indy will be in the market for new QB starters. New England, Las Vegas, Tennessee, and Carolina might be. Chicago and New Orleans are probably looking for h
  10. I could see that. Spanos needs to fill seats in their new stadium and Brady would do that and give them a shot to be competitive — assuming they shore up the OL in free agency and the draft and their defense stays healthier next season. In that case someone like Hurts could develop at a reasonable pace without having the expectations of a first round pick or the fans clamoring for him to take over for a lame duck starter at QB. I could also see them tailoring their offensive to a running QB, similar to the Ravens. Word is that Lynn prefers athletic QBs, and they already have the right
  11. Dunno. To my untrained eye the play fake looks like it did exactly what was intended to — freeze the DE and linebackers at the line of scrimmage and open a lane for Costanzo as a lead blocker in front of Hines. If Pascal makes a better block or the DB a lazier fill, it looks like you’d have Costanzo in front of Hines with a single DB to beat.
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