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UndecidedFrog

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Posts posted by UndecidedFrog

  1. 1) Do we even have a playbook yet to give him?

    2) From what I've heard Andrew Luck's ability to remember call sheets, plays, etc... is insane. I think even if we wait to sign him when we draft him, he will learn the playbook in no time.

    3) I had chicken and mashed potatoes for dinner, it was delicious. I would share, but I ate it all.

    Yes, I think it would be a good idea to wait until the Redskins share their playbook with Luck too, so that he can memorize that before becoming a Colt.

    http://washington.cbslocal.com/2012/04/06/report-redskins-meeting-with-robert-griffin-iii-and-andrew-luck-before-draft/

  2. I think that's all kind of overstated, honestly. It wouldn't surprise me if the Colts have already intimated to Luck that they intend to pick him. And if they haven't already, they probably will before the draft. It's no big surprise.

    But even if they don't, I don't think that Luck would be driven toward pulling an Eli because the Colts didn't swoon over him and roll out the red carpet weeks before the draft. I think the chances of that happening are highly unlikely, as mentioned before, and I don't think the Colts management should make that a part of their thought process at this point.

    I hope the Colts have more than intimated to Luck that he will be their choice.

    I hope that Mr. Irsay has called Mr, Luck to tell him that the Colts intend to call his name as their #1 overall draft pick.

    If the Colts have not already done this, I am not saying that Luck will go right ahead and do an Eli or Elway. I am saying that the chances (however incrementally small it may be) will be better that such an unlikely occurrence may happen. I would not want to increase (by any amount) those chances.

    Consider the following:

    1) The Colts have requested a private workout with Luck, which he has obliged.

    2) The Colts have requested a private workout with RG3, which he has denied

    3) The Redskins have their OC visiting RG3 multiple times between now and the draft.

    4) and the Colts continue to say publicly that their decision is still up in the air.

    I don't think Luck will do an Eli (no matter what happens or does not happen). However, I can only imagine what Luck may think of the Colts (or even the Redskins) organization given the above facts, if the Colts have not communicated to him already that he will be their pick.

  3. I think Luck should take #13. D Has there been a decent #13 since Marino? I can't think of one. And if Irsay were to give Luck #18, I would lose all respect for him.

    **just to clarify, I think there's less than a 0 percent chance that Irsay would let Luck take #18. :)

    I also think there's less than a 0 percent chance that Luck will ask for #18.

  4. I'm not a cap guru so, hopefully you're not like some and whine when you get questioned, where is the idea of very little cap space coming from? An article I read was after the did not give Manning his signing bonus the Colts had about $20 million in cap space and right before they signed Avery they still had like $14 million, which in cap dollars is basically enough to sign all the rookies and 3 or 4 superstar players.

    You are mistaken.

    There is, in fact, very little cap space for the team.

    My estimate of the remaining cap currently is $11.13MM, which is actually about $1MM more than what was reported by nfl.com.

    Cap space calculation method 1: From beginning of LY to first day of regular season: top 51 contracts

    Available Cap Space w/o budget for draft picks = $11.13

    Available Cap Space w/budget for draft picks = $1.92

    Cap space calculation method 2: From first day of regular season to end of LY: All contracts

    Available Cap Space w/o budget for draft picks = $6.84

    Available Cap Space w/budget for draft picks =($2.37)

    Currently, at this time of the off-season, the team is using method 1 to calculate team cap according to CBA.

    Eventually, the team will have to use method 2 when the first day of the regular season begins, according to the CBA.

    We have 10 draft picks (including compensatory picks).

    1) Luck/RG3 will command the overall #1 pick compensation which will hit the cap at about $4.2MM for this year.

    2) Picks #34 and #64 will also command slight premiums above rookie minimum totaling an aggregate of $1.5MM.

    3) The remaining 9 picks will command rookie minimums at $390K each.

    4) The budget for draftees is therefore $9.21M

    So you can see that there is very little money to sign any expensive FA, unless you want to consider not signing some of your draft picks.

  5. The contingency of coaches that traveled out to Palo Alto left me with the impression that there was more of a purpose than just an old fashioned workout, they were preparing him for the future! I do not believe 100% was finalized, but more was stepped up in the direction of Luck becoming the new Colts Quarterback.

    I think they flirted with RGIII, but IMO, that was it!

    I hope you are right. I hope that the contingency of coaches and FO personnel communicated to Luck that he will be their choice, even if they did not sign him.

    I can only imagine what might be going on inside Luck's head if they did not communicate this, and still stuck with the mantra that they are still deciding when RG3 has refused to privately workout for the Colts (while agreeing to meet with Redskins' officials).

  6. That's significant. We have several holdovers from last season that automatically push that average up as they get older. The fact that we've brought it down a full year despite that shows that we've gotten younger. And we haven't even drafted yet. That will probably give us another year, pending final cuts.

    Yes, it is dramatic, even before the draft!

  7. So if it goes from 0.1% to 1.0%, I think that's still not a reason to worry about signing him early.

    I'm not against signing him early, I just don't get why it matters.

    The incentive in years past was to negotiate with your guy to make sure you could reach terms with him, especially because the money could be so ridiculously insane. So when the Texans opened negotiations with Reggie Bush, and determined that he wanted way more money than they were willing to pay him, that helped them decide not to take him. They went and negotiated with Mario Williams, got more favorable numbers, and inked the deal. Same thing with Matt Stafford and the Lions; they wanted to make sure they could reach terms before they drafted him, and it allowed them to avoid a protracted negotiation or even a holdout with their first round draft pick.

    That situation doesn't exist anymore. The money is determined by the CBA, as are the years and options. The only thing to be negotiated is the guaranteed money, and the precedent was set pretty easily and firmly by the Panthers and Cam Newton last year. There's really nothing to negotiate with the first overall pick. We'll give the first pick the same contract the Panthers gave Cam Newton last year, just for a little bit more money.

    So, whether they sign him early or not, it doesn't matter.

    Please don't misunderstand me. I am not arguing signing him early or not.

    I am arguing that the Colts, even if they do not sign him early, should at the very least tell Luck that he will be their choice privately. All it would take is a phone call from Mr, Irsay to Luck. I don't know if this has or has not already happened, obviously.

    This will prevent the 0.1% from becoming anything more, and would show some consideration for the uncertainty and anxiety associated with a high draft prospect's feelings.

  8. My thoughts exactly! What is stopping the Colts from getting an early start on teaching Luck the offense?

    I think it could be one of these 2 possibilities:

    1) The Colts really have not decided that Luck should be their pick.

    2) The Colts have already decided that Luck will be their pick, but are holding off signing because of any one or combination of the following:

    2a) They perceive that the risk of injury to Luck between now and draft day outweighs the benefit of ramping him up on the offense.

    2b) They like to preserve the media attention on the owner of the team until the very last second

    From my understanding of Luck's character, he would not consent to begin learning anything proprietary to any team, if they have not signed him. I may be wrong in this, but I hope I'm not.

  9. http://www.nfl.com/d..._headline_stack

    I think there should be an NFL investigation into communicating with players before the draft. I think they are paying RG3 or the agent to avoid any contact with the Colts. Not a big RG3 fan but the Colts should be allowed to look into other possibilities too in case Andrew Luck turns out not being the one which i doubt. What do you think?

    I think regardless of who the Colts pick, an investigation should be conducted by the NFL to see if there were any improper communications, payments or other incentives with draft prospects or their agents.

  10. So since this age average is "as of today" I assume it doesn't account for the draft picks we'll be signing? No doubt they will bring down the average immensely.

    That's correct.

    The draft may or may not bring the average weight up or down, depending on who we draft.

    Luck is 247 lbs.

    NTs, and OL tend to be heavier,

    DBs and WRs tend to be lighter.

  11. Keep in mind that while the stat just appears to be 1 year, in reality, that's an average of 1 year for 53 players. Reading it as just one year might not seem significant, but when you consider that every single player is an average of 1 year younger, that seems more significant

    Yes, this is a pretty significant change. It seems the FO is rebuilding the team not only larger, but younger as well.

  12. Another way to look at it is to compare the number of players 30 years of age and older from each roster:

    2011 official 53-player roster:

    30 years and older players:

    Adam Vinatieri 38

    Kerry Collins 38

    Peyton Manning 35

    Justin Snow 34

    Jeff Saturday 34

    Reggie Wayne 32

    Ryan Diem 31

    Dallas Clark 31

    Tyler Brayton 31

    Dwight Freeney 31

    Robert Mathis 30

    Gary Brackett 30

    2012 unofficial 63-player roster:

    30 years and older players:

    Adam Vinatieri 39

    Justin Snow 35

    Reggie Wayne 33

    Dwight Freeney 32

    Robert Mathis 31

    Cory Redding 31

  13. Given the many changes to the team roster in this off season, I have done a calculation to compare the average age of the official 2011 53-player roster against the current 63-player 2012 roster (as of today).

    2011 official 53-player roster average age = 26.02 years

    2012 unofficial 63-player roster average age = 25.17 years.

    It seems we have gotten one year younger, approximately one year later.

  14. I was listening out one ear, and working out the other, but thought I heard they were claiming Williams was working as a rogue coach.

    If that's true.......WHAT?

    Then why did they make a statement taking responsibility.

    They were told to stop it more than once, and ignored it, or, at the very least, didn't assure it stopped.

    That's probably why Roger Goodell and now, you and I, are interested in hearing there explanation.

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