The Colts started the season 1-5, the Chiefs went 5-1 in the same period. The reason the Colts are a wild card team is because they started the season very slow, mainly due to Luck sitting out an entire season, several key injuries, new players and a completely new coaching staff/system. Obviously the Colts got white hot since then and went 10-1. The Chiefs went the opposite direction, they started off on fire, but in their last six games they have gone 3-3(granted all three losses were to playoff teams). Right now, the Chiefs are a beatable team. I can understand why they are favored, especially being at home, but the media really isn't giving the Colts a chance and they should.