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Edo

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Posts posted by Edo

  1. 14 hours ago, danlhart87 said:

    I have a blue Peyton Manning.

    Just bought a blue TY Hilton today.

     

    Kinda fitting too 13 with Draft coming 

     

    I'm the proud owner of a White Manning Jersey, a blue Manning, a Blue Luck, and a blue Joseph Addai one. 

    I'm very proud of the last one. 

    Yes I Loved Joseph Addai. 

    And those were hard to get in France! 

  2. 39 minutes ago, SteelCityColt said:

     

    Not really, given the voting system, the inflexibility around voting for positions, and the large number of alternates, it's not the most direct relationship to who are the "best" players. 

     

    Not saying I don't rate him as a player to be clear.

    I get what you mean.
     

  3. 9 minutes ago, SteelCityColt said:

     

    I think a Pro Bowl appearance is one of the worst ways to judge talent, but I'd like Hooper on a value contract. 

     

    Being a Pro Bowler is a sign of being dominant isn't it ? 

    On top of that he has good hands (75 REC / 787Yds / 6TDs) 
     

  4. Hey guys I don't know if it has be brought to you attention yet, but if we need a dominant TE, we could find it at the FA.
    Austin Hooper, who made it to the Pro Bowl this year is FA at the end of the season. It could be a really good fit for us. 
    What do you guyw think about it !?

  5. Hey guys, 

     

    I've just seen that Jadeveon Clowney is FA at the end of the year. 

    He just said that he wanted to win titles and it would be a huge component of his future decision. 

    Do you reckon: 

    1- He could be a very good pick for us despite his low season? 

    2- He could be convinced by Colts' project ? 

    3- Ballard would like him ? 

    4- The QB situation need to be resolved by the FA ? 

    5- He's the guy our Dline is lacking ? 

     

    Thank you !

  6. We still have one of the strongest OL in the League. Quenton is a beast, already x2 Pro Bowler top 3 of the league at least if not n#1, Ryan Kelly is one of the best C IMO (probably Tier 1). 
    Only Glowinski and Smith could be better for our team. 

    It's my opinion from overseas (France) where I managed to see at least 10 games this season
     

  7. 39 minutes ago, EastStreet said:

     

    We're bottom ten in total QB pressure, and that simply has to improve in we are going to use a zone D scheme. Zone only works with a decent rush, and we don't have one. I think you would be surprised at how much better our CBs and Ss would look if we had a better pass rush.

     

    1 hour ago, EastStreet said:

    I've seen some stats tossed around about "building" a team that can compete for a Super Bowl. I think some of what has been tossed out is "convenient" cherry picking, so decided to finish a little drill down that I started a few months ago. Anyway, just the facts below. 

     

    In short, I've looked at Super Bowl teams since 2000, and listed their unit and total ranks. I've also added QBR rank. Below is a summary of some key takeaways and conclusions. Below that, is an easy summary of total and unit tiers, and farther below is the raw data capsules of each team. I've used tiers rather than averages as I think the distribution if far more educational than a simple average (which will hide/blend outliers). I also don't discriminate in W or L in the SB, only that they made it to the SB.

     

    Warning: The factual information contained below might be too much for some (especially fanboys). If you are afraid of facts, or think stats are unimportant, please ignore this thread and spare the rest from anecdotal throw up.

     

    Key Takeaways in general on SB contender data:
    1. Having a QB with a Tier 1 QBR is by far the biggest commonality of Super Bowl contenders. 30 of 38 teams had Tier 1 (top 10) QBRs. QBR is far more important than passing YPG, rushing YPG, or any D total or unit stat.
    2. Balance in O and D is best, but O is significantly more important. 33 of 38 teams where above the median in Total O, while only 24 of 38 were above the median in Total D.
    3. Passing O vs Rushing O was very similar, but Passing O had a slight edge in importance.
    4. Passing D vs Rushing D was similar compared to the median, but T1 Rushing Ds were far more prevelant.

     

    Colts Current Rank and Contender Comparison:
    1. Zero teams have played in a SB with our current Total O and Pass O rank
    2. Only 2 of 38 (5%) teams have played in a SB with our current QBR rank or lower. Those QBs were Peyton and Big Ben.
    3. Our Rush O is as good or equal to 63% of SB contenders 
    4. Our Total D is as good or equal to 39% of SB contenders and T2
    5. Our Pass D is as good or equal to 24% of SB contenders and T4
    6. Our Run D is as good as or equal to 53% of SB contenders and T1

     

    Conclusion / Recommendation
    1. QB is by far the most important thing to address (draft or FA) based on our current rank in QBR and Passing 0. 
    2. Passing D is the second biggest need although almost a quarter of SB teams had the same or worse Tier rank. DT please.
    3. Total D while slightly below the SB contender median, was still T2 (current year)
    3, Our Rush O and Rush D are both Tier 1, and well within SB contender performance (50+%).

     

    Tier Definition
    Tier 1:  1-10 Good/Great
    Tier 2:  11-16 AMA (Above Median / Average) 
    Tier 3:  17-22 BMA (Below Median / Average)
    Tier 4:  23-32 Bad/Horrible

     

    Distribution of 38 SB team rankings from 2000-2018

    Total O/Pass O/Rush O/Total D/Pass D/Rush D/  QBR
    T1:  21 /   19    /    18    /    22    /    11    /    23     /    30
    T2:  12 /    9     /     7     /     2     /    12    /    4       /     2
    T3:   4  /    5     /     5     /     8     /     6     /    8       /     4
    T4:   1  /    5     /     8     /     6     /     9     /    3       /     2

     

    Colts Current Rank / Tier / # SB Contenders equal to or below / % of SB teams equal to or worse
    Total O: 25th  / T4 /  0  /  0%
    Pass O: 30th  / T4 /  0  /  0%
    Rush O: 7th  / T1 /  24  / 63%
    Total D: 16th  / T2 / 15  /  39%
    Pass D: 23rd  / T4 /  9  /  24%
    Rush D: 7th  / T1 /  20  /  53%
    QBR: 20th  / T3 /  2  /  5%

     

    Team specific data.

    TO=Total Offense, PO=Pass Offense, RO=Rush Offense, TD=Total Defense, PD=Pass Defense, RD=Rush Offense

    TO, PO, RO, TD, PD, and RD are all team/unit ranks 1-32. QBR is an individual rank (1-32) with the exception of two years when a team had 2 QBs play 6+ games each (in which case QBR is averaged). 

     

    2018W (NE) TO 5 (PO 8/RO 5), TD 21 (PD 22/RD 11), QBR 9
    2018L (LAR) TO 2 (PO 5/RO 3), TD 19 (PD 14/RD 23), QBR 10
    2017W (PH) TO 7 (PO 13/RO 3), TD 4 (PD 17/RD 1), QBR 1
    2017L (NE) TO 1 (PO 2/RO 10), TD 29 (PD 30/RD 20), QBR 3
    2016W (NE ) TO 4 (PO 4/RO 7), TD 8 (PD 12/RD 4), QBR 2
    2016L (ATL) TO 2 (PO 3/RO 5), TD 25 (PD 28/RD 17), QBR 1
    2015W (DEN) TO 16 (PO 14/RO 17), TD 1 (PD 1/RD 3), QBR 25
    2015L (CAR) TO 11 (PO 24/RO 2), TD 6 (PD 11/RD 4), QBR 9
    2014W (NE) TO 11 (PO 9/RO 18), TD 13 (PD 17/RD 9), QBR 3
    2014L (SEA) TO 9 (PO 27/RO 1), TD 1 (PD 1/RD 3), QBR 6
    2013W (SEA) TO 17 (PO 1/RO 4), TD 1 (PD 1/RD 8), QBR 7
    2013L (DEN) TO 1 (PO 26/RO 15), TD 19 (PD 27/RD 7), QBR 2
    2012W (BAL) TO 16 (PO 15/RO 11), TD 17 (PD 17/RD 20), QBR 18
    2012L (SF) TO 11 (PO 23/RO 4), TD 3 (PD 4/RD 4), QBR 8*
    2011W (NYG) TO 8 (PO 5/RO 32), TD 27 (PD 29/RD 19), QBR 9
    2011L (NE) TO 2 (PO 2/RO 20), TD 31 (PD 31/RD 17), QBR 3
    2010W (GB) TO 9 (PO 5/RO 24), TD 5 (PD 5/RD 18), QBR 6
    2010L (PIT) TO 14 (PO 14/RO 11), TD 2 (PD 12/RD 1), QBR 7
    2009W (NO) TO 1 (PO 2/RO 6), TD 25  (PD 26/RD 21), QBR 1
    2009L (IN) TO 9 (PO 4/RO 32), TD 18 (PD 14/RD 24), QBR 2
    2008W (PIT) TO 22 (PO 17/RO 23), TD 1 (PD 1/RD 2), QBR 26
    2008L (AZ) TO 4 (PO 2/RO 32), TD 19 (PD 22/RD 16), QBR 3
    2007W (NYG) TO 16 (PO 21/RO 4), TD 7 (PD 11/RD 8), QBR 18
    2007L (NE) TO 1 (PO 1/RO 13), TD 4 (PD 6/RD 10), QBR 1
    2006W (IN) TO 3 (PO 2/RO 18), TD 21 (PD 2/RD 32), QBR 1
    2006L (CHI) TO 15 (PO 14/RO 15), TD 5 (PD 11/RD 6), QBR 19
    2005W (PIT) TO 15 (PO 24/RO 5), TD 4 (PD 16/RD 3), QB-R 3
    2005L (SEA) TO 2 (PO 13/RO 3), TD 17 (PD 25/RD 5), QB-R 4
    2004W (NE) TO 7 (PO 11/RO 7), TD 9 (PD 17/RD 6), QB-R 9
    2004L (PH) TO 9 (PO 7/RO 24), TD 10 (PD 12/RD 16), QB-R 4
    2003W (NE) TO 17 (PO 9/RO 27), TD 7 (PD 15/RD 4), QB-R 10
    2003L (CAR) TO 16 (PO 18/RO 7), TD 8 (PD 9/RD 11), QB-R 14
    2002W (TB) TO 24 (PO 15/RO 27), TD 1 (PD 1/RD 6), QB-R 3
    2002L (OAK) TO 1 (PO 1/RO 18), TD 11 (PD 23/RD 3), QB-R 2
    2001W (NE) TO 19 (PO 22/RO 13), TD 24 (PD 24/RD 19), QB-R 6
    2001L (LAR) TO 1 (PO 1/RO 5), TD 3 (PD 11/RD 3), QB-R 1
    2000W (BAL) TO 16 (PO 22/RO 5), TD 2 (PD 8/RD 1), QB-R 20
    2000L (NYG) TO 13 (PO 13/RO 11), TD 5 (PD 16/RD 2), QB-R 12
     

    Note, "QB Rating" was used in place of QBR for years prior to 2006 (ESPN created QBR in advance of the 2006 season)

     

    Note2, I did those over a few sittings, and eyeballs going cross towards the end.... so, let me know if you find any errors or have any questions.

     

    Thank you very much for this work. This data analysis is very interesting and informative. 

    Although may be Chris Ballard sees a future Elite QB's in JB despite the strong reserves the fans may have. 

    May I show your analysis to a French Football website made by fans? 

    • Like 1
  8. 13 hours ago, Rally5 said:

    At this moment, I sequence it like this:

     

    1. Check on Andrew.

    2. Re-Sign AC!

    3. Get a vet or two on D, Maybe Suh or McCoy on one or two year deals. I think we need a big physical DT.  Maybe the guy from Houston but a DT in FA for sure!

    4. I'd make a run at re-signing Funchess.

    5. In the draft I'd go OT or WR with the first pick.

    6. Top of the second I'd hope Fromm was still available, if so, I'd get em.

    7. If QB doesn't work out in the draft I'd sniff around Miami for Rosen and Cincy for Dalton.

    8. If that fails, or even if it succeeds, I prepare for a full competition between Kelly and Brissett et al for QB1 in 2020.

    9. I might with the last pick draft Rodrigo Blankenship.

    10. I would look real hard at signing Tyler Eifert if he's healthy.

     

    Those are my incomplete thoughts! :)

     

     

    Do you guys really think that Luck could get out of retirement ? 

  9. 5 hours ago, joeb said:

    We have almost 100 mil. to play with. Need a QB and possibly a left tackle. A kicker is needed or is Mclaughlin the answer ?   Need receivers , badly. The D line needs major upgrade. Secondary needs help. Lots of changes ahead. I am excited to see what we do. Ballard has a lot of work to do.


    From what I've understood from Ballard's conference (I'm french thus I might understood wrong), he relies on draft, not FA in order to change the roster. He probably spotted our flaws and spotted some FA for next year but for the most part it will be at the draft. 

    We have a young roster, we have to give them time. 
    I just hope we won't tank next year to get Lawrence. 

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