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Posts posted by BlueStallion
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Why did the Colts release Al Woods?
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Half a dozen things need to develop in combination before Ballard would receive a legit trade offer on JB, much less seriously consider such an offer:
1. JB continues to improve his level of QB play in the final two preseason games.
2. Luck sits out the first two or three regular season games to continue healing
3. JB plays at a high level in those games and consistently displays starting-QB talent.
4. Luck gets fully healthy and resumes his elite level of play.
5. Kelly returns from suspension and balls out in practices against the starting D.
6. A playoff caliber team loses its starting QB for the season, and their backups suck.
JB is worth more to the Colts than a mid-to-late round pick. A 2nd rounder? Maybe.
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It seems the Colts are suffering an embarrassment of riches at the TE position this season. Hopefully, no more serious injuries (knock on wood). Even Hentges is getting open and flashing good hands in preseason. He probably won't make the 53-man roster, but I'd be pleasantly surprised if he even gets to the practice squad before some other team nabs him.
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2 hours ago, Blueblood23 said:
Maybe he wanted to get out of the rain.
If that's the case, he should have gone to Phoenix or Los Angeles. We get plenty of rain here in Indy. Maybe not as much as Seattle, but way more than we need.
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2 hours ago, BProland85 said:
Considering we spent basically a 1st round pick on Ya Sin, I would hope he starts relatively quickly.
And I would hope that Willis ends up more than just a depth player for us. We had the chance to draft S Amani Hooker in the 4th and instead took Willis. I live in Nashville and they have been raving over Hooker and that he could play right away matching up with TEs.
I suspect Ballard didn't draft Amani Hooker to avoid the obvious jokes about the team employing hookers in its locker room.
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So many prospects and not enough picks:
Round 1 - #26
A: Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama
B: Clelin Ferrell, DE, Clemson
C: Christian Wilkins, DT, Clemson
Round 2a - #34
A: Jeffery Simmons, DT, Miss. State
B: Dexter Lawrence, DT, Clemson
C: Jerry Tillery, DT, Notre Dame
Round 2b - #59
A: Dalton Risner, OL, Kansas State
B: Kaleb McGary, OT, Washington
C: Dre'Mont Jones, DT, Ohio State
Round 3 - #89
A: Mack Wilson, LB, Alabama
B: Parris Campbell, WR, Ohio State
C: Jonathan Abrams, S, Miss. State
Round 4a - #129
A: Darnell Savage, S, Maryland
B: Amani Hooker, S, Iowa
Round 4b - #135
A: Mecole Hardman, WR, Georgia
B: Germaine Pratt, LB, North Carolina State
Round 5 - #164
A: Jachai Polite, EDGE, Florida
B: Chuma Edoga, OL, USC
Round 6 - #199
A: Christian Miller, OLB, Alabama
B: Preston Williams, WR, Colorado State
Round 7 - #240
A: Khalil Hodge, LB, Buffalo
B: Edwin Alexander, DT, LSU
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13 hours ago, Scott Pennock said:
If we look at it that way I'd love Parris Campbell from Ohio State. But that would likely require the number 34 pick.....
It would be serendipity if Jeffery Simmons slid to the Colts at pick 34. I think Parris Campbell would be much better value at pick 59. Even if Ballard misses out on Campbell, he could still draft a smaller but very fast/quick WR in the 4th or 5th round to develop in the mold of T.Y., such as Mecole Hardman (4.33 speed).
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Just now, BlueStallion said:
Gotta keep re-bumping this post. It has become a good luck charm. It's now meme worthy.
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Gotta keep re-bumping this post. It's become a good luck charm. It's now meme worthy.
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Interesting: They rated Adrian Peterson as the "Biggest Steal" among the 2018 free agent signings. The runner-up in that category was Pierre Desir.
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Ballard's 2018 draft has already proven to be phenomenal, and there could be even more payoff in the future. We don't know enough yet about Cain and Fountain, but if either one of them develops into a productive starter, this draft haul may be the best ever -- by any team.
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Excellent analysis from a Texans fan about Andrew Luck and the Colts. He posted this video the day before the Colts beat the Titans to get into the wildcard round:
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3 minutes ago, BlueStallion said:
In addition to Ballard supporting Reich's decisions to go for it on 4th down, I also liked his answer to another question later in the interview:
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How do you see the 2017 and 2018 draft classes coming along? And where do you think the Colts should target picks in the upcoming draft?
“...all those guys have done really well. So, no, we’re very pleased. And then for what we’re targeting — look: we’re gonna continue to press the button on every position, and early in the draft. I think one of the big mistakes you can make is if you pass up a great player at any position. You’ve got to always keep your mind open and can’t target in on just a specific need. You don’t want to pass up a special player. Quenton Nelson, I mean, it happened to be a need too, but Quenton Nelson would’ve been good no matter what. I mean, so don’t ever pass up a special player.”
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This is Ballard declaring he'll draft BPA regardless of need. However, the odds are quite high that any player he drafts will fill a team need because the Colts must upgrade and reinforce so many positions (EDGE, DT, DE, CB, SS, OT, WR, RB).
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In addition to Ballard supporting Reich's decisions to go for it on 4th down, I also liked his answer to another question later in the interview:
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How do you see the 2017 and 2018 draft classes coming along? And where do you think the Colts should target picks in the upcoming draft?
“...all those guys have done really well. So, no, we’re very pleased. And then for what we’re targeting — look: we’re gonna continue to press the button on every position, and early in the draft. I think one of the big mistakes you can make is if you pass up a great player at any position. You’ve got to always keep your mind open and can’t target in on just a specific need. You don’t want to pass up a special player. Quenton Nelson, I mean, it happened to be a need too, but Quenton Nelson would’ve been good no matter what. I mean, so don’t ever pass up a special player.”
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This is Ballard declaring he'll draft BPA regardless of need. However, the odds are quite high that any player he drafts will fill a need because the Colts must upgrade and reinforce so many positions (EDGE, DT, DE, CB, SS, OT, WR, RB).
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Chris Ballard is pursuing a strategy of patiently and methodically building a winning team primarily through the draft. However, this proven approach only works for GMs who can consistently scout and identify exceptional talent every year. Furthermore, it's not enough to just pick competent prospects who won't bust. Drafting average-to-good young players will, at best, only replace the veteran starters who leave each year due to free agency, injuries, and retirement. Making consistently sound picks will NOT be sufficient to elevate the overall talent level on a roster above that of more talented teams. Such 'solid' franchises often languish in mediocrity year after year.
Any GM worth his salt will find two or maybe three long-term keepers in each draft, but he also needs to be lucky. It's expected that he should find excellent starters in the first and second rounds, but what makes him look brilliant is when he hits on a surprisingly elite player in the middle or late rounds. Accumulating just a few of these "draft steals" over several years will amass the talent necessary to propel a team from pretender to contender. Imagine how differently the Colts past seasons could have turned out if the team had drafted Jimmy Graham in the 3rd round, or Jared Allen in the 4th, or Richard Sherman in the 5th, or Antonio Brown in the 6th. The point is, even though it's better to be lucky than good, a successful GM needs to be both good AND lucky.
Which rookie do you predict will turn out to be Ballard's big steal from the 2018 draft? My vote is Deon Cain.
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My dream scenario for the Colts would be some team with a mid-to-late 2nd round pick wanting to jump up to #36 to get a player they REALLY covet, and they make an offer you can't refuse: Their 2nd rounder plus their 2019 1st rounder. Would you pass on these talented players and trade down?
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Round 1 - #6
A: Bradley Chubb (DE) NC State
B: Quenton Nelson (OG) Notre Dame
C: Roquan Smith (LB) GeorgiaRound 2a - #36
A: Tremaine Edmunds (LB) Virginia Tech
B: Rashaan Evans (LB) AlabamaRound 2b - #37
A: Will Hernandez (OG) UTEP
B: Isaiah Wynn (OG) GeorgiaRound 2c - #49
A: Billy Price (OG) Ohio State
B: Lorenzo Carter (OLB/EDGE) GeorgiaRound 3 - #67
A: Josh Sweat (OLB/EDGE) FSU
B: Sony Michel (RB) GeorgiaRound 4 - #104
A: Johnson, Kerryon (RB) Auburn
B: Rashaad Penny (RB) San Diego StateRound 5 - #140
A: Nick Chubb (RB) Georgia
B: Holton Hill (CB) TexasRound 6 - #178
A: Royce Freeman (RB) Oregon
B: Joseph Noteboom (OT) TCURound 7 - #221
A: Will Richardson (OT) North Carolina State
B: Korey Robertson (WR) Southern Miss -
If Cleveland covets Barkley enough to trade up from 4th to 3rd to acquire him after they draft one of the top 2 QBs with their 1st overall pick, they'd probably have to give up pick #33 or #36 as compensation.
The other QB-needy teams will still want to trade up to the 4th spot in order to get their preferred choice of the remaining top QBs. In this ideal scenario, the Colts could trade down twice in the first round and still be in high enough position to get an elite pass rusher or OL stud.
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The Colts have too many weaknesses and not enough draft picks to bolster the entire roster in one draft. If the current defensive backfield continues to improve and play at a consistently high level for the rest of this season, it would free up Ballard to focus on improving other positions of glaring need.
Although it would be great to acquire a proven shut-down CB, that becomes more of a luxury than a necessity. The team still needs an elite edge rusher, two or three stud OL, a fast ILB who can cover, a power RB to replace Gore, a true #1 WR (Hilton is ideal in the slot), a better #2 WR than Moncrief, and a TE who is good at both catching and blocking.
Maybe Ballard can splurge in the offseason and sign two or three expensive free agents to address a few of these needs before going into the draft.
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Just to beat a dead horse, ahem, the current NFL standings table on ESPN shows the Colts with the worst points differential (Points For minus Points Against) in the league at -101. The team with the next worst differential...Cleveland Browns at -97. Ouch.
Three close wins and three close losses, but the other four losses were thrashings. Can't blame it all on the defense when the offense keeps sputtering in the 2nd half of games.
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Round 1 - #15
A. Marlon Humprhey, CB, Alabama
B. Haason Reddick, LB, Temple
C. Gareon Conley, CB, Ohio StateRound 2 - #46
A. Charles Harris, EDGE, Missouri
B. Jarrad Davis, LB, FloridaRound 3 - #80
A. Sidney Jones, CB, Washington
B. Joe Mixon, RB, OklahomaRound 4 - #122
A. Tarell Basham, EDGE, Ohio
B. Cordrea Tankersley, CB, ClemsonRound 4 - #137
A. Josh Jones, S, NC State
B. Wayne Gallman, RB, ClemsonRound 4 - #144
A. Samaje Perine, RB, Oklahoma
B. D'Onta Foreman, RB, TexasRound 5 - #158
A. Eddie Vanderdoes, DT, UCLA
B. Jeremy Sprinkle, TE, Arkansas
Free Agents: 3 choices
A. Johnathan Ford, S, Michigan
B. Kenny Allen, P, Michigan
C, Austin Rehkow, P, Idaho -
Not worth the hassle. Gordon has made it very clear to the league that he loves weed more than he loves football.
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It appears the Colts have found a promising young interior pass rusher. I can't figure out how someone that stocky and heavy with a big round beer belly can move so quickly.
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Based on TWO wasted early-round draft picks, I nominate Tony Ugoh. The team moved up 22 spots in the second round of the 2007 draft to acquire Ugoh, giving up its 2008 first rounder in compensation. This means the Colts burned a second-round pick AND a first round pick on Ugoh. I know time is supposed to heal all wounds, but nine years have passed, and I'm still irritated by it. Behold the magnificent draft haul from 2007:
Round 1 (Pick 32): Anthony Gonzalez, WR, Ohio State
Round 2 (Pick 42): Tony Ugoh, T, Arkansas
Round 3 (Pick 95): Dante Hughes, CB, California
Compensatory (Pick 98): Quinn Pitcock, DT, Ohio State
Round 4 (Pick 131): Brannon Condren, DB, Troy State
Compensatory (Pick 136): Clint Session, LB, Pittsburgh
Round 5 (Pick 169): Roy Hall, WR, Ohio State
Compensatory (Pick 173): Michael Coe, CB, Alabama State
Round 6 (NO PICK):
Round 7 (Pick 242): Keyunta Dawson, DT, Texas Tech
Year 25! Dr. T's Annual Colt's Draft Contest for 2024
in NFL Draft, Scouting, and Free Agent Talk
Posted
Will the Colts trade the #15 pick this year? - ABSTAIN
Round 1: #15
A. Brock Bowers (TE) Georgia
B. Quinyon Mitchell (CB) Toledo
C. Brian Thomas Jr (WR) LSU
Round 2: #46
A. Adonai Mitchell (WR) Texas
B. Xavier Worthy (WR) Texas
C. Troy Franklin (WR) Oregon
Round 3: #82
A. Marshawn Kneeland (EDGE) Western Michigan
B. Jaden Hicks (S) Washingon State
C. Adisa Isaac (EDGE) Penn State
Round 4: #117
A. Khyree Jackson (CB) Oregon
B. Devontez Walker (WR) North Carolina
C. Jarvis Brownlee Jr (CB) Louisville
Round 5: #151
A. Malik Mustapha (S) Wake Forest
B. Kitan Oladapo (S) Oregon State
C. Jaylan Ford (LB) Texas
Round 6: #191
A. Josh Proctor (S) Ohio State
B. Blake Watson (RB) Memphis
C. Garret Greenfield (OL) South Dakota State
Round 7: #234
A. Deantre Prince (CB) Ole Miss
B. Javon Solomon (EDGE) Troy
C. Travis Glover (OL) Georgia State