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I certainly see where you're coming from. My statistical comparison was limited to the 2021 season. I maybe took for granted that everyone knows AJ Brown and Terry McLaurin had better statistical output in previous seasons. I think I could argue that if MPJ were coming off Year 3 right now, along with Brown and McLaurin, he could compare his last season to their last season, and say 'they just set my market floor.' Furthermore, even considering the previous two seasons from those other two players, they are not top 15-20 WRs in the NFL right now, statistically speaking. Again, I like them both, wanted to draft either of them in 2019, but for them to be the 5th and 7th highest paid WRs in the NFL, it speaks to a major market shift. We've always known that you don't have to be top five to be paid like you're top five, you just have to hit the market at the right time. But for guys coming in so far down the list in major statistical categories at their position, getting such significant contracts is very eye opening for me. I think it was eye opening for the Colts front office, also. I think some of the veteran contracts you pointed out need to be dismissed, they are not valid comps. Amari Cooper's contract was two years ago. Keenan Allen is 30, and on his third contract. Chris Godwin tore his ACL, and was coming off Year 5, not Year 3. Mike Williams was coming off Year 5; if signs two months later, he probably matches AJ Brown's deal, at least. I think DJ Moore is a relevant comp, but he signed prior to Brown, McLaurin and Diggs, who all came in between $23-25m. So I'm really just surprised by the fact that the top of the market increased so drastically, in such a short period of time, AND by the fact that players without elite statistical production were compensated at/near the top of that drastically improved market. These two adjustments are significant, and I don't think MPJ's reps are going to ignore them. I wouldn't. Now, what does Ballard do? Even at $20-21m/year, that's major for the Colts. Ballard doesn't like taking big swings for outside guys, but when we draft and develop young players, we tend to re-sign them. He hasn't paid a lot of money for any offensive skill players, but we haven't had anyone really make a case for a big contract so far. So MPJ will be the first one up, and we trade him? Justified or not, that will be noticed by other players. And it's probably just kicking the can down the road, because two years later Alec Pierce will be up. More importantly, I don't think Ballard's philosophy -- whatever it might be -- changes MPJ's market. Whether it's Indy or somewhere else, I think he gets paid like Brown and McLaurin did.
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Misspoke. Had thought Strachan was UDFA but he was drafted, though in the 7th and final round
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After the Draft: What we are hearing__on Twitter, Reddit, Podcasts, from fans, on sports radio, etc.League wide: '21: 10th '20: 1st '19: 3rd '18: 4th '17: 6th '16: 2nd '15: 2nd '14: 4th '13: 5th '12: 4th '11: 8th '10: 6th Top 10 league wide all seasons Top 6 league wide 10/12 seasons Top 5 league wide 8/12 seasons Top 3 league wide 4/12 seasons Best league wide 1/12 seasons That's still pretty darn impressive.
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Don’t particularly listen to podcast but saw this and gave it a listen. Found it interesting on the three Bearcats the Colts brought in. Could be just my Colts colored glasses. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DRVg0fpVtRw
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Unfortunately that's the market for even average WRs. Imo to justify giving Pitt 25 mil, I need to see 2500 yards 20 tds in the next two seasons. That's an average of 1250 yards and 10 tds. I think he is more then capable of doing that.
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