2021 Titans at Colts Matchup: Stats, TN PFF, Poll, ++

[EastStreet]

 

 

Game nuggets / comments

• Pretty tired of seeing our RZ% near the bottom (31st). It's even more painful knowing we have the 10th most RZ attempts per game... And our 3D%... Sorry but both of those scream play calling to me. Got to do better this weekend.
• Seeing the PFF grades of TN's QB, RB, and 2 best WRs, you'd think this team has the best O in the league... Tannehill is #3 now in grades. He doesn't have to do a lot, but he's very effective in what he does do. He's had four 70+ QBR games too in his last 5 games.
• Julio and AJ didn't play all that much in game one. They look to be healthier now. AJ had a nice game last week. Our secondary will be tested... Not having a real FS might bite us.
• TN has lost 2 key CBs the last few weeks to IR. They do however have one of the best safety duos in the league. Their FS Byard is graded #1 in the league.
• LBer wise, Landry is leading all LBers/EDs in sacks IIRC. Their ILB Evans though, is one of worst in the league.
• TN's pass rush has went from near bottom (28th) of the league last year in pressures, to #1 this year in total pressures (#5 in pressure %). 10th in sacks, 11th in knock downs. All that with a very meager blitz % (22% 20th). They hit Wentz 10 times in game 1, 2 times by Autry.
• Taylor was hardly used in game one (10 carries, really?), but had a great AVG. Wentz had two flat tires. You have to think our offense will look totally different this weekend. More JT and Pitt, and more Mo please, and hoping TY is back.
• Our DL had zero sacks and only one QB hit in game 1. We have to do better this week. We can't let Tannehill have time to carve up our cushion/zone or test us deep without a true FS. In three games though (mostly at SS), Sendejo has allowed the lowest passer rating on the team (3 starts min).... not too shabby, but now will be playing FS vs two good WRs.

 

Predictions

• High scoring game, and Colts pass more than they run.
• Wentz has 250+ and Pitt abuses the CBs. TY too if back. 
• JT may not have 100, but he'll get more than 10 carries this game, and certainly more than 2 in the first half (like last game).
• Paye gets his first sack
• Our LBs get abused most game, but Leonard will have a splash play (likely an INT)
• Tannehill dinks and dunks our LBs and DBs, but doesn't get 3 TDs again this game.
• Landry lines up on both sides, but gotta think he'll spend a good amount of time on Fisher's side this week.
• Colts 38 - Titans 34

 

 

 

• FPI / Power Ranking
  • Colts - 14th / 16th 
  • Titans - 12th / 9th
• Playoff Prediction / Division Champ
  • Colts - 45.6% / 16.6%
  • Titans - 92.6% / 83.3%
• SoS
  • Colts - 9th (remaining 27th)
  • Titans - 11th (remaining 29th)

 

Key Stats (red bad / blue good)

• Offense (Colts/Titans)
  • Power Index: 16th / 9th
  • PPG: 15th / 6th
  • RZ%: 31st / 18th 
  • 3D%: 21st / 11th
  • TotalYPG: 14th / 11th
  • RushYPG: 9th / 3rd
  • RushYPA: 8th / 7th
  • PassYPG: 23rd / 25th
  • PassYPA: 10th / 12th
  • Sacked%: 19th / 27th
  • Pressures Allowed: 29th / 19th
• Defense (Colts/Titans)
  • Power Index: 10th / 20th
  • PPGA: 11th / 16th
  • RZ%A: 20th / 7th
  • 3D%A: 11th / 16th
  • TotalYPGA: 15th / 22nd
  • RushYPGA: 14th / 9th
  • RushYPAA: 12th / 25th
  • PassYPGA: 13th / 24th
  • PassYPAA: 25th / 21st
  • Sack%: 18th / 17th
  • Passer Rating: 28th / 15th
  • Pressure %: 32nd / 5th

 

 

 

PFF Grades (red bad / blue good / purple injury question)

• Offense 
  • QB Tannehill - 89.9 (#3)
  • RB Henry - 81.2
  • WR Jones - 75.0
    • -WR Batson - 65.2
  • WR Brown - 77.7
    • -WR Westrbrook-Ikhine - 58.8
  • WR Rogers - 57.3
    • -WR Reynolds - 60.9
  • TE Swaim - 47.1
    • -TE Firkser - 47.7 (has been injured, better than grade implies)
  • LT Lewan - 61.9 (3 sacks)
    • -LT Lamm - 54.6 (1)
  • LG Saffold - 79.3 (1)
  • C Jones - 72.8 (1)
  • RG Davis - 65.5 (4)
  • RT Quessenberry - 80.7 (4)
• Defense
  • DE Autry - 60.7 (5)
    • -DE Bledsoe - 56.7
  • NT Tart - 61.3
  • DT Simmons - 67.8 (4)
  • OLB1 Dupree - 51.1 (1)
    • -OLB Adeniyi - 61.0 (3)
  • ILB1 Long - 62.3
    • -ILB Dzubnar - 61.5
  • ILB2 Evans - 32.7
    • -ILB Rice - 64.7
  • OLB2 Landry - 65.9 (8)
    • -OLB Simon - 53.2
  • CB1 Jenkins - 62.7
  • CB2 Molden - 57.2
  • CB3 Mabin - 74.9
  • SS Hooker - 90.4
    • -SS Cruikshank - 60.1
  • FS Byard - 90.6 (#1)
    • -FS Farley - 75.9
       

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Colts have been great in the red zone the last two games. Ifs getting there.   Throw out those first few games.

[Btown_Colt]

Feeling froggy this morning. Colts by 7-13,  Wentz, Taylor, Hilton, Paye, Colts. You heard it here first, this is the game everything starts to click for the Colts. Titans try to bring it back in the 4th, but can’t over come the massive deficit from the first 3 quarters. 
 

If I’m wrong, well it’s probably Reich or Ballard’s fault!

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

Colts have had a top 5 offense the last few games.

[Zoltan]

8 hours ago, EastStreet said:

 

 

Game nuggets / comments

• Pretty tired of seeing our RZ% near the bottom (31st). It's even more painful knowing we have the 10th most RZ attempts per game... And our 3D%... Sorry but both of those scream play calling to me. Got to do better this weekend.

 

Key Stats (red bad / blue good)

• Offense (Colts/Titans)
  • 3D%: 21st / 11th

 

I gotta mention this because when I brought up our bad 3rd down percentage last year, you were all over me saying that it wasn't an important stat.

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

5 minutes ago, Zoltan said:

 

I gotta mention this because when I brought up our bad 3rd down percentage last year, you were all over me saying that it wasn't an important stat.

I would like to see what these stats are with just the last four games throwing out the first 3 games. For instance Wentz is number one in QBR the last four games. But is like 12th if you add all the games.

[Zoltan]

 

[EastStreet]

3 hours ago, Zoltan said:

 

I gotta mention this because when I brought up our bad 3rd down percentage last year, you were all over me saying that it wasn't an important stat.

 

Not sure I recall what context you're talking about. Can you provide background?

 

Overall, I think 3rd down is very important. What's more important is conversions in general, or 1st downs per play. Most people don't follow that stat. Last year we were top 10 in 1st downs per play (regardless of down). This year we started out bad in that area (bottom 10), but we're getting better. I think we're up to teens right now after playing some bad teams. But we need to continue on that upward trend and be better.

[Zoltan]

1 hour ago, EastStreet said:

 

Not sure I recall what context you're talking about. Can you provide background?

 

Overall, I think 3rd down is very important. What's more important is conversions in general, or 1st downs per play. Most people don't follow that stat. Last year we were top 10 in 1st downs per play (regardless of down). This year we started out bad in that area (bottom 10), but we're getting better. I think we're up to teens right now after playing some bad teams. But we need to continue on that upward trend and be better.

 

Honestly, I don't remember it much. it just popped in my mind when I was reading the post

[EastStreet]

1 hour ago, Zoltan said:

 

Honestly, I don't remember it much. it just popped in my mind when I was reading the post

 

Thanks. Let me know if you recall. I was plenty critical of us in 3rd down last year, but revolved mostly around play calling situationally and personnel wise. I didn't like Hines running 3rd and short up the gut, or anywhere really except for hard edge runs. And I was critical of our tight bunch formations that I thought made it extremely predictable in what we were going to do (I wanted more spread). 

 

But I'd be interested if you can recall. If I did, I'd bet I mentioned our 1D per play stat.

[EastStreet]

Changing my prediction to 7-13 (from 1-6)

[EastStreet]

Tedy Bruschi just got done hating on Carson.....

 

Rex said this is a must win... And I agree. other wise we are 4 games behind TN (3+Tie Breaker)

[Restinpeacesweetchloe]

1 hour ago, EastStreet said:

Tedy Bruschi just got done hating on Carson.....

 

Rex said this is a must win... And I agree. other wise we are 4 games behind TN (3+Tie Breaker)

I can’t with that. I just saw that. So tired of analysts not doing there research.